Liverpool vs Villarreal 4-3: predictions and results

Individual results: record context

1X2, match result — 3 picks · 3 won

• Baptiste Couturiaux

  16 of 29 settled picks won in 1X2, match result · 10 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: +3.7% Small sample (29)

  Live record as of kick-off: 10 settled picks, −54.1% Small sample (10) at our market snapshot.

• Miguel Alvim

  7 of 8 settled picks won in 1X2, match result · 20 October – 3 November 2026

  Live record as of kick-off: 4 settled picks.

• Andrew Hendrie

  2 of 6 settled picks won in 1X2, match result · 11 October – 3 November 2026

  Live record as of kick-off: 8 settled picks.

Over/Under 3.5 goals — 3 picks · 3 won

• Baba

  155 of 255 settled picks won in Over/Under 3.5 goals · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −5.2%

  Live record as of kick-off: 143 settled picks, −13.6% at our market snapshot.

• Miguel Alvim

  7 of 12 settled picks won in Over/Under 3.5 goals · 10 October – 3 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: +4.2% Small sample (12)

  Live record as of kick-off: 4 settled picks.

• Bren Gray

  4 of 5 settled picks won in Over/Under 3.5 goals · 20–31 October 2026

  Live record as of kick-off: 3 settled picks.

Correct score — 2 picks · 2 lost

• Matt Law

  0 of 10 settled picks won in Correct score · 24 October – 5 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −100.0% Small sample (10)

  Live record as of kick-off: 3 settled picks.

• Lewis Nolan

  43 settled picks in other markets, live record.

  Live record as of kick-off: 0 settled picks.

Both teams to score — 1 pick · 1 won

• Baba

  169 of 299 settled picks won in Both teams to score · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −9.5%

  Live record as of kick-off: 143 settled picks, −13.6% at our market snapshot.

Double chance — 1 pick · 1 lost

• Jonas Meyer

  7 of 21 settled picks won in Double chance · 10 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −39.1% Small sample (21)

  Live record as of kick-off: 20 settled picks, −27.7% Small sample (20) at our market snapshot.

Match result and both teams to score — 1 pick · 1 won

• Andrew Hendrie

  1 of 3 settled picks won in Match result and both teams to score · 13 October – 3 November 2026

  Live record as of kick-off: 8 settled picks.

Over/Under 2.5 goals — 1 pick · 1 won

• Baptiste Couturiaux

  5 of 6 settled picks won in Over/Under 2.5 goals · 9 October – 5 November 2026

  Live record as of kick-off: 10 settled picks, −54.1% Small sample (10) at our market snapshot.

Over/Under 4.5 goals — 1 pick · 1 lost

• Baba

  155 of 255 settled picks won in Over/Under 4.5 goals · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −5.2%

  Live record as of kick-off: 143 settled picks, −13.6% at our market snapshot.

Player to score — 1 pick · 1 lost

• Andrew Hendrie

  1 of 3 settled picks won in Player to score · 20 October – 3 November 2026

  Live record as of kick-off: 8 settled picks.

Team goals over/under 0.5 — 1 pick · 1 lost

• Lewis Nolan

  4 of 19 settled picks won in Team goals over/under 0.5 · 9 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −69.4% Small sample (19)

  Live record as of kick-off: 15 settled picks, −57.8% Small sample (15) at our market snapshot.

Team goals over/under 1.5 — 1 pick · 1 won

• Lewis Nolan

  4 of 19 settled picks won in Team goals over/under 1.5 · 9 October – 7 November 2026 · Return at our market snapshot: −69.4% Small sample (19)

  Live record as of kick-off: 15 settled picks, −57.8% Small sample (15) at our market snapshot.

Recorded comparison

Figures as of 20 October 2026 · source: our own evidence archive

• Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 21 of 21 matched · Tipsters 12 of 12 · Prediction sites 9 of 9
• All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 8 matched
• Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 8 matched the score, 8 of 8 the outcome
• Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction · 1 won
• Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Liverpool (21 of 21), matched

Results · Reasons · Prices · Context · Evidence

Price comparison

Picks with both an author's price and our snapshot.

Reasons before the match

Short quotes from tipsters and sources in their own words, grouped by theme, each with its author, time and source. Conditions such as “if” or “at a price of at least” stay as written.

Form

• Lewis Nolan (Correct score: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal, recorded 18 October 2026): Liverpool have improved considerably as the season has progressed, and they will come into their game at Anfield full of confidence. source
• Bren Gray (Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5, recorded 18 October 2026): Seven of their 11 games this season have had four goals or more, including both of their Champions League matches. They concede too often to play for a narrow… source
• 5 more reasons on this theme in the evidence below.

Other reasons

• Lewis Nolan (Team goals over/under 1.5: Liverpool over 1.5, recorded 19 October 2026): given Liverpool have scored at least two goals in seven of their 10 games this campaign. source
• Andrew Hendrie (1X2, match result: Liverpool, recorded 20 October 2026): Liverpool are backed for the win at Anfield, with Isak scoring for a fourth straight game. source

Motivation and schedule

• Miguel Alvim (1X2, match result: Liverpool, recorded 20 October 2026): Liverpool enters the matchup as a heavy home favorite after winning its first two matches. source

Tactics and style

• Miguel Alvim (Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5, recorded 20 October 2026): Liverpool’s matches have averaged 6.0 total goals in this tournament, while Villarreal’s have averaged 4.5. source

2 reasons in other languages are in the evidence of each pick.

Competition

UEFA Champions League (Europe) · League Stage · Matchday 3

Kick-off

20 October 2026, 20:00 BST

Liverpool form

W W L W W (last 5: W 2-1 at Brentford; W 6-3 at LASK; L 0-3 v Manchester City; W 1-0 at AFC Bournemouth; W 3-1 v Tottenham Hotspur)

Villarreal form

D W L W W (last 5: D 0-0 v Elche; W 3-1 v SSC Napoli; L 0-1 at Real Madrid; W 3-1 v Levante UD; W 3-1 at Málaga CF)

Who predicts UEFA Champions League

Tipsters and sources with a tracked record who give picks in UEFA Champions League, and their record there. 14 of them have 10 or more settled picks in this competition.

• Baba 2. Bundesliga · 5/8 · 26 Oct — 65 settled picks · predictions on 37 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return +10.1%
• Infobetting 7 right in a row · 1 Nov — 62 settled picks · predictions on 180 matches · Archived before kick-off · return −18.6% · did not pick this match
• Kelechi Udoka Exact score 0–2 · 31 Oct — 26 settled picks · predictions on 8 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −6.5% Small sample (26) · did not pick this match
• Dailysports Bundesliga · 2/3 · 26 Oct — 25 settled picks · predictions on 42 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return +8.3% Small sample (25) · did not pick this match
• James Milton — 24 settled picks · predictions on 39 matches · Archived before kick-off · return +26.4% Small sample (24) · did not pick this match
• Liam Flin — 23 settled picks · predictions on 38 matches · Archived before kick-off · return −14.0% Small sample (23) · did not pick this match
• Free Super Tips Only right of 8 · 17 Oct — 21 settled picks · predictions on 22 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −52.9% Small sample (21) · did not pick this match
• Miguel Alvim 6/7 · week of 19 Oct — 21 settled picks · predictions on 14 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return +59.6% Small sample (21)
• Joe Casey — 14 settled picks · predictions on 32 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −50.7% Small sample (14) · did not pick this match
• Andrew Hendrie 1st of 3 · week of 19 Oct — 13 settled picks · predictions on 12 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −52.9% Small sample (13)
• Adam Clancy Exact score 3–1 · 6 Nov — 11 settled picks · predictions on 6 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −4.8% Small sample (11) · did not pick this match
• FootballPredictions.net 1st of 3 · week of 5 Oct — 11 settled picks · predictions on 43 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −11.3% Small sample (11) · did not pick this match
• Joshua Cole No.1 · week of 12 Oct — 11 settled picks · predictions on 4 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −41.2% Small sample (11) · did not pick this match
• Lewis Nolan 1st of 12 · week of 26 Oct — 10 settled picks · predictions on 6 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −68.8% Small sample (10)
• Baptiste Couturiaux 7 right in a row · 19 Oct — 9 settled picks · predictions on 6 matches · Recorded before kick-off

All tipsters and sources with settled picks in UEFA Champions League

31 more on the UEFA Champions League page.

Evidence and coverage

Recorded on this match: 83 statements, 80 distinct predictions. Before kick-off: 80 selections from 45 materials on 43 websites, the 20 websites with the most selections listed below.

Tipsters and sources with a tracked record, before kick-off: 16 publications → 16 distinct predictions → 16 with a comparable market → 16 counted picks.

• footballpredictions.com: 12 selections from 1 material
• betclan.com: 4 selections from 1 material
• bets.com.au: 3 selections from 1 material
• livetipsportal.com: 3 selections from 1 material
• ruedesjoueurs.com: 3 selections from 1 material
• wedtips.ai: 3 selections from 1 material
• bettingexpert.com: 2 selections from 1 material
• canadasportsbetting.ca: 2 selections from 1 material
• footballwhispers.com: 2 selections from 1 material
• iddaatahmin11.com: 2 selections from 1 material
• legalbet.ro: 2 selections from 1 material
• sport.betfan.pl: 2 selections from 1 material
• sportsbettingdime.com: 2 selections from 1 material
• sportsmole.co.uk: 2 selections from 2 materials
• sportytrader.com: 2 selections from 1 material
• sportytrader.es: 2 selections from 1 material
• sportytrader.it: 2 selections from 1 material
• sportytrader.pt: 2 selections from 1 material
• wettformat.com: 2 selections from 2 materials
• whoscored.com: 2 selections from 1 material

Sources we monitor · Right of reply

Additional source details and calculations

Quotes, sources and timestamps are in each recorded pick above. Calculations below retain their separate series; 1 point = 1 unit of stake.

• footballwhispers.com · Correct score

• windrawwin.com · Match result and both teams to score

• windrawwin.com · Match result and both teams to score