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Miguel Alvim: football prediction record

Miguel Alvim — football predictions, page 2 of 6

Page 2 of 6 of the predictions by Miguel Alvim recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 95 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.

Source: our own evidence archive

Recorded picks and results, page 2 of 6

Showing 1–20 of 95 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 95 (JSON).

Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.

3 rows on this page have no evidence card: they were found after the match or restored from archive copies, and their outcome and price are shown in the row itself.

3 rows on this page are set aside; the reason is shown in each row.

Filter the 20 predictions shown on this page.

  1. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Moneyline Pick: Italy (44¢ / +127 at Kalshi)”

    25 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement

  2. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Total-Goals Pick: Over 2.5 (54¢ / -117 at Kalshi)”

    25 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement

  3. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “BTTS: Yes (+137 at Polymarket)”

    24 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  4. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Handicap Pick: Portugal -1.5 (-150 at Kalshi)”

    24 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  5. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “First-Half Total Goals Pick: Over 1.5 (+137 at Kalshi)”

    24 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  6. Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.5 · final score 5-3

    20 September 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Total-Goals Pick: Under 2.5 (+150 at Polymarket)
    Author said
    Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source
    Late-found
    Found by us only after kick-off. Published , evidenced by the publisher's feed date. Not part of the record kept before kick-off; counted only in the separate series priced at publication time: market price at the evidenced time of publication: unknown; author's own stated price 2.50 — lost; closing price 2.31 — lost.
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Manchester City — Sunderland, , final score 5-3
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.50 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  7. Croatia v England Excluded

    Said: 1X2, match result: England at 1.85 · final score 0-7

    3 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    England Moneyline (-117)
    Author said
    1X2, match result: England at 1.85
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Croatia 0-7 England.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Croatia — England, , final score 0-7
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.85 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  8. Croatia v England Excluded

    Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.69 · final score 0-7

    3 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Over 2.5 Goals (-144)
    Author said
    Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.69
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Croatia 0-7 England.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Croatia — England, , final score 0-7
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.69 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  9. Croatia v England Excluded

    Said: Team goals over/under 1.5: England over 1.5 at 1.72 · final score 0-7

    3 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    England Over 1.5 Team Goals (-138)
    Author said
    Team goals over/under 1.5: England over 1.5 at 1.72
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Croatia 0-7 England.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Croatia — England, , final score 0-7
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.72 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  10. Croatia v Spain Excluded

    Said: Asian handicap −1.5: Spain −1.5 · final score 1-2

    6 October 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    I’m backing the visitors to cover the -1.5 handicap.
    Author said
    Asian handicap −1.5: Spain −1.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Croatia 1-2 Spain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Croatia — Spain, , final score 1-2
  11. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “I like Yamal to score at least once at plus money.”

    6 October 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement

  12. Croatia v Spain Excluded

    Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 · final score 1-2

    6 October 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    I’m backing Over 3.5 goals on Tuesday.
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Croatia 1-2 Spain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Croatia — Spain, , final score 1-2
  13. Said: Player to score: Conor Gallagher to score at 7.25 · final score 1-1

    10 October 2026 · the match is played; settlement follows · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Conor Gallagher anytime goalscorer at +625
    Author said
    Player to score: Conor Gallagher to score at 7.25
    Outcome of the pick
    Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    recognised
    Event
    Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur, , final score 1-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 7.25 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Conor Gallagher to score7.25100.00Pending—v2.1
  14. Said: 1X2, match result: Manchester United at 1.72 · final score 1-1

    10 October 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.72; returns at the author's price leave it out · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Man United to win at 58% on Kalshi
    Author said
    1X2, match result: Manchester United at 1.72
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur, , final score 1-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.72 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  15. Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.70 · final score 1-1

    10 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.70; returns at the author's price leave it out · Recorded by us before kick-off · Corrected on : Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Under 3.5 total goals at 59% on Kalshi
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.70
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Correction
    Corrected on : Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur, , final score 1-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.70 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))

    Corrected . The line was “Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5”; it is now “Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5”. Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes. Corrections log

  16. Said: Asian handicap −2.5: FC Barcelona −2.5 · final score 3-0

    10 October 2026 · settled at our market price 1.82: +81.67 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Barcelona -2.5 goals (57% on Kalshi)
    Author said
    Asian handicap −2.5: FC Barcelona −2.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was FC Barcelona 3-0 Getafe.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    recognised
    Event
    FC Barcelona — Getafe, , final score 3-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot 1.82 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At an independent odds snapshotAsian handicap −2.5 — FC Barcelona −2.51.82100.00Won81.67v2.2
  17. Said: Player to score: Fermín López to score at 2.4 · final score 3-0

    10 October 2026 · the match is played; settlement follows · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Fermín López anytime goalscorer: +140 at BetMGM
    Author said
    Player to score: Fermín López to score at 2.4
    Outcome of the pick
    Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    recognised
    Event
    FC Barcelona — Getafe, , final score 3-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.40 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Fermín López to score2.40100.00Pending—v2.1
  18. Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 · final score 3-0

    10 October 2026 · settled at our market price 1.74: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    over 3.5 goals (58%)
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was FC Barcelona 3-0 Getafe.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    recognised
    Event
    FC Barcelona — Getafe, , final score 3-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot 1.74 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At an independent odds snapshotOver/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.51.74100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
  19. Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 · final score 1-0

    10 October 2026 · settled at our market price 1.68: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Total Goals: Over 3.5 (57% on Kalshi)
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    recognised
    Event
    Real Madrid — Villarreal, , final score 1-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot 1.68 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At an independent odds snapshotOver/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.51.68100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
  20. Said: Asian handicap −1.5: Real Madrid −1.5 · final score 1-0

    10 October 2026 · settled at our market price 1.87: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 (51% on Kalshi)
    Author said
    Asian handicap −1.5: Real Madrid −1.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Miguel Alvim
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    recognised
    Event
    Real Madrid — Villarreal, , final score 1-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot 1.87 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At an independent odds snapshotAsian handicap −1.5 — Real Madrid −1.51.87100.00Lost−100.00v2.2

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