{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "canonical": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Liverpool vs Villarreal: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Liverpool vs Villarreal, 20 October 2026. Final score 4-3 · UEFA Champions League: 80 distinct predictions from 43 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Liverpool finished 4-3 against Villarreal. None of the 8 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-e9ad016f0818", "display_name": "Liverpool — Villarreal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "4-3", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-20T21:02:52.274Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "Liverpool", "figure": 22, "share": "100.0" } ], "n": 22, 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null, "material_url": "https://www.betclan.com/predictionsdetails/football/1635688/liverpool-v-villarreal-prediction-h2h-tip-and-match-preview/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cd42149676dd4f73591ced46", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/47/#pick-n-cd42149676dd4f73591ced46", "quote_text": "For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 66%", "fragment_from": 2740, "fragment_to": 2808, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.betclan.com/predictionsdetails/football/1635688/liverpool-v-villarreal-prediction-h2h-tip-and-match-preview/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3f6577ecabec9fe4f7d5a64052f9d0dadb5b6eaedc516e25044c7a42899da7ae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T00:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T23:09:28.192Z", 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"2026-10-15T00:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T00:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T23:09:28.192Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a4a9f395d873b4e39033b471328e7b6b9279d31e6b4ddececf84b7661e5a2872", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an 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"methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "BetClan", "publisher": "BetClan", "forecaster": "BetClan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.betclan.com/predictionsdetails/football/1635688/liverpool-v-villarreal-prediction-h2h-tip-and-match-preview/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-640c6aaf0f0c7bf8fb6b83b7", "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/picks/8/#pick-n-640c6aaf0f0c7bf8fb6b83b7", "quote_text": "Jeg spår en 2-1 seier til hjemmelaget.", "fragment_from": 1391, "fragment_to": 1429, "quote_allowed": true, 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12 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-5cd48dba7554", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-11-01" }, { "title_id": "zk-71db437391018696ecd4", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 6–1 · 28 Oct", "body": "Exact score 6–1 · FC Bayern München v Magdeburg · 28 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-71db43739101", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-10-28" } ] }, { "name_shown": "Baptiste Couturiaux", "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/", "source_group": "tipsters", "settled_count": 9, "match_count": 6, "portion": "live", "portion_words": "Recorded before kick-off · return at our recorded market price", "return_percent": null, "too_few": true, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-cb7e0a6cafc6fb522747", "code_name": "S-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "7 right in a row · 19 Oct", "body": "7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–19 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-cb7e0a6cafc6", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-10-19" }, { "title_id": "zk-3ff8f6b757bb4a2d9118", "code_name": "P-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "8/8 · week of 26 Oct", "body": "8/8 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026", "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-3ff8f6b757bb", "url": null, "tier": null, "event_at": "2026-11-01" } ] } ], "competition_authors_total": 46, "competition_authors_10": 14, "full": false, "facts_only": false, "checked_count": null, "window": { "d_minus_14_at": "2026-10-06T19:00:00.000Z", "d_minus_3_at": "2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z" }, "first_screen": { "body": "Before kick-off, 21 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date had a 90-minute match-result prediction: Liverpool 21 · Draw 0 · Villarreal 0. 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"author_count": 42, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 1, "author_count": 1 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 16, "unique": 16, "comparable": 16, "admissible": 16, "contributions": 16 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 8, "newcomers_who": 35, "newcomers_before": 64, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-d3d1895adb7bf5115394ba8b", "author_name": "Lewis Nolan", "author_href": "/authors/lewis-nolan/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal", "market_label": "Correct score", "logged_at": "2026-10-18T21:10:04.420Z", "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/liverpool/champions-league/preview/liverpool-vs-villarreal-prediction-team-news-lineups_607180.html", "proof": 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goals in this tournament, while Villarreal’s have averaged 4.5.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 2, "other_language_hosts": [ "livetipsportal.com", "sportytrader.com" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 4, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": null, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "UEFA Champions League (Europe)", "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 3", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Brentford", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "6-3", "opponent": "LASK", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-14" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "Manchester City", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-11" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "AFC Bournemouth", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Tottenham Hotspur", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-15" } ], "away": [ { "res": "D", "scoreline": "0-0", "opponent": "Elche", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-17" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "SSC Napoli", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-13" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Real Madrid", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Levante UD", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Málaga CF", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-17" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "4-3", "fact_code": "1", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 21 of 21 matched · Tipsters 12 of 12 · Prediction sites 9 of 9", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 8 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 8 matched the score, 8 of 8 the outcome", "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction · 1 won", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Liverpool (21 of 21), matched" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 12, "of": 12 }, "websites": { "correct": 9, "of": 9 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Baptiste Couturiaux", "choice": "Liverpool", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.45", "our_snapshot": "1.4762", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Miguel Alvim", "choice": "Liverpool", "market_label": "1X2, match result", "author_quoted_price": "1.56", "our_snapshot": "1.4808", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Andrew Hendrie", "choice": "Liverpool", "market_label": "1X2, match 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"closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Andrew Hendrie", "choice": "Alexander Isak to score", "market_label": "Player to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.95", "our_snapshot": "2.0000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Lewis Nolan", "choice": "Villarreal under 0.5", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "author_quoted_price": "2.60", "our_snapshot": "2.5500", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Lewis Nolan", "choice": "Liverpool over 1.5", "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "author_quoted_price": "1.44", "our_snapshot": "1.4000", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "First published with predictions on 19 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-bf09c5eaf6c186ac3eefe47a" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 43, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 19 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 16 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 2 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 22, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 11 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 9 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "authors": 22, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 11 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 9 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Villarreal", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 18, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 9 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 21, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 8 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "no_snapshot", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": null, "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.57", "percent_value": 64, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T05:39:12.401Z", "snapshot_count": 6, "first_snapshot_price": "1.63", "first_at": "2026-10-15T21:17:10.056Z", "shift_pp": 2.2, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.57 on 20 October 2026, 06:39 BST (implied 64%, margin included), 2.2 percentage points up from 15 October 2026, 22:17 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.45", "percent_value": 69, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T11:50:36.000Z", "snapshot_count": 8, "first_snapshot_price": "1.47", "first_at": 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Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 2.70 on 18 October 2026, 20:10 BST (implied 37%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "2.12", "percent_value": 47, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T13:34:51.671Z", "snapshot_count": 4, "first_snapshot_price": "2.29", "first_at": "2026-10-18T21:35:36.000Z", "shift_pp": 3.3, "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "moved" } ], "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.12 on 20 October 2026, 14:34 BST (implied 47%, margin included), 3.3 percentage points up from 18 October 2026, 22:35 BST." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "Villarreal under 0.5", "snapshot_price": 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71%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 2.5", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "Liverpool under 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.56", "percent_value": 64, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T19:08:08.627Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Team goals over/under 2.5, Liverpool under 2.5 goals: market price 1.56 on 18 October 2026, 20:08 BST (implied 64%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 20 October 2026, 20:00 BST: 1X2, match result: most expected Liverpool (22 of 22 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (10 of 12 predictions); Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (8 of 8 predictions).", "market_line_brief": null, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 22, "row_count": 22, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool", "figure": 22 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "Liverpool", "leader_count": 22, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Liverpool (22 of 22 predictions)", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Liverpool", "figure": 22 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Villarreal", "figure": 0 } ] }, { "market_text": "1X2, match result, first half", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result, first half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on 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2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "under 4.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on under 4.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal under 0.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Villarreal under 0.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 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"market_text": "Double chance", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool or Villarreal", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "draw or Villarreal", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Liverpool or Villarreal, 1 on draw or Villarreal" }, { "market_text": "Draw no bet", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Draw no bet, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Liverpool" }, { "market_text": "Player to score", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Alexander Isak to score", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "Bradley Barcola to score", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Player to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Alexander Isak to score, 1 on Bradley Barcola to score" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap -1", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool -1", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap -1, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Liverpool -1" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap -1.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool -1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap -1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Liverpool -1.5" }, { "market_text": "European handicap -1", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool -1", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "European handicap -1, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Liverpool -1" }, { "market_text": "European handicap 3", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Villarreal +3", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "European handicap 3, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Villarreal +3" }, { "market_text": "Half-time/full-time", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Liverpool at half-time, Liverpool at full-time", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Half-time/full-time, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Liverpool at half-time, Liverpool at full-time" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 80, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, 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