Jamie Griffith: football tipster record

Record overview

• 32 recorded before kick-off · since 10 Oct 2026
• 81 from the pre-match archive · 2024–2026
• 39 Found after kick-off

Record details and history below

Where Jamie Griffith publishes

Identity checked on 11 October 2026 against public sources: racingpost.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jamie-griffith/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 416 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

16 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 9 of 16.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 1 of 7 (1 W / 6 L, average odds 2.36) Small sample (7); Draw no bet 3 of 3 (3 W / 0 L) Small sample (3); Player to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Result and both teams to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 2.88) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Archived before kick-off · 56 settled archived picks · −0.6%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

183 predictions; 83 checked against the final score.

56 settled selections across 44 matches, 14 September 2024 – 4 May 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −0.6% (95.0% interval −30.2% to +28.7%).

Eligible prices were available for 56 of the 83 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 28 of 56 decided picks (50.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 47.2%.

By market: Match result 1 of 7 (1 W / 6 L, average odds 2.36) Small sample (7); Draw no bet 3 of 3 (3 W / 0 L) Small sample (3); Player to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Result and both teams to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 2.88) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 24 settled after-match picks · +7.3%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

75 predictions; 41 checked against the final score.

24 settled selections across 23 matches, 17 August 2024 – 2 May 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +7.3% (95.0% interval −42.4% to +58.2%).

Eligible prices were available for 24 of the 41 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 11 of 24 decided picks (45.8%); the prices of the same picks implied 43.0%.

By market: Match result 1 of 7 (1 W / 6 L, average odds 2.36) Small sample (7); Draw no bet 3 of 3 (3 W / 0 L) Small sample (3); Player to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Result and both teams to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 2.88) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 28 matches

  Match result (1X2) 8/28 (28 matches); Bet-builder combos 11/24 (24 matches); Goalscorer picks 8/18 (17 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 10/13 (12 matches); Both teams to score 7/10 (10 matches); Goals over/under 7/10 (10 matches); Player props 2/6 (6 matches); Team goals and win to nil 1/2 (2 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 0/1

  Exact scores: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 3.40 · 31 Oct 2026

  Hull City v Ipswich Town · Draw at 3.40 (our pre-match price)

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Away calls · 4/12

  Away calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 4/13

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Jamie Griffith has published.

Source we monitor

racingpost.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 7 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 17 August 2024

Without a match page

110 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 2.25 against 2.00 (+12.2%) · 2.62 against 2.45 (+7.1%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

1,442

Predictions

416

Qualifying picks

169

Settled picks

140

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 198 opinions and 823 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+464.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 12 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,200 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +38.7% on 12 live picks settled in this window · 11 matches · 10 October – 2 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

+16.8% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

+38.7% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Method changed · 27 October 2026

Before

−0.6% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+16.8% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (56 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (10 settled picks).

Data corrected · 22 October 2026

Before

+14.0% on 62 settled picks across 47 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−0.6% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 6 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−0.6% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+14.0% on 62 settled picks across 47 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

+12.4% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−0.6% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.

Data corrected · 18 October 2026

Before

+12.0% on 65 settled picks across 49 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+12.4% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 5 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 18 October 2026

Before

+12.4% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+12.0% on 65 settled picks across 49 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 16 October 2026

Before

+10.9% on 54 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+12.4% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample; 7 picks added.

Data corrected · 16 October 2026

Before

+9.8% on 57 settled picks across 42 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+10.9% on 54 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.

Data corrected · 15 October 2026

Before

+11.6% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+9.8% on 57 settled picks across 42 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Method changed · 14 October 2026

Before

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+11.6% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (2 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (58 settled picks).

Method changed · 13 October 2026

Before

+11.6% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (2 settled picks) instead of “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only” (58 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

+21.3% on 60 settled picks across 45 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+11.6% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (60 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (58 settled picks).

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−3.7% on 27 settled picks across 25 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0 Small sample (27)

After

+21.3% on 60 settled picks across 45 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “second data provider's closing price, restored” (60 settled picks) instead of “author's stated odds, restored” (27 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

28 September 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (57 shown)

• “A fifth successive Premier League away win is certainly not out of the question” — 2 October 2026, 01:51 BST · source
• “History suggests that the Seagulls are more likely to prevail” — 2 October 2026, 01:51 BST · source
• “is a huge price to find the net against Bilbao” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “they may be out of their depth against much stronger opposition” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “should have too much quality for Viktoria Plzen” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “Frankfurt fancied to ease to victory” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “Villans should add to Ten Hag's troubles” — 2 October 2026, 01:47 BST · source
• “backing a low-scoring home win could be the best route to profit.” — 2 October 2026, 01:47 BST · source
• “they will be looking for another successful raid at Spurs.” — 1 October 2026, 02:13 BST · source
• “there is every chance he can make it three wins in a row for Villa at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium” — 1 October 2026, 02:13 BST · source
• “They may have too much for Stuttgart” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “they will fancy their chances against a Sparta Prague side who have lost two of their last four home matches.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “suggesting they can take three points against Atleti, although they may not score too many while doing so.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “they could be set for more trouble in the French capital.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “it could pay to back Feyenoord to dominate from start to finish against struggling Salzburg.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “that is unlikely to change in Rotterdam.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “he could help himself to at least a couple more against Benfica” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “neither look set to make it out of the league phase.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source
• “suggesting goals could be at a premium in Gelsenkirchen.” — 1 October 2026, 02:12 BST · source

• Reece James, Malo Gusto and Romeo Lavia are out.

  · Source

• Loanee Kepa Arrizabalaga is ineligible to face his parent club and will sit out alongside injured duo Dango Ouattara and Tyler Adams.

  · Source

• Richarlison is Tottenham's only confirmed absentee while Yves Bissouma remains a doubt

  · Source

• Coventry 13-2 Tottenham 4-9 Draw 19-5

  · Source

• Pays out at 8-1 with Paddy Power

  · Source

• This game has come too soon for James Milner, Brajan Gruda and Matt O'Riley

  · Source

• Brighton 4-5 Nottingham Forest 7-2 Draw 11-4

  · Source

• Bruno Fernandes' red card against Spurs has been overturned so he is available

  · Source

• Plus get 60-1 for a home win and 80-1 for an away victory with Paddy Power.

  · Source

• Aaron Ramsey, Callum O’Dowda, Will Fish and Kion Etete are absentees while Jesper Daland and Ryotaro Tsunoda will need to be assessed.

  · Source

• This game has come too soon for defenders Rob Dickie and Rob Atkinson, who miss out alongside Sam Bell and Ayman Benarous.

  · Source

• NEW CUSTOMER OFFER £40 in Free Accumulator Bets When You Place a £10 Bet

  · Source

• Burnley: Nathan Redmond, Hjalmar Ekdal and Jeremy Sarmiento are back in training

  · Source

• Millwall: Tom Bradshaw, Josh Coburn, Adam Mayor and Billy Mitchell are back in training

  · Source

• Betfair are offering £50 in free bets when you bet £10 on Millwall vs Burnley.

  · Source

• Micky van de Ven suffered a hamstring injury on Wednesday and will miss out alongside Wilson Odobert

  · Source

• Ross Barkley is the visitors' only absentee – which is a privilege Ange Postecoglou has not been granted

  · Source

• Tottenham 19-20 Aston Villa 13-5 Draw 16-5

  · Source

• You can watch Tottenham vs Aston Villa in the Premier League at 2pm on Sunday November 3, live on

  · Source

• Place any bet on Tottenham vs Aston Villa with Sky Bet and claim £40 in free football bets.

  · Source

• The Ecuadorian left-back has been booked twice in the Premier League this term and may be in for a tough evening against City's tricky wingers.

  · Source

• The Seagulls' top scorer is averaging a goal or assist every 106 minutes in the Premier League this season and could have a big say against the champions.

  · Source

• Both teams have found the net in seven of Brighton's last eight games and each of City's last four away matches.

  · Source

• Star man Erling Haaland Top scorer Erling Haaland Penalty taker Erling Haaland Card magnet Mateo Kovacic Assist ace Bernardo Silva Set-piece aerial threat Josko Gvardiol

  · Source

• Star man Joao Pedro Top scorer Danny Welbeck Penalty taker Joao Pedro Card magnet Joel Veltman Assist ace Kaoru Mitoma Set-piece aerial threat Igor

  · Source

• Manchester City (4-1-4-1): Ederson; Walker, Akanji, Ake, Gvardiol; Kovacic; Savinho, Silva, Foden, Doku; Haaland

  · Source

• Brighton (4-4-2): Verbruggen; Veltman, Van Hecke, Igor, Estupinan; Kadioglu, O’Riley, Baleba, Mitoma; Pedro, Welbeck

  · Source

• Jack Grealish has been included in England's squad for the upcoming internationals, but is still expected to miss this clash.

  · Source

• Rodri, Oscar Bobb and John Stones are long-term absentees while and Ruben Dias should return from injury after the international break.

  · Source

• Joao Pedro and Matt O’Riley look set to make the squad.

  · Source

• Adam Webster, James Milner and Solly March are out and Yankuba Minteh, Lewis Dunk and Yasin Ayari must be assessed.

  · Source

• Manchester City are on a three-game losing streak, their first since April 2018.

  · Source

• they may be the latest side to add to City’s winless run, which could be extended to four matches for the first time since Guardiola’s debut season in England.

  · Source

• Brighton are unbeaten in the Premier League at home this season, overcoming Manchester United and Tottenham at the Amex

  · Source

• City’s decision to sell Julian Alvarez is beginning to look like a rare transfer mistake.

  · Source

• a run of one goal in five league games for Erling Haaland suggests that he could do with a rest.

  · Source

• Rodri’s continued absence in midfield is being felt more with every passing week

  · Source

• Brighton have the attacking options to hurt any side, especially a depleted City defence which will be without John Stones and Ruben Dias.

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Jamie Griffith
• Said → happened — Jamie Griffith

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Jamie Griffith

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
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• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
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