Ali Demir: football tipster record

Where Ali Demir publishes

Published under this name on sportwetten.bild.de.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ali-demir/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 652 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

110 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 49 of 109.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 11 of 24 (prices implied 58.0% Small sample (24)); Double chance 8 of 21 (prices implied 52.4% Small sample (21)); Match result 6 of 19 (prices implied 30.6% Small sample (19)); Both teams to score 8 of 15 (prices implied 44.2% Small sample (15)); Asian handicap 4 of 7 (4 W / 3 L, average odds 2.52) Small sample (7).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 40 settled after-match picks · +13.4%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

134 predictions; 76 checked against the final score.

40 settled selections across 13 matches, 23 August – 6 December 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +13.4% (95.0% interval −45.3% to +87.9%).

Eligible prices were available for 40 of the 76 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 20 of 40 decided picks (50.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 53.0%.

By market: Over/under goals 11 of 24 (prices implied 58.0% Small sample (24)); Double chance 8 of 21 (prices implied 52.4% Small sample (21)); Match result 6 of 19 (prices implied 30.6% Small sample (19)); Both teams to score 8 of 15 (prices implied 44.2% Small sample (15)); Asian handicap 4 of 7 (4 W / 3 L, average odds 2.52) Small sample (7).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

1 score forecast is waiting for a final score.

Record details and history

More dated records

• Draw at 3.95 · Santos v Bahia · 25 Oct 2026

  On show until 23 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 25 October 2026 · Santos v Bahia · 1X2, match result: draw at 3.7 · right · price 3.95 · 5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win)
• Draw at 3.10 · Sunderland v Leeds United · 25 Oct 2026

  On show until 23 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 25 October 2026 · Sunderland v Leeds United · 1X2, match result: draw at 3.2 · right · price 3.10 · 21 other tipsters and sources on this match, 5 right (14 named away win, 5 named draw, 2 named home win)
• Home win at 3.05 · Sturm Graz v Olympique de Marseille · 22 Oct 2026

  On show until 20 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 22 October 2026 · Sturm Graz v Olympique de Marseille · 1X2, match result: Sturm Graz at 3.4 · right · price 3.05 · 15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (8 named away win, 4 named home win, 3 named draw)

Record details

• Most recorded: Goals over/under · 58 matches

  Goals over/under 30/59 (58 matches); Both teams to score 23/52 (51 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 16/39 (37 matches); Match result (1X2) 10/35 (34 matches); Handicaps 12/20 (18 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Minority calls · 2/2

  Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.

  Minority calls: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 4.70 · 24 Oct 2026

  Aston Villa v Manchester City · Home win at 4.70 (our pre-match price)

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Draw calls · 3/23

  Draw calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 4/16

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Ali Demir? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Ali Demir has published.

Source we monitor

sportwetten.bild.de

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 7 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 23 August 2025

Without a match page

271 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off); Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed. 2 pairs left out: the prices differ more than twofold.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 2.15 against 2.47 (−13.0%) · 2.15 against 2.46 (−12.6%) · 1.74 against 2.38 (−26.9%) · 2.04 against 1.92 (+6.4%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

2,039

Predictions

652

Qualifying picks

172

Settled picks

147

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 319 opinions and 993 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−622.88 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 86 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (8,600 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −7.2% on 86 live picks settled in this window · 53 matches · 9 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

New results · 7 November 2026

Before

−5.9% on 83 settled picks across 52 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−7.2% on 86 settled picks across 53 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

−14.2% on 78 settled picks across 49 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−5.9% on 83 settled picks across 52 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−17.1% on 74 settled picks across 47 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−14.2% on 78 settled picks across 49 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

−14.8% on 72 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−17.1% on 74 settled picks across 47 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−15.8% on 69 settled picks across 44 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−14.8% on 72 settled picks across 46 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 1 November 2026

Before

−15.5% on 65 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−15.8% on 69 settled picks across 44 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−17.9% on 60 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−15.5% on 65 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−19.7% on 54 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−17.9% on 60 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

6 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−15.0% on 51 settled picks across 34 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−19.7% on 54 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 30 October 2026

Before

−14.9% on 49 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−15.0% on 51 settled picks across 34 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 29 October 2026

Before

−13.1% on 48 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−14.9% on 49 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−12.5% on 40 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−13.1% on 48 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 4 new results.

New results · 25 October 2026

Before

−10.3% on 39 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.5% on 40 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

−2.8% on 36 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−10.3% on 39 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−9.6% on 32 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−2.8% on 36 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

−6.7% on 31 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−9.6% on 32 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 23 October 2026

Before

−8.7% on 30 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−6.7% on 31 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−11.1% on 25 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

After

−8.7% on 30 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−9.7% on 23 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

After

−11.1% on 25 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 20 October 2026

Before

−16.1% on 22 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

After

−9.7% on 23 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

9 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (56 shown)

• “In den letzten drei direkten Pflichtspielduellen fielen jeweils weniger als vier Tore.” — 7 November 2026, 07:20 GMT · source
• “Das stützt die Prognose Sturm Graz oder Unentschieden.” — 7 November 2026, 07:20 GMT · source
• “Weil die beiden vorherigen Pflichtspielduelle ausgeglichen verliefen, bleibt die Prognose dennoch ein Remis.” — 7 November 2026, 07:20 GMT · source
• “Das spricht für Tore, macht einen Sieg aber schwer vorherzusagen.” — 7 November 2026, 07:20 GMT · source
• “Dennoch erscheint ein weiteres Remis gut möglich.” — 7 November 2026, 07:20 GMT · source
• “Eine enge Partie scheint daher gut möglich.” — 7 November 2026, 06:35 GMT · source
• “Der Wettmarkt sieht United knapp vorn.” — 7 November 2026, 06:05 GMT · source
• “Das dämpft die Erwartungen an einen ungefährdeten Sieg von Monaco.” — 7 November 2026, 06:00 GMT · source
• “Das macht die Torwette zur riskantesten Einschätzung, auch wenn Chelseas Defensivbilanz dafür spricht” — 7 November 2026, 05:40 GMT · source
• “Die Buchmacher sehen Chelsea klar vorn.” — 7 November 2026, 05:40 GMT · source

• In den 26 erfassten Pflichtspielduellen kommt LAFC auf 15 Siege, Seattle auf sieben, dazu gab es vier Unentschieden.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:30 GMT · Source

• Die Defensive ist das größte Gegenargument für die Torwette, auch wenn Seattle Sounders zuletzt mehrfach ohne Treffer blieb.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:30 GMT · Source

• Hugo Lloris blieb in dieser Saison bei 29 Ligaeinsätzen 12-mal ohne Gegentor.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:30 GMT · Source

• Brian Schmetzer muss zudem ohne Nikola Petković, Paul Rothrock und Pedro de la Vega planen.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:30 GMT · Source

• Wer diesen Tipp als Neukunde spielen möchte, sollte vor der Wettabgabe die Bedingungen für einen

  7 Nov 2026, 06:30 GMT · Source

• Bei bet365 Sportwetten setzen

  7 Nov 2026, 06:30 GMT · Source

• In jedem der letzten fünf erfassten Duelle fielen jedoch weniger als vier Tore, weshalb Über 3,5

  7 Nov 2026, 07:20 GMT · Source

• Weiter vorn fehlt Sota Kitano.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:20 GMT · Source

• Otar Kiteishvili, Filip Rózga und Nelson Weiper fallen aus.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:20 GMT · Source

• Gemini (Gemini 3.8 Flash) Red Bull Salzburg Ja Ja

  7 Nov 2026, 07:20 GMT · Source

• Davis Keillor-Dunn könnte zudem die Lücke schließen, die Louie Barry wegen einer Knöchelverletzung

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Weil Cole McGhee mit einer Schulterverletzung ausfällt, könnte Ernie Weaver in der Abwehr aushelfen.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• In seinem ersten Spiel unter Dave Challinor könnte Sheffield Wednesday im 3-4-2-1 antreten

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Auf zwei 0:2-Niederlagen bei Doncaster und Notts County folgten damit zwei Unentschieden.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Sheffield Wednesday kam zuletzt in der League One zu einem 1:1 gegen Blackpool, nachdem Sil Swinkels vom Platz gestellt worden war.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Gus Scott-Morriss und Noah Chilvers sollen für Breite sorgen.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Im zentralen Mittelfeld dürften Tom Pett und Oliver Norburn zusammenspielen, während Calum Kavanagh und Mike Fondop den Angriff bilden könnten.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Oldham könnte im 4-4-2 auflaufen, mit Mathew Hudson im Tor und Donervon Daniels sowie Manny Monthe in der Innenverteidigung.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Für den Tabellen-18. mit drei Punkten Vorsprung auf die Abstiegszone ist das ein wichtiger Erfolg, auch wenn die jüngsten Ergebnisse noch keine konstante Form erkennen lassen.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Nach dem 0:1 gegen Crawley Town und dem 1:1 gegen Barnet war es der erste Auswärtssieg in der Liga in dieser Saison.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Oliver Norburn traf in der zweiten Halbzeit, Calum Kavanagh zudem die Latte.

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Sheffield Wednesday muss ohne Flügelspieler Louie Barry und Abwehrspieler Cole McGhee auskommen

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Dave Challinor gibt sein Debüt als Trainer von Sheffield Wednesday

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Mittelfeldspieler Oliver Norburn erzielte Oldhams Siegtreffer beim 1:0 in Northampton

  7 Nov 2026, 07:25 GMT · Source

• Nur in zwei der letzten fünf erfassten Begegnungen wurde diese Marke überschritten.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• In den 28 erfassten Pflichtspielduellen holte Ajax 15 Siege, Twente fünf. Das spricht für die Gäste.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• Der knappe Ligasieg von Ajax gegen AZ Alkmaar zeigt allerdings, dass viele Tore nicht garantiert sind.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• Ein Platzverweis beim Gegner trug allerdings zum deutlichen Ergebnis bei.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• Weil Stav Lemkin und Max Bruns ausfallen, könnte Ajax Twentes Abwehr mit seiner Offensive auf

  7 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• Bei Twente fallen 3 Spieler aus: Lars Unnerstall, Stav Lemkin und Max Bruns.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• Anis Hadj Moussas Torform macht ihn allerdings zum riskantesten der genannten Tipps.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:35 GMT · Source

• Amadou Onana, Matteo Ruggeri und Aaron Wan-Bissaka fallen aus.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:05 GMT · Source

• Zudem fällt Manuel Ugarte aus und schränkt Carricks Möglichkeiten im Mittelfeld ein.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:05 GMT · Source

• Wer darauf setzen möchte, sollte neben der Quote auch die Bedingungen für einen Wettbonus für

  7 Nov 2026, 06:05 GMT · Source

• Paris Brunner hat wettbewerbsübergreifend acht Tore in zwölf Spielen erzielt

  7 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• Bei der 1:3-Niederlage gegen Paris FC wurden defensive Probleme deutlich

  7 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• Monaco muss auf Fati und Idumbo verzichten.

  7 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• In den 17 erfassten Pflichtspielduellen kommt Chelsea auf zehn Siege, Sunderland auf sechs

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Chelsea kassierte in neun Ligaspielen 15 Gegentore

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Maxence Lacroix, Reece James, Jorrel Hato und Aarón Anselmino fallen aus

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Auch Emiliano Martínez fehlt, obwohl er Berichten zufolge ins Training zurückgekehrt war.

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Chelsea reagierte auf die 0:2-Niederlage in der Liga gegen Tottenham Hotspur mit einem 2:0 gegen Manchester

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• In sieben Ligaspielen blieb das Team vor der Pause ohne Treffer, was auf einen möglichen verhaltenen

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Sunderlands 0:2 gegen Dinamo Zagreb in der Europa League war wettbewerbsübergreifend die zweite Niederlage

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Foto: PA Images / Alamy Stock Photo

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

• Bei ODDSET setzen

  7 Nov 2026, 05:40 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

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• Page data (JSON)
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From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (3)

• Bankroll card — Ali Demir
• A month following Ali Demir
• Turning point — Ali Demir

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• Your record on Forecast Record: Ali Demir

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Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
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• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 3 more dated records below
• Record details and history below
• 33