Hugo Cruz: football tipster record

Where Hugo Cruz publishes

Published under this name on sportytrader.pt.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/hugo-cruz/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 207 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

23 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 8 of 23.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 9 of 17 (prices implied 54.5% Small sample (17)); Both teams to score 4 of 10 (prices implied 59.1% Small sample (10)); Over/under goals 6 of 10 (prices implied 61.0% Small sample (10)); Team goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 2.37) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

3 predictions; 0 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Hugo Cruz has published.

Source we monitor

sportytrader.pt

Channels

website

Watched by us

11 October – 6 November 2026

Without a match page

122 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.83 against 2.05 (−10.7%) · 1.80 against 1.95 (−7.7%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

907

Predictions

207

Qualifying picks

53

Settled picks

45

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 112 opinions and 581 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−524.27 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 38 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,800 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −13.8% on 38 live picks settled in this window · 29 matches · 11 October – 6 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−11.7% on 28 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (28)

After

−13.8% on 38 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 10 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−16.1% on 27 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (27)

After

−11.7% on 28 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (28)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

−16.0% on 25 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

After

−16.1% on 27 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (27)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−19.2% on 24 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

After

−16.0% on 25 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−25.1% on 23 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

After

−19.2% on 24 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−26.9% on 22 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

After

−25.1% on 23 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−33.9% on 21 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (21)

After

−26.9% on 22 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−33.3% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

After

−33.9% on 21 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (21)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−29.6% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

After

−33.3% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−29.4% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

After

−29.6% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

−24.6% on 15 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

After

−29.4% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

−13.1% on 13 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

After

−24.6% on 15 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

−25.6% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

After

−13.1% on 13 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 23 October 2026

Before

−25.4% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

−25.6% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−148.44 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−25.4% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−127.94 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−148.44 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 21 October 2026

Before

−151.92 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−127.94 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 20 October 2026

Before

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−151.92 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 17 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

11 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (62 shown)

• “Os tricolores começaram o campeonato em grande forma, mas atravessam o pior momento da época” — 6 November 2026, 20:39 GMT · source
• “tanto os açorianos como os galos estarão de unhas afiadas para tocar uma guitarra que, esperam” — 6 November 2026, 15:39 GMT · source
• “Jogo grande em perspetiva no próximo sábado” — 5 November 2026, 20:39 GMT · source
• “O encontro deverá ser pouco rigoroso a nível tático e contar com a criação de várias oportunidades de golo.” — 5 November 2026, 18:09 GMT · source
• “O encontro deverá ser pouco rigoroso a nível tático e contar com a criação de várias oportunidades” — 5 November 2026, 18:09 GMT · source
• “Os pontos chave do prognóstico Nacional Madeira - Academico Viseu” — 5 November 2026, 15:39 GMT · source
• “Será difícil, em Famalicão, repetir a proeza” — 4 November 2026, 21:00 GMT · source
• “Cenário que, ao que tudo indica, efetivará com grande facilidade e pujança.” — 4 November 2026, 21:00 GMT · source
• “Este jogo é a convicção do dia do nosso especialista-chefe.” — 3 November 2026, 20:46 GMT · source

• Aposte no jogo Estrela Amadora - Benfica: Betano oferece até 250€ em bónus!

  · Source

• Estrela Amadora - Benfica: as estatísticas (Liga Portugal)

  · Source

• Depois de uma entrada a todo o gás na presente edição da Liga Portugal, com pontos somados em

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Estrela Amadora - Benfica!

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Estrela Amadora - Benfica

  · Source

• Melhor Marcador G. Paciencia (5 Golo)

  · Source

• Gonçalo Paciência está em dúvida para regressar frente ao Gil Vicente

  · Source

• 30€ oferecidos para apostar em Santa Clara - Gil Vicente!

  · Source

• À procura de confirmar os dados positivos deixados ao longo das últimas épocas, por via de uma prestação que pretende que seja superior à simples luta pela manutenção, o Gil Vicente prossegue estável.

  · Source

• Em mais um trabalho excelentemente levado a cabo por Petit, o Santa Clara tem aproveitado para se assumir como um dos principais candidatos a uma vaga de apuramento europeu na próxima época.

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 28.35% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara com uma odd de 3.55 na Betano.

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente é de 27.04% com uma odd de 3.1 na Betano.

  · Source

• calcula uma probabilidade de 44.61% para o prognóstico vitória do Santa Clara contra o Gil Vicente com uma odd de 2.25 na Betano.

  · Source

• 30€ oferecidos para apostar em Santa Clara - Gil Vicente! Atualmente em Solverde. Oferta por tempo limitado

  · Source

• Estrela Vermelha perdeu em 5 dos últimos 10 jogos fora de portas.

  · Source

• Os pontos chave do prognóstico Olympiacos BC - KK Crvena Zvezda Mts

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Olympiacos BC - KK Crvena Zvezda Mts!

  · Source

• A melhor odd para uma vitória de KK Crvena Zvezda Mts frente a Olympiacos BC é de 2.98 na Luckia.

  · Source

• Neste momento, a melhor odd para a vitória de Olympiacos BC frente a KK Crvena Zvezda Mts é de 1.38 na Luckia.

  · Source

• Aposte no jogo Sporting - Moreirense: Betano oferece até 250€ em bónus!

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Sporting - Moreirense!

  · Source

• Sporting - Moreirense: Análise ao momento de forma

  · Source

• Os últimos confrontos entre Sporting e Moreirense em estatísticas

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 7.6% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de Moreirense vs Sporting com uma odd de 14.5 na Betano.

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Sporting vs Moreirense é de 14.24% com uma odd de 7.5 na Betclic.

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 78.16% para o prognóstico vitória do Sporting contra o Moreirense com uma odd de 1.19 na Betano.

  · Source

• Solverde oferece um bónus de 30€ no FC Alverca SAD - Casa Pia AC!

  · Source

• O guarda-redes André Gomes continua a ser uma única baixa devido a lesão no Casa Pia.

  · Source

• O central Steven Baseya estará de regresso às opções de Sérgio Ferreira

  · Source

• 30/10/2026 - Liga Portugal Casa Pia AC 0 : 2 Sporting

  · Source

• FC Porto 2 : 0 FC Alverca SAD

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no FC Alverca SAD - Casa Pia AC

  · Source

• Nacional Madeira - Academico Viseu: as estatísticas (Liga Portugal)

  · Source

• Os últimos confrontos entre Nacional Madeira e Academico Viseu em estatísticas

  · Source

• Derrotas 5/6 (83%)

  · Source

• Estatísticas médias (últimos 6 jogos) 2.67 Total de golos

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Nacional Madeira - Academico Viseu!

  · Source

• Um fosso de 13 pontos separa o percurso das duas equipas à entrada para esta jornada

  · Source

• Todos os nossos prognósticos resultam de uma análise aprofundada. No entanto, acerto e benefício

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Hapoel Tel-Aviv - FC Barcelona!

  · Source

• Os israelitas jogam em casa emprestada na Bulgária, devido ao contexto político que se conhece

  · Source

• Aposte no jogo Famalicão - Arouca: Betano oferece até 250€ em bónus!

  · Source

• Para o exame frente ao competente e motivado Arouca

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Famalicão - Arouca!

  · Source

• Famalicão - Arouca: Análise ao momento de forma

  · Source

• Os últimos confrontos entre Famalicão e Arouca em estatísticas

  · Source

• 25/07/2026 - Jogos Amigáveis Clubes Famalicão 1 : 0 Tondela

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Famalicão - Arouca

  · Source

• acerto e benefício nunca são garantidos.

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Real Madrid - Panathinaikos!

  · Source

• A melhor odd para uma vitória de Panathinaikos frente a Real Madrid é de 1.7 na Betano.

  · Source

• Neste momento, a melhor odd para a vitória de Real Madrid frente a Panathinaikos é de 2.1 na

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Real Madrid - Panathinaikos

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Hugo Cruz
• A month following Hugo Cruz
• Said → happened — Hugo Cruz
• Turning point — Hugo Cruz

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Hugo Cruz

Check us

• How we count
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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 11