TOTO Extra: football prediction source record

About this publishing channel

TOTO Extra is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/extra-toto-nl/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 17 October 2026 · 112 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

4 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 2 of 4.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 12 of 24 (prices implied 55.6% Small sample (24)); Both teams to score 7 of 13 (prices implied 66.3% Small sample (13)); Over/under goals 9 of 12 (prices implied 55.1% Small sample (12)); Double chance 0 of 3 (0 W / 3 L, average odds 2.05) Small sample (3).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

1 score forecast is waiting for a final score.

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

12 predictions; 12 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything TOTO Extra has published.

Source we monitor

extra.toto.nl

Channels

website

Watched by us

17 October – 6 November 2026

Without a match page

23 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this source stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the source's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the source’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.55 against 1.36 (+13.9%) · 1.90 against 1.71 (+11.1%)

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

143

Predictions

112

Qualifying picks

61

Settled picks

59

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 20 opinions and 11 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−387.48 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 52 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (5,200 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −7.5% on 52 live picks settled in this window · 43 matches · 18 October – 5 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−5.6% on 51 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−7.5% on 52 settled picks across 43 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 6 November 2026

Before

−11.8% on 48 settled picks across 40 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−5.6% on 51 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−12.8% on 47 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.8% on 48 settled picks across 40 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

−8.9% on 45 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.8% on 47 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−9.9% on 44 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−8.9% on 45 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−12.2% on 41 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−9.9% on 44 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−14.5% on 40 settled picks across 35 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.2% on 41 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−9.8% on 35 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−14.5% on 40 settled picks across 35 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.

Coverage extended · 23 October 2026

Before

−12.1% on 34 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−9.8% on 35 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

+10.2% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

After

−12.1% on 34 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 9 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 6 new results.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

+7.6% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

After

+10.2% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

+5.7% on 15 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

After

+7.6% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−5.6% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

After

+5.7% on 15 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 21 October 2026

Before

−5.44 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−5.6% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

8 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 21 October 2026

Before

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−5.44 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 18 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

17 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (23 shown)

• “Een overwinning voor de Tukkers is misschien een te gewaagde voorspelling.” — 6 November 2026, 14:10 GMT · source
• “Onze verwachting: een overwinning voor de Eindhovenaren, maar niet zonder tegendoelpunt.” — 5 November 2026, 10:39 GMT · source
• “Toch verwachten wij geen eenvoudige middag voor de koploper.” — 5 November 2026, 10:21 GMT · source
• “Feyenoord blijft ondanks de Europese nederlaag favoriet.” — 5 November 2026, 10:21 GMT · source
• “Kan de ploeg van Giovanni van Bronckhorst zich herstellen, of zorgt Heerenveen opnieuw voor een verrassing?” — 5 November 2026, 10:21 GMT · source
• “Een Italiaanse overwinning ligt voor de hand, al zal de ploeg van Spalletti daarvoor flink aan de bak moeten.” — 4 November 2026, 14:31 GMT · source
• “Kan AZ opnieuw stunten tegen een Europese grootmacht?” — 4 November 2026, 14:31 GMT · source
• “De cijfers wijzen op een wedstrijd waarin beide ploegen mogelijkheden krijgen.” — 4 November 2026, 13:55 GMT · source
• “Een wedstrijd met kansen aan beide kanten ligt daardoor voor de hand.” — 3 November 2026, 07:00 GMT · source
• “Inter blijft op papier wel de duidelijke favoriet.” — 2 November 2026, 14:30 GMT · source
• “Toch heeft Feyenoord in De Kuip al laten zien dat het sterke tegenstanders kan verslaan.” — 2 November 2026, 14:30 GMT · source
• “Welke ploeg trekt die lijn zondag door?” — 29 October 2026, 10:35 GMT · source
• “Een ruime thuiszege ligt voor de hand.” — 26 October 2026, 10:39 GMT · source
• “Een eenvoudige overwinning voor één van beide ploegen ligt niet voor de hand.” — 22 October 2026, 10:15 BST · source
• “Eén ding lijkt waarschijnlijk: beide ploegen zullen weinig moeite hebben om kansen te creëren.” — 22 October 2026, 10:15 BST · source

• Bart Nieuwkoop, Jeremiah St. Juste, Jordan Bos en Thomas Beelen staan op de blessurelijst.

  5 Nov 2026, 10:21 GMT · Source

• AZ - Juventus wordt donderdag 5 november 2026 om 21.00 uur live uitgezonden op Ziggo Sport 1

  4 Nov 2026, 14:31 GMT · Source

• Onder anderen Kenan Yildiz, Khéphren Thuram en Manuel Locatelli kampen met blessures.

  4 Nov 2026, 14:31 GMT · Source

• Waar en hoe laat kun je Liverpool - Arsenal zien op tv?

  29 Oct 2026, 10:35 GMT · Source

• ZET IN & WIN!

  26 Oct 2026, 10:39 GMT · Source

• Kylian Mbappé blijft daarbij een belangrijke troef. De Fransman scoorde ook tegen Leipzig en staat

  22 Oct 2026, 10:15 BST · Source

• Dani Olmo liep tegen PSG een blessure aan zijn linkerlies op en is naar verwachting ongeveer

  22 Oct 2026, 10:15 BST · Source

• Alle achttien wedstrijden zijn donderdag 22 oktober te volgen via Ziggo Sport.

  19 Oct 2026, 16:50 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — TOTO Extra
• A month following TOTO Extra
• Said → happened — TOTO Extra
• Turning point — TOTO Extra

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 6