Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by SpilXpressen before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 and . Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices.
Tracking level: Probation — day 12 of 30 needed for Tracked · 17 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
2 won / 1 lost; average odds 1.87
Small sample (3) · 3 settled picks · picks settled under method v2.2
Eligible prices were available for 3 of the 17 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by SpilXpressen before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 and 30 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 43 predictions we hold for SpilXpressen, 18 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Previously published citation
Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by SpilXpressen before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 and 30 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 43 predictions we hold for SpilXpressen, 18 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of .
Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.51.97 market priceRecorded 21.3 h before kick-offWon
At vi kan få odds 2.00 på under 2,5 mål i en kamp, der involverer to af ligaens mest defensivt orienterede mandskaber, virker som en fejlbedømmelse fra bookmakernes side.
BTTS: nowithout a stated priceRecorded 22 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Med et desperat hjemmehold, der vil minimere enhver unødvendig risiko og lukke fuldstændig ned for de ukrainske omstillinger, fremstår prisen på, at begge hold ikke scorer, særdeles attraktiv.
Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5without a stated priceRecorded 23 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Hele ni af tyskernes ti gældende kampe i denne sæson har budt på mindst tre scoringer. Værdien findes derfor utvivlsomt i et opgør med flere scoringer, da den reelle sandsynlighed for et åbent og underholdende opgør overstiger bookmakernes udbudte niveau.
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
At finde et spil på over-linjen til denne pris giver utrolig god mening, når man analyserer holdenes hidtidige resultater i indeværende sæson.spilxperten.com
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
Derfor repræsenterer dette spil en langt mere solid investering end en klassisk sejr til Bayern, da kampbilledet utvivlsomt vil invitere til chancer i begge ender af banen.spilxperten.com
SpilXpressen on Forecast Record: 17 pre-match predictions recorded (24–30 October 2026). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/spilxpressen/
Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 3 settled live picks, 3 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 1 record added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/spilxpressen/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 13 October 2026 · 43 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
3 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 1 of 3.
Prices implied by market
By market: Over/under goals 2 of 2 (2 W / 0 L, average odds 1.84) Small sample (2); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 1.93) Small sample (1).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price
2
24–30 October 2026
0 points
−2.91 points
Closing price
2
24–25 October 2026
+188.97 points
+168.52 points
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
1 prediction; 0 checked against the final score.
Record details and history
Record history · 2
7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 21 Oct–24 Oct 2026 · removed · corrected · recomputed after a correction to the record
5 matches in a row, every pick correct · · removed · corrected · recomputed after a correction to the record
Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
2
0 (0.0%)
0
2
+3.1%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 2 of 2 within 5.0%Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 53 opinions and 51 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+68.52 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 3 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +68.52 points on 3 live picks settled in this window · 3 matches · 24–30 October 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
New results ·
Before
+168.52 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+68.52 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
Before
+97.09 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+168.52 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
Before
no published headline number
After
+97.09 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, 1 day before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (58 shown)
“Scott Parker har haft minimal tid på træningsbanen til at rette op på holdets åbenlyse defensive mangler.” — · source
“Den nye manager hos udeholdet har endnu ikke stabiliseret den meget vaklende defensive struktur.” — · source
“Gæsterne sværmer om bolden og topper ligaen med hele 65,5 procent boldbesiddelse” — · source
“Begge hold har spillet målfattige kampe, der ligger langt under ligaens gennemsnit i sæsonen.” — · source
“Vores odds analyse viser, at 2.10 repræsenterer stor værdi” — · source
“Foden tilbyder langt bedre værdi end holdkammeraten Erling Haaland på det populære målscorermarked.” — · source
“Klasseforskellen betyder, at udeholdet forventes at dominere opgøret massivt fra allerførste fløjt.” — · source
“Hjemmeholdet er inde i en svær periode med fire nederlag i fem kampe.” — · source
“Spanierne har været foran ved pausen i to af deres tre europæiske opgør.” — · source
“Gæsterne forventes at dominere chancerne mod et kriseramt og usikkert engelsk hjemmehold.” — · source
“Hjemmeholdets boldbesiddelse er lav, hvilket begrænser evnen til at dominere kampen totalt” — · source
“Da disse to mandskaber senest krydsede klinger i marts 2025, leverede første halvleg ligeledes” — · source
“Tre af Feyenoords fem hjemmekampe i denne sæson har kastet flere mål af sig allerede inden” — · source
“Markedet undervurderer tydeligvis gæsternes offensive våben i deres forudsigelser til dette opgør” — · source
“Kampen spilles på neutral bane i London, hvilket fjerner Shakhtars normale hjemmebanefordel fuldstændig.” — · source
“Champions League har budt på et historisk højt målsnit i denne meget underholdende sæson.” — · source
“Alverca besidder ligaens femtebedste xG og er yderst farlige på deres velorganiserede og hurtige” — · source
“Benfica har et tætpakket kampprogram, hvilket utvivlsomt kan skabe defensive blottelser” — · source
“Omvendt har José Mourinhos tropper vist frygtindgydende form med fem sejre i træk” — · source
“Gæsterne fra Madrid kommer med enorm selvtillid efter deres nylige sejr i El Clásico.” — · source
Mainz må undvære centrale defensive profiler som Stefan Posch og Phillipp Mwene
Den uheldige skade til topscorer Joao Pedro, der har leveret fem mål og tre assists under Alonso, gør Cole Palmer til det naturlige offensive omdrejningspunkt.