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 "heading": "SpilXpressen: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "3 settled picks by SpilXpressen recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 24 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026: won 2 of 3 at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by SpilXpressen before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 and 30 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 43 predictions we hold for SpilXpressen, 18 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "3",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "date_count": 7,
  "required_settled": 10,
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:54.039Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-97fb3651ef6a089a5ab159fc",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-97fb3651ef6a089a5ab159fc",
  "public_name": "SpilXpressen",
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  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-13",
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 "headline_number": {
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   "n_bets": 3,
   "n_events": 3,
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   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "66.67",
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   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:54.039Z",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 3 settled picks across 3 matches",
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  ],
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   "quote_text": "Scott Parker har haft minimal tid på træningsbanen til at rette op på holdets åbenlyse defensive mangler.",
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   "quote_text": "Den nye manager hos udeholdet har endnu ikke stabiliseret den meget vaklende defensive struktur.",
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   "quote_text": "At finde et spil på over-linjen til denne pris giver utrolig god mening, når man analyserer holdenes hidtidige resultater i indeværende sæson.",
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   "quote_text": "Gæsterne sværmer om bolden og topper ligaen med hele 65,5 procent boldbesiddelse",
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   "source_info": {
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   "quote_text": "Mainz må undvære centrale defensive profiler som Stefan Posch og Phillipp Mwene",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
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    "line": "1.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Liverpool over 1.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
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     "status": "skipped",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-112693cb923fad1fff234096",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-112693cb923fad1fff234096",
   "quote_text": "Gæsternes trup er samtidig hårdt ramt af en lang række skader til profiler som Ferdi Kadıoğlu",
   "fragment_from": 1209,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/manchester-city-vs-brighton-28-okt-2030/",
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   },
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-8c5305226af3edc2651c5754",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8c5305226af3edc2651c5754",
   "quote_text": "Selvom Brighton faktisk har haft overtaget i de seneste fire indbyrdes opgør med to sejre",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "body": "7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 21 Oct–24 Oct 2026 · removed 26 Oct 2026",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 21 Oct 2026 · removed 25 Oct 2026",
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 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
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  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
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  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "spilxperten.com",
   "url": "https://www.spilxperten.com/tips/blackburn-vs-west-ham-7-nov-1600/"
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  "net_points_hundredths": 6852,
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  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
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  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by SpilXpressen before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 and 30 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 43 predictions we hold for SpilXpressen, 18 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
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    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
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   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "3",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+68.52 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+22.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
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  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
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    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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    "match_dates": 3,
    "period_from": "2026-10-24",
    "period_to": "2026-10-30",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
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    },
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     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16852,
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    "steps": [
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     {
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  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by SpilXpressen before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 and 30 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 43 predictions we hold for SpilXpressen, 18 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "parts": [
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     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 17,
     "checked": 17,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 3,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6852,
      "staked_hundredths": 30000,
      "return_percent": "22.84",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
      "period_to": "2026-10-30",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-1.46",
       "return_other_percent": "0.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -291,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 0,
       "period_from": "2026-10-24",
       "period_to": "2026-10-30"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "84.26",
       "return_other_percent": "94.48",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 16852,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 18897,
       "period_from": "2026-10-24",
       "period_to": "2026-10-25"
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     ],
     "score": {
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      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 17,
      "priced": 3
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 3,
      "won": 2,
      "won_percent": "66.7",
      "implied_percent": "53.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "54.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "51.8"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 3,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 2,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
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   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 24–30 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-13",
  "record_to": "2026-11-06"
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 "recorded_picks": [
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   "quote": "Otte af hollændernes seneste tolv opgør har budt på mindst to mål inden pausen.",
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   "quote": "En sejrsmargin på mindst ét mål til franskmændene er yderst sandsynlig ud fra statistikken.",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bookmakerne tilbyder et flot odds på over 2.75 asiatiske mål, hvilket rummer masser af værdi",
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
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   "quote": "At få odds 2.07 på, at begge hold scorer, rummer enorm værdi i det nuværende marked.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Når et hold kan producere knap 30 skud på udebane mod samme modstander blot fire dage forinden, er odds 2.00 for to scoringer på eget græs yderst attraktivt.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-01T09:42:06.000Z",
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "At kombinere en forventet favoritsejr med mål fra begge mandskaber trækker det ellers lave vinderodds op på et meget spilbart og værdiskabende niveau.",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-31T18:25:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T18:59:51.442Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "quote": "Prissætningen på et asiatisk handicap, hvor udeholdet er svage favoritter, fremstår som et klogt træk.",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-29T15:55:39.000Z",
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   "quote": "Et asiatisk handicap på -0.75 til odds 1.83 rummer stærk værdi.",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-27T21:29:33.000Z",
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   "quote": "Odds 1.83 på en angriber, der har scoret i ni optrædener i streg for et dominerende tophold, fremstår yderst attraktivt.",
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   "quote": "Den taktiske dynamik mellem to hold, der kun tænker fremad, giver os en fremragende mulighed for at hente værdi i et spil på mange scoringer i Sevilla.",
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  "after_kickoff": 0,
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    "favourite_return_percent": -14.29
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    "market_code": "both_teams_score",
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    "author_net_hundredths": -10000,
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    "picked_favourite": 0,
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    "favourite_return_percent": 78.0
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  ],
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000
   },
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    "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2857
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:15:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4943
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
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  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 43,
  "pages": 4,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/spilxpressen/",
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  "groups": {
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   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 40
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/spilxpressen/",
  "current": false
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 "title_tag": "SpilXpressen Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "SpilXpressen",
  "main_entity": "e-97fb3651ef6a089a5ab159fc",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-97fb3651ef6a089a5ab159fc",
    "medium": "SpilXperten",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "spilxperten.com",
    "source_info": "spilxperten-com",
    "byline": "SpilXpressen",
    "url": "/sources/spilxperten-com/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 147,
     "predictions": 43,
     "settled_picks": 3,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 22.84,
     "headline_part": "live",
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     "period_to": "2026-11-06"
    }
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  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
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 "data_revision": {
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  "updated": "2026-10-31",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
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  "sample": {
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