Recorded picks before kick-off (14): 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2), 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1), over 3.5 (3), Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1), draw (1), yes (2), over 2.5 (2), Patrik Schick to score (1), Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 2.5 (1). Across all markets: 10 won, 4 lost · 14 recorded before kick-off, median 23.6 h earlier · 1 found after kick-off, excluded from pre-match records and returns. 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-4, — Forecast Record’s prediction record for this match.
Match picture, 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, : tipsters and sources 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 + 1 from exact scores, draw 1, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 + 2 from exact scores; final score 3-4.
1. FSV Mainz 05 finished 3-4 against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. None of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 16 statements from 11 authors on 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Bundesliga, kick-off ): 15 distinct predictions, 14 of the statements recorded before kick-off.
What the tipsters and sources picked
90-minute match result · 2 tipsters and sources
1. FSV Mainz 050
Draw1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1result
Correct score · 3 tipsters and sources
1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen2
1. FSV Mainz 05 1-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen1
Both teams to score · 2 tipsters and sources
yes2won
Over/Under 2.5 goals · 2 tipsters and sources
over 2.52won
Also recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction from 1 tipster with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, listed below.
Show as table
Recorded evidence
Market
Pick
Tipsters and sources
Who
90-minute match result
Draw
1
Fabian Schuster
90-minute match result
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1
Michael Siemann
Correct score
1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2
Lewis Nolan, Matt Law
Correct score
1. FSV Mainz 05 1-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1
SportsGambler
Both teams to score
yes
2
Alex Sarwar, Lewis Nolan
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 2.5
2
Gabriel Kuczynski, Michael Siemann
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 3.5
2
Fabian Schuster, Matteo Oneto
Team goals over/under 2.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 2.5
1
Lewis Nolan
8 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date, one pick each per market, recorded before kick-off; the result is marked. Split of recorded tipsters and sources.
Saved pre-match snapshot
At that moment (): 8 counted picks. Pre-match picture set by our capture times, written · frozen at kick-off. Its filter: every prediction recorded before kick-off, from all tipsters and sources. In it: 8 publications, 8 distinct predictions, 8 with a comparable market, 8 eligible versions (one per tipster and market, published before kick-off), 8 counted picks (one per tipster, repeats counted once). Records found or added later leave these numbers as saved.
The result and the market counts on this page use the 14 predictions listed below as recorded before kick-off; the saved pre-match snapshot keeps its 8 counted picks as saved, so records that left the match record after later checks or were added later change this page, not the snapshot.
Of the 8 publications in the snapshot, 3 are listed on this page today; the other 5 left the match record after later checks.
Over/Under 2.5 goals — Most common recorded selection: over 2.5 — 2 of 3 tipsters and sources in the snapshot
Each line lists the author's settled picks in the live record at kick-off, as saved with the snapshot.
Added later: 2 records added on from the source's own history; 1 record added on from archived copies; 2 records added on from the source's own history. These are additions to the historical record, outside the saved snapshot; the current verdict counts distinct predictions.
4 of 19 settled picks won in Team goals over/under 2.5 · 9 October – · Return at our market snapshot: −69.4% Small sample (19)
Recorded comparison
Figures as of · source: our own evidence archive
Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 2 matched
All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 3 matched
Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 3 matched the score, 2 of 3 the outcome
Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction · 1 won
No single most common selection among 2 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga (Germany), : what tipsters and sources with 10 or more checked predictions picked, against the 3-4 final score.
Price comparison
Price comparison
Author
Selection
Author's price
Our market snapshot
Closing price
Michael Siemann
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2.30
2.16
—
Fabian Schuster
draw
3.80
3.81
—
Lewis Nolan
yes
1.40
1.40
—
Fabian Schuster
over 3.5
2.10
2.15
—
Matteo Oneto
over 3.5
1.95
2.15
—
Michael Siemann
over 2.5
1.45
1.44
—
Picks with both an author's price and our snapshot.
Reasons before the match
Short quotes from tipsters and sources in their own words, grouped by theme, each with its author, time and source. Conditions such as “if” or “at a price of at least” stay as written.
Form
Lewis Nolan (Both teams to score: yes, recorded ): Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between Mainz and Leverkusen, so it may make sense to predict Both Teams to Score at 2/5 (1.4).source
Alex Sarwar (Both teams to score: yes, recorded ): All signs point to both teams scoring regardless of the final outcome, so backing this should be worthwhile.source
1 more reason on this theme in the evidence below.
Tactics and style
Lewis Nolan (Correct score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen, recorded ): Maniz have been vulnerable defensively, and they may have to rely on their attack if they are to take any points on the weekend. Bayer Leverkusen boast an…source
Matt Law (Correct score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen, recorded ): Maniz have been vulnerable defensively, and they may have to rely on their attack if they are to take any points on the weekend. Bayer Leverkusen boast an…source
Price and value
Lewis Nolan (Team goals over/under 2.5: Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 2.5, recorded ): Given Mainz have conceded three goals in each of their last two games, there may be value in predicting Over 2.5 Goals for Bayer Leverkusen at 9/4 (3.25).source
4 reasons in other languages are in the evidence of each pick.
Competition
Bundesliga (Germany) · Matchweek 5
Kick-off
1. FSV Mainz 05 form
W L W D (last 4: W 4-3 at Borussia M'gladbach; L 1-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt; W 5-0 at Hamburger SV; D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen form
W W D W L (last 5: W 2-0 v RB Leipzig; W 2-0 v NK Celje; D 2-2 at FC Augsburg; W 4-0 v 1. FC Union Berlin; L 2-3 at SV 07 Elversberg)
Who predicts Bundesliga
Tipsters and sources with a tracked record who give picks in Bundesliga, and their record there. 8 of them have 10 or more settled picks in this competition.
Baba2. Bundesliga · 5/8 · 26 Oct — 62 settled picks · predictions on 29 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −11.3% · did not pick this match
Samet Yalica — 55 settled picks · predictions on 205 matches · Archived before kick-off · return −1.1% · did not pick this match
Tobias BrandtOnly right of 11 · 17 Oct — 22 settled picks · predictions on 14 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −8.5% Small sample (22) · did not pick this match
DailysportsBundesliga · 2/3 · 26 Oct — 16 settled picks · predictions on 26 matches · Recorded before kick-off · return −4.6% Small sample (16) · did not pick this match
Recorded on this match: 16 statements, 15 distinct predictions. Before kick-off: 14 selections from 11 materials on 10 websites, listed below by website. The other 1 prediction was found after kick-off and is shown with the evidence below.
Tipsters and sources with a tracked record, before kick-off: 10 publications → 10 distinct predictions → 10 with a comparable market → 10 counted picks.
footballwhispers.com: 2 selections from 1 material
Source type: (website) · Attribution: channel owner · Publication date basis: not stated by the source · Date note: The source states no publication date.
At an independent odds snapshot: price 1.39; stake 100.00; Won; points 39.23; v2.2
Source type: (website) · Attribution: channel owner · Publication date basis: not stated by the source · Date note: The source states no publication date.
At the author's stated price: price 1.41; stake 100.00; Won; points 41.00; v2.2
Source type: (website) · Attribution: channel owner · Publication date basis: not stated by the source · Date note: The source states no publication date.
At the author's stated price: price 1.95; stake 100.00; Won; points 95.00; v2.2 At an independent odds snapshot: price 2.15; stake 100.00; Won; points 115.00; v2.2
Source type: (website) · Attribution: channel owner · Publication date basis: (the source page's date)
Restored, at the author's stated price: price 1.40; stake 100.00; Won; points 40.00; retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off): price 1.44; stake 100.00; Won; points 44.00; retro-1.1
Source type: (website) · Attribution: channel owner · Publication date basis: not stated by the source · Date note: The source states no publication date.
Restored, at the author's stated price: price 2.10; stake 100.00; Won; points 110.00; retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off): price 2.31; stake 100.00; Won; points 131.00; retro-1.1
Forecast Record. 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-4: predictions and results. Data as of . /football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-10/
No correction to the records on this match. Every correction we make is listed in the corrections log.
