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 "heading": "Paddy Power News — Football tips: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Paddy Power News — Football tips archived before kick-off across 1 match, 16 Mar 2025: won 0 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.",
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   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-04-06T10:33:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-04-06T10:33:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:40.737Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-dd60100de99775488b5e77b5",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-dd60100de99775488b5e77b5",
   "quote_text": "He’s big, he’s tall, his moves are off the wall! Check out Crouchy’s latest shouts on Paddy Power.",
   "fragment_from": 5018,
   "fragment_to": 5116,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://news.paddypower.com/football/2026/04/06/football-tips-easter-mondays-championship-multi-match-bet-builder-6-april/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "unknown",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "f6af3a562e1d1af320c58027e426b7b856c7bbc6b3ef9af3769d45f4a3f54ced",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T10:33:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:40.737Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-04-06T10:33:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-04-06T10:33:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T14:59:40.737Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 6,
  "service": 13,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 6,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1,
  "found_post_match": 5,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 4,
  "span_from": "2025-01-04",
  "span_to": "2026-02-03",
  "line_text": "restored history: 6, of which pre-match archive 1",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League and League Cup matches between 4 January 2025 and 3 February 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 6. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 5. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 6,
   "share": "0.5"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 3,
    "roi": "89.6667",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 6,
    "roi": "-4.5833",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_derived_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 7,
    "roi": "-18.2143",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "League Cup"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 7 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 6 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.",
  "score_accuracy": {
   "n": 7,
   "share": "0.0"
  }
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "news.paddypower.com",
   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260116231849id_/https://news.paddypower.com/football/2026/01/16/football-tips-super-sub-acca-this-weekends-biggest-premier-league-clashes/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-28",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-02",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "-100.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2025-03-16",
  "period_to": "2025-03-16",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Paddy Power News Football Tips from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 16 March 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 75 predictions we hold for Paddy Power News Football Tips, 10 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 65 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−100 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "−100.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 6 selections in this historical price series, 1 has a pre-match archive copy and 5 were first found after the match.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2025-03-16",
    "period_to": "2025-03-16",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2025-03-16",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2025-03-16",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2025-03-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Paddy Power News Football Tips from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 16 March 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 75 predictions we hold for Paddy Power News Football Tips, 10 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 65 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 75,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 10,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 10,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-03-16",
      "period_to": "2025-03-16",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "won_percent": "0.0",
      "implied_percent": "53.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "53.8"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 65,
     "checked": 12,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 4,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7250,
      "staked_hundredths": 50000,
      "return_percent": "14.50",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-02-23",
      "period_to": "2026-02-03",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 3,
       "return_main_percent": "90.83",
       "return_other_percent": "89.67",
       "settled_excluding_void": 3,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 27250,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 26900,
       "period_from": "2025-02-23",
       "period_to": "2025-04-03"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 7,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 7,
      "outcome_hits": 3,
      "outcome_rate": 42.9,
      "baseline_matches": 7,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 7,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 3,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 42.9,
      "favourite_hits": 4,
      "favourite_rate": 57.1,
      "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price",
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "0 of 7 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 3 of 7 matches; the market favourite was right in 4 of the same 7 matches.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).",
       "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 12,
      "priced": 5
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 5,
      "won": 3,
      "won_percent": "60.0",
      "implied_percent": "51.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "53.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "68.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "29.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-09d109c85e36b7a7ccd9f5ec"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 16 March 2025 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-02-23",
  "record_to": "2026-02-03"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-0e24de9059c6ef5ebc9220c6",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v Chelsea",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
   "lead_hours": -5731.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "3.4500",
   "published_at": "2026-02-03T16:42:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:00:49.932Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-46690e78e073d990d6eb84cc",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -13061.5,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4550",
   "published_at": "2025-04-03T08:00:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T00:31:07.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-09ebbdc035d8a8a3d9dac6fc",
   "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/picks/2/#pick-n-09ebbdc035d8a8a3d9dac6fc",
   "match": "Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -13061.5,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6650,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6650",
   "published_at": "2025-04-03T08:00:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T00:31:07.474Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-09ebbdc035d8a8a3d9dac6fc",
    "quote_text": "I’m going to have to go with my heart and back Chelsea to win.",
    "fragment_from": 1572,
    "fragment_to": 1634,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://news.paddypower.com/football/2025/04/03/chelsea-v-spurs-tips-joe-coles-10-1-bet-builder-on-thursday-night-april-3/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Arsenal to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-05T16:02:08.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:32:21.467Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8c119d6e2c39c637072d8904",
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Liverpool to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
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   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-29T16:31:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:33:41.709Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
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  },
  {
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   "competition": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Under 2.5 goals",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-15T16:53:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:49:31.980Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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  },
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   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Crystal Palace to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-15T16:51:22.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:48:57.231Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Southampton 1-2 Brentford.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:06:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:54:38.628Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6f5b3b6b6636041f73f63543",
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Manchester City 3-0 West Ham.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:06:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:54:38.628Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:06:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:54:38.628Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-408e04c6ea4f0aabe69775c0",
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bournemouth 1-1 Everton.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:06:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:54:38.628Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-13b2fe851ff64a8fdb074ee3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Aston Villa 2-0 Leicester.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:06:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:54:38.628Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c08f1d8f8f07a6c5e733fac7",
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-04T16:06:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:54:38.628Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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 "lead_time": {
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  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 18,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 18,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": null,
  "min_hours": null,
  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
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   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 75,
  "pages": 5,
  "page_urls": [
   "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/",
   "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/picks/2/",
   "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/picks/3/",
   "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/picks/4/",
   "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/picks/5/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 6,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 69
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Paddy Power News — Football tips: Football Prediction Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "source_info": {
  "code_name": "paddy-power",
  "display_name": "Paddy Power News",
  "type_code": "bookmaker",
  "domains": [
   "news.paddypower.com",
   "paddypower.com"
  ],
  "owner": null,
  "check": {
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   "source_list": []
  },
  "url": "/sources/paddy-power/",
  "products": [
   {
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    "display_name": "PP Staff (unsigned)",
    "type_code": "editorial_team",
    "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/pp-staff/",
    "entity_ref": "e-1e873c0df42b97034bdc882f",
    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 1,
     "settled_picks": 0,
     "headline_kind": null,
     "return_percent": null,
     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-09-30",
     "period_to": "2026-09-30"
    }
   },
   {
    "code_name": "football-tips",
    "display_name": "Football tips",
    "type_code": "column",
    "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/",
    "entity_ref": "e-43a5116d252774750cae5791",
    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 75,
     "settled_picks": 1,
     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
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     "headline_part": "archived",
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-10-02"
    }
   },
   {
    "code_name": "footy-accumulators",
    "display_name": "Footy Accumulators column",
    "type_code": "column",
    "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/footy-accumulators/",
    "entity_ref": "e-444c77f34d45441bafa9cd7a",
    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 2,
     "settled_picks": 0,
     "headline_kind": null,
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     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-09-30",
     "period_to": "2026-09-30"
    }
   },
   {
    "code_name": "pp-staff-657650",
    "display_name": "PP Staff",
    "type_code": "editorial_team",
    "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/pp-staff-657650/",
    "entity_ref": "e-6576503456110a1267d70d73",
    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 258,
     "settled_picks": 0,
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     "return_percent": null,
     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-09-24",
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    }
   }
  ],
  "author_list": [
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    "url": "/authors/joe-cole/",
    "settled_picks": 15,
    "predictions": 178,
    "headline_part": "archived"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Feargal Brennan",
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    "settled_picks": 6,
    "predictions": 48,
    "headline_part": "live"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Matthew O'Regan",
    "url": "/authors/matthew-o-regan/",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "predictions": 31,
    "headline_part": "archived"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Andrew Beasley",
    "url": "/authors/andrew-beasley/",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "predictions": 37,
    "headline_part": "archived"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Mark Lawrenson",
    "url": "/authors/mark-lawrenson/",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "predictions": 264,
    "headline_part": "archived"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Sam Farley",
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    "settled_picks": 3,
    "predictions": 27,
    "headline_part": "archived"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Shane O'Brien",
    "url": "/authors/shane-o-brien/",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "predictions": 15,
    "headline_part": "archived"
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Andy Robson Tips",
    "url": "/authors/andy-robson-tips/",
    "settled_picks": 0,
    "predictions": 24,
    "headline_part": null
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Colin Harvey",
    "url": "/authors/colin-harvey/",
    "settled_picks": 0,
    "predictions": 4,
    "headline_part": null
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "James O'Rourke",
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    "settled_picks": 0,
    "predictions": 9,
    "headline_part": null
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Oli Nixon",
    "url": "/authors/oli-nixon/",
    "settled_picks": 0,
    "predictions": 7,
    "headline_part": null
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Paddy Murphy",
    "url": "/authors/paddy-murphy/",
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    "predictions": 2,
    "headline_part": null
   },
   {
    "name_shown": "Peter Crouch",
    "url": "/authors/peter-crouch/",
    "settled_picks": 0,
    "predictions": 20,
    "headline_part": null
   }
  ],
  "authors_count": 13,
  "auto": false,
  "product": "football-tips",
  "product_page": true
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-10-19.7",
  "updated": "2026-10-19",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 1,
   "matches": 1,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2025-03-16",
   "period_to": "2025-03-16",
   "composition_hash": "b6afb3c89da6314c6e13931657674086d0c22b0d4b226f0ccf26e595831b2672"
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  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-3e237f6536445fc5ced5",
   "at": "2026-10-19T23:18:20.062Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
   "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
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    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "8548f306503999b04dc15f3cc0199276f05d3524ac44138836128d8140ce5170",
    "text": "−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.7",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "b6afb3c89da6314c6e13931657674086d0c22b0d4b226f0ccf26e595831b2672",
    "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 2,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-fd00ef57215f89db3a7c"
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  {
   "id": "zc-20c5cf23da267ee5b83a",
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   "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "url": "/sources/paddy-power/products/football-tips/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
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    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "7a4e05cc78b5c41b80f6d14db91164799afb120ee100091f2901afc2059381f9",
    "text": "−18.90% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
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   },
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  "won_count": 1,
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  "products_in_level": 4,
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 "no_own_record": {
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 "author_type": "Prediction site",
 "data_changes": {
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  "records_corrected": 0,
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}