Tobias Brandt: football tipster record

Where Tobias Brandt publishes

Published under this name on sportwetten.bild.de.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/tobias-brandt/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 769 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

131 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 76 of 131.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 16 of 30 (prices implied 55.7%); Match result 13 of 28 (prices implied 30.6% Small sample (28)); Both teams to score 7 of 18 (prices implied 41.9% Small sample (18)); Double chance 6 of 17 (prices implied 51.7% Small sample (17)); Asian handicap 3 of 7 (3 W / 4 L, average odds 2.41) Small sample (7).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 62 settled after-match picks · −7.5%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

141 predictions; 84 checked against the final score.

62 settled selections across 24 matches, 19 April – 25 November 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −7.5% (95.0% interval −31.3% to +20.2%).

Eligible prices were available for 62 of the 84 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 34 of 62 decided picks (54.8%); the prices of the same picks implied 56.2%.

By market: Over/under goals 16 of 30 (prices implied 55.7%); Match result 13 of 28 (prices implied 30.6% Small sample (28)); Both teams to score 7 of 18 (prices implied 41.9% Small sample (18)); Double chance 6 of 17 (prices implied 51.7% Small sample (17)); Asian handicap 3 of 7 (3 W / 4 L, average odds 2.41) Small sample (7).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

More dated records

• Draw at 3.44 · Riga v Jablonec · 5 Nov 2026

  On show until 3 Feb 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 5 November 2026 · Riga v Jablonec · 1X2, match result: draw at 3.4 · right · price 3.44 · 9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (8 named home win, 1 named draw)
• Draw at 3.60 · Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United · 25 Oct 2026

  On show until 23 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 25 October 2026 · Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United · 1X2, match result: draw at 3.6 · right · price 3.60 · 2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (1 named draw, 1 named away win)
• Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · 24 Oct 2026

  On show until 22 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 24 October 2026 · 1. FC Heidenheim v Cottbus · 1X2, match result: draw at 4.55 · right · 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)
• Draw at 3.71 · Pafos v Riga · 22 Oct 2026

  On show until 20 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 22 October 2026 · Pafos v Riga · 1X2, match result: draw at 4 · right · price 3.71 · 7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (6 named home win, 1 named draw)
• Away win at 3.50 · Getafe v FC Lugano · 22 Oct 2026

  On show until 20 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 22 October 2026 · Getafe v FC Lugano · 1X2, match result: FC Lugano at 4.33 · right · price 3.50 · 14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (8 named home win, 4 named draw, 2 named away win)
• Draw at 3.25 · Málaga CF v Espanyol · 9 Oct 2026

  On show until 7 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 9 October 2026 · Málaga CF v Espanyol · 1X2, match result: draw at 3.25 · right · price 3.25 · 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (2 named away win, 1 named draw)

Record details

• Most recorded: Goals over/under · 78 matches

  Goals over/under 53/80 (78 matches); Both teams to score 24/56 (56 matches); Match result (1X2) 21/45 (45 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 21/46 (44 matches); Handicaps 17/29 (27 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Minority calls · 0/2

  Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.

  Minority calls: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 8.50 · 31 Oct 2026

  Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard · Draw at 8.50 (our pre-match price)

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Draw calls · 10/29

  Draw calls: the rule

• Away calls · 6/10

  Away calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 8/18

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Tobias Brandt? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Tobias Brandt has published.

Source we monitor

sportwetten.bild.de

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 7 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 19 April 2025

Without a match page

338 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off); Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 4.00 against 5.00 (−20.0%) · 1.53 against 1.86 (−17.8%) · 1.63 against 2.05 (−20.5%) · 2.60 against 2.25 (+15.6%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

2,717

Predictions

769

Qualifying picks

223

Settled picks

198

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 398 opinions and 1,473 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+212.78 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 100 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (10,000 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +2.1% on 100 live picks settled in this window · 63 matches · 9 October – 6 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

+3.2% on 99 settled picks across 62 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+2.1% on 100 settled picks across 63 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

+5.0% on 94 settled picks across 58 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+3.2% on 99 settled picks across 62 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

+4.1% on 92 settled picks across 57 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+5.0% on 94 settled picks across 58 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

+5.2% on 91 settled picks across 56 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+4.1% on 92 settled picks across 57 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 2 November 2026

Before

+5.8% on 89 settled picks across 55 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+5.2% on 91 settled picks across 56 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 2 November 2026

Before

+7.0% on 88 settled picks across 54 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+5.8% on 89 settled picks across 55 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

+9.5% on 86 settled picks across 52 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+7.0% on 88 settled picks across 54 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 1 November 2026

Before

+10.8% on 85 settled picks across 51 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+9.5% on 86 settled picks across 52 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

+9.3% on 74 settled picks across 47 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+10.8% on 85 settled picks across 51 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

11 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

+7.1% on 72 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+9.3% on 74 settled picks across 47 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 29 October 2026

Before

+9.3% on 67 settled picks across 43 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+7.1% on 72 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

+8.7% on 53 settled picks across 34 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+9.3% on 67 settled picks across 43 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 9 new results.

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

+5.9% on 51 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+8.7% on 53 settled picks across 34 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

+0.9% on 50 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+5.9% on 51 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 25 October 2026

Before

+2.9% on 49 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+0.9% on 50 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

+7.7% on 45 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+2.9% on 49 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

+11.8% on 42 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+7.7% on 45 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 23 October 2026

Before

+6.1% on 38 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+11.8% on 42 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−13.5% on 35 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+6.1% on 38 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−22.4% on 32 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−13.5% on 35 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

9 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (41 shown)

• “Ein frühes Tor von Benfica ist das größte Risiko für diesen Tipp, doch die jüngsten Ergebnisse” — 7 November 2026, 07:35 GMT · source
• “Angesichts der jüngsten Offensivform ist „Zürich gewinnt“ ein interessanter Überraschungstipp.” — 7 November 2026, 07:00 GMT · source
• “Seine jüngsten Spiele ohne Gegentor machen den Tipp „Beide Teams treffen: Nein“ interessant.” — 7 November 2026, 05:15 GMT · source
• “Auf „Troyes oder Unentschieden“ zu setzen, ist angesichts der Siegesserie von PSG riskant” — 6 November 2026, 10:43 GMT · source
• “Weil Genk zuletzt in der Liga häufiger ohne Tor blieb, ist ein Tipp auf ein Spiel ohne Gegentor für Union” — 6 November 2026, 09:35 GMT · source
• “Eine Handicap-Wette ist deshalb riskanter als der Tipp auf den direkten Sieg.” — 6 November 2026, 09:35 GMT · source
• “Allerdings machen vier knappe Siege in den jüngsten direkten Duellen das asiatische Handicap” — 6 November 2026, 09:35 GMT · source
• “Diesmal spricht einiges für einen Sieg mit größerem Vorsprung.” — 6 November 2026, 09:35 GMT · source
• “Wegen der anfälligen rechten Seite bleibt das Handicap die Hauptwette.” — 6 November 2026, 09:45 GMT · source
• “Wer das Duell aus Wettsicht betrachtet, sollte sich daher nicht allein an der Tabelle orientieren” — 6 November 2026, 09:20 GMT · source

• Vangelis Pavlidis, mit zehn Toren der beste Schütze der Liga, dürfte nach seinem Platz auf der Bank gegen Lech wieder in die Startelf rücken

  7 Nov 2026, 07:35 GMT · Source

• Jeremy Arévalo fällt aus.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:35 GMT · Source

• In allen vier zuletzt aufgeführten Duellen traf Alanyaspor.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:10 GMT · Source

• Franculino und Arseniy Batagov fallen aus.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:10 GMT · Source

• Gemini (Gemini 3.8 Flash) Trabzonspor Ja Nein

  7 Nov 2026, 07:10 GMT · Source

• Bei ODDSET setzen

  7 Nov 2026, 07:10 GMT · Source

• Verletzungsbedingt fehlen Yevgen Morozov, Ilan Sauter, Chris Kablan, Bledian Krasniqi und Damienus Reverson.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Zürich könnte im 4-1-4-1 spielen: Silas Huber stünde im Tor

  7 Nov 2026, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Zürichs 5:3-Ligasieg bei BSC Young Boys setzte offensiv ein Zeichen: Umeh Emmanuel traf zweimal

  7 Nov 2026, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Servettes 1:2 beim FC St. Gallen stoppte einen vielversprechenden Lauf.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Wer dennoch auf Zürich setzt, sollte neben der Quote auch die Bedingungen eines Wettbonus für

  7 Nov 2026, 07:00 GMT · Source

• Elche 27% Real Betis Sevilla 47%

  7 Nov 2026, 05:15 GMT · Source

• Genua 21% AC Mailand 53%

  7 Nov 2026, 05:15 GMT · Source

• Zugleich muss Jahn Regensburg die bestätigten Ausfälle der Innenverteidiger Felix Strauss

  7 Nov 2026, 05:15 GMT · Source

• Lucas Hermes und Nassim Boujellab kommen in dieser Saison auf jeweils zehn Torbeteiligungen.

  7 Nov 2026, 05:15 GMT · Source

• Moritz Broschinski fällt mit einer Knöchelverletzung aus.

  7 Nov 2026, 05:05 GMT · Source

• Karlsruhes Angreifer Moritz Broschinski fällt wegen einer Knöchelverletzung aus;

  7 Nov 2026, 05:05 GMT · Source

• Der Gegner hat allerdings fünf Spiele in Folge gewonnen.

  6 Nov 2026, 10:43 GMT · Source

• Allerdings traf Troyes in jedem der letzten vier aufgeführten Duelle. Die Wette „Beide Teams treffen

  6 Nov 2026, 10:43 GMT · Source

• In den zehn bisherigen Pflichtspielduellen hat PSG neunmal gewonnen, einmal gab es ein Remis.

  6 Nov 2026, 10:43 GMT · Source

• Das spricht für einen Tipp auf die Torzahl.

  6 Nov 2026, 09:35 GMT · Source

• Quoten können sich ändern. Veröffentlicht 6. November 2026.

  6 Nov 2026, 09:35 GMT · Source

• Union Saint-Gilloise könnte im 3-4-2-1 spielen: mit Hervé Koffi im Tor sowie Nohim Chibani

  6 Nov 2026, 09:35 GMT · Source

• Alle Buchmacher auf Bild Sportwetten sind offiziell unter Gemeinsame Glücksspielbehörde der

  6 Nov 2026, 09:35 GMT · Source

• Die Rechtsverteidiger Salim Diakité und Wilguens Paugain fallen aus.

  6 Nov 2026, 09:45 GMT · Source

• In der Liga muss die Mannschaft ihre Chancen allerdings konsequenter nutzen.

  6 Nov 2026, 09:45 GMT · Source

• In drei erfassten Begegnungen in Folge fielen vor der Pause weniger als zwei Tore

  6 Nov 2026, 09:20 GMT · Source

• Das 1:1 in der Liga bei Standard Lüttich zeigt allerdings, dass Beichlers Mannschaft mithalten kann.

  6 Nov 2026, 09:20 GMT · Source

• Nach der Roten Karte für James Ndjeungoue und zwei Eigentoren verlor die Mannschaft in der Liga

  6 Nov 2026, 09:20 GMT · Source

• Vor der Pause gab es Möglichkeiten, dauerhaften Druck entwickelte die Mannschaft aber kaum.

  6 Nov 2026, 09:20 GMT · Source

• In allen vier Duellen fielen mehr als 2,5 Tore, und Cercle Brügge traf jedes Mal.

  6 Nov 2026, 08:15 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (3)

• Bankroll card — Tobias Brandt
• A month following Tobias Brandt
• Turning point — Tobias Brandt

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Tobias Brandt

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
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• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 6 more dated records below
• Record details and history below
• 39