Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Levin Leitl before kick-off across 1 match on . Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices.
Tracking level: Probation — day 1 of 30 needed for Tracked · 3 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
1 won / 0 lost; average odds 1.55
Small sample (1) · 1 settled pick · picks settled under method v2.2
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 3 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Levin Leitl before kick-off across 1 match on 10 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 19 predictions we hold for Levin Leitl, 18 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off, 7 from the source’s own history and 8 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Previously published citation
Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Levin Leitl before kick-off across 1 match on 10 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 19 predictions we hold for Levin Leitl, 18 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off, 7 from the source’s own history and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of .
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returnVon einem klaren Gästesieg gehen wir aber dennoch aus und haben uns dazu entschieden, zwischen Fredericia und den Füchsen Berlin die Wettquoten auf einen Handicapsieg (-6,5) der Berliner anzuspielen.wettbasis.com
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returnDeshalb würden wir in der Happybet App dazu neigen, zwischen Fredericia und Füchsen Berlin einen Tipp auf einen Auswärtssieg und insgesamt mehr als 61,5 Tore zu platzieren.wettbasis.com
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returnDie Mehrzahl dieser Treffer sollte auf das Konto des deutschen Vizemeisters gehen.wettbasis.com
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returneine Prognose auf deutlich über 60 Tore abgeben würdenwettbasis.com
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returnzwischen Fredericia und den Füchsen Berlin Quoten anspielen sollte, die etwas mit einem Auswärtssieg zu tun habenwettbasis.com
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returndas ist ein Hinweis darauf, zwischen Everton und Newcastle einen Tipp mit einem Oddset Bonus auf Tore beider Teams zu platzieren.wettbasis.com
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returnWir haben uns deshalb dafür entschieden, zwischen Everton und Newcastle die Wettquoten auf einen Auswärtssieg zu platzieren.wettbasis.com
Levin Leitl on Forecast Record: 3 pre-match predictions recorded (). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/levin-leitl/
Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 1 settled live pick, 1 match · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 2 records added on Found after kick-off; 7 records added on from the source's own history; 5 records added on Found after kick-off; 1 more record added on other dates. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Source-reported: dated by the source's own published history, without an independent archive copy from before kick-off. Definition.
Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 7 predictions dated by the source. 7 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/levin-leitl/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 19 predictions · last change 12 October 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
1 prediction recorded before kick-off. Right in 1 of 1.
Prices implied by market
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price
1
+53 points
+54.95 points
Closing price
1
+59.88 points
+54.95 points
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
8 predictions; 0 checked against the final score.
Source-reported history · 7 settled source-reported picks · won 5 of 7
The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.
7 predictions; 7 checked against the final score.
7 settled selections across 7 matches, 19 August – .
Reconstructed at archived prices: +45 points.
Eligible prices were available for 7 of the 7 selections checked against the result.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 5 of 7 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 66.1%.
By market: Match result 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.55) Small sample (1).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Reconstructed at archived prices
Author-quoted price
7
19 August –
+44 points
+45 points
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
wettbasis.com · published · first recorded by us · Recorded by us before kick-off
Stated price vs market
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
1
0 (0.0%)
0
1
−1.3%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 1 of 1 within 5.0%Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 5 opinions and 49 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+54.95 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled live pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +54.95 points on 1 live pick settled in this window · 1 match · (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
New results ·
Before
no published headline number
After
+54.95 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, 26 days before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (54 shown)
“Alles andere wäre beinahe eine Blamage.” — · source
“Mit den Ansprüchen der Füchse, muss das Match in Odense am Donnerstag gewonnen werden.” — · source
“Stefan Kretzschmar hat es deutlich gesagt.” — · source
“Bleibt die Hertha auswärts ungeschlagen?” — · source
“Setzt sich Evertons zarter Aufschwung fort?” — · source