Michael Siemann: football tipster record

Where Michael Siemann publishes

Published under this name on n-tv.de.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/michael-siemann/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 167 predictions · last change 31 October 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

36 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 17 of 36.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 8 of 20 (prices implied 44.7% Small sample (20)); Both teams to score 4 of 8 (4 W / 4 L, average odds 1.43) Small sample (8); Over/under goals 5 of 8 (5 W / 3 L, average odds 1.65) Small sample (8); Double chance 2 of 4 (2 W / 2 L, average odds 1.75) Small sample (4).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Archived before kick-off · 2 settled archived picks · won 2 of 2

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

2 predictions; 2 checked against the final score.

2 settled selections across 1 match, 16 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +196 points.

Eligible prices were available for 2 of the 2 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 2 of 2 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 59.5%.

By market: Match result 8 of 20 (prices implied 44.7% Small sample (20)); Both teams to score 4 of 8 (4 W / 4 L, average odds 1.43) Small sample (8); Over/under goals 5 of 8 (5 W / 3 L, average odds 1.65) Small sample (8); Double chance 2 of 4 (2 W / 2 L, average odds 1.75) Small sample (4).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 1 settled after-match pick · won 1 of 1

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

8 predictions; 1 checked against the final score.

1 settled selection across 1 match, 8 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +73 points.

Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 1 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 57.8%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 33 matches

  Match result (1X2) 12/33 (33 matches); Goals over/under 17/27 (27 matches); Both teams to score 11/24 (24 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 5/9 (9 matches); Handicaps 4/8 (8 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 4.30 · 31 Oct 2026

  Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · Away win at 4.30 (our pre-match price)

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Draw calls · 4/12

  Draw calls: the rule

• Away calls · 4/14

  Away calls: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Michael Siemann? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Michael Siemann has published.

Source we monitor

n-tv.de

Channels

website

Watched by us

9–31 October 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 8 September 2026

Without a match page

58 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 5.30 against 4.80 (+10.4%) · 2.27 against 2.10 (+7.8%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

569

Predictions

167

Qualifying picks

61

Settled picks

59

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 47 opinions and 350 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−576.48 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 40 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (4,000 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −14.4% on 40 live picks settled in this window · 29 matches · 9 October – 1 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−12.2% on 39 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−14.4% on 40 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−14.0% on 38 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.2% on 39 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−11.7% on 37 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−14.0% on 38 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−9.3% on 36 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.7% on 37 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−15.9% on 26 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

After

−9.3% on 36 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

10 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 28 October 2026

Before

−18.4% on 24 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

After

−15.9% on 26 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−20.2% on 20 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

After

−18.4% on 24 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 25 October 2026

Before

−23.6% on 19 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

After

−20.2% on 20 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−50.9% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

After

−23.6% on 19 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

6 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 22 October 2026

Before

−41.9% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

After

−50.9% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−50.5% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

−41.9% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed · 21 October 2026

Before

+196.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−50.5% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (10 settled picks).

Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

Method changed · 14 October 2026

Before

−384.00 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+196.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (6 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).

New results · 11 October 2026

Before

−284.00 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−384.00 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Method changed · 10 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−284.00 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

(11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is the market price at the moment the pick was first recorded, before kick-off. First headline number for this record: 5 settled picks.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

31 October 2026, 7 days before this page's data date

Observed

9 October 2026 — 31 October 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (54 shown)

• “Licht und Schatten liegen beim Hamburger SV derzeit nah beieinander.” — 30 October 2026, 12:00 GMT · source
• “Denn die Frankfurter können auf dem Papier so viel mehr, als sie aktuell zeigen.” — 30 October 2026, 12:00 GMT · source
• “Dieses Spiel ist, wegen der Kölner Auswärtsschwäche, schwer zu bewerten.” — 30 October 2026, 11:54 GMT · source
• “Immerhin spricht das Heimrecht im Stadion an der Alten Försterei für die Eisernen.” — 30 October 2026, 11:54 GMT · source
• “Allerdings haben die Geißböcke moralisch jetzt das leichtere Spiel.” — 30 October 2026, 11:54 GMT · source
• “Die Rote Laterne können die Fohlen aber, wenn überhaupt, dann wohl nur an Union Berlin weiterreichen.” — 29 October 2026, 02:05 GMT · source
• “Die Ausgangslage ist für den Karlsruher SC aber prekärer.” — 29 October 2026, 05:22 GMT · source
• “Beide Bundesligisten haben ihre eigene Baustelle – allerdings jeweils am anderen Ende der Tabelle.” — 29 October 2026, 04:05 GMT · source
• “Verliert die Werkself den Anschluss oder sind die Schwaben ein Abstiegskandidat?” — 29 October 2026, 04:05 GMT · source
• “Können die Knappen mehr, als sich nur in ihrer Rüstung zu verstecken?” — 29 October 2026, 05:06 GMT · source
• “Besonders bei der engen Tabellenlage sind die Wett-Tipps auf Cottbus vs. Bochum daher von” — 28 October 2026, 04:24 GMT · source

• Andererseits endeten die letzten beiden Hamburger Ligaspiele mit einer Null im Ergebnis.

  30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Riskanter mag das Not2Score (Nicht beide Teams treffen) sein.

  30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Besonders die jungen Abwehrspieler beim HSV zahlten Lehrgeld.

  30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Sorgen bereitet den Fans das Torverhältnis von 6:16.

  30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Interwetten Bonus: Wie für dich gemacht?*

  30 Oct 2026, 12:00 GMT · Source

• Frankfurt vs. Hamburg: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – Bundesliga 01.11.2026

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Der 1. FC Köln sollte darauf bedacht sein, seine erste Elf wie im Pokalspiel zu erhalten.

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Beim 1. FC Union Berlin könnte es Änderungen geben – zumindest im Tor.

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Spektakuläres Remis bei beidseitigen Treffern bei bwin: Beide Teams treffen und das Spiel endet unentschieden – 4,50 (statt 4,00)

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• 20€ gratis für Union Berlin vs. Köln

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Stand der Quoten: 30.10.2026, Änderungen jederzeit möglich.

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Zusätzlich 80€ für die erste Einzahlung

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Betano Bonus: Hält das Angebot, was es verspricht?*

  30 Oct 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Urbig wird vermutlich nur dann spielen, wenn Neuer nicht völlig fit ist.

  29 Oct 2026, 04:37 GMT · Source

• Lust auf einen neuen Bonus? Hier geht es zu Interwetten!*

  29 Oct 2026, 04:37 GMT · Source

• Medienkooperation

  29 Oct 2026, 04:37 GMT · Source

• Zwar ist Nicolas im Tor von Borussia Mönchengladbach laut unserer Vorhersage nicht fehlerfrei

  29 Oct 2026, 02:05 GMT · Source

• Prüfe die Variablen vom Interwetten Bonus.*

  29 Oct 2026, 02:05 GMT · Source

• Prüfe diesen Wert gerne über den Wettanbieter Vergleich.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:22 GMT · Source

• Hast du Lust auf den Interwetten Bonus?*

  29 Oct 2026, 05:22 GMT · Source

• Wir lassen die KI-Prognose bewusst außen vor und setzen auf Experten, die sich selbst mit dem Duell befassen.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:22 GMT · Source

• Ebenfalls interessant Augsburg vs. Freiburg: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – Bundesliga 31.10.2026

  29 Oct 2026, 03:23 GMT · Source

• Mit dem Betano Bonus bist du bestens aufgestellt.*

  29 Oct 2026, 03:23 GMT · Source

• Änderungen an der Leverkusener Startelf halten wir für Realistisch.

  29 Oct 2026, 04:05 GMT · Source

• Interwetten Bonus: Prüfe die Details!*

  29 Oct 2026, 04:05 GMT · Source

• Ebenfalls interessant Karlsruhe vs. Heidenheim: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – 2. Bundesliga 31.10.2026

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Das Match gegen Mainz nehmen wir als Blaupause für die voraussichtliche Aufstellung des SV Werder.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Damals gewann Hoffenheim mit 2:0 und 1:0.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Daheim gab es zwei Dreier und ein Remis (8:5 Treffer) zu sehen.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Aktuell mischen die Bremer im Kampf um die Europa-Plätze mit.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Form, Effizienz und jüngere Leistungswerte können ein anderes Bild zeichnen als der bloße Blick

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Trifft der Betano Bonus deinen Geschmack?*

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Unsere Reihenfolge bei Bremen vs. Hoffenheim ist bewusst einfach: erst selbst analysieren

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Dort sind die Bremer auf Platz sechs zu finden, Hoffenheim ist Zehnter.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Im Pokal flog der SV Werder trotz eines starken Matches gegen den BVB raus.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:36 GMT · Source

• Es ist schwer zu beziffern, wie viele Punkte Karius den Schalkern im Tor schon gesichert hat.

  29 Oct 2026, 05:06 GMT · Source

• Mit dem Interwetten Neukundenbonus erweiterst du deinen Spielraum.*

  29 Oct 2026, 05:06 GMT · Source

• Ebenfalls interessant Gladbach vs. Paderborn: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – Bundesliga 31.10.2026

  29 Oct 2026, 03:06 GMT · Source

• Was uns zum VfL Bochum führt, wo nach wie vor Horn das Tor hütet.

  28 Oct 2026, 04:24 GMT · Source

• Lotka ist der Mann des Vertrauens zwischen den Pfosten des FC Energie Cottbus.

  28 Oct 2026, 04:24 GMT · Source

• Torwart Hoffmann musste zuletzt verletzt raus. Wir erwarten ihn trotzdem im Tor.

  28 Oct 2026, 03:24 GMT · Source

• Erneut erwarten wir Kersken im Tor von Arminia Bielefeld.

  28 Oct 2026, 03:24 GMT · Source

• Reimann ist der Schlussmann beim 1. FC Magdeburg.

  26 Oct 2026, 07:54 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Michael Siemann
• A month following Michael Siemann
• Said → happened — Michael Siemann
• Turning point — Michael Siemann

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Michael Siemann

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

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• 9