SportsGambler (football): football prediction source record
Forecast Record recorded 68 settled live picks by SportsGambler (football) before kick-off across 67 matches between 26 September and . At our recorded market prices these picks returned −11.0% on the total staked.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Return at our recorded market prices
−11.0%Measured
68 settled picks with an eligible price · 67 matches · picks settled under method v2.2
95% interval −34.4% to +10.3%
Won 31 of 64 (48.4%) at average odds 1.94; those prices implied 53.6% (including bookmaker margin).
Eligible prices were available for 68 of the 551 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record recorded 68 settled live picks by SportsGambler (football) before kick-off across 67 matches between 26 September and 10 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −11.0% on the total staked. Of the 2,108 predictions we hold for SportsGambler (football), 1,078 are linked to matches: 674 were recorded by us before kick-off and 404 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Forecast Record recorded 68 settled live picks by SportsGambler (football) before kick-off across 67 matches between 26 September and 10 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −11.0% on the total staked. Of the 2,108 predictions we hold for SportsGambler (football), 1,078 are linked to matches: 674 were recorded by us before kick-off and 404 first found after the match. Figures as of .
https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sportsgambler/
3,862 statements read → 2,108 predictions → 1,078 linked to matches → 674 recorded before kick-off → 551 outcome-checked → 68 at our recorded market price (+132 at other prices) · 404 found after kick-off (not in the return)
On 68 picks with a stated price, the source's price was above our market price on 4 (5.9%), within 5.0% on 57; median difference −0.1%.
Latest outcomes
Return over time
Recorded by us before kick-off: Net result −728.20 points on 68 settled live picks · Lowest point −1,061.79 points.
Show chart as a table
| Date | Settled picks | Cumulative points |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | -300.00 | |
| 9 | -320.00 | |
| 10 | -236.67 | |
| 11 | -336.67 | |
| 16 | -571.67 | |
| 31 | -686.73 | |
| 36 | -655.89 | |
| 40 | -884.46 | |
| 42 | -901.46 | |
| 47 | -1,061.79 | |
| 49 | -857.95 | |
| 54 | -723.49 | |
| 68 | -728.20 |
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 16/29 | 3.3% Small sample (29) | 1.93 |
| Asian handicap | 9/21 | −11.9% Small sample (21) | 2.12 |
| Over/under goals | 6/14 | −26.0% Small sample (14) | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | 1 W / 3 L | — Small sample (4) | 1.71 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brasileiro Série B | 6/15 | −19.8% Small sample (15) | 1.86 |
| Liga Profesional | 5/10 | −13.7% Small sample (10) | 1.80 |
| EFL Championship | 4 W / 3 L | — Small sample (7) | 1.73 |
| LaLiga Segunda | 4 W / 2 L | — Small sample (6) | 1.86 |
| Brasileiro Série A | 3 W / 2 L | — Small sample (5) | 1.87 |
+10 competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 3 W / 2 L | — Small sample (5) | 1.87 |
| Primera A | 3 W / 2 L | — Small sample (5) | 2.88 |
| EFL League One | 0 W / 4 L | — Small sample (4) | 1.92 |
| MLS | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (3) | 2.09 |
| Bundesliga | 0 W / 2 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.91 |
| Liga MX | 0 W / 2 L | — Small sample (2) | 2.02 |
| Eredivisie | 0 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.87 |
| Primeira Liga | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.90 |
| Serie B | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.87 |
| Süper Lig | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.97 |
Recorded picks and results
Asian handicap 0.25: Watford +0.251.84 market priceRecorded 41.3 h before kick-offLost
Watford Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.77sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.77, market 1.84, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Sunderland 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion ·
1X2: Brighton & Hove Albion2.30 market priceRecorded 41.4 h before kick-offWon
Brighton To Win @ 2.32sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 2.32, market 2.30, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Asian handicap 0.25: Ipswich Town +0.251.72 market priceRecorded 41.4 h before kick-offWon
We’ll split our stake by backing Ipswich +0.25 at odds of 1.68 for this Asian Handicap wager.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.68, market 1.72, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Asian handicap 0.75: AFC Bournemouth +0.752.00 market priceRecorded 41.4 h before kick-offLost
Bournemouth Asian Hcp +0.75 @ 1.90sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.90, market 2.00, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City ·
BTTS: yes1.65 market priceRecorded 41.2 h before kick-offWon
Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.62sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.62, market 1.65, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City ·
Asian handicap 0.25: Blackburn Rovers +0.251.65 market priceRecorded 41.2 h before kick-offWon
Blackburn Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.68sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.68, market 1.65, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City ·
Correct score: Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Cardiff City8.50Recorded 41.2 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of 8.50 and it involves Blackburn winning 1-0.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 8.50, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City ·
Correct score: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Stoke City5.60Recorded 41.2 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of 5.60 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 5.60, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Correct score: Derby County 1-0 Wrexham7.00Recorded 41.2 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
Let’s take a chance on the 7.00 available that Derby secure a 1-0 victory.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 7.00, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Asian handicap 0.25: Derby County +0.251.61 market priceRecorded 41.2 h before kick-offHalf won
Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.64sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.64, market 1.61, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Preston North End 0-1 Millwall ·
BTTS: yes1.64 market priceRecorded 41.2 h before kick-offLost
Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.65sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.65, market 1.64, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Sheffield United 3-0 Lincoln City ·
Asian handicap 0.25: Lincoln City +0.251.99 market priceRecorded 41.2 h before kick-offLost
Lincoln Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.98sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.98, market 1.99, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Correct score: Watford 1-0 Burnley8.00Recorded 41.3 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
Watford are available at 8.00 to secure a 1-0 victory.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 8.00, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Player shots on target over/under 0.5: Kevin Schade over 0.5 shots on target1.65Recorded 41.3 h before kick-offWonno market price · not in the headline series
Kevin Schade (Brentford) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in three consecutive Premier League away games. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of 1.65 up for grabs.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.65, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Correct score: Aston Villa 2-1 Brentford9.00Recorded 41.3 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
Let’s go for Brentford to win 2-1, a bet which is available at 9.00.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 9.00, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.51.66 market priceRecorded 41.3 h before kick-offWon
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.66sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 1.66, market 1.66, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Player to score: Ryan Christie to score5.50Recorded 41.4 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
Ryan Christie (Bournemouth) is available at 5.50 to find the net. We believe this is the best of the player props, with healthy odds available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 5.50, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Correct score: Chelsea 1-1 AFC Bournemouth7.50Recorded 41.4 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
There are attractive odds of 7.50 when it comes to a 1-1 draw being played out.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 7.50, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Correct score: Ipswich Town 1-0 Fulham9.50Recorded 41.4 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
Let’s take a chance on the 9.50 available that Ipswich secure a 1-0 victory.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 9.50, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
Sunderland 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion ·
Correct score: Sunderland 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion8.50Recorded 41.4 h before kick-offLostno market price · not in the headline series
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Brighton at odds of 8.50.sportsgambler.com
- Tipster / Source
- SportsGambler (football)
- Prices
- Stated 8.50, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 117 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Editorial source · sportsgambler.com · observed 24 September –
SportsGambler: Football Prediction Record
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 68 settled live picks, 67 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. 117 records shown here have been corrected; the last correction was on , with its reason in the corrections log. Corrections log. Added later: 31 records added on Found after kick-off; 33 records added on Found after kick-off; 116 records added on Found after kick-off; 224 more records added on other dates. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
About this publishing channel
SportsGambler (football) is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.
Its own published record, checked
- · Richard Clarke — Not directly comparable: the source counts only the main match prediction of each preview; Forecast Record records every prediction in it; the Forecast Record record of SportsGambler covers the site as a whole.
- · Gabriel Oliveira — Not directly comparable: the source counts only the main match prediction of each preview; Forecast Record records every prediction in it; the Forecast Record record of SportsGambler covers the site as a whole.
- · George Edwards — Not directly comparable: the source counts only the main match prediction of each preview; Forecast Record records every prediction in it; the Forecast Record record of SportsGambler covers the site as a whole.
How the source counts and how we recount the same picks: each check, and the full list of record checks.
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sportsgambler/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 24 September 2026 · 2,108 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match
242 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 66 of 234.
Prices implied by market
By market: Match result 16 of 29 (prices implied 52.3% Small sample (29)); Asian handicap 8 of 17 (prices implied 51.5% Small sample (17)); Over/under goals 6 of 14 (prices implied 57.5% Small sample (14)); Both teams to score 1 of 4 (1 W / 3 L, average odds 1.71) Small sample (4).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own. 4 picks left out: void, or half won or half lost on a quarter-goal line.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Return at our recorded market price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 67 | 26 September – | −10.4% | −9.7% |
| Closing price | 24 | 26 September – | −7.6% | −7.5% |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Score forecasts without a betting market price
Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.
5 of 40 score forecasts named the exact score (12.5%).
The result implied by the named score was right in 11 of 22 matches; the market favourite was right in 11 of the same 22 matches.
A pre-match market favourite is known for 22 of 40 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.
The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.
The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
404 predictions; 277 checked against the final score.
Record details and history
More dated records
- Exact score 1–1 · Fortaleza v Millonarios ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Fortaleza v Millonarios · Correct score: Fortaleza 1-1 Millonarios at 5.6 · score right · result right
- Exact score 2–0 · Kashima Antlers v Gamba Osaka ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Kashima Antlers v Gamba Osaka · Correct score: Kashima Antlers 2-0 Gamba Osaka at 7 · score right · result right
- Exact score 1–0 · Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel · Correct score: Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel at 9 · score right · result right
- Exact score 0–2 · Ponte Preta v Juventude ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Ponte Preta v Juventude · Correct score: Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude at 5.2 · score right · result right
- Exact score 0–1 · America Mineiro v Fortaleza ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · America Mineiro v Fortaleza · Correct score: America Mineiro 0-1 Fortaleza at 6.25 · score right · result right
- Exact score 3–0 · England v Czechia ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · England v Czechia · Correct score: England 3-0 Czechia at 6.25 · score right · result right · 2 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 1 right
- Exact score 1–0 · Belarus v Finland ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Belarus v Finland · Correct score: Belarus 1-0 Finland at 7 · score right · result right · 1 other tipster named an exact score on this match, 0 right
- Exact score 1–2 · Croatia v Spain ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Croatia v Spain · Correct score: Croatia 1-2 Spain · score right · result right · 1 other tipster named an exact score on this match, 0 right
- Draw at 3.19 · Las Palmas v Real Valladolid ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Las Palmas v Real Valladolid · Correct score: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Valladolid at 5.1 · score wrong · result right · price 3.19
- Away win at 3.02 · Botafogo SP v Vila Nova ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Botafogo SP v Vila Nova · Correct score: Botafogo SP 1-2 Vila Nova at 8.5 · score wrong · result right · price 3.02
- Exact score 0–1 · Avaí v Ceará ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Avaí v Ceará · Correct score: Avaí 0-1 Ceará at 6.75 · score right · result right
- Exact score 2–0 · Atletico Goianiense v America Mineiro ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Atletico Goianiense v America Mineiro · Correct score: Atletico Goianiense 2-0 America Mineiro at 5.5 · score right · result right
- Exact score 3–0 · Novorizontino v Goias ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Novorizontino v Goias · Correct score: Novorizontino 3-0 Goias at 9.5 · score right · result right
- Exact score 2–0 · Deportivo Cali v Rionegro Águilas Doradas ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Deportivo Cali v Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Correct score: Deportivo Cali 2-0 Rionegro Águilas Doradas at 6.1 · score right · result right
- Exact score 2–0 · Nashville SC v Toronto FC ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Nashville SC v Toronto FC · Correct score: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC at 7 · score right · result right
- Exact score 3–1 · San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers · Correct score: San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers at 10 · score right · result right
- Exact score 0–1 · Goias v Atletico Goianiense ·
On show until · The picks behind it
- · Goias v Atletico Goianiense · Correct score: Goias 0-1 Atletico Goianiense at 6.75 · score right · result right
Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
- Stated
- The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything SportsGambler (football) has published.
- Source we monitor
- sportsgambler.com
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- 24 September –
- Without a match page
- 1,030 predictions
Stated price vs market
How the prices this source stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
| Compared with | Picks | >5.0% above | >5.0% below | Within | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our market price when we first recorded the pick | 68 | 4 (5.9%) | 7 | 57 | −0.1% |
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the source's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the source’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Largest gaps: 1.72 against 2.29 (−25.1%) · 1.75 against 1.97 (−11.2%)
Source's response
No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 3,862
- Predictions
- 2,108
- Qualifying picks
- 243
- Settled picks
- 200
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 117 opinions and 1,616 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−728.20 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 68 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (6,600 points), void picks excluded (2 void). Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −11.0% on 68 live picks settled in this window · 67 matches · 26 September – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −12.6% on 67 settled picks across 66 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −11.0% on 68 settled picks across 67 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −15.9% on 64 settled picks across 63 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −12.6% on 67 settled picks across 66 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −16.3% on 62 settled picks across 61 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −15.9% on 64 settled picks across 63 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −19.2% on 46 settled picks across 45 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −16.3% on 62 settled picks across 61 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 16 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Data corrected ·
- Before
- −16.8% on 47 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −19.2% on 46 settled picks across 45 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.
Data corrected ·
- Before
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −16.8% on 47 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Data corrected ·
- Before
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.
Method changed ·
- Before
- −10.9% on 43 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1
- After
- −15.8% on 49 settled picks across 48 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
(): the live market price of a pick is the market price at the moment the pick was first recorded, before kick-off. Was: −10.9% (43 settled picks). Now: −15.8% (49 settled picks).
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −8.6% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1
- After
- −10.9% on 43 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- −6.4% on 36 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1
- After
- −8.6% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1
5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
Method changed ·
- Before
- −123.00 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · author's stated odds · method 2.0
- After
- −6.4% on 36 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1
The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (36 settled picks) instead of “author's stated odds” (4 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.
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Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford v Burnley Lost | At the source's stated price | Asian handicap 0.25 — Watford +0.25 | 1.77 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Watford v Burnley Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap 0.25 — Watford +0.25 | 1.84 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion Won | At the source's stated price | 1X2, match result — Brighton & Hove Albion | 2.32 | 100.00 | Won | 132.00 | v2.1 |
| Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Brighton & Hove Albion | 2.30 | 100.00 | Won | 130.00 | v2.2 |
| Ipswich Town v Fulham Won | At the source's stated price | Asian handicap 0.25 — Ipswich Town +0.25 | 1.68 | 100.00 | Won | 68.00 | v2.1 |
| Ipswich Town v Fulham Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap 0.25 — Ipswich Town +0.25 | 1.72 | 100.00 | Won | 72.00 | v2.2 |
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Lost | At the source's stated price | Asian handicap 0.75 — AFC Bournemouth +0.75 | 1.90 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap 0.75 — AFC Bournemouth +0.75 | 2.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City Won | At the source's stated price | Both teams to score — yes | 1.62 | 100.00 | Won | 62.00 | v2.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Both teams to score — yes | 1.65 | 100.00 | Won | 65.00 | v2.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City Won | At the source's stated price | Asian handicap 0.25 — Blackburn Rovers +0.25 | 1.68 | 100.00 | Won | 68.00 | v2.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap 0.25 — Blackburn Rovers +0.25 | 1.65 | 100.00 | Won | 65.00 | v2.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Cardiff City | 8.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Stoke City | 5.60 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Derby County v Wrexham Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Derby County 1-0 Wrexham | 7.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Derby County v Wrexham Half won | At the source's stated price | Asian handicap 0.25 — Derby County +0.25 | 1.64 | 100.00 | Half won | 32.00 | v2.1 |
| Derby County v Wrexham Half won | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap 0.25 — Derby County +0.25 | 1.61 | 100.00 | Half won | 30.50 | v2.2 |
| Preston North End v Millwall Lost | At the source's stated price | Both teams to score — yes | 1.65 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Preston North End v Millwall Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Both teams to score — yes | 1.64 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Sheffield United v Lincoln City Lost | At the source's stated price | Asian handicap 0.25 — Lincoln City +0.25 | 1.98 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Sheffield United v Lincoln City Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap 0.25 — Lincoln City +0.25 | 1.99 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Watford v Burnley Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Watford 1-0 Burnley | 8.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford Won | At the source's stated price | Player shots on target over/under 0.5 — Kevin Schade over 0.5 shots on target | 1.65 | 100.00 | Won | 65.00 | v2.1 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Aston Villa 2-1 Brentford | 9.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford Won | At the source's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.66 | 100.00 | Won | 66.00 | v2.1 |
| Aston Villa v Brentford Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.66 | 100.00 | Won | 65.79 | v2.2 |
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Lost | At the source's stated price | Player to score — Ryan Christie to score | 5.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Chelsea 1-1 AFC Bournemouth | 7.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Ipswich Town v Fulham Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Ipswich Town 1-0 Fulham | 9.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |
| Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion Lost | At the source's stated price | Correct score — Sunderland 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion | 8.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.1 |