Miguel Alvim: football tipster record

Where Miguel Alvim publishes

Published under this name on sportsbettingdime.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/miguel-alvim/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 95 predictions · last change 4 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

35 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 16 of 35.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 7 of 12 (prices implied 56.7% Small sample (12)); Match result 7 of 8 (7 W / 1 L, average odds 1.84) Small sample (8); Player to score 5 of 7 (5 W / 2 L, average odds 3.02) Small sample (7); Asian handicap 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 1.83) Small sample (3); Team goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.44) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.

The score forecast did not name the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same match.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

4 predictions; 1 checked against the final score.

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Goals over/under · 24 matches

  Goals over/under 16/25 (24 matches); Handicaps 5/15 (15 matches); Goalscorer picks 6/15 (12 matches); Match result (1X2) 9/11 (11 matches); Team goals and win to nil 2/3 (3 matches); Correct score 0/1 (1 match)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 0/1

  Exact scores: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 2.90 · 19 Oct 2026

  Getafe v Rayo Vallecano · Draw at 2.90 (our pre-match price)

  Correct at a long price: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Miguel Alvim? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Miguel Alvim has published.

Source we monitor

sportsbettingdime.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

29 September – 4 November 2026

Without a match page

15 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.54 against 1.22 (+26.0%) · 2.22 against 1.88 (+18.0%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

198

Predictions

95

Qualifying picks

36

Settled picks

31

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 9 opinions and 94 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+1,240.82 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 31 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +40.0% on 31 live picks settled in this window · 18 matches · 10 October – 4 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

+46.2% on 27 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (27)

After

+40.0% on 31 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

+46.1% on 26 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

After

+46.2% on 27 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (27)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

+26.9% on 23 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

After

+46.1% on 26 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

+25.4% on 20 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

After

+26.9% on 23 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

+18.6% on 17 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

After

+25.4% on 20 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

+26.0% on 16 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

After

+18.6% on 17 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

+23.2% on 15 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

After

+26.0% on 16 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 23 October 2026

Before

−57.75 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+23.2% on 15 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

Added 9 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−218.33 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−57.75 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 10 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−218.33 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 4 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

4 November 2026, 3 days before this page's data date

Observed

29 September 2026 — 4 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (34 shown)

• “I expect an intriguing tactical battle between Barcelona’s possession-based approach and Aston Villa” — 3 November 2026, 16:20 GMT · source
• “larger potential payouts do not necessarily represent better value; that depends on the probability” — 24 October 2026, 06:04 BST · source

• winger Bukayo Saka, whose absence takes away one of their main attacking options

  4 Nov 2026, 17:47 GMT · Source

• Defender William Saliba has been sidelined with an injury since early October

  4 Nov 2026, 17:47 GMT · Source

• Real Madrid will be without Brazilian forward Rodrygo, who remains sidelined with a mid-October injury. Young defender Raul Asencio is also unavailable.

  4 Nov 2026, 15:43 GMT · Source

• After removing the sportsbook margin, Real Madrid has a 74.7% implied probability of winning.

  4 Nov 2026, 15:43 GMT · Source

• Odds as of November 4 at BetMGM.

  4 Nov 2026, 15:43 GMT · Source

• Odds from theScore Bet. All other odds in table from BetMGM.

  4 Nov 2026, 13:01 GMT · Source

• With more than a decade of experience as a writer, editor, and content manager, Miguel has built

  3 Nov 2026, 16:20 GMT · Source

• Both teams will be without important players for Tuesday’s matchup, although Barcelona’s absences

  3 Nov 2026, 16:20 GMT · Source

• Odds in table represent consensus sportsbooks lines as of 10:16 am ET, Nov. 3.

  3 Nov 2026, 15:51 GMT · Source

• Atletico enters the match relatively healthy but will be without Morten Hjulmand, who is suspended.

  3 Nov 2026, 15:32 GMT · Source

• Jamal Musiala, Luis Diaz, Serge Gnabry, and Ismael Saibari have all been ruled out.

  3 Nov 2026, 15:32 GMT · Source

• Jack Grealish (Out): Grealish’s absence is a significant blow to Everton’s creativity

  2 Nov 2026, 16:15 GMT · Source

• William Osula (Out): Osula’s absence leaves Newcastle without an additional attacking option

  2 Nov 2026, 16:15 GMT · Source

• Robert Lewandowski has also been particularly effective against Alaves, leading all players with four goals

  31 Oct 2026, 13:00 GMT · Source

• Barcelona Unavailable Players: Andreas Christensen (Injured) Dani Olmo (Injured) Eric Garcia (Injured)

  31 Oct 2026, 13:00 GMT · Source

• Odds reflect Kalshi market probabilities converted to American odds as of Oct. 30.

  31 Oct 2026, 13:00 GMT · Source

• With João Pedro ruled out, Rogers is expected to play as the team’s central forward

  31 Oct 2026, 12:10 GMT · Source

• You can sign up to Bet365 today to explore other totals.

  30 Oct 2026, 15:30 GMT · Source

• Espanyol will also be without Kike García, who is sidelined with an injury.

  30 Oct 2026, 15:30 GMT · Source

• Stephan Zagadou, forward Felix Mambimbi, and goalkeeper Lionel Mpasi are among the reported absentees

  30 Oct 2026, 11:30 GMT · Source

• PSG will be without Nuno Mendes, Marquinhos, and Ousmane Dembélé

  30 Oct 2026, 11:30 GMT · Source

• This preview breaks down the latest betting odds, top predictions, player props, team statistics

  26 Oct 2026, 15:55 GMT · Source

• Odds as of October 25 at BetMGM.

  26 Oct 2026, 15:55 GMT · Source

• Current MLS Matchday Betting Odds The table below lists moneyline odds, including the draw, and available

  24 Oct 2026, 14:30 BST · Source

• Check the latest team news before betting, particularly reports concerning Vancouver Whitecaps forward

  24 Oct 2026, 14:30 BST · Source

• Villa has claimed three wins in the last four meetings, a 75% win rate, and outscored City

  24 Oct 2026, 06:04 BST · Source

• Aaron Wan-Bissaka is set to miss the match through injury

  24 Oct 2026, 06:04 BST · Source

• Assan Ouedraogo (Midfielder): Out

  21 Oct 2026, 16:59 BST · Source

• Marc Guiu (Forward): Out

  21 Oct 2026, 16:59 BST · Source

• Christoph Baumgartner (Midfielder): Out

  21 Oct 2026, 16:59 BST · Source

• Ferland Mendy (Defender): Out

  21 Oct 2026, 16:59 BST · Source

• Rodrygo (Forward): Out

  21 Oct 2026, 16:59 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Miguel Alvim
• A month following Miguel Alvim
• Said → happened — Miguel Alvim
• Turning point — Miguel Alvim

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Miguel Alvim

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• Record details and history below
• 5