Joe Cole: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Joe Cole publishes

Published under this name on news.paddypower.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joe-cole/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 29 September 2026 · 178 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 15 settled archived picks · +39.8%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

61 predictions; 20 checked against the final score.

15 settled selections across 9 matches, 15 January – 14 April 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +39.8%.

Eligible prices were available for 15 of the 20 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 7 of 15 decided picks (46.7%); the prices of the same picks implied 44.9%.

By market: Both teams to score 2 of 6 (prices implied 58.2%); Match result 4 of 6 (prices implied 46.7%); Correct score 1 of 2 (prices implied 10.5%); Result and both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 23.1%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

1 of 5 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 2 of 5 matches; the market favourite was right in 4 of the same 5 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off · 27 settled after-match picks · −3.0%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

117 predictions; 39 checked against the final score.

27 settled selections across 19 matches, 4 January 2025 – 13 January 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −3.0% (95.0% interval −47.0% to +37.9%).

Eligible prices were available for 27 of the 39 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 12 of 25 decided picks (48.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 48.7%.

By market: Match result 7 of 12 (prices implied 48.1%); Both teams to score 2 of 6 (prices implied 63.2%); Over/under goals 2 of 3 (prices implied 54.0%); Correct score 0 of 2 (prices implied 11.4%); Asian handicap 0 of 1 (prices implied 13.5%); European handicap 1 of 1 (prices implied 62.5%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own. 2 picks left out: void, or half won or half lost on a quarter-goal line.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

None of the 12 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 6 of 12 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 12 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Joe Cole has published.

Source we monitor

news.paddypower.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

29–30 September 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 4 January 2025

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

422

Predictions

178

Qualifying picks

48

Settled picks

42

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 114 opinions and 130 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+597.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 15 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,500 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

+5.0% on 45 settled picks across 29 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+39.8% on 15 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (15)

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (45 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (15 settled picks).

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

+9.7% on 26 settled picks across 17 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (26)

After

+5.0% on 45 settled picks across 29 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 19 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

30 September 2026, 38 days before this page's data date

Observed

29 September 2026 — 30 September 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (49 shown)

• “If Spurs don’t win this, I reckon Postecoglou’s in big trouble.” — 4 January 2025, 07:00 GMT · source
• “Martin Odegaard is overdue for a goal, so I will back him to score.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “As for the goalscorers, I will choose Joao Pedro for Brighton. He is their biggest threat.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “So, I am going for a draw, and there will be a lot of goals, too.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “Brighton have some great players, including Estupinan, Mitoma, and Joao Pedro, who can cause damage.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “I can’t see Arsenal winning without Saka, who is a big miss in attack.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “Plus, their fans will be up for this and want to see their team take it to the Gunners and maybe nick a point or three.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “But we’ve seen Brighton play under Fabian Hurzeler; they are all action up front and can cause real problems for Arsenal’s defence.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “If you’re Mikel Arteta, you’re looking at this fixture knowing you must win to compete at the top.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “The Brighton game is slightly more challenging for Arsenal than the Brentford one.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “PP ambassador Joe Cole foresees a challenging game for the Gunners, and they may not return to London with all three points.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “Joe Cole is backing the Seagulls to cause the Gunners a lot of bother.” — 4 January 2025, 16:15 GMT · source
• “He is someone who will become a top player. The chances he creates with his left foot are excellent, and he loves to get forward. He’s more of a wing-back.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “a player who has greatly improved under Marco Silva.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “It will be a busy game with many goals, with both sides scoring at least one.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “He made the right decision to stay at Ipswich, and he will still have clubs vying for his signature even if they do go back down.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “Kieran McKenna was the most sought-after young manager in the world in the summer.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “The job he has done with Fulham has been superb; he has made a lot out of arguably very little.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “Marco Silva has been excellent everywhere he has been, except for Everton, but that was understandable; even Carlo Ancelotti didn’t shine there.” — 5 January 2025, 08:35 GMT · source
• “I felt they were a little complacent at the weekend against Man United” — 8 January 2025, 16:43 GMT · source

• Crouchy’s Shouts: Liverpool in control v Man United in 8/1 Bet Builder

  4 Jan 2025, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Football Accumulator Tips: Our 20/1 shot for Saturday’s 3pm Premier League kick offs

  4 Jan 2025, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Brighton v Arsenal Tips: Joe Cole’s Mega 52/1 Bet Builder has Joao Pedro & Odegaard among the goals

  4 Jan 2025, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Premier League top scorer odds: Who are the favourites to win the Golden Boot this season?

  4 Jan 2025, 16:15 GMT · Source

• Liverpool v Man United Tips: Joe Cole’s 2/1 Bet Builder has Salah on the scoresheet

  4 Jan 2025, 16:15 GMT · Source

• He’s also backed two goalscorers, which Paddy’s Super Sub offer covers.

  4 Jan 2025, 16:15 GMT · Source

• This is covered by Paddy’s Super Sub offer, meaning if the player is substituted, the pick carries over to his replacement.

  5 Jan 2025, 08:35 GMT · Source

• Introducing Super Sub 2.0: Now with even more markets,

  6 Jan 2025, 17:01 GMT · Source

• It’s not been good for Ange again this season, if anything, it’s falling to bits.

  8 Jan 2025, 16:43 GMT · Source

• Diogo Jota has been back amongst the goals; he usually scores in bunches and is my shout to grab the winner.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• They will slightly outscore the hosts, who could grab a goal on the break, but Arne Slot’s side will narrowly win.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• But Liverpool’s class will eventually show.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Forest can produce an admirable performance at home.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• This is the game of the round for me.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• They have such talented wide players, strength through the middle, and they defend from deep.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Nuno Espirito Santo has shown what a top manager he is and has utilised his squad brilliantly.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Nottingham Forest have been unbelievable this season; they are very similar to the Leicester City side that won the Premier League in 2016.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Joe Cole fancies the league leaders to spoil the fairytale.

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Football Betting Odds Free Bet Calculator Premier League Odds Champions League Odds English Championship Odds FA Cup Betting Odds Sports Betting Odds

  14 Jan 2025, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Alexander Isak is the in-form striker in Europe

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• The way Dyche’s been treated is disgusting

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• You look at that Everton squad and you think that Sean Dyche did fantastically.

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• A Treble with these bets pays at approximately 7/1 with Paddy Power.

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• Paddy’s Super Sub totaliser: Almost 100,000 EPL bets win from our ace offer so far in 2024/25

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• There a massive bragging rights on offer in this one, but I can’t see past Arsenal, even though they’ve had a difficult run of late.

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 37/1 with Paddy Power.

  15 Jan 2025, 16:56 GMT · Source

• Rubin Amorin’s Man United will win this game comfortably.

  16 Jan 2025, 16:15 GMT · Source

• I don’t know what Southampton are going to do from now until the end of the season.

  16 Jan 2025, 16:15 GMT · Source

• This should be a great game and I will be heading up to Newcastle to cover it.

  18 Jan 2025, 11:25 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Joe Cole
• Said → happened — Joe Cole

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Joe Cole

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

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• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition
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• 9