FootyStats: football prediction source record

About this publishing channel

FootyStats is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/footystats-org/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 2,579 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

275 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 166 of 275.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 106 of 182 (prices implied 65.7%); Match result 60 of 106 (prices implied 54.1%); Both teams to score 52 of 100 (prices implied 62.1%); Corners over/under 6 of 15 (prices implied 60.2% Small sample (15)).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

604 predictions; 457 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything FootyStats has published.

Source we monitor

footystats.org

Channels

website

Watched by us

11 October – 7 November 2026

Without a match page

1,063 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this source stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the source's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the source’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 22.00 against 29.00 (−24.1%) · 1.98 against 1.62 (+22.3%)

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

2,663

Predictions

2,579

Qualifying picks

542

Settled picks

500

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 83 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−4,349.80 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 403 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (40,300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −10.8% on 403 live picks settled in this window · 294 matches · 12 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−11.6% on 387 settled picks across 281 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−10.8% on 403 settled picks across 294 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 10 new results.

New results · 7 November 2026

Before

−11.1% on 385 settled picks across 279 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.6% on 387 settled picks across 281 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−11.0% on 369 settled picks across 265 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.1% on 385 settled picks across 279 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 13 new results.

Coverage extended · 6 November 2026

Before

−7.7% on 334 settled picks across 243 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.0% on 369 settled picks across 265 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 12 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 23 new results.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−8.6% on 331 settled picks across 240 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−7.7% on 334 settled picks across 243 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−10.9% on 310 settled picks across 227 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−8.6% on 331 settled picks across 240 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

21 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

−10.6% on 309 settled picks across 226 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−10.9% on 310 settled picks across 227 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

−10.7% on 308 settled picks across 225 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−10.6% on 309 settled picks across 226 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

−11.4% on 279 settled picks across 208 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−10.7% on 308 settled picks across 225 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 29 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−11.2% on 277 settled picks across 206 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.4% on 279 settled picks across 208 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 3 November 2026

Before

−11.5% on 276 settled picks across 205 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.2% on 277 settled picks across 206 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−13.6% on 248 settled picks across 190 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.5% on 276 settled picks across 205 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

28 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−12.9% on 244 settled picks across 186 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−13.6% on 248 settled picks across 190 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−12.6% on 234 settled picks across 177 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.9% on 244 settled picks across 186 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 10 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 1 November 2026

Before

−12.8% on 233 settled picks across 176 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.6% on 234 settled picks across 177 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−11.7% on 230 settled picks across 173 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.8% on 233 settled picks across 176 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 31 October 2026

Before

−8.4% on 220 settled picks across 163 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.7% on 230 settled picks across 173 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample; 11 picks added.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−7.0% on 211 settled picks across 154 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−8.4% on 220 settled picks across 163 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

9 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Data corrected · 30 October 2026

Before

−6.7% on 200 settled picks across 147 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−7.0% on 211 settled picks across 154 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample; 12 picks added.

Coverage extended · 29 October 2026

Before

−5.9% on 164 settled picks across 120 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−6.7% on 200 settled picks across 147 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 8 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 28 new results.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

11 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — FootyStats
• A month following FootyStats
• Said → happened — FootyStats
• Turning point — FootyStats

For the source of this record (1)

• Your titles on Forecast Record: FootyStats

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 129