Paddy Power News — Football tips: football prediction source record — archive reconstruction

About this publishing channel

Paddy Power News Football Tips is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Products we measure

Each product is a separate prediction record published by the source; named authors keep their own records. The totals are not added together.

Named authors at Paddy Power News

• Joe Cole 15 settled archived picks here · 178 predictions
• Feargal Brennan 6 settled live picks here · 48 predictions
• Matthew O'Regan 5 settled archived picks here · 31 predictions
• Andrew Beasley 3 settled archived picks here · 37 predictions
• Mark Lawrenson 3 settled archived picks here · 264 predictions
• Sam Farley 3 settled archived picks here · 27 predictions
• Shane O'Brien 2 settled archived picks here · 15 predictions
• Andy Robson Tips no settled pick here · 24 predictions
• Colin Harvey no settled pick here · 4 predictions
• James O'Rourke no settled pick here · 9 predictions
• Oli Nixon no settled pick here · 7 predictions
• Paddy Murphy no settled pick here · 2 predictions
• Peter Crouch no settled pick here · 20 predictions

Each author's record is on their own page and is not part of the product totals above.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 29 September 2026 · 75 predictions · last change 2 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 1 settled archived pick · won 0 of 1

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

10 predictions; 1 checked against the final score.

1 settled selection across 1 match, 16 March 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −100 points.

Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 0 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 53.8%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 5 settled after-match picks · won 3 of 5

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

65 predictions; 12 checked against the final score.

5 settled selections across 4 matches, 23 February 2025 – 3 February 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +72.50 points.

Eligible prices were available for 5 of the 12 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 3 of 5 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 51.3%.

By market: Match result 3 of 3 (prices implied 53.0%); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 68.7%); Result and both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 29.0%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

None of the 7 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 3 of 7 matches; the market favourite was right in 4 of the same 7 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Paddy Power News Football Tips has published.

Source we monitor

news.paddypower.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 2 October 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 23 February 2025

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

207

Predictions

75

Qualifying picks

11

Settled picks

6

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 39 opinions and 93 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−100 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled archived pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−18.9% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (10)

After

−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (10 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (3 settled picks).

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

+211.00 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−18.9% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (10)

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

2 October 2026, 36 days before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 2 October 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (46 shown)

• “I can see an away win here, and Villa to comfortably get through to the quarter finals over the two legs.” — 4 March 2025, 16:27 GMT · source
• “This is probably as good a draw as Villa could have got at this point in the competition.” — 4 March 2025, 16:27 GMT · source
• “He’s been brilliant since joining City and he can add to his tally for the season on Wednesday night.” — 4 February 2026, 16:02 GMT · source
• “On the back of that disappointment against Tottenham, I can see City having a tricky start to this semi-final second leg on Wednesday.” — 4 February 2026, 16:02 GMT · source
• “City were cruising and 2-0 up at Tottenham last weekend before blowing the lead while Newcastle were hammered at Liverpool on Saturday night.” — 4 February 2026, 16:02 GMT · source
• “This is a tough one to call!” — 4 February 2026, 16:02 GMT · source

• An Acca with these selections pays at approximately 21/1 with Paddy Power.

  17 Jan 2026, 10:58 GMT · Source

• This is an eight-fold match result accumulator that features matches from the Premier League,

  15 Jan 2025, 16:51 GMT · Source

• with this one being a long shot at 76/1.

  15 Jan 2025, 16:51 GMT · Source

• Super Sub 2.0: Now with even more markets including a raft of 2+ and 3+ options!

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Football Tips: Wednesday’s 9/1 Champions League Goalscorer Acca

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Football Accumulator Tips: Wednesday’s bumper 50/1 Champions League shouts

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Before this game, Feyenoord have only won once in their previous three away fixtures in all competitions

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Lille have been excellent on home soil, with four wins from their last five matches, including against

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Monaco have lost two of its previous five matches in all competitions. However, they have two consecutive

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Inter Milan are unbeaten in their previous five matches in all competitions, having won its last three

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Mikel Arteta’s side have a tremendous away record, as the Gunners are unbeaten in their last seven away

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Girona are coming into this game in terrible form, with the home side having lost their previous three

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Italy’s title challengers, Atalanta, have only two wins from their previous five matches in all competitions

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Barcelona are in excellent form heading into this game. Hansi Flick’s side are unbeaten in their last

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• In their last five Champions League matches, Benfica have suffered three defeats, including a home

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Juventus have won two of their three home matches in this competition, recording victories against

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• RB Leipzig are unbeaten in their previous three matches, following their draw with Bayer Leverkusen

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Sturm Graz are winless in their last four matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Atlético Madrid have won four of their previous five away matches, suffering their only defeat against

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Red Bull Salzburg have suffered two consecutive defeats in the Champions League coming into this game

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• You can get daily football tips and accumulators for top International Football competitions, as well

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• An acca with these bets adds up to a huge price with Paddy Power.

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• This is an eight-fold match result accumulator that features matches from the Champions League – all

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• @FootyAccums have compiled a Mega Acca for this Wednesday’s action, with this one being a long shot

  29 Jan 2025, 16:31 GMT · Source

• Paddy’s Super Sub totaliser: Over 100,000 EPL bets win from our ace offer so far in 2024/25

  5 Feb 2025, 16:02 GMT · Source

• A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 9/1 with Paddy Power.

  5 Feb 2025, 16:02 GMT · Source

• PSG v Liverpool Tips: Expect goals in Joe Cole’s 6/1 Bet Builder

  4 Mar 2025, 16:27 GMT · Source

• PSV v Arsenal Tips: Odegaard to shine in Joe Cole’s 8/1 Bet Builder

  4 Mar 2025, 16:27 GMT · Source

• Two of Joe’s picks are also covered by Paddy’s Super Sub offer

  4 Mar 2025, 16:27 GMT · Source

• there’s still time to enter Andy’s £1m Premier League Predictor.

  17 Sep 2025, 16:32 BST · Source

• There’s a Bet Builder Stats tool on site to help when creating your bet builders

  17 Sep 2025, 16:32 BST · Source

• Head over to my website, Andy’s Bet Club, for more Football Tips and expert predictions

  17 Sep 2025, 16:32 BST · Source

• A Bet Builder with these selections pays approximately 10/1 with Paddy Power.

  3 Feb 2026, 16:42 GMT · Source

• A Bet Builder with these selections pays approximately 30/1 with Paddy Power.

  4 Feb 2026, 16:02 GMT · Source

• *All odds quoted are correct at time of publication, but subject to change.

  6 Apr 2026, 14:40 BST · Source

• An Acca with these selections pays at 116/1 with Paddy Power.

  6 Apr 2026, 14:40 BST · Source

• The Paddy Power Guide To Safer Gambling – Everything You Need To Know

  6 Apr 2026, 11:33 BST · Source

• Tap here for PP.com’s latest football odds

  6 Apr 2026, 11:33 BST · Source

• Paddy’s Hall Of Fame: 19-leg acca returns £440,000 win for football punter

  6 Apr 2026, 11:33 BST · Source

• He’s big, he’s tall, his moves are off the wall! Check out Crouchy’s latest shouts on Paddy Power.

  6 Apr 2026, 11:33 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Paddy Power News Football Tips
• Said → happened — Paddy Power News Football Tips

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition