Andrew Beasley: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Andrew Beasley publishes

Published under this name on news.paddypower.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/andrew-beasley/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 29 September 2026 · 37 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 3 settled archived picks · won 2 of 3

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

15 predictions; 3 checked against the final score.

3 settled selections across 2 matches, 16 February – 13 April 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +165.50 points.

Eligible prices were available for 3 of the 3 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 2 of 3 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 50.5%.

By market: Both teams to score 1 of 1 (prices implied 53.9%); European handicap 0 of 1 (prices implied 61.7%); Result and both teams to score 1 of 1 (prices implied 35.7%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 6 settled after-match picks · won 2 of 6

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

22 predictions; 6 checked against the final score.

6 settled selections across 3 matches, 23 February – 15 March 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −250.50 points.

Eligible prices were available for 6 of the 6 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 2 of 6 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 54.4%.

By market: Match result 1 of 3 (prices implied 52.0%); Corner handicap 0 of 1 (prices implied 59.7%); Corners over/under 0 of 1 (prices implied 47.7%); Over/under goals 1 of 1 (prices implied 63.1%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Andrew Beasley has published.

Source we monitor

news.paddypower.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

29–30 September 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 16 February 2025

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

90

Predictions

37

Qualifying picks

10

Settled picks

9

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 9 opinions and 44 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+165.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 3 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

+320.50 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+165.50 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

+270.00 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+320.50 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (8 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (4 settled picks).

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

30 September 2026, 38 days before this page's data date

Observed

29 September 2026 — 30 September 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (47 shown)

• “Maybe this match ends, oh, I don’t know, 2-7?” — 18 January 2025, 11:20 GMT · source
• “Presumably, the winner will play Brighton for the crown.” — 15 March 2025, 16:38 GMT · source
• “Oh, and if you’re interested, I think Leeds could stay up at their expense, but there’s no market for that.” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source
• “Does anyone else look certain? It’s a stretch to imagine Tottenham and United making it based on last season, to be honest.” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source
• “As for Villa, do you think Unai Emery is going to pass up the chance to win the Europa League for the 14th time? Me neither.” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source
• “If you think the former can get into the top four, send me the money and leave Paddy out of it.” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source
• “On the data from last season, you’d back them. But, with Alexander Isak overshadowing their summer, and a thin squad playing Champions League football, it makes sense to steer clear.” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source
• “City are going to be fascinating. While they finished third last term, the underlying numbers suggested they were far worse. Their journey back to the top is further than the 24/25 table implies. And will wildcard Rayan Cherki prove an inspired signing or burn Pep Guardiola’s brain out?” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source
• “Can Arsenal or Man City, the second and third favourites, stop them?” — 14 August 2025, 10:59 BST · source

• Paddy’s Super Sub totaliser: Almost 100,000 EPL bets win from our ace offer so far in 2024/25

  4 Jan 2025, 09:02 GMT · Source

• Introducing Super Sub 2.0: Now with even more markets including a raft of 2+ and 3+ options!

  4 Jan 2025, 09:02 GMT · Source

• An acca with these bets pays at approximately 20/1 with Paddy Power.

  4 Jan 2025, 09:02 GMT · Source

• An acca with these bets pays at approximately 36/1 with Paddy Power.

  25 Jan 2025, 12:25 GMT · Source

• Introducing Super Sub 2.0: Now with even more markets, including a raft of 2+ and 3+ options!

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• With Diogo Jota not fit enough to start and Cody Gakpo possibly injured at Everton

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• Slot seems to trust him at Anfield, selecting the number nine for three of the Reds’ previous four home games

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• No other player in the Premier League has had this happen on more than nine occasions in 2024/25

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• This bet has paid out 12 times this season, including against the Reds at Molineux.

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• Three of the last four meetings of these teams featured at least 24, so it isn’t hard to imagine the bet mark being reached.

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• They’ve done so in nine of their 12 away matches, for starters.

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• You will probably need them to net four times, though, as there’s a fair chance Wolves will score.

  16 Feb 2025, 11:09 GMT · Source

• These tips can also be added into a Bet Builder, which pays at approximately 22/1 with Paddy Power.

  23 Feb 2025, 07:55 GMT · Source

• TV: Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League

  15 Mar 2025, 16:38 GMT · Source

• A Bet Builder with the FIRST FOUR BETS in this list pays at approximately 40/1 with Paddy Power.

  15 Mar 2025, 16:38 GMT · Source

• WHEN: Sunday, 20th of April, 2pm WHERE: Portman Road, Ipswich TV: Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports

  20 Apr 2025, 09:12 BST · Source

• A Bet Builder on the above pays at approximately 30/1 with Paddy Power.

  20 Apr 2025, 09:12 BST · Source

• THE PADDY POWER GUIDE TO SAFER GAMBLING – EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• The latest football odds are on PaddyPower.com now

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Premier League TV Schedule and Channel Guide for 2025/26 season

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• When does the next Premier League season start? Key dates for 2025/26 campaign

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Premier League golden boot odds: Who will finish top scorer in 2025/26?

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Who are favourites to be relegated from the Premier League this season?

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• They had the worst expected goal difference of any side that stayed up, while only Forest overachieved by more against their attacking xG. If that pings back towards average, they’ll be in big trouble.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• They have lost key players like Bryan Mbeumo, Christian Norgaard, Matheus Cunha, Rayan Ait-Nouri and Mohammed Kudus. The Bees are also without Thomas Frank, who could be the costliest departure in this paragraph.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Beyond them, Brentford, Wolves and West Ham are the likeliest candidates. You could make a case for any of them based on the changes at each club.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• The promoted teams inevitably lead the relegation market, with Burnley, Leeds and Sunderland all odds-on for the drop.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• While Brighton stand a fair chance of maintaining their top 10 status, there’s better value with Bournemouth.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest will be distracted by Europe. Everton improved under David Moyes, but have a new stadium, which may or may not work for them.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• The Cherries were at least 12th in each of the last two seasons, averaging 52 points when 10th comes in at around 50.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• They finished at least seventh in each of the last three seasons, with 65 points on average across those campaigns. The sixth-placed team averaged 63 in the last decade, so Villa can reach the top six by holding steady.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• They only finished five points adrift of fifth last term, after all.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Bournemouth would have been third if games were decided on expected goals last season. The fact they finished ninth shows the difficulty in turning performances into wins without superstars, with the loss of Dean Huijsen and Milos Kerkez unlikely to see them improve.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Brighton, Leicester and West Ham all finished in those places within the last five seasons, as have Everton and Southampton if looking a little further back.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• Their summer exertions may take a toll, plus Enzo Maresca must accommodate the 57 players they’ve bought this summer.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• World Champions (lol), Chelsea are the only other club who are odds-on to take one of the spots.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• But the Reds have recruited well, especially in British transfer record signing Florian Wirtz.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

• They must deal with the tragic loss of Diogo Jota, while Trent Alexander-Arnold and Luis Diaz have left for the continent.

  14 Aug 2025, 10:59 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Andrew Beasley
• Said → happened — Andrew Beasley

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition