Shane O'Brien: football tipster record — archive reconstruction
Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Shane O'Brien from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches on . Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 2 settled archived picks.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
2 won / 0 lost; average odds 1.31
Small sample (2) · 2 settled picks · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1
Eligible prices were available for 2 of the 2 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Shane O'Brien from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches on 19 January 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Shane O'Brien, 7 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 8 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Shane O'Brien from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches on 19 January 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Shane O'Brien, 7 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of .
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/shane-o-brien/
33 statements read → 15 predictions → 15 linked to matches → 0 recorded before kick-off → 0 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price (+1 at other prices) · 8 found after kick-off (not in the return)
7 archived before kick-off → 2 outcome-checked → 2 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.
Latest outcomes
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.61 |
| Corners over/under | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.02 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 2 W / 0 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.31 |
Recorded picks and results
Nottingham Forest 3-2 Southampton ·
Over/Under 6.5 corners: over 6.5without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
Over 6.5 Nottingham Forest cornersweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing 1.02
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.1
Manchester United 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion ·
BTTS: yeswithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
Both teams to score? Yesweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing 1.61
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.1
Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
Over 2.5 goalsweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing 1.91
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.1
Over/Under 3.5 cards: under 3.5without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Under 3.5 cardsweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing 1.98
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Bruno Fernandes to have 2+ shots on targetweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Kaoru Mitoma to score or assistweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Man United to winweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Both teams to scoreweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
A Bet Builder with these bets pays at approximately 35/1 with Paddy Power.web.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Chris Wood to score anytimeweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Amad Diallo to have 2+ shots on targetweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Manchester United to receive the most cardsweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Cole Palmer to score anytimeweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Fulham goalkeeper to make 4+ savesweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Bryan Mbeumo to have 1+ shots on targetweb.archive.org- Tipster / Source
- Shane O'Brien
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Not stated
- Rule
- v2.2
- Why excluded
- This prediction format is not supported.
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 1 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Reconstruction method 1.1 · Price rule: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Sample: 2 settled archived picks, 2 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. 1 record shown here has been corrected; the last correction was on , with its reason in the corrections log. Corrections log. Added later: 2 records added on from archived copies; 8 records added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 3 selections in this historical price series, 2 have a pre-match archive copy and 1 was first Found after kick-off.
Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.
Where Shane O'Brien publishes
Published under this name on news.paddypower.com.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power News | Shane O'Brien | 15 | 2 | — |
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/shane-o-brien/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 30 September 2026 · 15 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>Archived before kick-off · 2 settled archived picks · won 2 of 2
Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.
7 predictions; 2 checked against the final score.
2 settled selections across 2 matches, .
Reconstructed at archived prices: +63 points.
Eligible prices were available for 2 of the 2 selections checked against the result.
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 2 of 2 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 80.1%.
By market: Both teams to score 1 of 1 (prices implied 62.1%); Corners over/under 1 of 1 (prices implied 98.0%).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Found after kick-off · 1 settled after-match pick · won 1 of 1
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
8 predictions; 1 checked against the final score.
1 settled selection across 1 match, .
Reconstructed at archived prices: +91 points.
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 1 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 52.4%.
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
- Stated
- The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Shane O'Brien has published.
- Source we monitor
- news.paddypower.com
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- Earlier entries
- restored from archives, back to
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 33
- Predictions
- 15
- Qualifying picks
- 4
- Settled picks
- 3
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 18 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+63 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 2 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (200 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Method changed ·
- Before
- +154.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1
- After
- +63.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
The headline rule changed on : the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (3 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).
Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- +154.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1
First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks in the series “second data provider's closing price, restored”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , 38 days before this page's data date
- Observed
- Channels
- website
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (2)
Check us
Record definitions and related evidence
- Recorded picks and results
- Matches
- How this return was calculated
- Archived before kick-off — definition
- Corrected on : Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and