Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Feargal Brennan before kick-off across 4 matches between 11 and . Won 3 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices.
Tracking level: Probation — day 26 of 30 needed for Tracked · 10 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
3 won / 3 lost; average odds 1.75
Small sample (6) · 6 settled picks · picks settled under method v2.2
Eligible prices were available for 6 of the 10 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Feargal Brennan before kick-off across 4 matches between 11 and 31 October 2026. Won 3 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 48 predictions we hold for Feargal Brennan, 11 are linked to matches: 11 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
95 statements read → 48 predictions → 11 linked to matches → 11 recorded before kick-off → 10 outcome-checked → 6 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.
Combined pick (bet builder or multiple), 5 legs: draw or Union St. Gilloise (Double chance) + draw or Beşiktaş (Double chance) +…without a stated priceRecorded 32.3 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goalswithout a stated priceRecorded 28.4 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Player shots on target over/under 2: Francisco Conceição over 2 shots on targetwithout a stated priceRecorded 28.5 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Feargal Brennan on Forecast Record: 11 pre-match predictions recorded (11–31 October 2026). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/feargal-brennan/
Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 6 settled live picks, 4 matches · View changes to this record
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<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/feargal-brennan/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 24 September 2026 · 48 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
3 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 2 of 3.
Prices implied by market
By market: Player shots on target 2 of 3 (2 W / 1 L, average odds 1.27) Small sample (3); Match result 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L, average odds 2.63) Small sample (2); Double chance 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.42) Small sample (1).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Closing price
5
11–31 October 2026
−243.21 points
−244.16 points
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 5 opinions and 42 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−216.16 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 6 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (600 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −216.16 points on 6 live picks settled in this window · 4 matches · 11–31 October 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
Before
−230.16 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−216.16 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Before
−58.16 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−230.16 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Method changed ·
Before
no published headline number
After
−58.16 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
(): the live market price of a pick is the market price at the moment the pick was first recorded, before kick-off. First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks.
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, 1 day before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (37 shown)
“Paddy’s tipster fancies some overdue cup cheer for David Moyes’ boys.” — · source
“That makes a result pick quite tricky here, so I’m going for goals at both ends instead.” — · source
“Paddy’s tipster fancies PSG’s flying Frenchman to bag against Lyon.” — · source
“It’s potentially Como’s best chance to get their biggest scalp yet” — · source
A Bet Builder+ with these selections pays at approximately 13/1 with Paddy Power.
His shot-on-target rate is slightly lower than Hojlund’s, at 0.6 per Nations League game, but his overall shot-per-90 rate is 2.6, and one of them should test Danny Ward.
Alongside Hojlund’s exploits, Mikkel Damsgaard also scored in those clashes with the Norwegians and the Portuguese, bringing Denmark’s total to 10 goals.
Across the three Nations League games played in this block of matches, he averages a shot on target per 90 minutes, and I can see that pattern continuing in Cardiff.
Wales are missing main man Harry Wilson in this international window with the Leeds United man out injured. That means the goal burden could fall on his clubmate Daniel James, who scored first against Denmark, to bring his Wales tally to 10.
And it’s that enduring home record that’s persuaded me to back them for successive victories in Cardiff, as a penalty shootout loss to Bosnia in March is the only time they’ve been beaten on home soil in their last five games.