Joe Casey: football tipster record

Record overview

• 29 recorded before kick-off · since 5 Oct 2026
• 91 from the pre-match archive · 2024–2026
• 70 Found after kick-off

Record details and history below

Where Joe Casey publishes

Identity checked on 11 October 2026 against public sources: racingpost.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joe-casey/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 427 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

9 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 4 of 8.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 2 of 6 (2 W / 4 L, average odds 2.27) Small sample (6); Player to score 1 of 4 (1 W / 3 L) Small sample (4); Over/under goals 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.10) Small sample (3); Result and both teams to score 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.14) Small sample (3); Asian handicap 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Other markets 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Archived before kick-off · 42 settled archived picks · −30.9%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

151 predictions; 91 checked against the final score.

42 settled selections across 37 matches, 22 September 2024 – 25 April 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −30.9% (95.0% interval −60.6% to +4.1%).

Eligible prices were available for 42 of the 91 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 14 of 42 decided picks (33.3%); the prices of the same picks implied 45.8%.

By market: Match result 2 of 6 (2 W / 4 L, average odds 2.27) Small sample (6); Player to score 1 of 4 (1 W / 3 L) Small sample (4); Over/under goals 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.10) Small sample (3); Result and both teams to score 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.14) Small sample (3); Asian handicap 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Other markets 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 39 settled after-match picks · −11.1%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

152 predictions; 71 checked against the final score.

39 settled selections across 30 matches, 31 August 2024 – 13 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −11.1% (95.0% interval −39.6% to +21.1%).

Eligible prices were available for 39 of the 71 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 19 of 39 decided picks (48.7%); the prices of the same picks implied 48.6%.

By market: Match result 2 of 6 (2 W / 4 L, average odds 2.27) Small sample (6); Player to score 1 of 4 (1 W / 3 L) Small sample (4); Over/under goals 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.10) Small sample (3); Result and both teams to score 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.14) Small sample (3); Asian handicap 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Other markets 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Goalscorer picks · 39 matches

  Goalscorer picks 11/40 (39 matches); Match result (1X2) 10/28 (28 matches); Player props 2/13 (13 matches); Goals over/under 7/12 (12 matches); Bet-builder combos 3/9 (9 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 2/5 (5 matches); Both teams to score 0/4 (4 matches); Corners and cards 2/2 (2 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 0/2

  Exact scores: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 3.25 · 26 Oct 2025

  Everton v Tottenham Hotspur · Away win at 3.25 (archive closing price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Everton 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur at 13

  Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Away calls · 7/20

  Away calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 4/10

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Joe Casey has published.

Source we monitor

racingpost.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 6 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 17 August 2024

Without a match page

81 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed. 1 pair left out: the prices differ more than twofold.

Largest gaps: 2.60 against 2.19 (+18.5%) · 2.00 against 1.76 (+13.9%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

1,207

Predictions

427

Qualifying picks

229

Settled picks

182

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 216 opinions and 564 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−607.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 19 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,900 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −32.0% on 19 live picks settled in this window · 15 matches · 10 October – 5 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−24.0% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

After

−32.0% on 19 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

−19.2% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

After

−24.0% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−38.7% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

After

−19.2% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Method changed · 4 November 2026

Before

−30.9% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−38.7% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (42 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (13 settled picks).

Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

Data corrected · 22 October 2026

Before

−27.3% on 44 settled picks across 38 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−30.9% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−30.9% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−27.3% on 44 settled picks across 38 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−29.8% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−30.9% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Data corrected · 18 October 2026

Before

−28.9% on 45 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−29.8% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 18 October 2026

Before

−29.8% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−28.9% on 45 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 16 October 2026

Before

−34.1% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−29.8% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample; 12 picks added.

Data corrected · 15 October 2026

Before

−36.1% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−34.1% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Method changed · 14 October 2026

Before

−5.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−36.1% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (2 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (34 settled picks).

Method changed · 13 October 2026

Before

−36.1% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−5.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (2 settled picks) instead of “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only” (34 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

+19.9% on 60 settled picks across 50 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

−36.1% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (60 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (34 settled picks).

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−31.7% on 31 settled picks across 25 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+19.9% on 60 settled picks across 50 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “author's stated odds, restored” (60 settled picks) instead of “second data provider's closing price, restored” (31 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (51 shown)

• “and a repeat of that is fancied in this game.” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “are primed for a big European run this season.” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “confidence will be sky high as they go into a Europa League tie against Real Sociedad.” — 2 October 2026, 01:50 BST · source
• “they need to create more against teams below them in the table.” — 27 October 2025, 12:00 GMT · source
• “Dubravka will be vital to their chances of staying in the top flight.” — 27 October 2025, 12:00 GMT · source
• “this Arsenal team are currently on pace to ship just 13 times.” — 27 October 2025, 12:00 GMT · source
• “he is worth siding with to either score or assist in this clash.” — 1 October 2026, 02:10 BST · source
• “the Bhoys should be fresh for their trip to Zagreb and they can move one step closer to the knockouts” — 1 October 2026, 02:07 BST · source
• “Tottenham are fancied to pick up a crucial home win to relieve some of the pressure on Postecoglou.” — 25 January 2025, 15:05 GMT · source
• “this looks set to be another entertaining affair.” — 25 January 2025, 15:05 GMT · source
• “Backing Kavanagh to show at least five cards at St James' Park appeals at a shade of odds-on.” — 31 January 2025, 16:07 GMT · source
• “even-money quotes that he has three against a Southampton side who have allowed 417 attempts on goal are worth taking.” — 31 January 2025, 16:07 GMT · source

• Subs: Hughes, Ward, Sarr, Lerma, Ayew, Schlupp, Clyne, Riad, Mateta

  · Source

• Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1): Henderson; Richards, Andersen, Guehi; Munoz, Wharton, Doucoure, Mitchell; Kamada, Eze; Edouard

  · Source

• Subs: Onyeka, Damsgaard, Schade, Peart-Harris, Yarmolyuk, Carvalho, Lewis-Potter, Kim, Mee

  · Source

• Probable teams Brentford (4-3-3): Flekken; Roerslev, Collins, Pinnock, Ajer; Norgaard, Janelt, Jensen; Mbeumo, Toney, Wissa

  · Source

• Chris Richards has been passed fit but Jean-Philippe Mateta may not be rushed straight into the starting line-up after playing in the Olympic final just nine days ago.

  · Source

• Josh Dasilva is also set for a long absence while Aaron Hickey and Rico Henry are sidelined for this clash.

  · Source

• Brentford 6-4 Crystal Palace 2-1 Draw 12-5

  · Source

• NEW CUSTOMER OFFER £40 in Free Accumulator Bets When You Place a £10 Bet

  · Source

• Blackburn (4-2-3-1): Pears; Batth, Carter, Hyam, Beck; Travis, Tronstad; Baker, Dolan, Hedges; Ohashi

  · Source

• Preston (4-2-3-1): Woodman; Potts, Whatmough, Storey, Hughes; Whiteman, McCann; Bowler, Frokjaer

  · Source

• Makhtar Gueye can return after suspension.

  · Source

• Scott Wharton remains absent for Blackburn but Callum Brittain, Harry Pickering and Arnor Sigurdsson

  · Source

• Aston Villa’s 1-0 win over Manchester City on Sunday was a victory for good old-fashioned defending

  27 Oct 2025, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Saturday's stunning 2-1 win over Chelsea

  27 Oct 2025, 12:00 GMT · Source

• There was some fortune about the manner of their 4-2 win over Brighton on Saturday night

  27 Oct 2025, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Burnley claimed a vital 3-2 win away at fellow strugglers Wolves.

  27 Oct 2025, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Arsenal took another big step toward their Premier League title ambitions on Sunday, beating Crystal Palace 1-0

  27 Oct 2025, 12:00 GMT · Source

• SBK are offering £40 in free bets when you place a £10 bet on Premier League football.

  · Source

• Inside info Dinamo Zagreb Star man Sandro Kulenovic Top scorer Sandro Kulenovic

  · Source

• Probable teams Dinamo Zagreb (4-1-4-1): Nevistic; Ristovski, Theophile-Catherine, Bernauer, Pierre-

  · Source

• Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo boss Nenad Bjelica has said he has "14 fit players" available for Tuesday's match

  · Source

• BetMGM are offering £40 in free bets when you bet on Dinamo Zagreb vs Celtic.

  · Source

• Paddy McNair, Semi Ajayi and Daryl Dike are absentees.

  · Source

• West Brom have failed to score in their last four midweek league games

  · Source

• BetMGM are offering £40 in free bets when you bet £10 on West Brom vs Coventry.

  · Source

• Sky Bet are offering new customers £40 in free bets when they place any bet on the Premier League this weekend.

  · Source

• New signings Aaron Connolly and Tristan Crama could feature.

  20 Jan 2025, 15:37 GMT · Source

• even if Cardiff have won only one of 13 games on the road in the second tier this season.

  20 Jan 2025, 15:37 GMT · Source

• they are hard to fancy at a shade of odds-on

  20 Jan 2025, 15:37 GMT · Source

• 17 of their last 19 Championship matches at the Den have featured no more than two goals

  20 Jan 2025, 15:37 GMT · Source

• Millwall are the lowest scorers in the Championship, having netted just 24 times in 27 league outings.

  20 Jan 2025, 15:37 GMT · Source

• It could be honours even at The Den

  20 Jan 2025, 15:37 GMT · Source

• You can get 50-1 boosted odds for a goal to be scored in that Premier League match on Sunday at 4.30pm.

  25 Jan 2025, 15:05 GMT · Source

• Sky Bet have a huge odds boost for Aston Villa's clash with West Ham in the Premier League.

  25 Jan 2025, 15:05 GMT · Source

• Place a £5 bet on Tottenham vs Leicester with Ladbrokes and claim £25 in free football bets.

  25 Jan 2025, 15:05 GMT · Source

• NEW CUSTOMER OFFER 50/1 A Goal To Be Scored In Arsenal V Man City

  31 Jan 2025, 16:07 GMT · Source

• AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1): Owusu-Oduro; Maikuma, Goes, Penetra, De Wit; Clasie, Koopmeiners; Poku, Buurmeester

  5 Mar 2025, 17:22 GMT · Source

• Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero and Dominic Solanke all trained ahead of Thursday's trip to the

  5 Mar 2025, 17:22 GMT · Source

• Here are the latest odds ahead of AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham in the Europa League

  5 Mar 2025, 17:22 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Joe Casey
• Said → happened — Joe Casey

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Joe Casey

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
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• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Premier League
• UEFA Europa League
• UEFA Champions League
• EFL Championship
• 22