{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "canonical": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Michael Siemann: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 40 settled picks by Michael Siemann recorded before kick-off across 29 matches, 9 Oct 2026 – 1 Nov 2026.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 40 settled live picks by Michael Siemann before kick-off across 29 matches between 9 October and 1 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.4% on the total staked. Of the 167 predictions we hold for Michael Siemann, 109 are linked to matches: 99 were recorded by us before kick-off, 2 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−14.4%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 42, "date_count": 18, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 56, "restored_count": 3, "of_them_archived": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:48:16.046Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "50c86fa79d4e733787335e531d98aae4420dd0076cd289adaf8d0cccda14b4c9", "dependency_group": "author:e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "public_name": "Michael Siemann", "tracker_number": 2625, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-09", "until": "2026-10-31" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-14.4120", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 40, "n_events": 29, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": "-47.4844", "ci_high": "20.9205", "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:48:16.046Z", "enough_for_ranking": true, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 40 settled picks across 29 matches", "average_odds": "2.12", "odds_from_author": 40, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-682e50ecb6ef14cb49752c91", "bankroll_hundredths": 942352, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -57648, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:56.892Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-9c20ea56adb9e7b07ef98fd8" }, { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:56.919Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1001600, "profit_hundredths": 1600, "outcome_id": "ish-6bd9d038e82a37ff5ac97ede" }, { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:56.923Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 991600, "profit_hundredths": -8400, "outcome_id": "ish-6662130f3f209c1c23c9949d" }, { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:56.986Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 981600, "profit_hundredths": -18400, "outcome_id": "ish-4bf8726eb5398c589d4465b0" }, { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:56.990Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 971600, "profit_hundredths": -28400, "outcome_id": "ish-26430a78fdf73c29ba456408" }, { "at": "2026-10-11T19:32:25.021Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 961600, "profit_hundredths": -38400, "outcome_id": "ish-b2984b97e683956321d44613" }, { "at": "2026-10-17T16:16:28.324Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 951600, "profit_hundredths": -48400, "outcome_id": "ish-7f8a8cd80cc811e8c3fb1a33" }, { "at": "2026-10-17T16:16:28.336Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 941600, "profit_hundredths": -58400, "outcome_id": "ish-bc6c16a8ff68e86a9e976c6e" }, { "at": "2026-10-20T19:05:37.582Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 964499, "profit_hundredths": -35501, "outcome_id": "ish-216182670db52ce21ae354e9" }, { "at": "2026-10-21T00:41:09.194Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 954499, "profit_hundredths": -45501, "outcome_id": "ish-b8453639c5de4c55a67fe0af" }, { "at": "2026-10-21T21:05:41.609Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 944499, "profit_hundredths": -55501, "outcome_id": "ish-dd3077537715581e3b320078" }, { "at": "2026-10-21T21:05:41.650Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 949499, "profit_hundredths": -50501, "outcome_id": "ish-164b47a08e454d6071f83bd4" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T12:26:02.921Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 953899, "profit_hundredths": -46101, "outcome_id": "ish-19e830534839a723abf0bc75" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T21:10:33.852Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 943899, "profit_hundredths": -56101, "outcome_id": "ish-160ea263416c7f7210219abf" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T21:10:33.870Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 933899, "profit_hundredths": -66101, "outcome_id": "ish-e931b988a05434e99030b8b0" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:15.843Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 938101, "profit_hundredths": -61899, "outcome_id": "ish-89ae16b3b500acf5a38a5de2" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.014Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 942646, "profit_hundredths": -57354, "outcome_id": "ish-9af427a6b5b449470acc2e83" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.043Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 946269, "profit_hundredths": -53731, "outcome_id": "ish-f52b74cceee739adda80399a" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.072Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 959569, "profit_hundredths": -40431, "outcome_id": "ish-35d7f2815cd6cef60399dc12" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.095Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 949569, "profit_hundredths": -50431, "outcome_id": "ish-0e869da98d11373570756184" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.129Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 955219, "profit_hundredths": -44781, "outcome_id": "ish-087361544e7f161dd0968cae" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:45.374Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 959663, "profit_hundredths": -40337, "outcome_id": "ish-e7f33e7d060f2952a71c646a" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:40.303Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 949663, "profit_hundredths": -50337, "outcome_id": "ish-9962c16a961e7c1c85368597" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:48.049Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 960413, "profit_hundredths": -39587, "outcome_id": "ish-08b0a6d1b2c60a88ce6e352d" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:48.057Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 965761, "profit_hundredths": -34239, "outcome_id": "ish-89174bebddd4805aaa943991" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:50.241Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 955761, "profit_hundredths": -44239, "outcome_id": "ish-b88f4990cd4c14744a4ee0b4" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T20:18:46.428Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 968761, "profit_hundredths": -31239, "outcome_id": "ish-349c1745def9bf246ce167e2" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T22:41:46.309Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 958761, "profit_hundredths": -41239, "outcome_id": "ish-eb3f1857c52110ad73df5c3e" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.124Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 948761, "profit_hundredths": -51239, "outcome_id": "ish-a87303bde38bb4f62033ea08" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.134Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 938761, "profit_hundredths": -61239, "outcome_id": "ish-9e0e1fa7d431bdf6173e3711" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.143Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 943338, "profit_hundredths": -56662, "outcome_id": "ish-28f5471458b2df46aafde58a" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.154Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 933338, "profit_hundredths": -66662, "outcome_id": "ish-6be7c573e3d03cccbbb22cac" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.272Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 923338, "profit_hundredths": -76662, "outcome_id": "ish-c480dbdff28b80b8f7ba3e8d" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.552Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 950838, "profit_hundredths": -49162, "outcome_id": "ish-b1c6893a909202f172815451" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.561Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 953854, "profit_hundredths": -46146, "outcome_id": "ish-a7ceed47ad60bd2c59ddc689" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.685Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 943854, "profit_hundredths": -56146, "outcome_id": "ish-770eb15f089b3a9498903edb" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T16:37:46.694Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 962304, "profit_hundredths": -37696, "outcome_id": "ish-c0c653dcfab22865506f35c3" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:17.357Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 966652, "profit_hundredths": -33348, "outcome_id": "ish-869971589e6417754031caf9" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T23:19:37.747Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 956652, "profit_hundredths": -43348, "outcome_id": "ish-5b95d6eccbbbf1344bcbcf0d" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T17:22:18.176Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 946652, "profit_hundredths": -53348, "outcome_id": "ish-2a2694f7ab76d8baef82ec09" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:06.767Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 952352, "profit_hundredths": -47648, "outcome_id": "ish-37fffc4ca763243a851014e2" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:46.539Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 942352, "profit_hundredths": -57648, "outcome_id": "ish-90645e26e6ec86f3a49cb8fc" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 569, "recognised": 167, "accepted": 104, "executed": 61, "calculated": 59, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 45 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 35 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 14 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 7 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 4 }, { "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 569, "of_them_restored": 31, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 47, "not_about_a_match": 350, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 167, "predictions_restored": 10, "matches": 51, "admitted": 104, "qualifying_picks": 61, "qualifying_picks_restored": 5, "settled_picks": 59, "settled_picks_restored": 3, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 40, "settled_picks": 40, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 29, "operations_settled": 40, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 56, "settled_picks": 56, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 34, "operations_settled": 56, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.1", "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 5, "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "operations_settled": 3, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 3, "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 2, "operations_settled": 3, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 45 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 35 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 14 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 7 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 4 }, { "code_name": "no_price_at_capture", "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "ads": 8 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-817f9204dcf14003d7cede4f", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-817f9204dcf14003d7cede4f", "quote_text": "Andererseits endeten die letzten beiden Hamburger Ligaspiele mit einer Null im Ergebnis.", "fragment_from": 8104, "fragment_to": 8192, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-60032ac3dd5d2d07403dd562", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-60032ac3dd5d2d07403dd562", "quote_text": "Riskanter mag das Not2Score (Nicht beide Teams treffen) sein.", "fragment_from": 8042, "fragment_to": 8103, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9359c5a4af20788c7e608e75", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9359c5a4af20788c7e608e75", "quote_text": "Besonders die jungen Abwehrspieler beim HSV zahlten Lehrgeld.", "fragment_from": 5777, "fragment_to": 5838, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-646be3124a550d8576a16417", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-646be3124a550d8576a16417", "quote_text": "Sorgen bereitet den Fans das Torverhältnis von 6:16.", "fragment_from": 5489, "fragment_to": 5541, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-08b45daf04d973534c11c408", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-08b45daf04d973534c11c408", "quote_text": "Licht und Schatten liegen beim Hamburger SV derzeit nah beieinander.", "fragment_from": 5169, "fragment_to": 5237, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-442b8cf6288f2c7bfdb4a7d7", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-442b8cf6288f2c7bfdb4a7d7", "quote_text": "Interwetten Bonus: Wie für dich gemacht?*", "fragment_from": 1740, "fragment_to": 1781, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7a9b252d17a7ae94119a0cec", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7a9b252d17a7ae94119a0cec", "quote_text": "Denn die Frankfurter können auf dem Papier so viel mehr, als sie aktuell zeigen.", "fragment_from": 763, "fragment_to": 843, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e5b15b83d9145cced8b1f061", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-e5b15b83d9145cced8b1f061", "quote_text": "Tipp:\n\nSieg Frankfurt 1\n\nBeste Quote\n\n1.62", "fragment_from": 7537, "fragment_to": 7579, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "repeats another statement", "cause_code": "duplicate", "event": { "event_id": "s-06d250442f56", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.62", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "author_odds": "1.62", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.62" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "edb13db354f030f012ea033f46242be6e99edf9e35bb912be49ff037fe9f549f", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5d7927d78888db96c1cb47cdba0f11ff54324e69ecb403392192aae1ac23afbb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f2d47ac97d084de7cbfa6473", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-f2d47ac97d084de7cbfa6473", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nFrankfurt zuletzt in der Liga mit dem 0:1, 1:0 und 0:6; Hamburg mit einem 0:1 und 1:0.\n\nQuote 2,50 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1237, "fragment_to": 1389, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-06d250442f56", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "380e4fb1d2d8a44964fab396b0a89eb531fd241c9c65fcfea7865ca14ca00457", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7637815876bdeee2954f6f0f196e121e6227af2aac5c9eda5995b42ea12ce194", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0b880686aedd2b83271748e7", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-0b880686aedd2b83271748e7", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Frankfurt 1\n\nGerade vor wenigen Tagen hat die SG Eintracht Frankfurt den HSV mit 3:1 besiegt.\n\nQuote 1,62 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1104, "fragment_to": 1235, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T18:42:42.660Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-06d250442f56", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.62", "our_snapshot": "1.5700", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T17:40:42.426Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "author_odds": "1.62", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.62" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8a16be3bb0db7f0f8c7751a78148245fc82ed601ed09711c44a8eddc691c2f5a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "1.62", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6200, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T18:42:26.586Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5b57ae81600ad1bb9db47c06bc42f2219f8e29c54b6c030d10ddf7a63abd3e84", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "1.5700", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5700, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T18:42:42.660Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3418c873c32db5952abffd23", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3418c873c32db5952abffd23", "quote_text": "Frankfurt vs. Hamburg: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – Bundesliga 01.11.2026", "fragment_from": 8618, "fragment_to": 8696, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ba4925116045b588098b748a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ba4925116045b588098b748a", "quote_text": "Der 1. FC Köln sollte darauf bedacht sein, seine erste Elf wie im Pokalspiel zu erhalten.", "fragment_from": 7550, "fragment_to": 7639, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b73615c1e17cb31893d8fc20", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b73615c1e17cb31893d8fc20", "quote_text": "Beim 1. FC Union Berlin könnte es Änderungen geben – zumindest im Tor.", "fragment_from": 7195, "fragment_to": 7265, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4588a86510866cec0201b109", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4588a86510866cec0201b109", "quote_text": "Dieses Spiel ist, wegen der Kölner Auswärtsschwäche, schwer zu bewerten.", "fragment_from": 8043, "fragment_to": 8115, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2b39270dd2c7f6df66eb8f34", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2b39270dd2c7f6df66eb8f34", "quote_text": "Spektakuläres Remis bei beidseitigen Treffern bei\nbwin: Beide Teams treffen und das Spiel endet unentschieden –\n4,50\n(statt 4,00)", "fragment_from": 2702, "fragment_to": 2831, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-468c4547393ca3d7c5db3c4a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-468c4547393ca3d7c5db3c4a", "quote_text": "20€ gratis für Union Berlin vs. Köln", "fragment_from": 2432, "fragment_to": 2468, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2aedf183971228fed68de591", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2aedf183971228fed68de591", "quote_text": "Stand der Quoten: 30.10.2026, Änderungen jederzeit möglich.", "fragment_from": 2356, "fragment_to": 2415, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cf87c8e3b7bdb1c21c67e6a5", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cf87c8e3b7bdb1c21c67e6a5", "quote_text": "Zusätzlich 80€ für die erste Einzahlung", "fragment_from": 2501, "fragment_to": 2540, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4ba72857f8b482c81f3a225e", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4ba72857f8b482c81f3a225e", "quote_text": "Betano Bonus: Hält das Angebot, was es verspricht?*", "fragment_from": 1766, "fragment_to": 1817, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-52ec1c8786c2b4f35039cfa6", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-52ec1c8786c2b4f35039cfa6", "quote_text": "Immerhin spricht das Heimrecht im Stadion an der Alten Försterei für die Eisernen.", "fragment_from": 867, "fragment_to": 949, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c3f183238bcfd63bba5ca376", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c3f183238bcfd63bba5ca376", "quote_text": "Allerdings haben die Geißböcke moralisch jetzt das leichtere Spiel.", "fragment_from": 799, "fragment_to": 866, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f7d6d2a890b678b885288249", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-f7d6d2a890b678b885288249", "quote_text": "Tipp: Sieg Köln 2\n\nQuote: 2.65", "fragment_from": 9790, "fragment_to": 9820, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5bf5923e706d2486b8fae474", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-5bf5923e706d2486b8fae474", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore sind eine Alternative", "fragment_from": 8352, "fragment_to": 8387, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-bd350f450c46", "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b95f91b674b5a9554a497e7bbb98bd54e91ece280c2909cc30b99d88b7005b5c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c44e9a8323216acc5ce583f8", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-c44e9a8323216acc5ce583f8", "quote_text": "Sieg Köln 2\n\nBeste Quote\n\n2.65", "fragment_from": 7911, "fragment_to": 7941, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:22.099Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bd350f450c46", "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "1. FC Köln", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.65", "our_snapshot": "2.5500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T17:39:48.645Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "author_odds": "2.65", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Köln at 2.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8819b15890a5e91953d585272017c1eef82c138ac824952c66fdb5fdfa96d82c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "decimal_odds": "2.65", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:17.064Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f868390dabef4d72de5339a9e335b3ecff5471c5926a637f2005b4221f979477", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "decimal_odds": "2.5500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:22.099Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-65b68b0ca2fed13c4fdb5a96", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-65b68b0ca2fed13c4fdb5a96", "quote_text": "Urbig wird vermutlich nur dann spielen, wenn Neuer nicht völlig fit ist.", "fragment_from": 5564, "fragment_to": 5636, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2fb962e54d7ea3c79e57eca3", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2fb962e54d7ea3c79e57eca3", "quote_text": "Lust auf einen neuen Bonus? Hier geht es zu Interwetten!*", "fragment_from": 1684, "fragment_to": 1741, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8025d759c89af327c4f773ed", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8025d759c89af327c4f773ed", "quote_text": "Medienkooperation", "fragment_from": 69, "fragment_to": 86, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8b5e6a558d83d8317e2a1d1e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-8b5e6a558d83d8317e2a1d1e", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nIn den letzten fünf direkten Duellen beider Vereine gab es Tore und Gegentore zu sehen.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1196, "fragment_to": 1343, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:29:16.774Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-459823b8fd68", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": "1.4348", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T18:10:08.951Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4348, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "539869307c7a409b6bd9fac1aae5e627905306e244535aec7d53fa82a16b9d04", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:29:14.841Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "57ef2264e95dd3899d4590bc6ddf6efd11066d6ce291eef3018fb4d8ebd32602", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4348", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4348, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:29:16.774Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ad95d26188850a5b6f81f6a5", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-ad95d26188850a5b6f81f6a5", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nX Handicap 0:1\n\nMünchen siegte zuletzt im Duell mit Dortmund mit 2:1, 3:2 und 2.1.\n\nQuote 4,25 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1079, "fragment_to": 1194, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-459823b8fd68", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "4.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "FC Bayern München -1", "author_odds": "4.25", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "-1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -1: FC Bayern München -1 at 4.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "76060493b910025bac87e9c973d9f207beed8048f273e1a7e0daf0192cd0be9d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "FC Bayern München -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a6d377263f145b8fea4601e6bebc7463aff3b5ee24a681170e0d636e641b3f56", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "FC Bayern München -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f7e2fbcf1af483d3f4df1d44", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f7e2fbcf1af483d3f4df1d44", "quote_text": "Zwar ist Nicolas im Tor von Borussia Mönchengladbach laut unserer Vorhersage nicht fehlerfrei", "fragment_from": 5597, "fragment_to": 5690, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ee96b2ea10bf7a7283e5ba7a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ee96b2ea10bf7a7283e5ba7a", "quote_text": "Prüfe die Variablen vom Interwetten Bonus.*", "fragment_from": 1784, "fragment_to": 1827, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3e392eec6c0ac0126dfb50d7", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3e392eec6c0ac0126dfb50d7", "quote_text": "Die Rote Laterne können die Fohlen aber, wenn überhaupt, dann wohl nur an Union Berlin weiterreichen.", "fragment_from": 807, "fragment_to": 908, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b59408d97894c1624c4fd67a", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-b59408d97894c1624c4fd67a", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nBorussia Mönchengladbach hat alle sieben Ligaspiele mit drei oder mehr Treffern beendet.\n\nQuote 1,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1305, "fragment_to": 1437, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:05.324Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-941a5bb75f38", "display_name": "Borussia M'gladbach — SC Paderborn 07", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-m-gladbach-vs-sc-paderborn-07-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.45", "our_snapshot": "1.4762", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T18:10:08.951Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.45", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia M'gladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn 07." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e1d4d1352b74c36d10da566a747d47c325d34301b2ce16fc4bfedf1569b13218", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:01.835Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "55dc26f1fcccd114d382687c3c1baec91bcd2477f08eba86caa6e0749591ae27", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4762", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:05.324Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8bad646edf26c8c5ece32361", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-8bad646edf26c8c5ece32361", "quote_text": "Sieg Gladbach 1\n\nNach dem ersten Saisonsieg und einer grundsätzlichen Steigerung über die letzten Wochen, ist Gladbach in der Saison 26/27 angekommen.\n\nQuote 1,93 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1123, "fragment_to": 1297, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:01.243Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-941a5bb75f38", "display_name": "Borussia M'gladbach — SC Paderborn 07", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-m-gladbach-vs-sc-paderborn-07-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia M'gladbach", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.93", "our_snapshot": "1.9524", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T18:10:08.951Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia M'gladbach", "author_odds": "1.93", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia M'gladbach at 1.93" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia M'gladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn 07." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "28939b8f9f3128ad1f655341c93cd6f22d1212e839d1622a172f8bc93f7d023c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia M'gladbach", "decimal_odds": "1.93", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:56.913Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "085d7949921e1b00921eca805b2dc96ba095700c903ed4bf09ebb9a11cee9717", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia M'gladbach", "decimal_odds": "1.9524", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:01.243Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e16a6d7fa1fca85e4747f9b7", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e16a6d7fa1fca85e4747f9b7", "quote_text": "Prüfe diesen Wert gerne über den\nWettanbieter Vergleich.", "fragment_from": 6588, "fragment_to": 6644, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-040c56d75dc9c44a7bc82779", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-040c56d75dc9c44a7bc82779", "quote_text": "Hast du Lust auf den Interwetten Bonus?*", "fragment_from": 1772, "fragment_to": 1812, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cb2746315b2daf64e2c4f7fe", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cb2746315b2daf64e2c4f7fe", "quote_text": "Wir lassen die KI-Prognose bewusst außen vor und setzen auf Experten, die sich selbst mit dem Duell befassen.", "fragment_from": 1526, "fragment_to": 1635, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-768fade47a9287df29bb4d5d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-768fade47a9287df29bb4d5d", "quote_text": "Die Ausgangslage ist für den Karlsruher SC aber prekärer.", "fragment_from": 756, "fragment_to": 813, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3f3aad79a03d6ca2edf2d45c", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-3f3aad79a03d6ca2edf2d45c", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 4,5 Tore\n\nHeidenheim hat die letzten fünf Ligaspiele mit weniger Toren zu Ende gebracht.\n\nQuote 1,27 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1291, "fragment_to": 1420, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:13.200Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bf37a5386e84", "display_name": "Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Heidenheim", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-1-fc-heidenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 4.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.27", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "author_odds": "1.27", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "4.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.27" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "308ccdf351cf5fe8740ab1097359361d2f4b043c9835eeffda511b6479de6105", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "decimal_odds": "1.27", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2700, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:13.200Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8b18c54f16e43864c64ddde6933e94147de51c70a3046a9393b0dbbdb06f02d9", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Heidenheim 2\n\nBeide Teams sind nicht in Form; aber Heidenheim hat als Bundesliga-Absteiger die größere Qualität im Kader.\n\nQuote 2,27 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1130, "fragment_to": 1289, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:14.028Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bf37a5386e84", "display_name": "Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Heidenheim", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-1-fc-heidenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "1. FC Heidenheim", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.27", "our_snapshot": "2.1050", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "author_odds": "2.27", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Heidenheim at 2.27" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "00d885759d6c6fee81d432f1708f3891d29230394738dd3d4d086d2a97f3074b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "decimal_odds": "2.27", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:13.895Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "bcb8c05632d2230535ad2a15e7dee2ad81294017d174cc1005e1e36c1402de28", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "decimal_odds": "2.1050", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:14.028Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7ce8d85d6f23865950fe2867", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7ce8d85d6f23865950fe2867", "quote_text": "Ebenfalls interessant\n\nAugsburg vs. Freiburg: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – Bundesliga 31.10.2026", "fragment_from": 7158, "fragment_to": 7259, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "394e7aa2b9d2beeb8fcb47f26a9d58e49fa9fdb5d170398dd218c23057aa8f66", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d21dd15e7747c55c9da2bd3d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d21dd15e7747c55c9da2bd3d", "quote_text": "Mit dem Betano Bonus bist du bestens aufgestellt.*", "fragment_from": 1755, "fragment_to": 1805, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "394e7aa2b9d2beeb8fcb47f26a9d58e49fa9fdb5d170398dd218c23057aa8f66", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-312ac25df30c8b2846336f89", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-312ac25df30c8b2846336f89", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore\n\nLautern spielte zuletzt 1:0, 2:0, 0:0 und 1:0; Hertha BSC jüngst mit dem 1:0 und 0:0.\n\nQuote 2,30 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1271, "fragment_to": 1407, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "394e7aa2b9d2beeb8fcb47f26a9d58e49fa9fdb5d170398dd218c23057aa8f66", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:05.264Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-1c2f43410b0b", "display_name": "Kaiserslautern — Hertha Berlin", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/kaiserslautern-vs-hertha-berlin-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.3", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "2.3", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Kaiserslautern 0-3 Hertha Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3ec4d1a7c82c50f6205d37ceec532d5c83e235460c38ecb138908208f7688715", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:05.264Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "93f4ee4f4b4488cdb1325a869f4c4296afedde4ed98c4337300a6b588c0ba56a", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-75fca44750e34217e76ff4cb", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-75fca44750e34217e76ff4cb", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nDer 1. FC Kaiserslautern steht daheim bei drei Siegen, einem Remis und 6:0 Toren.\n\nQuote 1,62 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1135, "fragment_to": 1269, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "394e7aa2b9d2beeb8fcb47f26a9d58e49fa9fdb5d170398dd218c23057aa8f66", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:07.205Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-1c2f43410b0b", "display_name": "Kaiserslautern — Hertha Berlin", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/kaiserslautern-vs-hertha-berlin-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.62", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "author_odds": "1.62", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Kaiserslautern or draw at 1.62" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Kaiserslautern 0-3 Hertha Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "601ad3575a17116157c2c5d62fe8bb61909e664f017640445e516b595f61cb6b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.62", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:07.205Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b8fa4a2ad8b5fea10f4f458fadb0541cc937adce7064bd39c4b3db79f31e0e4e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-dc45d825ad040e4b3a67e97d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-dc45d825ad040e4b3a67e97d", "quote_text": "Änderungen an der Leverkusener Startelf halten wir für Realistisch.", "fragment_from": 5707, "fragment_to": 5774, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-30873f6c1565475b43d547cd", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-30873f6c1565475b43d547cd", "quote_text": "Interwetten Bonus: Prüfe die Details!*", "fragment_from": 1796, "fragment_to": 1834, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-110963460aab24279e64a552", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-110963460aab24279e64a552", "quote_text": "Beide Bundesligisten haben ihre eigene Baustelle – allerdings jeweils am anderen Ende der Tabelle.", "fragment_from": 541, "fragment_to": 639, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3b7a37929e0fdbbdc94cd95e", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3b7a37929e0fdbbdc94cd95e", "quote_text": "Verliert die Werkself den Anschluss oder sind die Schwaben ein Abstiegskandidat?", "fragment_from": 459, "fragment_to": 539, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4ca189cf80090986fcd346c1", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-4ca189cf80090986fcd346c1", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nEin Blick auf die letzten sieben Ergebnisse im H2H-Vergleich: 1:3, 1:4, 4:3, 0:0, 4:3, 2:2 und 3:2.\n\nQuote 1,30 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1314, "fragment_to": 1457, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:58.113Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-13162f93c610", "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.3", "our_snapshot": "1.3016", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:55:07.806Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 3016, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.3", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "74b7f09d119a8253c1388042836035e17a9b022a14896a00bf4f78d6a47513bd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:57.062Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "62b58c4ca1e93464dc60ca0c47351beab5ff831f750e0e04e42d9b6e5d98f02e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.3016", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3016, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:58.113Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "quote_text": "Sieg Stuttgart 2\n\nDie letzten zwei Duelle aus der Saison 25/26 gewann Stuttgart mit 3:1 und 4:1.\n\nQuote 3,70 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1186, "fragment_to": 1306, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:56.898Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-13162f93c610", "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "VfB Stuttgart", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.7", "our_snapshot": "3.7500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:55:07.806Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 27500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart", "author_odds": "3.7", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart at 3.7" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "19f13db2367bf09d7608e170ddde2730cc1f97ed9da47f373220b21e29f519c9", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart", "decimal_odds": "3.7", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 27000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:56.060Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "310e752c65bc38d4e9678528cf5fde698e42a8390d889151bea28aa50f7375d6", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart", "decimal_odds": "3.7500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 27500, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:56.898Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6f77391ffc765d6458697e92", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6f77391ffc765d6458697e92", "quote_text": "Ebenfalls interessant\n\nKarlsruhe vs. Heidenheim: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – 2. Bundesliga 31.10.2026", "fragment_from": 7042, "fragment_to": 7149, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a99392fa88bc3ca1973a8358", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a99392fa88bc3ca1973a8358", "quote_text": "Das Match gegen Mainz nehmen wir als Blaupause für die voraussichtliche Aufstellung des SV Werder.", "fragment_from": 5606, "fragment_to": 5704, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9618f56dd341fcb25956b033", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9618f56dd341fcb25956b033", "quote_text": "Damals gewann Hoffenheim mit 2:0 und 1:0.", "fragment_from": 5241, "fragment_to": 5282, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-082bf59eb1dc264a701b0353", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-082bf59eb1dc264a701b0353", "quote_text": "Daheim gab es zwei Dreier und ein Remis (8:5 Treffer) zu sehen.", "fragment_from": 3005, "fragment_to": 3068, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-075b8ed4de86cef30683d9d8", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-075b8ed4de86cef30683d9d8", "quote_text": "Aktuell mischen die Bremer im Kampf um die Europa-Plätze mit.", "fragment_from": 2851, "fragment_to": 2912, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0280f37d87bf1e9d085596af", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0280f37d87bf1e9d085596af", "quote_text": "Form, Effizienz und jüngere Leistungswerte können ein anderes Bild zeichnen als der bloße Blick", "fragment_from": 2065, "fragment_to": 2160, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-be7e889f65b82a42d7d8d15c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-be7e889f65b82a42d7d8d15c", "quote_text": "Trifft der Betano Bonus deinen Geschmack?*", "fragment_from": 1778, "fragment_to": 1820, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c6d612acbed192f2f462c3dd", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c6d612acbed192f2f462c3dd", "quote_text": "Unsere Reihenfolge bei Bremen vs. Hoffenheim ist bewusst einfach: erst selbst analysieren", "fragment_from": 1406, "fragment_to": 1495, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-564d47eec85c6ea1bc7b0187", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-564d47eec85c6ea1bc7b0187", "quote_text": "Dort sind die Bremer auf Platz sechs zu finden, Hoffenheim ist Zehnter.", "fragment_from": 717, "fragment_to": 788, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-04c9e6cffaef0641a50e9ac5", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-04c9e6cffaef0641a50e9ac5", "quote_text": "Im Pokal flog der SV Werder trotz eines starken Matches gegen den BVB raus.", "fragment_from": 522, "fragment_to": 597, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0a678868b951318514555751", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0a678868b951318514555751", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDie TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beendete alle sieben Ligaspiele mit mehr als 2,5 Treffern.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1278, "fragment_to": 1404, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:20.608Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fbb1feeff73d", "display_name": "SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sv-werder-bremen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": "1.4000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SV Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d8f69b0cc5019e31b1fd596b9de827043b12b72815878aea3973d63982a5e49f", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:13.189Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7acec851fb553062cf63708a3bb51230ba700fc1cadef7649564c2210855c147", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:20.608Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5b934f801ebe1b6a1cde6da7", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-5b934f801ebe1b6a1cde6da7", "quote_text": "Sieg Bremen 1\n\nDer SV Werder Bremen gewann zwei Drittel seiner Begegnungen vor eigenem Publikum.\n\nQuote 2,85 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1150, "fragment_to": 1270, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:26.483Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fbb1feeff73d", "display_name": "SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sv-werder-bremen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "SV Werder Bremen", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.85", "our_snapshot": "2.8450", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 18450, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SV Werder Bremen", "author_odds": "2.85", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: SV Werder Bremen at 2.85" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SV Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "af31c38f3d70ec390ddbfb79e1b0586a560bb11a84432fa31787f058561b26ef", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SV Werder Bremen", "decimal_odds": "2.85", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 18500, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:21.895Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "78604855b6801de1fb691a2081115492e956a0d7b29ab831fa4bc4b2f9bbd6b6", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SV Werder Bremen", "decimal_odds": "2.8450", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 18450, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:26.483Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d2723da45f8aefdb2633d95d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d2723da45f8aefdb2633d95d", "quote_text": "Es ist schwer zu beziffern, wie viele Punkte Karius den Schalkern im Tor schon gesichert hat.", "fragment_from": 5639, "fragment_to": 5732, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d4ed4bc3e5bc3dab64edf6e2", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d4ed4bc3e5bc3dab64edf6e2", "quote_text": "Mit dem Interwetten Neukundenbonus erweiterst du deinen Spielraum.*", "fragment_from": 1845, "fragment_to": 1912, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-62cc776b0abaf8187551f31c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-62cc776b0abaf8187551f31c", "quote_text": "Können die Knappen mehr, als sich nur in ihrer Rüstung zu verstecken?", "fragment_from": 449, "fragment_to": 518, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-43fb1bb9132974e7c3cb452e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-43fb1bb9132974e7c3cb452e", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nDie Schalker Heimspiele endeten bislang 0:1, 0:0 und 0:0; RB Leipzig zuletzt mit einem 4:0.\n\nQuote 2,75 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1330, "fragment_to": 1487, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-0af8ac563359", "display_name": "FC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.75", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Schalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1e5092301eea037103490d83e30b895eb907c61998817a7b4967529cc64c7be4", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "74cb17d79cd65ee825d6b097358b38feede79b80a17a8e8fc95f4a6aa2597663", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-541e5fb33c53040fcd1f6b05", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-541e5fb33c53040fcd1f6b05", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nRB Leipzig ist auswärts schwach unterwegs; Schalke ist zu Hause nicht übermäßig stark, aber defensiv stabil!\n\nQuote 1,95 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1167, "fragment_to": 1328, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T08:39:08.919Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0af8ac563359", "display_name": "FC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.95", "our_snapshot": "1.9795", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "author_odds": "1.95", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: FC Schalke 04 or draw at 1.95" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Schalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "97c46c4bc7e020ca3bd0342e4d76ddaf79388e2342b080fa51cf5c5c5c8a7fc0", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.95", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T08:39:07.265Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cdf3acd50ab54358e577a1e6a611afc5742e838274aafab6097808899c57eac2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.9795", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T08:39:08.919Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7d1275b6b1183f2c81da67e7", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7d1275b6b1183f2c81da67e7", "quote_text": "Ebenfalls interessant\n\nGladbach vs. Paderborn: Wett-Tipp mit Prognose & Quoten – Bundesliga 31.10.2026", "fragment_from": 6887, "fragment_to": 6989, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e95b723db589ede2d5c4b718a0d8b5fd6b1bcc1a5fe724f64dd420c879db961", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-93335e0c35b8ea819f33c753", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-93335e0c35b8ea819f33c753", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nÜber 2,5 Tore\n\nLetzte Saison trennten sich die Teams mit einem 2:2 und 3:1 voneinander.\n\nQuote 1,47 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1173, "fragment_to": 1295, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e95b723db589ede2d5c4b718a0d8b5fd6b1bcc1a5fe724f64dd420c879db961", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:27.444Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3424cd07a380", "display_name": "FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": "1.4577", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4577, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6e3d71a38965c41271a5fa81ba0b77d6d8fd7d672ae84babef7d799067184c23", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.47", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4700, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:24.673Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9feb7a6370acd662080d562d8fa93606753ba3dbc4f715c0ee0621d81cfd0cf1", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4577", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4577, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:27.444Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ddfe22accb7b6391a4bdac84", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-ddfe22accb7b6391a4bdac84", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X\n\nDrei der letzten vier Heimspiele des FC Augsburg endeten mit einem Remis.\n\nQuote 3,75 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1048, "fragment_to": 1171, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e95b723db589ede2d5c4b718a0d8b5fd6b1bcc1a5fe724f64dd420c879db961", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:29.278Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3424cd07a380", "display_name": "FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.75", "our_snapshot": "3.8000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6a11b66ed4543c2e6c1591c3441aa84768f48b42d68a41457dba70f248edb010", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:27.627Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "16ca6047bc8e5f11828ff86baba5e8961be405f6525ba174e2c34ab0c8843eec", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.8000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:29.278Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5a059f738c986185d3e05e54", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5a059f738c986185d3e05e54", "quote_text": "Was uns zum VfL Bochum führt, wo nach wie vor Horn das Tor hütet.", "fragment_from": 5703, "fragment_to": 5768, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cbfe122fa91f2a0542bc03bd", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cbfe122fa91f2a0542bc03bd", "quote_text": "Lotka ist der Mann des Vertrauens zwischen den Pfosten des FC Energie Cottbus.", "fragment_from": 5422, "fragment_to": 5500, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-01f7c6f55df13b5541ecee53", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-01f7c6f55df13b5541ecee53", "quote_text": "Besonders bei der engen Tabellenlage sind die Wett-Tipps auf Cottbus vs. Bochum daher von", "fragment_from": 644, "fragment_to": 733, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e95780c3b07304d309da5000", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-e95780c3b07304d309da5000", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nVier Spiele in Serie haben die Cottbuser Tore und Gegentreffer im Ergebnis vorzuweisen.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1222, "fragment_to": 1369, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:37.943Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a805247f8a66", "display_name": "Cottbus — VfL Bochum", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/cottbus-vs-vfl-bochum-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Cottbus 1-2 VfL Bochum." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2a97d533c9bd74d4ddd04811c863671f90fdc9a8a7752c6705b1347711ce8a77", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:37.943Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f5fb8eb6f4e96ac1153e26c12d7ee728647b18cb14b5bcf50ea28550d5bc6656", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9ae5af89838e92e57390f4ef", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-9ae5af89838e92e57390f4ef", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X\n\nCottbus spielte zuletzt gegen Heidenheim (1:1) und Nürnberg (1:1), Bochum gegen Wolfsburg (1:1).\n\nQuote 3,70 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1074, "fragment_to": 1220, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:43:56.969Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a805247f8a66", "display_name": "Cottbus — VfL Bochum", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/cottbus-vs-vfl-bochum-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.7", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.7", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Cottbus 1-2 VfL Bochum." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d28fbedd59d4519d63c50023df81f4f7d78d29e98e5ab4267e0cfeeb91493140", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.7", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:43:56.969Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "83735367d21e3611b4cdb19f1864800a3371de66a8c6de20f36e0dfb59a117d2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-00e2fc1e0a64e17087713bc0", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-00e2fc1e0a64e17087713bc0", "quote_text": "Torwart Hoffmann musste zuletzt verletzt raus. Wir erwarten ihn trotzdem im Tor.", "fragment_from": 5793, "fragment_to": 5873, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "241f792194b7e109b8c2365e2eb99ce9fa73101a2cda97050c20e991945d94d9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9ca2f13fc2c151e5796d8b96", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9ca2f13fc2c151e5796d8b96", "quote_text": "Erneut erwarten wir Kersken im Tor von Arminia Bielefeld.", "fragment_from": 5462, "fragment_to": 5519, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "241f792194b7e109b8c2365e2eb99ce9fa73101a2cda97050c20e991945d94d9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-984395441514d2b80c84321d", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-984395441514d2b80c84321d", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore\n\nDie letzten fünf Matches im H2H-Vergleich endeten 4:1, 3:2, 1:1, 3:3 und 4:1.\n\nQuote 2,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1228, "fragment_to": 1355, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "241f792194b7e109b8c2365e2eb99ce9fa73101a2cda97050c20e991945d94d9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.614Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0f7054e36564", "display_name": "Arminia Bielefeld — Eintracht Braunschweig", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-eintracht-braunschweig-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.45", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 14500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.45", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Eintracht Braunschweig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "bf73040900bc513031c213700771f2ef25cd0802fa0be9967e82197419dc882c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 14500, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.614Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cff01cdb0011f4ca61d97ad75b0fac99f9321cf7fc199ca679a1ae7cff6dbafb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-61d13dc5aef16bf7e0bfbb68", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-61d13dc5aef16bf7e0bfbb68", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nBielefeld daheim mit zwei Unentschieden und zwei Siegen; Braunschweig auswärts mit drei Pleiten in vier Spielen.\n\nQuote 1,26 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1061, "fragment_to": 1226, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "241f792194b7e109b8c2365e2eb99ce9fa73101a2cda97050c20e991945d94d9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.393Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0f7054e36564", "display_name": "Arminia Bielefeld — Eintracht Braunschweig", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-eintracht-braunschweig-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.26", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2600, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "author_odds": "1.26", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Arminia Bielefeld or draw at 1.26" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Eintracht Braunschweig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e5838616e1251f09f17daee4ec1a7df545fbf7bd26e7632a28f8d7ec03bf6f53", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.26", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2600, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.393Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d8894256779278c6376157eac570c0ca307ad4d7b4090156b2190253e444e7bf", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3dc559db2f7ef95dc209c2a7", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3dc559db2f7ef95dc209c2a7", "quote_text": "Reimann ist der Schlussmann beim 1. FC Magdeburg.", "fragment_from": 7531, "fragment_to": 7580, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-magdeburg-28-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8f7d183d210b79d1fe2e78a21886c92800fc44170b31763675a758ecc3fc6971", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 8, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": { "titles": [ { "code_name": "E-07", "display_name": "Away win at 4.30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "all", "bucket": "Long-price call", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 1, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "Away win at 4.30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "rationale": "Away win called correctly at 4.30 (our pre-match price). 20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (20 named home win). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-e-07-all-event", "alt": "Michael Siemann · Away win at 4.30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Michael", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 29 Jan 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "earned_at": "2026-10-31", "published_at": "2026-11-01", "visible_until": "2027-01-29", "badge_label": "Correct at 4.30 · 31 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-3125455917621471bb64", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart", "said_text": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart at 3.7", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": 4.3, "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (20 named home win)", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1289, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1289, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 949, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 949, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 741, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 741, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-all-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-312545591762", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.266667, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.57, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "embed_anchor": "title-long-price-call" }, { "code_name": "C-02", "display_name": "Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Away win · 31 Oct 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "all", "bucket": "Lone correct call", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 1, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Away win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "rationale": "Away win called correctly; 20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (20 named home win). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-c-02-all-event", "alt": "Michael Siemann · Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Away win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Michael", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 29 Jan 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "earned_at": "2026-10-31", "published_at": "2026-11-01", "visible_until": "2027-01-29", "badge_label": "Only right of 21 · 31 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-8b2f5fd83e296124ea3b", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart", "said_text": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart at 3.7", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": 4.3, "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (20 named home win)", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1686, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1686, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 1241, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 1241, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 971, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 971, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/c-02-all-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-8b2f5fd83e29", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.266667, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.57, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "embed_anchor": "title-lone-correct-call" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "display_name": "Draw at 3.90 · FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "z-4c03605bcd", "bucket": "Long-price call", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 1, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "Draw at 3.90 · FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026", "rationale": "Draw called correctly at 3.90 (our pre-match price). 15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (13 named home win, 2 named draw). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event", "alt": "Michael Siemann · Draw at 3.90 · FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Michael", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 22 Jan 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "earned_at": "2026-10-24", "published_at": "2026-10-25", "visible_until": "2027-01-22", "badge_label": "Correct at 3.90 · 24 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-4c03605bcd4d6d42d015", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-c67b001a061a466ecb5151cd", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": 3.9, "comparison": "15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (13 named home win, 2 named draw)", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-c67b001a061a466ecb5151cd" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1212, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1212, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 892, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 892, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 697, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 697, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31/e-07-z-4c03605bcd-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-4c03605bcd4d", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.25641, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.59, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "embed_anchor": "title-long-price-call-long-price-call" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-8b2f5fd83e296124ea3b", "code_name": "C-02", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Only right of 21 · 31 Oct", "body": "Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Away win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-8b2f5fd83e29", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": "/titles/c-02-lone-correct-call/#zk-8b2f5fd83e296124ea3b" }, { "title_id": "zk-3125455917621471bb64", "code_name": "E-07", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Correct at 4.30 · 31 Oct", "body": "Away win at 4.30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-312545591762", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": "/titles/e-07-long-price-call/" }, { "title_id": "zk-4c03605bcd4d6d42d015", "code_name": "E-07", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Correct at 3.90 · 24 Oct", "body": "Draw at 3.90 · FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-4c03605bcd4d", "event_at": "2026-10-24", "url": "/titles/e-07-long-price-call/" } ], "record_origin": [ { "portion": "live", "n": 99, "body": "99 recorded before kick-off · since 9 Oct 2026" }, { "portion": "archived", "n": 2, "body": "2 from the pre-match archive · 2026" }, { "portion": "found_after", "n": 1, "body": "1 found after the match" } ], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "C-02", "body": "Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Away win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-8b2f5fd83e29" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Away win at 4.30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-312545591762" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 3.90 · FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin · 24 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-24", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-4c03605bcd4d" } ], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 33 matches", "details_words": "Match result (1X2) 12/33 (33 matches); Goals over/under 17/27 (27 matches); Both teams to score 11/24 (24 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 5/9 (9 matches); Handicaps 4/8 (8 matches)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 4.30 · 31 Oct 2026", "details_words": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · Away win at 4.30 (our pre-match price)", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" }, { "code_name": "E-01", "body": "Draw calls · 4/12", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Draw calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-01-draw-calls/" }, { "code_name": "E-03", "body": "Away calls · 4/14", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Away calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-03-away-calls/" } ], "history": [] }, "retro": { "restored_total": 3, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 2, "found_post_match": 1, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 56, "date_count": 2, "span_from": "2026-09-08", "span_to": "2026-09-16", "line_text": "restored history: 3, of which pre-match archive 2", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League and Europa League matches between 8 September 2026 and 16 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 3. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 2. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 1. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 3, "share": "1.0" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 3, "roi": "79.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 3, "roi": "89.6667", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Champions League", "Europa League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 3 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 40, "above": 5, "above_share_percent": "12.5", "below": 0, "within": 35, "median_difference_percent": "0.4", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-d15b580bfc3c6f0ff51a7d99", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "5.30", "market": "4.80", "difference_percent": "10.4" }, { "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.27", "market": "2.10", "difference_percent": "7.8" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "n-tv.de", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-10-31", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 40, "matches": 29, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -57648, "staked_hundredths": 400000, "return_percent": "-14.41", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 40 settled live picks by Michael Siemann before kick-off across 29 matches between 9 October and 1 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.4% on the total staked. Of the 167 predictions we hold for Michael Siemann, 109 are linked to matches: 99 were recorded by us before kick-off, 2 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "40", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "29", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−576.48 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−14.4%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −47.5% to +20.9%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14000, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -24000, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44000, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -54000, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -61101, "n": 11 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -66101, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -86101, "n": 15 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44239, "n": 24 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -54239, "n": 25 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -51239, "n": 27 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53348, "n": 38 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57648, "n": 40 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 40, "matches": 29, "match_dates": 13, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -57648, "low": { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -86101, "after_picks": 15 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14000, "n": 5, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -24000, "n": 6, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44000, "n": 8, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -54000, "n": 9, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -61101, "n": 11, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -66101, "n": 13, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -86101, "n": 15, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44239, "n": 24, "picks": 9 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -54239, "n": 25, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -51239, "n": 27, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53348, "n": 38, "picks": 11 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -57648, "n": 40, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 19600, "low": { "date": "2026-09-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19600, "after_picks": 2 }, "high": { "date": "2026-09-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19600, "after_picks": 2 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-09-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19600, "n": 2, "picks": 2 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 40 settled live picks by Michael Siemann before kick-off across 29 matches between 9 October and 1 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.4% on the total staked. Of the 167 predictions we hold for Michael Siemann, 109 are linked to matches: 99 were recorded by us before kick-off, 2 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/michael-siemann/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 167, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 58, "proven_predictions": 101, "proven_checked": 101, "proven_measured": 42, "proven_dates": 18, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 99, "checked": 99, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 40, "void": 0, "matches": 29, "net_points_hundredths": -57648, "staked_hundredths": 400000, "return_percent": "-14.41", "interval_low": "-47.48", "interval_high": "20.92", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.2", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 10 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 40, "return_main_percent": "-14.41", "return_other_percent": "-13.78", "settled_excluding_void": 40, "net_main_points_hundredths": -57648, "net_other_points_hundredths": -55100, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 36, "return_main_percent": "-15.64", "return_other_percent": "-13.56", "settled_excluding_void": 36, "net_main_points_hundredths": -56298, "net_other_points_hundredths": -48818, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 99, "priced": 40 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 40, "won": 19, "won_percent": "47.5", "implied_percent": "54.9", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 8, "picks": 20, "implied_percent": "44.7" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 4, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "70.0" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 5, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "63.2" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 2, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "58.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 36, "right": 17, "wrong": 19, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 2, "checked": 2, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 2, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 19600, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "return_percent": "98.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "98.00", "return_other_percent": "77.50", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": 19600, "net_other_points_hundredths": 15500, "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 2 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 2, "won": 2, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "59.5", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "European handicap", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "82.6" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "36.4" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 8, "checked": 1, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 7300, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "73.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-09-08", "period_to": "2026-09-08", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "73.00", "return_other_percent": "82.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": 7300, "net_other_points_hundredths": 8200, "period_from": "2026-09-08", "period_to": "2026-09-08" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 1, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 1, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "57.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "57.8" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-0a678868b951318514555751", "n-0b880686aedd2b83271748e7", "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "n-2077d485867397ec61e074d3", "n-2201274c44196713a7322dc6", "n-24217d2b89be47ced4076e6e", "n-2656222e6f869b5b99765592", "n-4a97f2ad58e2c170aefb807e", "n-4ca189cf80090986fcd346c1", "n-500081cdbe56a47c7789329a", "n-541e5fb33c53040fcd1f6b05", "n-55ab7771db82d9cb542cf987", "n-5b934f801ebe1b6a1cde6da7", "n-64b53f2d399a414178165aea", "n-7cae1bbb3c436c4bf5c10e96", "n-865fef503de1e255fc081e14", "n-88485996c80405c75feeb98b", "n-8b5e6a558d83d8317e2a1d1e", "n-8bad646edf26c8c5ece32361", "n-93335e0c35b8ea819f33c753", "n-a621823e1f5ad5af64d09c58", "n-a84c58a22f2dfd6ad8a496e3", "n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453", "n-b59408d97894c1624c4fd67a", "n-c235eb7fc2fc1bc9c1472578", "n-c384eef4579f5efe2a7358bc", "n-c44e9a8323216acc5ce583f8", "n-c80235a070855a6148962cd7", "n-ca94f125a66249e798951bec", "n-d15b580bfc3c6f0ff51a7d99", "n-d765e89a0e7e03cd71a29d34", "n-ddfe22accb7b6391a4bdac84", "n-de146bf328a6139a41167ee0", "n-e2ecc6ca8403d6bb6e0a9693", "n-e40bdf3c83028ad3d2349de9", "n-ec783081ec9a87427d87eb42", "n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961", "n-ef5637c7669ef436e93dbddb", "n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "n-f3e548ab25561b88c27295a6" ], "interval_low": "-47.48", "interval_high": "20.92", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 9 October – 1 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-08", "record_to": "2026-11-01" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-0b880686aedd2b83271748e7", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-0b880686aedd2b83271748e7", "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV", "match_url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 22.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.62", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5700, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.62", "settled_price": "1.5700", "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.5700", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5700, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0b880686aedd2b83271748e7", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Frankfurt 1\n\nGerade vor wenigen Tagen hat die SG Eintracht Frankfurt den HSV mit 3:1 besiegt.\n\nQuote 1,62 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1104, "fragment_to": 1235, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T18:42:42.660Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-06d250442f56", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.62", "our_snapshot": "1.5700", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T17:40:42.426Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "author_odds": "1.62", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.62" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8a16be3bb0db7f0f8c7751a78148245fc82ed601ed09711c44a8eddc691c2f5a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "1.62", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6200, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T18:42:26.586Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5b57ae81600ad1bb9db47c06bc42f2219f8e29c54b6c030d10ddf7a63abd3e84", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "1.5700", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5700, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T18:42:42.660Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Eintracht Frankfurt to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-c44e9a8323216acc5ce583f8", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-c44e9a8323216acc5ce583f8", "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Köln at 2.65", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.65", "settled_price": "2.5500", "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.5300", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c44e9a8323216acc5ce583f8", "quote_text": "Sieg Köln 2\n\nBeste Quote\n\n2.65", "fragment_from": 7911, "fragment_to": 7941, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:22.099Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bd350f450c46", "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "1. FC Köln", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.65", "our_snapshot": "2.5500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T17:39:48.645Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "author_odds": "2.65", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Köln at 2.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8819b15890a5e91953d585272017c1eef82c138ac824952c66fdb5fdfa96d82c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "decimal_odds": "2.65", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:17.064Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f868390dabef4d72de5339a9e335b3ecff5471c5926a637f2005b4221f979477", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "decimal_odds": "2.5500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T13:27:22.099Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "1. FC Köln to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-3f3aad79a03d6ca2edf2d45c", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-3f3aad79a03d6ca2edf2d45c", "match": "Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Heidenheim", "match_url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-1-fc-heidenheim-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 49.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.27", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2700, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.27", "settled_price": "1.27", "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3f3aad79a03d6ca2edf2d45c", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 4,5 Tore\n\nHeidenheim hat die letzten fünf Ligaspiele mit weniger Toren zu Ende gebracht.\n\nQuote 1,27 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1291, "fragment_to": 1420, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:13.200Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bf37a5386e84", "display_name": "Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Heidenheim", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-1-fc-heidenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 4.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.27", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "author_odds": "1.27", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "4.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.27" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "308ccdf351cf5fe8740ab1097359361d2f4b043c9835eeffda511b6479de6105", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "decimal_odds": "1.27", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2700, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:13.200Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8b18c54f16e43864c64ddde6933e94147de51c70a3046a9393b0dbbdb06f02d9", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 4.5 (Over/Under 4.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "match": "Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Heidenheim", "match_url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-1-fc-heidenheim-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 49.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Heidenheim at 2.27", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.27", "settled_price": "2.1050", "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ef81ae31861ff9ed5dad242e", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Heidenheim 2\n\nBeide Teams sind nicht in Form; aber Heidenheim hat als Bundesliga-Absteiger die größere Qualität im Kader.\n\nQuote 2,27 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1130, "fragment_to": 1289, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "826aaa314e85fe69a1c8e7d5d18f664cc87675edc151350cb43c964ef2ac6cae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:14.028Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bf37a5386e84", "display_name": "Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Heidenheim", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-1-fc-heidenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "1. FC Heidenheim", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.27", "our_snapshot": "2.1050", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:22:40.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:15.136Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "author_odds": "2.27", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Heidenheim at 2.27" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "00d885759d6c6fee81d432f1708f3891d29230394738dd3d4d086d2a97f3074b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "decimal_odds": "2.27", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:13.895Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "bcb8c05632d2230535ad2a15e7dee2ad81294017d174cc1005e1e36c1402de28", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "decimal_odds": "2.1050", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:18:14.028Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-heidenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "1. FC Heidenheim to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-8b5e6a558d83d8317e2a1d1e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-8b5e6a558d83d8317e2a1d1e", "match": "FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4348, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.4", "settled_price": "1.4348", "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.4348", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4348, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-8b5e6a558d83d8317e2a1d1e", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nIn den letzten fünf direkten Duellen beider Vereine gab es Tore und Gegentore zu sehen.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1196, "fragment_to": 1343, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:29:16.774Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-459823b8fd68", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": "1.4348", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T18:10:08.951Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4348, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "539869307c7a409b6bd9fac1aae5e627905306e244535aec7d53fa82a16b9d04", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:29:14.841Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "57ef2264e95dd3899d4590bc6ddf6efd11066d6ce291eef3018fb4d8ebd32602", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4348", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4348, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:29:16.774Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-b59408d97894c1624c4fd67a", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-b59408d97894c1624c4fd67a", "match": "Borussia M'gladbach v SC Paderborn 07", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-m-gladbach-vs-sc-paderborn-07-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.45", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.45", "settled_price": "1.4762", "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.4762", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b59408d97894c1624c4fd67a", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nBorussia Mönchengladbach hat alle sieben Ligaspiele mit drei oder mehr Treffern beendet.\n\nQuote 1,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1305, "fragment_to": 1437, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:05.324Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-941a5bb75f38", "display_name": "Borussia M'gladbach — SC Paderborn 07", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-m-gladbach-vs-sc-paderborn-07-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.45", "our_snapshot": "1.4762", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T18:10:08.951Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.45", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia M'gladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn 07." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e1d4d1352b74c36d10da566a747d47c325d34301b2ce16fc4bfedf1569b13218", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:01.835Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "55dc26f1fcccd114d382687c3c1baec91bcd2477f08eba86caa6e0749591ae27", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4762", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:05.324Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-8bad646edf26c8c5ece32361", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-8bad646edf26c8c5ece32361", "match": "Borussia M'gladbach v SC Paderborn 07", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-m-gladbach-vs-sc-paderborn-07-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia M'gladbach at 1.93", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.93", "settled_price": "1.9524", "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.9524", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-8bad646edf26c8c5ece32361", "quote_text": "Sieg Gladbach 1\n\nNach dem ersten Saisonsieg und einer grundsätzlichen Steigerung über die letzten Wochen, ist Gladbach in der Saison 26/27 angekommen.\n\nQuote 1,93 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1123, "fragment_to": 1297, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "937486e25c7d57cfac9be076da6d2536977d9834ac381586cd7e3e813c37672d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:01.243Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-941a5bb75f38", "display_name": "Borussia M'gladbach — SC Paderborn 07", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-m-gladbach-vs-sc-paderborn-07-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia M'gladbach", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.93", "our_snapshot": "1.9524", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T18:10:08.951Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T02:05:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:33.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia M'gladbach", "author_odds": "1.93", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia M'gladbach at 1.93" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia M'gladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn 07." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "28939b8f9f3128ad1f655341c93cd6f22d1212e839d1622a172f8bc93f7d023c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia M'gladbach", "decimal_odds": "1.93", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:56.913Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "085d7949921e1b00921eca805b2dc96ba095700c903ed4bf09ebb9a11cee9717", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia M'gladbach", "decimal_odds": "1.9524", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:33:01.243Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/gladbach-paderborn-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia M'gladbach to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-4ca189cf80090986fcd346c1", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-4ca189cf80090986fcd346c1", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart", "match_url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-4", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 3016, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.3", "settled_price": "1.3016", "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.3016", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 3016, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4ca189cf80090986fcd346c1", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nEin Blick auf die letzten sieben Ergebnisse im H2H-Vergleich: 1:3, 1:4, 4:3, 0:0, 4:3, 2:2 und 3:2.\n\nQuote 1,30 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1314, "fragment_to": 1457, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:58.113Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-13162f93c610", "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.3", "our_snapshot": "1.3016", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:55:07.806Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 3016, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.3", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "74b7f09d119a8253c1388042836035e17a9b022a14896a00bf4f78d6a47513bd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:57.062Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "62b58c4ca1e93464dc60ca0c47351beab5ff831f750e0e04e42d9b6e5d98f02e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.3016", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3016, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:58.113Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart", "match_url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart at 3.7", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-4", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 27500, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.7", "settled_price": "3.7500", "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.7812", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "quote_text": "Sieg Stuttgart 2\n\nDie letzten zwei Duelle aus der Saison 25/26 gewann Stuttgart mit 3:1 und 4:1.\n\nQuote 3,70 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1186, "fragment_to": 1306, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e41a0c50bab64a44829802b46ec2304f1b39fb31939fe95e895e71f2b327c385", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:56.898Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-13162f93c610", "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "VfB Stuttgart", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.7", "our_snapshot": "3.7500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:55:07.806Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 27500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:05:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:10.493Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart", "author_odds": "3.7", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart at 3.7" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "19f13db2367bf09d7608e170ddde2730cc1f97ed9da47f373220b21e29f519c9", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart", "decimal_odds": "3.7", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 27000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:56.060Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "310e752c65bc38d4e9678528cf5fde698e42a8390d889151bea28aa50f7375d6", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart", "decimal_odds": "3.7500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 27500, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T14:21:56.898Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-stuttgart-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "VfB Stuttgart to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-0a678868b951318514555751", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0a678868b951318514555751", "match": "SV Werder Bremen v TSG Hoffenheim", "match_url": "/football/matches/sv-werder-bremen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.4", "settled_price": "1.4000", "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.4000", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0a678868b951318514555751", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDie TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beendete alle sieben Ligaspiele mit mehr als 2,5 Treffern.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1278, "fragment_to": 1404, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:20.608Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fbb1feeff73d", "display_name": "SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sv-werder-bremen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": "1.4000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SV Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d8f69b0cc5019e31b1fd596b9de827043b12b72815878aea3973d63982a5e49f", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:13.189Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7acec851fb553062cf63708a3bb51230ba700fc1cadef7649564c2210855c147", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:20.608Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-5b934f801ebe1b6a1cde6da7", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-5b934f801ebe1b6a1cde6da7", "match": "SV Werder Bremen v TSG Hoffenheim", "match_url": "/football/matches/sv-werder-bremen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: SV Werder Bremen at 2.85", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 18450, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.85", "settled_price": "2.8450", "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.2000", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-5b934f801ebe1b6a1cde6da7", "quote_text": "Sieg Bremen 1\n\nDer SV Werder Bremen gewann zwei Drittel seiner Begegnungen vor eigenem Publikum.\n\nQuote 2,85 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1150, "fragment_to": 1270, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "71a02ea6be006b850c0cef90b1ba9d3e11a41a4b9033653215b4431669f5c70d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:26.483Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fbb1feeff73d", "display_name": "SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sv-werder-bremen-vs-tsg-hoffenheim-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "SV Werder Bremen", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.85", "our_snapshot": "2.8450", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 18450, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:36:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:09.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SV Werder Bremen", "author_odds": "2.85", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: SV Werder Bremen at 2.85" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SV Werder Bremen 2-0 TSG Hoffenheim." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "af31c38f3d70ec390ddbfb79e1b0586a560bb11a84432fa31787f058561b26ef", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SV Werder Bremen", "decimal_odds": "2.85", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 18500, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:21.895Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "78604855b6801de1fb691a2081115492e956a0d7b29ab831fa4bc4b2f9bbd6b6", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SV Werder Bremen", "decimal_odds": "2.8450", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 18450, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:03:26.483Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bremen-hoffenheim-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "SV Werder Bremen to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-541e5fb33c53040fcd1f6b05", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-541e5fb33c53040fcd1f6b05", "match": "FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: FC Schalke 04 or draw at 1.95", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.95", "settled_price": "1.9795", "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-541e5fb33c53040fcd1f6b05", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nRB Leipzig ist auswärts schwach unterwegs; Schalke ist zu Hause nicht übermäßig stark, aber defensiv stabil!\n\nQuote 1,95 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1167, "fragment_to": 1328, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T08:39:08.919Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0af8ac563359", "display_name": "FC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.95", "our_snapshot": "1.9795", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "author_odds": "1.95", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: FC Schalke 04 or draw at 1.95" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Schalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "97c46c4bc7e020ca3bd0342e4d76ddaf79388e2342b080fa51cf5c5c5c8a7fc0", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.95", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T08:39:07.265Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cdf3acd50ab54358e577a1e6a611afc5742e838274aafab6097808899c57eac2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "FC Schalke 04 or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.9795", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T08:39:08.919Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Schalke 04 or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-93335e0c35b8ea819f33c753", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-93335e0c35b8ea819f33c753", "match": "FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.47", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4577, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.47", "settled_price": "1.4577", "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.4577", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4577, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-93335e0c35b8ea819f33c753", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nÜber 2,5 Tore\n\nLetzte Saison trennten sich die Teams mit einem 2:2 und 3:1 voneinander.\n\nQuote 1,47 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1173, "fragment_to": 1295, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e95b723db589ede2d5c4b718a0d8b5fd6b1bcc1a5fe724f64dd420c879db961", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:27.444Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3424cd07a380", "display_name": "FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": "1.4577", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4577, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6e3d71a38965c41271a5fa81ba0b77d6d8fd7d672ae84babef7d799067184c23", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.47", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4700, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:24.673Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9feb7a6370acd662080d562d8fa93606753ba3dbc4f715c0ee0621d81cfd0cf1", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4577", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4577, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:27.444Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ddfe22accb7b6391a4bdac84", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-ddfe22accb7b6391a4bdac84", "match": "FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.75", "settled_price": "3.8000", "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.1500", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 11500, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ddfe22accb7b6391a4bdac84", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X\n\nDrei der letzten vier Heimspiele des FC Augsburg endeten mit einem Remis.\n\nQuote 3,75 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1048, "fragment_to": 1171, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e95b723db589ede2d5c4b718a0d8b5fd6b1bcc1a5fe724f64dd420c879db961", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:29.278Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3424cd07a380", "display_name": "FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.75", "our_snapshot": "3.8000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-29T17:40:13.369Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:06:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:06.901Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6a11b66ed4543c2e6c1591c3441aa84768f48b42d68a41457dba70f248edb010", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:27.627Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "16ca6047bc8e5f11828ff86baba5e8961be405f6525ba174e2c34ab0c8843eec", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.8000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:40:29.278Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-freiburg-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-312ac25df30c8b2846336f89", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-312ac25df30c8b2846336f89", "match": "Kaiserslautern v Hertha Berlin", "match_url": "/football/matches/kaiserslautern-vs-hertha-berlin-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.0, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "2.3", "settled_price": "2.3", "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-312ac25df30c8b2846336f89", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore\n\nLautern spielte zuletzt 1:0, 2:0, 0:0 und 1:0; Hertha BSC jüngst mit dem 1:0 und 0:0.\n\nQuote 2,30 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1271, "fragment_to": 1407, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "394e7aa2b9d2beeb8fcb47f26a9d58e49fa9fdb5d170398dd218c23057aa8f66", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:05.264Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-1c2f43410b0b", "display_name": "Kaiserslautern — Hertha Berlin", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/kaiserslautern-vs-hertha-berlin-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.3", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "2.3", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Kaiserslautern 0-3 Hertha Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3ec4d1a7c82c50f6205d37ceec532d5c83e235460c38ecb138908208f7688715", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:05.264Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "93f4ee4f4b4488cdb1325a869f4c4296afedde4ed98c4337300a6b588c0ba56a", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-75fca44750e34217e76ff4cb", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-75fca44750e34217e76ff4cb", "match": "Kaiserslautern v Hertha Berlin", "match_url": "/football/matches/kaiserslautern-vs-hertha-berlin-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.0, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Kaiserslautern or draw at 1.62", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.62", "settled_price": "1.62", "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-75fca44750e34217e76ff4cb", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nDer 1. FC Kaiserslautern steht daheim bei drei Siegen, einem Remis und 6:0 Toren.\n\nQuote 1,62 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1135, "fragment_to": 1269, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "394e7aa2b9d2beeb8fcb47f26a9d58e49fa9fdb5d170398dd218c23057aa8f66", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:07.205Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-1c2f43410b0b", "display_name": "Kaiserslautern — Hertha Berlin", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/kaiserslautern-vs-hertha-berlin-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.62", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T03:23:35.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:57:14.225Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "author_odds": "1.62", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Kaiserslautern or draw at 1.62" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Kaiserslautern 0-3 Hertha Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "601ad3575a17116157c2c5d62fe8bb61909e664f017640445e516b595f61cb6b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.62", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T03:32:07.205Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b8fa4a2ad8b5fea10f4f458fadb0541cc937adce7064bd39c4b3db79f31e0e4e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Kaiserslautern or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kaiserslautern-hertha-bsc-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Kaiserslautern or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-e95780c3b07304d309da5000", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-e95780c3b07304d309da5000", "match": "Cottbus v VfL Bochum", "match_url": "/football/matches/cottbus-vs-vfl-bochum-2026-10-30/", "kickoff": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.4", "settled_price": "1.4", "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-e95780c3b07304d309da5000", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nVier Spiele in Serie haben die Cottbuser Tore und Gegentreffer im Ergebnis vorzuweisen.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1222, "fragment_to": 1369, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:37.943Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a805247f8a66", "display_name": "Cottbus — VfL Bochum", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/cottbus-vs-vfl-bochum-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Cottbus 1-2 VfL Bochum." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2a97d533c9bd74d4ddd04811c863671f90fdc9a8a7752c6705b1347711ce8a77", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:37.943Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f5fb8eb6f4e96ac1153e26c12d7ee728647b18cb14b5bcf50ea28550d5bc6656", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-9ae5af89838e92e57390f4ef", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-9ae5af89838e92e57390f4ef", "match": "Cottbus v VfL Bochum", "match_url": "/football/matches/cottbus-vs-vfl-bochum-2026-10-30/", "kickoff": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "3.7", "settled_price": "3.7", "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9ae5af89838e92e57390f4ef", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X\n\nCottbus spielte zuletzt gegen Heidenheim (1:1) und Nürnberg (1:1), Bochum gegen Wolfsburg (1:1).\n\nQuote 3,70 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1074, "fragment_to": 1220, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b16914501e34f8c8d4b0cc20a2cea1d3369de8b4ba4ff8592c2769e6a5dcd068", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:43:56.969Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a805247f8a66", "display_name": "Cottbus — VfL Bochum", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/cottbus-vs-vfl-bochum-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.7", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T04:24:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:03.446Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.7", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Cottbus 1-2 VfL Bochum." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d28fbedd59d4519d63c50023df81f4f7d78d29e98e5ab4267e0cfeeb91493140", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.7", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:43:56.969Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "83735367d21e3611b4cdb19f1864800a3371de66a8c6de20f36e0dfb59a117d2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/cottbus-bochum-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-984395441514d2b80c84321d", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-984395441514d2b80c84321d", "match": "Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig", "match_url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-eintracht-braunschweig-2026-10-30/", "kickoff": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.45", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 14500, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "2.45", "settled_price": "2.45", "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-984395441514d2b80c84321d", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore\n\nDie letzten fünf Matches im H2H-Vergleich endeten 4:1, 3:2, 1:1, 3:3 und 4:1.\n\nQuote 2,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1228, "fragment_to": 1355, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "241f792194b7e109b8c2365e2eb99ce9fa73101a2cda97050c20e991945d94d9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.614Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0f7054e36564", "display_name": "Arminia Bielefeld — Eintracht Braunschweig", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-eintracht-braunschweig-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.45", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 14500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.45", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Eintracht Braunschweig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "bf73040900bc513031c213700771f2ef25cd0802fa0be9967e82197419dc882c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 14500, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.614Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cff01cdb0011f4ca61d97ad75b0fac99f9321cf7fc199ca679a1ae7cff6dbafb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-61d13dc5aef16bf7e0bfbb68", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-61d13dc5aef16bf7e0bfbb68", "match": "Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig", "match_url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-eintracht-braunschweig-2026-10-30/", "kickoff": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Arminia Bielefeld or draw at 1.26", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2600, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.26", "settled_price": "1.26", "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-61d13dc5aef16bf7e0bfbb68", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nBielefeld daheim mit zwei Unentschieden und zwei Siegen; Braunschweig auswärts mit drei Pleiten in vier Spielen.\n\nQuote 1,26 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1061, "fragment_to": 1226, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "241f792194b7e109b8c2365e2eb99ce9fa73101a2cda97050c20e991945d94d9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.393Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0f7054e36564", "display_name": "Arminia Bielefeld — Eintracht Braunschweig", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-eintracht-braunschweig-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.26", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2600, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T03:24:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T17:43:02.569Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "author_odds": "1.26", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Arminia Bielefeld or draw at 1.26" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Eintracht Braunschweig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e5838616e1251f09f17daee4ec1a7df545fbf7bd26e7632a28f8d7ec03bf6f53", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.26", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2600, "executed_at": "2026-10-28T19:44:39.393Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d8894256779278c6376157eac570c0ca307ad4d7b4090156b2190253e444e7bf", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-braunschweig-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-d15b580bfc3c6f0ff51a7d99", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-d15b580bfc3c6f0ff51a7d99", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-27/", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 50.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 5.3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "5.3", "settled_price": "4.8000", "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d15b580bfc3c6f0ff51a7d99", "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nInnerhalb der letzten fünf direkten Duelle (H2H) gab es drei Unentschieden zu sehen.\n\nQuote 5,30 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1160, "fragment_to": 1285, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-27-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b731c82f746af5e251ae62a353e3b7c57d61aebf6748e8c536a233be34bf2d72", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-27T11:17:04.776Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bedc4eb5df27", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-27/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "5.3", "our_snapshot": "4.8000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "5.3", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 5.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b8cb47f7515d3a194467fd1853dbf6883d5486a1aa695df195b0241ccc739e66", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "5.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T11:17:04.554Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "473fc5d29789910c566e83b3e466b55f36d9cf77a1f00f7cd073a38076c76f17", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "4.8000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T11:17:04.776Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-27-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-b6439e99b09c09dd6213a99a", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-b6439e99b09c09dd6213a99a", "match": "Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt", "match_url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-27/", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.6", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.6", "settled_price": "1.6", "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b6439e99b09c09dd6213a99a", "quote_text": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nSowohl der Hamburger SV, als auch Eintracht Frankfurt, spielten jüngst 0:1 und 1:0.\n\nQuote 1,60 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1314, "fragment_to": 1442, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hamburg-frankfurt-27-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "125aad0feaf484832a6c660a402163ab9dd7984d38c646c4c2c3ad7e714652ca", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-27T01:34:48.933Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c8d2b7f213af", "display_name": "Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-27/", "scoreline": "1-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.6", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.6", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.6" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9f12af08f6e1cafef7432578dd04005b3342ec1ded1f96792972e513d1d4b4f0", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.6", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T01:34:48.933Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8ea1ed3a6a12a61a6da177afc91df42ec9ecf3603c8877501478c4c52a5c1857", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hamburg-frankfurt-27-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-c80235a070855a6148962cd7", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-c80235a070855a6148962cd7", "match": "Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt", "match_url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-27/", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 2.3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 13000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.3", "settled_price": "2.3000", "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c80235a070855a6148962cd7", "quote_text": "Sieg Frankfurt 2\n\nTrotz Problemen zuletzt bleibt die SG Eintracht Frankfurt der etablierte Bundesligist mit stärkerem Kader.\n\nQuote 2,30 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1158, "fragment_to": 1306, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hamburg-frankfurt-27-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "125aad0feaf484832a6c660a402163ab9dd7984d38c646c4c2c3ad7e714652ca", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-27T01:34:49.372Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c8d2b7f213af", "display_name": "Hamburger SV — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-27/", "scoreline": "1-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.3", "our_snapshot": "2.3000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 13000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:04.551Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "author_odds": "2.3", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Eintracht Frankfurt at 2.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1c64da1e3ffcea31a33d83e45fe39643430bf9477f5968d18d99262a38738689", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "2.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T01:34:49.092Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cd801e6bd91c1eae488ce05919566ef4b72004c72542c99572ef09a7981dc435", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "decimal_odds": "2.3000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T01:34:49.372Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hamburg-frankfurt-27-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Eintracht Frankfurt to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-ef5637c7669ef436e93dbddb", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-ef5637c7669ef436e93dbddb", "match": "TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "match_url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.35", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.35", "settled_price": "1.3200", "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.3200", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ef5637c7669ef436e93dbddb", "quote_text": "Unsere Empfehlung als Wett-Tipp auf Hoffenheim vs. Leverkusen ist das\nBoth2Score (Beide Teams treffen). Denn Hoffenheim steht bei 11:14 und Leverkusen bei 16:9 Toren in gerade einmal sechs Spielen. Interwetten überzeugt weiterhin mit einer 1,35 als Quote.", "fragment_from": 7908, "fragment_to": 8163, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-leverkusen-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8baec4ec676c60bc75d68c35e9beccf6788f59de171e4b0c67f56fa6aedebfcb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:33:17.671Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8166ca26dfcf", "display_name": "TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.35", "our_snapshot": "1.3200", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T17:40:42.846Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.35", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9fbee5d06059513b416b2b776e5e0b092a765645796eea8f762607f3417c5449", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:33:17.041Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8c44ceb2781222f239e76e255411d1e609dbbdab57f556f0832900fcc34094ad", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.3200", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:33:17.671Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-leverkusen-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-79f6f1c30597431be27ded14", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-79f6f1c30597431be27ded14", "match": "Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden", "match_url": "/football/matches/holstein-kiel-vs-dynamo-dresden-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.35", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "2.35", "settled_price": "2.35", "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:07.658Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-79f6f1c30597431be27ded14", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore\n\nKiel schloss die letzten vier, Dresden die letzten zwei Spiele mit maximal zwei Toren ab.\n\nQuote 2,35 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1268, "fragment_to": 1408, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-dresden-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2076c4b25574a790a4ad2fc8888601a8d16e3e746988b0badfd2c0c5a1ba33b2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:07.658Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T21:58:31.742Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-959f15611312", "display_name": "Holstein Kiel — Dynamo Dresden", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/holstein-kiel-vs-dynamo-dresden-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.35", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:07.658Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "2.35", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Holstein Kiel 3-0 Dynamo Dresden." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d70ecebaad12922c10b319f8bf8124765ae20a97c724d9bf85bcb9c023edfed8", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T21:58:31.742Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c88b241fe180a1c38164b0dcfc0cbce13a3ea3f989fa013a6ae31c3e2365cad2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-dresden-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-152ba79eac2c7cd3b2710831", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-152ba79eac2c7cd3b2710831", "match": "Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden", "match_url": "/football/matches/holstein-kiel-vs-dynamo-dresden-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "3.75", "settled_price": "3.75", "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:07.658Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-152ba79eac2c7cd3b2710831", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X\n\nHolstein Kiel beendete alle vier Heimspiele bislang mit einer Punkteteilung.\n\nQuote 3,75 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1140, "fragment_to": 1266, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-dresden-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2076c4b25574a790a4ad2fc8888601a8d16e3e746988b0badfd2c0c5a1ba33b2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:07.658Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T21:58:18.471Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-959f15611312", "display_name": "Holstein Kiel — Dynamo Dresden", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/holstein-kiel-vs-dynamo-dresden-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:56:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:07.658Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Holstein Kiel 3-0 Dynamo Dresden." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "fefad63bc1da6a20e342f3f58a46cc8a80b0212a625dde83b0ec7a98c6ef9668", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T21:58:18.471Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d55e7584eb7dd358bed44fab9f5c3fd8972b81d1e29a6b1bd85e88cae3615931", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-dresden-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-2077d485867397ec61e074d3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-2077d485867397ec61e074d3", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 46.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4444, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.5", "settled_price": "1.4444", "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T18:12:04.763Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.4444", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4444, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2077d485867397ec61e074d3", "quote_text": "Wir gehen davon aus, dass die Dortmunder ihrer Heimstärke gegen die SG Eintracht heraufbeschwören. Im eigenen Stadion spielt der BVB oftmals auf einem stärkeren Level, weshalb wir bei den Wett-Tipps auf Dortmund vs. Frankfurt den\nHeimsieg\n(Betano Quote: 1,50) auswählen.", "fragment_from": 6226, "fragment_to": 6496, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-frankfurt-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "09f5df628aeda4f2f0992fee17fdd065aff21279987a6558175377764cdc0359", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T18:12:04.763Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:05.330Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a8c176cf39fa", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.5", "our_snapshot": "1.4444", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T18:11:42.294Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4444, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T18:12:04.763Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": "1.5", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7d5aa80e4618592dbf99f3e7b8044eff0edc6a66d0f4873671c44a55185ba425", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:04.564Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "308f22c757ec142f9662db215189ae809fa4fdafcfbc0056174fbc11aa3984b3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.4444", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4444, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:05.330Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-frankfurt-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-2201274c44196713a7322dc6", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-2201274c44196713a7322dc6", "match": "RB Leipzig v SV 07 Elversberg", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: RB Leipzig at 1.39", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4202, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.39", "settled_price": "1.4202", "published_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.991Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.4202", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4202, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2201274c44196713a7322dc6", "quote_text": "Sieg Leipzig 1\n\nDrei Siege in drei Heimspielen sprechen hier dann doch deutlich für die Bullen.\n\nQuote 1,39 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1124, "fragment_to": 1243, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-elversberg-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "36e3adcec4e8f6bf4e67fe145a37a2c801c03b4672b62a885b366c5f37d83bef", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.991Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:11.361Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-ef6c75e8191d", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — SV 07 Elversberg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "4-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "RB Leipzig", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.39", "our_snapshot": "1.4202", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:56:28.091Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4202, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.991Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "RB Leipzig", "author_odds": "1.39", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: RB Leipzig at 1.39" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 4-0 SV 07 Elversberg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "dcb9397c45f3732555f41d3416d677e86318c0626c54dad717966bf395d60fd6", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "RB Leipzig", "decimal_odds": "1.39", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3900, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:10.170Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "df44fbeab99aeef0220c36c392855cfd133d77a248e6ba27176b1ac472bfa5bf", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "RB Leipzig", "decimal_odds": "1.4202", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4202, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:11.361Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-elversberg-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "RB Leipzig to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-24217d2b89be47ced4076e6e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-24217d2b89be47ced4076e6e", "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.5, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.53", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5348, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.53", "settled_price": "1.5348", "published_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.5348", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5348, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-24217d2b89be47ced4076e6e", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nMainz schoss in den letzten fünf Ligaspielen ein Tor; Bremen sogar in allen sechs Partien!\n\nQuote 1,53 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1222, "fragment_to": 1372, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-bremen-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4c03ca7be25428bc9f7e67fc16503c78c2f405e86015eaaa5fe1774d4935b6c1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:23:38.049Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0ca36146af08", "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.53", "our_snapshot": "1.5348", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:56:28.091Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5348, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.53", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.53" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "94f4c754f8fe7a1c0d96a1af120b1f5d965a42981076d1951a7cd671d7c4b763", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.53", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5300, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:23:37.945Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4a761fe217d4abe02a57f633b49d5849028490cf9c6558d832654198a9da9b18", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.5348", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5348, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:23:38.049Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-bremen-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961", "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.5, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or SV Werder Bremen at 2.18", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 10750, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.18", "settled_price": "2.0750", "published_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance X2\n\nDer SV Werder ist seit fünf Ligaspielen ungeschlagen; Mainz ist daheim noch ohne Dreier!\n\nQuote 2,18 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1079, "fragment_to": 1220, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-bremen-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4c03ca7be25428bc9f7e67fc16503c78c2f405e86015eaaa5fe1774d4935b6c1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:23:37.898Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0ca36146af08", "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "draw or SV Werder Bremen", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.18", "our_snapshot": "2.0750", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:56:28.091Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 10750, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen", "author_odds": "2.18", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or SV Werder Bremen at 2.18" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5f8d995505082e8b1fcdfdc04fefbec92326383b962a5d1f9fa33cf1dd6a75f0", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen", "decimal_odds": "2.18", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11800, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:23:37.590Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "27266bab4595de910e5bd90f0aa9e33483c5ce599a660b23fca284ee6d93301f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen", "decimal_odds": "2.0750", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10750, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:23:37.898Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-bremen-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "draw or SV Werder Bremen" } }, { "record_id": "n-7cae1bbb3c436c4bf5c10e96", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-7cae1bbb3c436c4bf5c10e96", "match": "FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-1-fc-union-berlin-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.47", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4545, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.47", "settled_price": "1.4545", "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.861Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.4545", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4545, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7cae1bbb3c436c4bf5c10e96", "quote_text": "Tipp:\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\n1.47", "fragment_from": 1789, "fragment_to": 1825, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-union-berlin-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e262d5b79eb54c097dd46d0df97a9a69395c2995a1325aeefb245f823abc44d4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.861Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:28.332Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d326ddb3d546", "display_name": "FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-1-fc-union-berlin-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": "1.4545", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:40:57.539Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4545, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.861Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Augsburg 1-1 1. FC Union Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "238ddb3f8eb70d0fab1971dfb38fe24540435902161ac419558691907a6a1153", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.47", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4700, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:27.952Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6148c33a01c978940e460472721d721f4a4af8bafa908b749c09e4f1b0445317", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4545", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4545, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:28.332Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-union-berlin-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-2656222e6f869b5b99765592", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-2656222e6f869b5b99765592", "match": "1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.35", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 13300, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.35", "settled_price": "2.3300", "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.208Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.6100", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2656222e6f869b5b99765592", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore\n\nHier sind die 4:7 Tore vom FC Schalke 04 ein wichtiges Argument (6 Ligaspiele).\n\nQuote 2,35 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1320, "fragment_to": 1450, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/koeln-schalke-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "0e4cf24fa597246a59ca02b6996d0123a29a8aa8a201d0140f7f1c415f873ff8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.208Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:29.539Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-515bdf9b47d2", "display_name": "1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.35", "our_snapshot": "2.3300", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:40:07.185Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 13300, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.208Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "2.35", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "75a2ea8f53344dd6b2c511cb6e6b498e8e1a74bf3a64729ddaa2f4fc5950b74a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13500, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:29.241Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c0bf45bdd12b6db45eb4021fc12acba4e4fe64e966cb9105788d668dd1f9dd6b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.3300", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13300, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:29.539Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/koeln-schalke-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-88485996c80405c75feeb98b", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-88485996c80405c75feeb98b", "match": "1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: 1. FC Köln or draw at 1.35", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 3623, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.35", "settled_price": "1.3623", "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.208Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-88485996c80405c75feeb98b", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X\n\nKöln hat keines seiner drei Heimspiele verloren; Schalke neunmal in Folge nicht gegen Köln gewonnen!\n\nQuote 1,35 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1165, "fragment_to": 1318, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/koeln-schalke-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "0e4cf24fa597246a59ca02b6996d0123a29a8aa8a201d0140f7f1c415f873ff8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.208Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:29.213Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-515bdf9b47d2", "display_name": "1. FC Köln — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "1. FC Köln or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.35", "our_snapshot": "1.3623", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:40:57.539Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 3623, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T01:23:01.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.208Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "1. FC Köln or draw", "author_odds": "1.35", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: 1. FC Köln or draw at 1.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Köln 0-0 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2c96178ae6513b6947e77111f5f50cd9866d63aef2dad5b6f067f1b2d83c13ab", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "1. FC Köln or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3500, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:28.414Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "48446193a731b4f5df633aa4920f2b7482edb5dd89420f3ec0e757bd7c62d97e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "1. FC Köln or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.3623", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3623, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:29.213Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/koeln-schalke-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "1. FC Köln or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-a84c58a22f2dfd6ad8a496e3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-a84c58a22f2dfd6ad8a496e3", "match": "SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.53", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5650, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.53", "settled_price": "1.5650", "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:06.632Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "under", "price": "1.5650", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5650, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a84c58a22f2dfd6ad8a496e3", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore\n\nDer HSV mit sechs Toren und Paderborn sogar nur mit fünf Toren in den ersten sechs Spielen.\n\nQuote 1,53 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1224, "fragment_to": 1366, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-hamburg-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ce44378242ad4663d592e0882825b314b58475ce8e728f92c8d11e2c09e6dd41", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:06.632Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:30.669Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d2dac8869554", "display_name": "SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.53", "our_snapshot": "1.5650", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:40:07.185Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5650, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:06.632Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.53", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.53" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e1869573dda2cdaf359872197317cfaae77b8dce650f91005ea8c5d0d4c29148", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.53", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5300, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:30.356Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "000a2b71c86a398cc87ec0c76435b7db33a8298c4787773327042e2f0709819f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.5650", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5650, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:30.669Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-hamburg-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-64b53f2d399a414178165aea", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-64b53f2d399a414178165aea", "match": "SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Hamburger SV at 3.05", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.05", "settled_price": "2.9000", "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:06.632Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.2350", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 12350, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-64b53f2d399a414178165aea", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Hamburg 2\n\nBaut der Hamburger SV seine Serie, bestehend aus drei Siegen, weiter aus?\n\nQuote 3,05 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1100, "fragment_to": 1222, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-hamburg-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ce44378242ad4663d592e0882825b314b58475ce8e728f92c8d11e2c09e6dd41", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:06.632Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:30.333Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d2dac8869554", "display_name": "SC Paderborn 07 — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Hamburger SV", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.05", "our_snapshot": "2.9000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:40:57.539Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T01:24:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:06.632Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Hamburger SV", "author_odds": "3.05", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Hamburger SV at 3.05" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "38d4513cb4999cb0eea95fd8d6db1bb39fbbcc0365879c709f4351bc75850299", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Hamburger SV", "decimal_odds": "3.05", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:29.565Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "aebf2b36af93c5ce8e9f915fe42e77ddb1347621e5f138bfda749b997d03da0d", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Hamburger SV", "decimal_odds": "2.9000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:49:30.333Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-hamburg-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Hamburger SV to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-e40bdf3c83028ad3d2349de9", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-e40bdf3c83028ad3d2349de9", "match": "TSG Hoffenheim v Olympique Lyonnais", "match_url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-22/", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 97.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.47", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.47", "settled_price": "1.4808", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:04.305Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.4808", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-e40bdf3c83028ad3d2349de9", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nHier ist die H2H-Statistik unsere Referenz; die bisherigen Ergebnisse lauten 3:3, 2:2 und 2:2.\n\nQuote 1,47 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1401, "fragment_to": 1549, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-lyon-22-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "20ad00a8f3a8641f337061963429bc589eca3e71fbb65c728c2880099efce348", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:04.305Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:49:56.145Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fb9f2443b067", "display_name": "TSG Hoffenheim — Olympique Lyonnais", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": "1.4808", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T17:52:15.408Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:04.305Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Olympique Lyonnais." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "de98268a8c1abc1f46f068db5b7742476dbb2b3a992a19f051b86f06d767de3f", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.47", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:49:55.440Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d0682a798c7fbb9fce125e5e0659976398b21674833ca20c469fce2dd1a89fe3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4808", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:49:56.145Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-lyon-22-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-4a97f2ad58e2c170aefb807e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-4a97f2ad58e2c170aefb807e", "match": "TSG Hoffenheim v Olympique Lyonnais", "match_url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-22/", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 97.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Olympique Lyonnais at 3.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.4", "settled_price": "3.3000", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:04.305Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.9524", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 9524, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4a97f2ad58e2c170aefb807e", "quote_text": "Sieg Lyon 2\n\nHoffenheim hat in den letzten Wochen häufig verloren, darunter zwei internationale Spiele!\n\nQuote 3,40 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1266, "fragment_to": 1393, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-lyon-22-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "20ad00a8f3a8641f337061963429bc589eca3e71fbb65c728c2880099efce348", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:04.305Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:49:55.354Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fb9f2443b067", "display_name": "TSG Hoffenheim — Olympique Lyonnais", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Olympique Lyonnais", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.4", "our_snapshot": "3.3000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T17:52:15.408Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:04.305Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais", "author_odds": "3.4", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Olympique Lyonnais at 3.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Olympique Lyonnais." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3afd746f72c51fcc27c9dc8e4f048b47b2153efb5dc0843d6041c3d7051ef490", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais", "decimal_odds": "3.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:49:55.037Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "fbe4dfb87f735d83fbf428f3086953996d40b5c7781a8295fab81d8522ebe5a3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais", "decimal_odds": "3.3000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:49:55.354Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-lyon-22-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Olympique Lyonnais to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-e2ecc6ca8403d6bb6e0a9693", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-e2ecc6ca8403d6bb6e0a9693", "match": "FC Bayern München v Arsenal", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-arsenal-2026-10-21/", "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 73.3, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.5", "settled_price": "1.5000", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:04.698Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.5102", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5102, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-e2ecc6ca8403d6bb6e0a9693", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nDer FC Bayern ist aktuell immer für einen Lapsus gut; Beide Teams sind offensiv gefährlich.\n\nQuote 1,50 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1330, "fragment_to": 1475, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/fc-bayern-arsenal-21-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7c4644fe8dadd6b94e89e3fb020c8977d1b4c56bad9ecfc6f6d3349fbba5d6c3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:04.698Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.579Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9b50ee5dca05", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Arsenal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-arsenal-2026-10-21/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.5", "our_snapshot": "1.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T17:37:06.103Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:04.698Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "70ee4ea4d53fb34b5721f6330292133803ecabac42e867591922d1004fc080da", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.138Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "83697bd021ab25caa349b06f1294fc1d47e3140cf7a1f73d47b2714a9a1fab75", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.579Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/fc-bayern-arsenal-21-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-a621823e1f5ad5af64d09c58", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-a621823e1f5ad5af64d09c58", "match": "FC Bayern München v Arsenal", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-arsenal-2026-10-21/", "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 73.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 3.05", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.05", "settled_price": "3.1000", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:04.698Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.1000", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a621823e1f5ad5af64d09c58", "quote_text": "Sieg Arsenal 2\n\nLondon ist generell gut drauf und gewann zudem letzte Saison mit 3:1 daheim gegen München.\n\nQuote 3,05 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1192, "fragment_to": 1322, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/fc-bayern-arsenal-21-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7c4644fe8dadd6b94e89e3fb020c8977d1b4c56bad9ecfc6f6d3349fbba5d6c3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:04.698Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.067Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9b50ee5dca05", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Arsenal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-arsenal-2026-10-21/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Arsenal", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.05", "our_snapshot": "3.1000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T17:37:06.103Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:04.698Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Arsenal", "author_odds": "3.05", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 3.05" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "17c334bd14e1dd93a8dddf608e31cdcd06ecdedbe1ab310cca511e570c39ab61", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Arsenal", "decimal_odds": "3.05", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:15.582Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c725862f1cd5135cd30d57b1363ba91d81cf847f0bf3056bd1dacbb43c92d652", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Arsenal", "decimal_odds": "3.1000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.067Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/fc-bayern-arsenal-21-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Arsenal to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-01ca3909bab805c89fd3ce61", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-01ca3909bab805c89fd3ce61", "match": "VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/vfb-stuttgart-vs-atletico-madrid-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 49.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2500, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.25", "settled_price": "1.25", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.698Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-01ca3909bab805c89fd3ce61", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 4,5 Tore\n\nDiese Marke haben die Spanier in all ihren 11 Pflichtspielen in 26/27 nicht überboten!\n\nQuote 1,25 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1287, "fragment_to": 1424, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/stuttgart-atletico-madrid-20-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "231310652519361cd9dbee88d84e49154e4114528ef9b8142fd047a6f07c30bb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.698Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.781Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a03afa8d49aa", "display_name": "VfB Stuttgart — Atlético Madrid", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/vfb-stuttgart-vs-atletico-madrid-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 4.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.698Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "author_odds": "1.25", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "4.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 1.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d0a78649a415ff9d32d64c97f988cb20117db105dc0c461f65cc538f0027dcbe", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "decimal_odds": "1.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2500, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.781Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a54c6db7741c48c4bd0b34cd5e809dc9caf7bebb885bdb2b48d2f5baa58b7115", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "choice": "under 4.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/stuttgart-atletico-madrid-20-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 4.5 (Over/Under 4.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-d765e89a0e7e03cd71a29d34", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-d765e89a0e7e03cd71a29d34", "match": "VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/vfb-stuttgart-vs-atletico-madrid-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 49.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.1", "settled_price": "2.1000", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.698Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.1000", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d765e89a0e7e03cd71a29d34", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Atlético 2\n\nAtlético Madrid schaut jetzt auf 6 Pflichtspiel-Siege in Serie zurück!\n\nQuote 2,10 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1165, "fragment_to": 1285, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/stuttgart-atletico-madrid-20-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "231310652519361cd9dbee88d84e49154e4114528ef9b8142fd047a6f07c30bb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.698Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.734Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a03afa8d49aa", "display_name": "VfB Stuttgart — Atlético Madrid", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/vfb-stuttgart-vs-atletico-madrid-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Atlético Madrid", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": "2.1000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T17:37:06.103Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.698Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Atlético Madrid", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c8c5badfaeec45f9447ecd6e48a8650e4dddb27c40fe387790e8b31fae84c1b7", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Atlético Madrid", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.614Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "448af228ca475d13b5bae13f53c57aa48ff5475ea9d6c346d3354a684498eca0", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Atlético Madrid", "decimal_odds": "2.1000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:40:16.734Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/stuttgart-atletico-madrid-20-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Atlético Madrid to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-865fef503de1e255fc081e14", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-865fef503de1e255fc081e14", "match": "Sabah FK v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": "/football/matches/sabah-fk-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 47.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2899, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.3", "settled_price": "1.2899", "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.029Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "1.2899", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 2899, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-865fef503de1e255fc081e14", "quote_text": "Sieg Dortmund 2\n\nBereits ein Blick auf den Kader genügt, um die Dortmunder als Favorit zu identifizieren.\n\nQuote 1,30 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1224, "fragment_to": 1353, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/sabah-dortmund-20-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a48d14f7b803c45b900050f446c35d141ce6e91febcb6e68e6e3bf572c344ee4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.029Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-19T06:43:32.417Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-307a8ecf0ca8", "display_name": "Sabah FK — Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sabah-fk-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.3", "our_snapshot": "1.2899", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T17:37:06.103Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2899, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.029Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": "1.3", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sabah FK 1-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "cdb417bdd02ffa39985f4ea3d703776a0ca32bf693a0b7eddfcabac95f5a42d6", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3000, "executed_at": "2026-10-19T06:43:30.945Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "2951d01ea844ffcb741cfa5657d8b42a190f93f2b6d289dc8a1d3538eeced129", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.2899", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2899, "executed_at": "2026-10-19T06:43:32.417Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/sabah-dortmund-20-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-b00ebaa064cd18105b61a997", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-b00ebaa064cd18105b61a997", "match": "FC Schalke 04 v 1. FSV Mainz 05", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-1-fsv-mainz-05-2026-10-17/", "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.0, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.55", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5500, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.55", "settled_price": "1.55", "published_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.738Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b00ebaa064cd18105b61a997", "quote_text": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nBesonders S04 hat vier seiner fünf Ligaspiele der Saison mit maximal drei Toren beendet.\n\nQuote 1,55 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1349, "fragment_to": 1482, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-mainz-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "bb51787829fd92162e7231c207d1ea982474a7a324ec0abe7583dd330d8aee09", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.738Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:12.294Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9c275cae958e", "display_name": "FC Schalke 04 — 1. FSV Mainz 05", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-1-fsv-mainz-05-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.55", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.738Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.55", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Schalke 04 0-1 1. FSV Mainz 05." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "54f80eee1442e8ffa295bbdcbcd7fd1d3e00ea730984df7e79843ca3be7652a8", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.55", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5500, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:12.294Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a803e1dd4c9d08a6498ac5fbd4dac95803563c77d052a3077d6faf17e8d0c8f1", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-mainz-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ec783081ec9a87427d87eb42", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-ec783081ec9a87427d87eb42", "match": "FC Schalke 04 v 1. FSV Mainz 05", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-1-fsv-mainz-05-2026-10-17/", "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.65", "settled_price": "3.6000", "published_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.738Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.2400", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 12400, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ec783081ec9a87427d87eb42", "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nDrei der letzten fünf Duelle (H2H) und zwei der letzten vier Schalker Spiele endeten mit einem Remis.\n\nQuote 3,65 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1199, "fragment_to": 1341, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-mainz-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "bb51787829fd92162e7231c207d1ea982474a7a324ec0abe7583dd330d8aee09", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.738Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:12.240Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-9c275cae958e", "display_name": "FC Schalke 04 — 1. FSV Mainz 05", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-1-fsv-mainz-05-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.65", "our_snapshot": "3.6000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-15T17:37:08.948Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T04:58:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.738Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.65", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Schalke 04 0-1 1. FSV Mainz 05." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b8459ac6cf352e14594d705ae256e36171d42ab87e4cf1eac4b46bdfda37fa11", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.65", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:11.550Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "44b5dc25e267b5ef7c9e7d61040b8006ed56ed85700faac1807c6a37ba78cc08", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.6000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:12.240Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-mainz-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-c235eb7fc2fc1bc9c1472578", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-c235eb7fc2fc1bc9c1472578", "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln", "match_url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-10-16/", "kickoff": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 49.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.35", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.35", "settled_price": "1.3497", "published_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:01.948Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.3497", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c235eb7fc2fc1bc9c1472578", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nEintracht Frankfurt schon mit 16 Gegentoren in 5 Spielen; Köln mit El Mala vorne drin.\n\nQuote 1,35 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1249, "fragment_to": 1389, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-koeln-16-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4a85195109f20a6b52a36229e7fa5531453be370761e14bac54f25b38401af7e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:01.948Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-15T01:14:43.060Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-2cffca3d320b", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-10-16/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.35", "our_snapshot": "1.3497", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-14T17:29:46.330Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:01.948Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.35", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ba32b700092ada2d45b6af4ff9497a7442ea2ccc40aed28dc571fc7045d4c331", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-15T01:14:42.581Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a289813789c4bc7843215ac5e532df4937f4129ff25a0335027e46a4d3a1e234", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.3497", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-15T01:14:43.060Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-koeln-16-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-500081cdbe56a47c7789329a", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-500081cdbe56a47c7789329a", "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln", "match_url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-10-16/", "kickoff": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 49.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Köln at 3.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.4", "settled_price": "3.3750", "published_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:01.948Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.9091", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 9091, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-500081cdbe56a47c7789329a", "quote_text": "Sieg Köln 2\n\nDer 1. FC Köln gewann jüngst 2:1 über Gladbach; Frankfurt verlor 0:6 in Leipzig.\n\nQuote 3,40 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1124, "fragment_to": 1241, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-koeln-16-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4a85195109f20a6b52a36229e7fa5531453be370761e14bac54f25b38401af7e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:01.948Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-15T01:14:42.525Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-2cffca3d320b", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-10-16/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "1. FC Köln", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.4", "our_snapshot": "3.3750", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-14T17:29:46.330Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T03:59:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:01.948Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "author_odds": "3.4", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Köln at 3.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9f2000871c8b7ec5ef3dcd4d174bda43400f15cca4aef99fbff901d884d5ead9", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "decimal_odds": "3.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-15T01:14:41.905Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5d30ae323f3933e13c2b702f159e7e9afe1bc3bbf6abd4f80071808c8bffda43", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Köln", "decimal_odds": "3.3750", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-15T01:14:42.525Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-koeln-16-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "1. FC Köln to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-55ab7771db82d9cb542cf987", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-55ab7771db82d9cb542cf987", "match": "1. FC Köln v Borussia M'gladbach", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-borussia-m-gladbach-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.2, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.2", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.2", "settled_price": "2.2500", "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:12:23.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:08.931Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-55ab7771db82d9cb542cf987", "quote_text": "Interessanter finden wir aber die Wahl von\nÜber 3,5 Toren. Denn diese Marke wurde in sieben der letzten acht Duelle (H2H-Statistik) durchbrochen. Interwetten hat dafür eine 2,20 als Wettquote vorbereitet,", "fragment_from": 7911, "fragment_to": 8115, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/koeln-gladbach-11-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2633e6939c41957a44ccc4c86e9f4ae698117363d27048386225afe5e9cda3fd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:12:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:08.931Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-06T21:50:50.165Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-7b7b0db78d19", "display_name": "1. FC Köln — Borussia M'gladbach", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-borussia-m-gladbach-2026-10-11/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.2", "our_snapshot": "2.2500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:05.118Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T16:12:23.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T16:12:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:08.931Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.2", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia M'gladbach." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "539f9272d89f13c083b1132852f4b9cc7912fad824167b7d7e403030c52b3798", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T21:50:50.099Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "0f82f6a41a1ef1a4c85a0c5508c6a4f38d3a2b8a7f2c6a770c046a0bfce9f58a", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.2500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T21:50:50.165Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/koeln-gladbach-11-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453", "match": "RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 26.3, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "6-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.4", "settled_price": "1.3846", "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.3846", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nEintracht Frankfurt spielte in der Bundesliga bislang 3:3, 1:4, 3:1 und 2:2!\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1274, "fragment_to": 1410, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2493fe099d9f8694f24a6efdcc36a816c1149e2c92ada8cc97f24b2262ec5452", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.731Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-7f44e1174795", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "6-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": "1.3846", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:20.257Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "6-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "73bc1173a5cde5d4b83cfc91a52e152cfa92d32c9403bb7e40c39fc58aa89a90", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:05.412Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "1e4c2eacfb2144e7657d8c0538ffb45275ab309e87df564d8d9fd7eee9ddac5f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.3846", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.731Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-3a320754214312bc70e81da1", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-3a320754214312bc70e81da1", "match": "RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 26.3, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap -1: RB Leipzig -1 at 2.25", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "6-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 12500, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "2.25", "settled_price": "2.25", "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3a320754214312bc70e81da1", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\n1 Handicap 0:1\n\nDie letzten 5 direkten Duelle (H2H) endeten aus RBL-Sicht 3:1, 6:0, 0:4, 2:1 und 3:0!\n\nQuote 2,25 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1138, "fragment_to": 1272, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2493fe099d9f8694f24a6efdcc36a816c1149e2c92ada8cc97f24b2262ec5452", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:04.941Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-7f44e1174795", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "6-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "outcome_label": "RB Leipzig -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 12500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "RB Leipzig -1", "author_odds": "2.25", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "-1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -1: RB Leipzig -1 at 2.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "6-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f0771ce6d91685bf8217f57dc1e67dd19f22ba3328a7b9a24e8271955cb7216f", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "RB Leipzig -1", "decimal_odds": "2.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 12500, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:04.941Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cc8cd508e3f6a3e6f22780b52cf54c557e43039d8ec79f604227f81c543d79c2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "RB Leipzig -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "RB Leipzig -1" } }, { "record_id": "n-ca94f125a66249e798951bec", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-ca94f125a66249e798951bec", "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 23.4, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.45", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-4", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4400, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.45", "settled_price": "1.4400", "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:15.262Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ca94f125a66249e798951bec", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDer 1. FSV Mainz 05 innerhalb der Bundesliga zuletzt mit einem 4:3, 1:3 und 5:0!\n\nQuote 1,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1332, "fragment_to": 1456, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-leverkusen-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "06aeca29afb85b75d0b3afa79652e98e3e718c593394172c44494938083a26e1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:15.262Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:23:32.056Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a8db52558700", "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "3-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.45", "our_snapshot": "1.4400", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T14:00:36.000Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4400, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:15.262Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.45", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8473ac8401bb285cd052191a19ee96f7e7cc363ec2e952cfc263b99c04d07364", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4500, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:51.387Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "dcfc7bb1dfd79e9eb8102ca28ced2d827729ebb148b90b21c34166602deb1aad", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4400, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:23:32.056Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-leverkusen-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-c384eef4579f5efe2a7358bc", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-c384eef4579f5efe2a7358bc", "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 23.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 2.3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-4", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 11600, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.3", "settled_price": "2.1600", "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:15.262Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.1600", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 11600, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c384eef4579f5efe2a7358bc", "quote_text": "Sieg Leverkusen 2\n\nBayer 04 Leverkusen hat jetzt Zeit sich zu finden; wir schätzen die Kaderqualität höher ein!\n\nQuote 2,30 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1189, "fragment_to": 1324, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-leverkusen-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "06aeca29afb85b75d0b3afa79652e98e3e718c593394172c44494938083a26e1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:15.262Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.865Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a8db52558700", "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "3-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.3", "our_snapshot": "2.1600", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T14:01:25.415Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 11600, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:30:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:15.262Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "author_odds": "2.3", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 2.3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6f3bfe4bb17a5aa6d77a08ebc1a1bfcc9e5184b8385fb0452e71192dda2fdfba", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "decimal_odds": "2.3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13000, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:51.338Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e0763dd34137cec811cb6c0672fead935efbfeeed21037bae9c5d25fd9e87629", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "decimal_odds": "2.1600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11600, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.865Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-leverkusen-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-45f3aa17498a2217ba8d1bc8", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-45f3aa17498a2217ba8d1bc8", "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v SV 07 Elversberg", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 23.4, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "2.4", "settled_price": "2.4", "published_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:13.633Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-45f3aa17498a2217ba8d1bc8", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore\n\nAlle fünf Pflichtspiele der Berliner endeten mit mehr Toren!\n\nQuote 2,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1214, "fragment_to": 1324, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-elversberg-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8bb549f1844f3ada21ec8b825eef78a2d434047af72853bef6ae9bd7cff7c1fa", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:13.633Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:42.503Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d39b51492ed0", "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — SV 07 Elversberg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:13.633Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.4", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 1-0 SV 07 Elversberg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "19bb7b13a0139a219c701d8555418fcca98c8a4e7826d7674087e15cf2d4380e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:42.503Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e99ec8f98528d5dc54be249bc847ce653116e51fd071ac3e7c043e9fa0eb0f0a", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-elversberg-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-f3e548ab25561b88c27295a6", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-f3e548ab25561b88c27295a6", "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v SV 07 Elversberg", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 23.4, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or SV 07 Elversberg at 1.67", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.67", "settled_price": "1.5907", "published_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:13.633Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-f3e548ab25561b88c27295a6", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance X2\n\nDer SV Elversberg startete besser in die Saison 26/27; eventuell wird der Aufsteiger noch unterschätzt!\n\nQuote 1,67 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1056, "fragment_to": 1212, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-elversberg-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8bb549f1844f3ada21ec8b825eef78a2d434047af72853bef6ae9bd7cff7c1fa", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:13.633Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.874Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d39b51492ed0", "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — SV 07 Elversberg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "draw or SV 07 Elversberg", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.67", "our_snapshot": "1.5907", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T14:01:25.415Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T15:39:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:03:13.633Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or SV 07 Elversberg", "author_odds": "1.67", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or SV 07 Elversberg at 1.67" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 1-0 SV 07 Elversberg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b3980d530b25ec0ae58f694c060756c57eb55d5e66e25b1e97c00de1539adc3e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or SV 07 Elversberg", "decimal_odds": "1.67", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:43.603Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4ce5274bbaf3975ba4da59be7f2ce8839f52f2749fa52f73fa73fa505b88c230", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or SV 07 Elversberg", "decimal_odds": "1.5907", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.874Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-elversberg-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "draw or SV 07 Elversberg" } }, { "record_id": "n-de146bf328a6139a41167ee0", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-de146bf328a6139a41167ee0", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-09/", "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 4.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.39", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.39", "settled_price": "1.3333", "published_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.317Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.3333", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-de146bf328a6139a41167ee0", "quote_text": "Sieg Dortmund 1\n\nDie Schwarz-Gelben haben, besonders in der Bundesliga, einen Lauf!\n\nQuote 1,39 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1186, "fragment_to": 1293, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-09-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d73f8e1c6b2a13b0bb0623b66bbf2471f680be5f245b7627f243bef5f5b760db", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.317Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:06.228Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bc1b20d37a35", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-09/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.39", "our_snapshot": "1.3333", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T14:01:25.415Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.317Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": "1.39", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.39" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-2 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6b14154dd8c40d7ecd008a8a52360a48c59c5bef459094a07b749c5efcfbd88b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.39", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:00:24.050Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ca46378d55a749eb46f84fc9b3ebe6462c831c83197a8f5166c023a6bfc2e9a8", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.3333", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:06.228Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-09-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-4b2a162bc26b7fbd768f2e53", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-4b2a162bc26b7fbd768f2e53", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v NK Celje", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": -630.9, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 17500, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.1", "settled_price": "2.7500", "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:38.031Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4b2a162bc26b7fbd768f2e53", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore\n\nBei dieser riskanten Empfehlung bauen wir auf eine lange Zeit kompakte Defensive von Celje.\n\nQuote 2,10 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1334, "fragment_to": 1476, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260914165029id_/https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-celje-16-09-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97bdfe83b15bf76a7657890d793ddaac5d66db1912d6e4be543fbc169adc6aa4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:38.031Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:25.838Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v NK Celje", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.7500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 17500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-09-14T16:50:29.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:38.031Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-09-14T16:50:29.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ecfa4b5b2a8ea071efe046e16769f27a25c1082adbe898d498a70243832485ec", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:25.831Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "cea650b888fcc0d203bff8815ce163659a432b9aca8187d1ad582fa2da03d799", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.7500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 17500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:25.838Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-celje-16-09-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-fcf95c4de4be36f4631c73ee", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-fcf95c4de4be36f4631c73ee", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v NK Celje", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": -630.9, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap -1: Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1 at 1.45", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2100, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.45", "settled_price": "1.2100", "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:38.031Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-fcf95c4de4be36f4631c73ee", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\n1 Handicap 0:1\n\nLeverkusen ist von der Qualität der Spieler im Kader glasklar überlegen.\n\nQuote 1,45 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1211, "fragment_to": 1332, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260914165029id_/https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-celje-16-09-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97bdfe83b15bf76a7657890d793ddaac5d66db1912d6e4be543fbc169adc6aa4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:38.031Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:25.822Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v NK Celje", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "outcome_label": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.45", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.2100", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-09-14T16:50:29.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T01:55:38.031Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-09-14T16:50:29.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1", "author_odds": "1.45", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "-1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -1: Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1 at 1.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "82a8b8330d1b0541e6e03f82663f7b6b6457e31e09d78c24cdbf93871559e715", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1", "decimal_odds": "1.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:25.817Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "0a07420e5411347b9b23d0defb95d7b6ac783e14ddf107c95ae6b777cb19b3fa", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1", "decimal_odds": "1.2100", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2100, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:25.822Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-celje-16-09-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen -1" } }, { "record_id": "n-6377c2d7f7f4404abbdc0d66", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-6377c2d7f7f4404abbdc0d66", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -739.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.82", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 7300, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.82", "settled_price": "1.7300", "published_at": "2026-09-04T10:12:23.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:56.903Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6377c2d7f7f4404abbdc0d66", "quote_text": "Tipp:\n\nSieg Dortmund 1\n\nBeste Quote\n\n1.82", "fragment_from": 5290, "fragment_to": 5331, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-villarreal-25-11-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1cf42584714e9e88bb0cdbd8f5340c267d36c8971cab88d8a6cb69f12d97d737", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-04T10:12:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:56.903Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:18.510Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.82", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.7300", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7300, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-04T10:12:23.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-04T10:12:23.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:56.903Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": "1.82", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.82" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "daf4828c6ba89df75b2042efec9eeab8b445cbe36d0dc17289a75f51480a6b88", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.82", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8200, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:18.074Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ec7e8097fa31aa16d3aaa36b1dceb11cf1a6565d095a946b0ed20d9e50230672", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.7300", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7300, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:18.510Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-villarreal-25-11-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-f2d47ac97d084de7cbfa6473", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-f2d47ac97d084de7cbfa6473", "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV", "match_url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 22.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-f2d47ac97d084de7cbfa6473", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nFrankfurt zuletzt in der Liga mit dem 0:1, 1:0 und 0:6; Hamburg mit einem 0:1 und 1:0.\n\nQuote 2,50 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1237, "fragment_to": 1389, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "93521377a8cd77c6cef7523364f8c7f58efb0cc799cb638c2ca32a0594fbc10e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-06d250442f56", "display_name": "Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-frankfurt-vs-hamburger-sv-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T12:00:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T17:42:40.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "380e4fb1d2d8a44964fab396b0a89eb531fd241c9c65fcfea7865ca14ca00457", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7637815876bdeee2954f6f0f196e121e6227af2aac5c9eda5995b42ea12ce194", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/frankfurt-hamburg-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-5bf5923e706d2486b8fae474", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-5bf5923e706d2486b8fae474", "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-5bf5923e706d2486b8fae474", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore sind eine Alternative", "fragment_from": 8352, "fragment_to": 8387, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "73a0393163b4fb35d35e22290efd498cf4e1e5901643d7da9a42fa01b1dc98be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-bd350f450c46", "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Köln", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-1-fc-koln-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 1-1 1. FC Köln." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b95f91b674b5a9554a497e7bbb98bd54e91ece280c2909cc30b99d88b7005b5c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/union-berlin-koeln-01-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ad95d26188850a5b6f81f6a5", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/#pick-n-ad95d26188850a5b6f81f6a5", "match": "FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap -1: FC Bayern München -1 at 4.25", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ad95d26188850a5b6f81f6a5", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nX Handicap 0:1\n\nMünchen siegte zuletzt im Duell mit Dortmund mit 2:1, 3:2 und 2.1.\n\nQuote 4,25 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1079, "fragment_to": 1194, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e5895496041f065c3fe2fd76cae3eaa02c0cdd78bde1047e981e2fe184668219", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-459823b8fd68", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "4.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T04:37:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T18:12:35.307Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "FC Bayern München -1", "author_odds": "4.25", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "-1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -1: FC Bayern München -1 at 4.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "76060493b910025bac87e9c973d9f207beed8048f273e1a7e0daf0192cd0be9d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "FC Bayern München -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a6d377263f145b8fea4601e6bebc7463aff3b5ee24a681170e0d636e641b3f56", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "FC Bayern München -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-dortmund-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Bayern München -1" } }, { "record_id": "n-43fb1bb9132974e7c3cb452e", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-43fb1bb9132974e7c3cb452e", "match": "FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.75", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-43fb1bb9132974e7c3cb452e", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nDie Schalker Heimspiele endeten bislang 0:1, 0:0 und 0:0; RB Leipzig zuletzt mit einem 4:0.\n\nQuote 2,75 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1330, "fragment_to": 1487, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3b1ed6e356f28d2f744d8163b9ca1984611860cdec48f1111076e52c1d89a428", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-0af8ac563359", "display_name": "FC Schalke 04 — RB Leipzig", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-schalke-04-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:06:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:42:07.774Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.75", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Schalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1e5092301eea037103490d83e30b895eb907c61998817a7b4967529cc64c7be4", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "74cb17d79cd65ee825d6b097358b38feede79b80a17a8e8fc95f4a6aa2597663", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/schalke-leipzig-31-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-a083e05330a660ba5963c0fa", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-a083e05330a660ba5963c0fa", "match": "FC Bayern München v Magdeburg", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-28/", "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 50.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "6-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a083e05330a660ba5963c0fa", "quote_text": "Both2Score (Beide Teams treffen). Doch in den drei bisherigen direkten Duellen gab es immer Tore und Gegentore zu sehen.", "fragment_from": 8393, "fragment_to": 8513, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-magdeburg-28-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8f7d183d210b79d1fe2e78a21886c92800fc44170b31763675a758ecc3fc6971", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-197915418170", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Magdeburg", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "6-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "6-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 6-1 Magdeburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9851273951527339d9b265e8d7f3719f63be16531a5515d541dd3ea0f24765b3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-magdeburg-28-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-6731a7336cf1f6c4980b5b27", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-6731a7336cf1f6c4980b5b27", "match": "FC Bayern München v Magdeburg", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-28/", "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 50.0, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap -3: FC Bayern München -3 at 1.75", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "6-1", "reason": "repeats another statement", "reason_code": "duplicate", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6731a7336cf1f6c4980b5b27", "quote_text": "Tipp:\n\n1 Handicap 0:3\n\nBeste Quote\n\n1.75", "fragment_from": 7845, "fragment_to": 7885, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-magdeburg-28-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8f7d183d210b79d1fe2e78a21886c92800fc44170b31763675a758ecc3fc6971", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "repeats another statement", "cause_code": "duplicate", "event": { "event_id": "s-197915418170", "display_name": "FC Bayern München — Magdeburg", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "6-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -3", "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München -3", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T07:54:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:06.415Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -3", "choice": "FC Bayern München -3", "author_odds": "1.75", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "-3", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -3: FC Bayern München -3 at 1.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "6-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 6-1 Magdeburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1efe2881d8023b31e4fe8bb01cd1fdc56b470b8e320787e97e772dc1f507b29e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -3", "choice": "FC Bayern München -3", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "14b608749f11d4f14da9be6ea564b96627d1610349f5ad3db96aa76da597b98c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -3", "choice": "FC Bayern München -3", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bayern-magdeburg-28-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Bayern München -3" } }, { "record_id": "n-75ee894d816e8ef44cfec83a", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-75ee894d816e8ef44cfec83a", "match": "Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04", "match_url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-28/", "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.55", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.55; returns at the author's price leave it out", "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-75ee894d816e8ef44cfec83a", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore", "fragment_from": 1339, "fragment_to": 1359, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dresden-schalke-28-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "be71fde70ec9407e690036ee137b94acc900abc24a8191d33783bfc4b8965232", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-fe9a1d04d226", "display_name": "Dynamo Dresden — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.55", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.55", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Dynamo Dresden 2-0 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "bfa23836582ed0f993e533e61ef8130b1e32344c82f11901f78e703c5249dc67", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a5b4e41b45a6e0babd6326e5c5e963f9bce543ace5bb9e8ea4769082afaaec45", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dresden-schalke-28-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-fd2806df1cda0f327e200518", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-fd2806df1cda0f327e200518", "match": "Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04", "match_url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-28/", "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 47.3, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Dynamo Dresden or draw at 1.93", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.93; returns at the author's price leave it out", "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-fd2806df1cda0f327e200518", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance 1X", "fragment_from": 1208, "fragment_to": 1235, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dresden-schalke-28-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "be71fde70ec9407e690036ee137b94acc900abc24a8191d33783bfc4b8965232", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-fe9a1d04d226", "display_name": "Dynamo Dresden — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-28T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-28/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Dynamo Dresden or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.93", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Dynamo Dresden or draw", "author_odds": "1.93", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Dynamo Dresden or draw at 1.93" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Dynamo Dresden 2-0 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e6a61254e1684dd1751638238942838b19fa354a75b165335f5330a3664d4296", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Dynamo Dresden or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4672bc5e47bc2decc2e689c8c6904c83bb2d86472f0f1fd8c5659e781881fe91", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Dynamo Dresden or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dresden-schalke-28-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Dynamo Dresden or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-d69d6291f0a1354f5651dc3f", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-d69d6291f0a1354f5651dc3f", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-27/", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Germany DFB Pokal", "lead_hours": 50.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.2", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d69d6291f0a1354f5651dc3f", "quote_text": "Nicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nBorussia Dortmund zeigt in vier der letzten fünf Ligaspiele zumindest eine Null im Ergebnis vor.\n\nQuote 2,20 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1293, "fragment_to": 1449, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-27-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b731c82f746af5e251ae62a353e3b7c57d61aebf6748e8c536a233be34bf2d72", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-bedc4eb5df27", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "starts_at": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-27/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.2", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T07:12:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T17:42:05.561Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.2", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "38186ccf0eb861fb81c30d4b340facb047975fe05e9981528ffa9be467d338b6", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "84457b3abfe67e2aa01447fe2b55f5487162e3b6163c0275453372f07a78cf43", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-27-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-99ac3a30a6a0effabcb295b8", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-99ac3a30a6a0effabcb295b8", "match": "SC Freiburg v FC Bayern München", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 22.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-3", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T17:42:03.544Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-99ac3a30a6a0effabcb295b8", "quote_text": "Dennoch trauen wir dem Sportclub selber ein bis zwei Tore zu. Aus diesem Grund empfehlen wir bei den Wett-Tipps auf Freiburg vs. Bayern ebenso das\nBoth2Score (Beide Teams treffen).", "fragment_from": 8238, "fragment_to": 8418, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-bayern-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a8dbc3690685230c9bc9fa544d7d4d71816d7e31b961ee3c975f9fb06e04ca34", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T17:42:03.544Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-215f38fae182", "display_name": "SC Freiburg — FC Bayern München", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "1-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T17:42:03.544Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5edee50a8c1bae6212a7a9da5d2460a4ffbd31f331d03fadb152f07437091109", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-bayern-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-d5d5e59d4a892d7adc1ad276", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-d5d5e59d4a892d7adc1ad276", "match": "SC Freiburg v FC Bayern München", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 22.8, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap -2: FC Bayern München -2 at 3.05", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-3", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T17:42:03.544Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d5d5e59d4a892d7adc1ad276", "quote_text": "Tipp:\n\n2 Handicap 2:0\n\nBeste Quote\n\n3.05", "fragment_from": 7922, "fragment_to": 7962, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-bayern-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a8dbc3690685230c9bc9fa544d7d4d71816d7e31b961ee3c975f9fb06e04ca34", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T17:42:03.544Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-215f38fae182", "display_name": "SC Freiburg — FC Bayern München", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "1-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -2", "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München -2", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.05", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T12:29:26.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T17:42:03.544Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -2", "choice": "FC Bayern München -2", "author_odds": "3.05", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": "-2", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -2: FC Bayern München -2 at 3.05" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1dc50b981219ee059a23694f2444b05a8660e9e12abfd19f5db61d1ee1c29cfc", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -2", "choice": "FC Bayern München -2", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "88a4e0c7435f5e8729a80d23da7878aa801822cda271931308f893a503f9c4a8", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -2", "choice": "FC Bayern München -2", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-bayern-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Bayern München -2" } }, { "record_id": "n-bec405a1377ead65034a5f94", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-bec405a1377ead65034a5f94", "match": "TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "match_url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-bec405a1377ead65034a5f94", "quote_text": "Falls du höher hinaus willst mit der Quotierung, dann ist der\nAuswärtssieg\ndes formstärkeren Teams aus Leverkusen definitiv eine gute Wahl.", "fragment_from": 8164, "fragment_to": 8303, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-leverkusen-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8baec4ec676c60bc75d68c35e9beccf6788f59de171e4b0c67f56fa6aedebfcb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-8166ca26dfcf", "display_name": "TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "dcc68a07146e3aee48804bef85f0096e2d549cc6d23bfe0e88aaa332459c179c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hoffenheim-leverkusen-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-b8bb98cdeeba05f95a648de4", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-b8bb98cdeeba05f95a648de4", "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Hannover 96", "match_url": "/football/matches/eintracht-braunschweig-vs-hannover-96-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.8", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:06.673Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b8bb98cdeeba05f95a648de4", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S", "fragment_from": 1294, "fragment_to": 1329, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-hannover-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "74b7a6d214fe905321beee47936fcf356eac2ae5976332cfed0184b2f97088bb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:06.673Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-99ed77e25409", "display_name": "Eintracht Braunschweig — Hannover 96", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-braunschweig-vs-hannover-96-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.8", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:06.673Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.8", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.8" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Eintracht Braunschweig 2-0 Hannover 96." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6e6ebd5fad1a868770187455cb259f63e3a9d6da22b0076ebcb91923729316c0", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "380824ecaab4b8b0f1ae61e0e45820cdd75302f8058cb56904e039bfc9c85883", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-hannover-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-6a7c5e354f516a106d1ce596", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-6a7c5e354f516a106d1ce596", "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Hannover 96", "match_url": "/football/matches/eintracht-braunschweig-vs-hannover-96-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.8, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Hannover 96 at 1.42", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:06.673Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.42; returns at the author's price leave it out", "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6a7c5e354f516a106d1ce596", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nDoppelte Chance X2", "fragment_from": 1158, "fragment_to": 1185, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-hannover-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "74b7a6d214fe905321beee47936fcf356eac2ae5976332cfed0184b2f97088bb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:06.673Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-99ed77e25409", "display_name": "Eintracht Braunschweig — Hannover 96", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/eintracht-braunschweig-vs-hannover-96-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "draw or Hannover 96", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.42", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:06.673Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Hannover 96", "author_odds": "1.42", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Hannover 96 at 1.42" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Braunschweig 2-0 Hannover 96." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b8ccff427f402ab6f131534fdb501751fb1c88efdb3a2cb5b598ef961a5e920a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Hannover 96", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a4122ab30b4ca9d3a5f4bf6147da1f62ed8a66de47962d70b924de6ef6e39360", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Hannover 96", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-hannover-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "draw or Hannover 96" } }, { "record_id": "n-3328f0a6902b67c3a86ae4e8", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-3328f0a6902b67c3a86ae4e8", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 46.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T18:12:04.763Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3328f0a6902b67c3a86ae4e8", "quote_text": "Über 3,5 Tore\nsind etwas riskanter, werden aber von den Ergebnissen im H2H-Vergleich recht gut abgedeckt.", "fragment_from": 6586, "fragment_to": 6691, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-frankfurt-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "09f5df628aeda4f2f0992fee17fdd065aff21279987a6558175377764cdc0359", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T18:12:04.763Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-a8c176cf39fa", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T02:24:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T18:12:04.763Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d2de3087e3035a3bbc1bd35fe3a8af955f01a9c1a13b7a028331e483639f4fe9", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-frankfurt-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-fc3bcb781bdeb87f2ddd2a90", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/#pick-n-fc3bcb781bdeb87f2ddd2a90", "match": "RB Leipzig v SV 07 Elversberg", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.5, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.65", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-0", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.991Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-fc3bcb781bdeb87f2ddd2a90", "quote_text": "Nicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nRB Leipzig steht daheim bei 14:0 Toren; Elversberg unterlag auswärts zuletzt mit 0:1.\n\nQuote 2,65 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1251, "fragment_to": 1396, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-elversberg-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "36e3adcec4e8f6bf4e67fe145a37a2c801c03b4672b62a885b366c5f37d83bef", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.991Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-ef6c75e8191d", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — SV 07 Elversberg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "4-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.65", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T04:24:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.991Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.65", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 4-0 SV 07 Elversberg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6be12f65484d4e439f9207015bccde1df64b940b70e42dddfcd201eab5916d83", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8343cc8e22bf1fb3163bef15299a2a66371c5b3c9666ba294c2729a418713d6b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-elversberg-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-c67b001a061a466ecb5151cd", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-c67b001a061a466ecb5151cd", "match": "FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-1-fc-union-berlin-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.861Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c67b001a061a466ecb5151cd", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X", "fragment_from": 1100, "fragment_to": 1124, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-union-berlin-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e262d5b79eb54c097dd46d0df97a9a69395c2995a1325aeefb245f823abc44d4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.861Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d326ddb3d546", "display_name": "FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-1-fc-union-berlin-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T02:23:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:42:07.861Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Augsburg 1-1 1. FC Union Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a1cd631752756aa684b1f25253d70ca7bf04597051e382cdc506d74c8c53941b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/augsburg-union-berlin-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-22fd040c96ffa1bc49ba1cb6", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-22fd040c96ffa1bc49ba1cb6", "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Cottbus", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 41.0, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 2.1", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.347Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-22fd040c96ffa1bc49ba1cb6", "quote_text": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nVom Gefühl tendiert das Spiel zu vielen Treffern; doch drei der letzten fünf Matches beider Clubs endeten mit maximal drei Toren.\n\nQuote 2,10 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1219, "fragment_to": 1393, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-cottbus-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3db4fdf1e6a8703c90630746bf988157da4890a692c01a162c5bc5beb59530a8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.347Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-fd623eb0691b", "display_name": "1. FC Heidenheim — Cottbus", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.347Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Cottbus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "203a7aaf496f8bda52b394d1b18124c6db522e25ede859b6bf661eda6b4c558d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a92a5bf0bfb1ee122165a1d175b4e56e8dbd0368130367531d8a2d376df49128", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-cottbus-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-df2ee1f4ced67963cc2c27b2", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-df2ee1f4ced67963cc2c27b2", "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Cottbus", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 41.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Heidenheim at 1.7", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.347Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-df2ee1f4ced67963cc2c27b2", "quote_text": "Sieg Heidenheim 1\n\nDer 1. FC Heidenheim holte in vier Heimspielen in 26/27 bereits drei Siege.\n\nQuote 1,70 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1093, "fragment_to": 1211, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-cottbus-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3db4fdf1e6a8703c90630746bf988157da4890a692c01a162c5bc5beb59530a8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.347Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-fd623eb0691b", "display_name": "1. FC Heidenheim — Cottbus", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "1. FC Heidenheim", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.7", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T01:56:36.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:07.347Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "author_odds": "1.7", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Heidenheim at 1.7" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Cottbus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "60a6b15e6b11dd8b917e70b6b5642bb2515de18d04220a0938d9023c940ca732", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "488871f6c893105e4bbbd5fc21f9fb280d9d547abc92c4ae2a12957b39345eb4", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "1. FC Heidenheim", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-cottbus-24-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "1. FC Heidenheim to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-224c955d7a43889f78326723", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-224c955d7a43889f78326723", "match": "SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 46.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:05.626Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-224c955d7a43889f78326723", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nSt. Pauli in allen vier Auswärtsspielen mit Toren und Gegentoren; Darmstadt in drei von vier Auswärtspartien.\n\nQuote 1,50 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1292, "fragment_to": 1455, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-st-pauli-23-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "db02f161b7ffc76ab8277258b3a4305d37f99938c17eab9b074c4780c7cc4287", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:05.626Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-99a7c40fb839", "display_name": "SV Darmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:05.626Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 FC St. Pauli." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d0c75d9459f1402a50a3c0fc87cbe8383e8165bf6b29234b0a84505c4584d083", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "037312741ecb3ae7e48112398f25ae046ce033ff9b44a5c9e1c3f2f1e75dac0c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-st-pauli-23-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-b6b20b4b934b45c6b86b1772", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-b6b20b4b934b45c6b86b1772", "match": "SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 46.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.55", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:05.626Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b6b20b4b934b45c6b86b1772", "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nDer FC St. Pauli beendete alle vier Auswärtsspiele mit einem Remis!\n\nQuote 3,55 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1176, "fragment_to": 1284, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-st-pauli-23-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "db02f161b7ffc76ab8277258b3a4305d37f99938c17eab9b074c4780c7cc4287", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:05.626Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-99a7c40fb839", "display_name": "SV Darmstadt 98 — FC St. Pauli", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.55", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-21T02:56:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:05.626Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.55", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 FC St. Pauli." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2310c89e0f95331693e832c3f8d3066d6fd3e2535221ccd5faf4f7563e40d4ec", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7f63c67f9eb899a87cd5277017bfeb608d0766b0784300b70716483d078b126e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-st-pauli-23-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-1b2f7c41a053528e3d4e1059", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-1b2f7c41a053528e3d4e1059", "match": "Sabah FK v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": "/football/matches/sabah-fk-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 47.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.029Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-1b2f7c41a053528e3d4e1059", "quote_text": "Nicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nDortmund zuletzt mit einem 0:0 und 0:1; Sabah mit einem 4:0, 2:0 und 0:0.\n\nQuote 2,00 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1361, "fragment_to": 1494, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/sabah-dortmund-20-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a48d14f7b803c45b900050f446c35d141ce6e91febcb6e68e6e3bf572c344ee4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.029Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-307a8ecf0ca8", "display_name": "Sabah FK — Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sabah-fk-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T08:20:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T17:42:03.029Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sabah FK 1-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d40c18d64e8ab355f66f7498468151e8f186ed4ee716a8e2d27579372f1c8229", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-19T06:43:28.920Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5d3b833735802c1fa2830d70cf024429546208afad76ce59a6a8486539fa5733", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "2.0800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-19T06:43:30.820Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/sabah-dortmund-20-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-7080020a739d76f30c421a2f", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-7080020a739d76f30c421a2f", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v SC Freiburg", "match_url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-18/", "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.47", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7080020a739d76f30c421a2f", "quote_text": "Tipp:\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nBeste Quote\n\n1.47", "fragment_from": 7995, "fragment_to": 8044, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-freiburg-18-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "860a4c2d0128a5658aa376d69c60a153544189619ac71fc365686694d1273896", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-b238474e6f35", "display_name": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/bayer-04-leverkusen-vs-sc-freiburg-2026-10-18/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a16d528eb48dbf8adfe3c7df957d2d6859ca087227843dab17298c47ed4f0cc7", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9ce39ba312d796b98b78d2edfce510ad73921552871af8a4900466adacbf6cca", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leverkusen-freiburg-18-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-333b2d4718b465248598f289", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-333b2d4718b465248598f289", "match": "Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98", "match_url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-sv-darmstadt-98-2026-10-18/", "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.0, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.43", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.754Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-333b2d4718b465248598f289", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDiese Anzahl Tore kamen bei Darmstadt jetzt in vier Ligaspielen in Serie zustande.\n\nQuote 1,43 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1285, "fragment_to": 1411, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-darmstadt-18-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e331aaa8a01565056c28252a4b62aa6f9635f5fee80ab234ada6733ac1913181", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.754Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-4621551363aa", "display_name": "Karlsruher SC — SV Darmstadt 98", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-sv-darmstadt-98-2026-10-18/", "scoreline": "4-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.43", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.754Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.43", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.43" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Karlsruher SC 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "58c373fd84323700963c9dcab71f588179958f97f310071aa8f21c1d349bad4d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e19a73e52c1c2e58f24c659fc162ff96c25314aded8918669fe0da44a1611005", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-darmstadt-18-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-88fa7bde01fc512ba7d7e01b", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-88fa7bde01fc512ba7d7e01b", "match": "Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98", "match_url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-sv-darmstadt-98-2026-10-18/", "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.9", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "4-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.754Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-88fa7bde01fc512ba7d7e01b", "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nZwei der letzten fünf Duelle im H2H-Vergleich endeten immerhin mit einem Remis.\n\nQuote 3,90 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1157, "fragment_to": 1277, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-darmstadt-18-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e331aaa8a01565056c28252a4b62aa6f9635f5fee80ab234ada6733ac1913181", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.754Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-4621551363aa", "display_name": "Karlsruher SC — SV Darmstadt 98", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/karlsruher-sc-vs-sv-darmstadt-98-2026-10-18/", "scoreline": "4-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.9", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T03:40:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.754Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.9", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.9" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Karlsruher SC 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "258b11df5417c89bb00fdcffa259e149c2820850610dbf39999e54da370ab539", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "2a3f6f6b2e1013b2482ae5f27b24e014b4c178431830db5b3bbdbf096a56b75f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/karlsruhe-darmstadt-18-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-324cece06bcd5f1853716b71", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-324cece06bcd5f1853716b71", "match": "Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabruck", "match_url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-vfl-osnabruck-2026-10-18/", "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.0, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.35", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.144Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-324cece06bcd5f1853716b71", "quote_text": "Über 3,5 Tore\n\nDas letzte Liga-Heimspiel von Bielefeld gegen Osnabrück endete mit einem 3:1.\n\nQuote 2,35 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1249, "fragment_to": 1370, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-osnabrueck-18-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "0f9c3bb0a9853e382934626d437ba33fd72c7fc8bbbf3482326d41d4dd7a8c5b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.144Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-1e248a2e871e", "display_name": "Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Osnabruck", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-vfl-osnabruck-2026-10-18/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.35", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.144Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.35", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 VfL Osnabruck." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "46307fee7743d57919ecf3a3355a7f6b22a94457acedfa2063fbc7434deafd19", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d9884b21c5e6398d71d458f22176972aa824ed53efca26a02f7c1ad8e009e3cc", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-osnabrueck-18-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-d2c517595a293d19067fdc90", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/#pick-n-d2c517595a293d19067fdc90", "match": "Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabruck", "match_url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-vfl-osnabruck-2026-10-18/", "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.0, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Arminia Bielefeld or draw at 1.23", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.144Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d2c517595a293d19067fdc90", "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance 1X\n\nBielefeld ist daheim noch ungeschlagen; 31 von 37 Duelle (H2H) endeten ohne Arminia-Pleite.\n\nQuote 1,23 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1106, "fragment_to": 1241, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-osnabrueck-18-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "0f9c3bb0a9853e382934626d437ba33fd72c7fc8bbbf3482326d41d4dd7a8c5b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.144Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-1e248a2e871e", "display_name": "Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Osnabruck", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arminia-bielefeld-vs-vfl-osnabruck-2026-10-18/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.23", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T03:41:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:03.144Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "author_odds": "1.23", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Arminia Bielefeld or draw at 1.23" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 VfL Osnabruck." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9893d7b3ab582ab5fef74e2f82fad5e94b0df62e4cf86b1bb3bbe3a385b40a6e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3bb2a5d09b53770c67f4f53fda644416e1bb9a2114642d575eba620e6a7c6dcb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bielefeld-osnabrueck-18-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Arminia Bielefeld or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-835d8d1d0db147bbc46e72a0", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-835d8d1d0db147bbc46e72a0", "match": "Hannover 96 v FC St. Pauli", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 48.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.65", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:03.711Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-835d8d1d0db147bbc46e72a0", "quote_text": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nJeweils vier der letzten fünf Ligaspiele endeten mit maximal drei Buden.\n\nQuote 1,65 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1410, "fragment_to": 1527, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hannover-st-pauli-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9447eb67c91aba8225d65134e5e618eafe02b7d04818bdbca9bb12e184c50f48", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:03.711Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-7c860c39d5f3", "display_name": "Hannover 96 — FC St. Pauli", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.65", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:03.711Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.65", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6b99f4ec45fd77bb9358d304b62dd96d001c0403acbd101d5e7e29b96355f63d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "bf1cc6f45b4ba364db34a06a2977d86ab41949ea5ff24f8363c121a1acfa8d6c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hannover-st-pauli-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-dd0a816ac387375a50b89ec5", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-dd0a816ac387375a50b89ec5", "match": "Hannover 96 v FC St. Pauli", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 48.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.85", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:03.711Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-dd0a816ac387375a50b89ec5", "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nSt. Pauli ging schon in den letzten zwei Gastspielen mit einem Remis vom Platz.\n\nQuote 3,85 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1282, "fragment_to": 1402, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hannover-st-pauli-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9447eb67c91aba8225d65134e5e618eafe02b7d04818bdbca9bb12e184c50f48", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:03.711Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-7c860c39d5f3", "display_name": "Hannover 96 — FC St. Pauli", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.85", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T01:41:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:03.711Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.85", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.85" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8ed2d26ddc369a96adff55bca8484e2130eb0ab85237150136cfa13d974817b2", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7e4d61389f140ef0a43b92f61ae69f45597f1d130722b0c1d579c929c3817933", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hannover-st-pauli-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-21871feefa4f54bbc91c5c65", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-21871feefa4f54bbc91c5c65", "match": "Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart", "match_url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-17/", "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 44.0, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap -1: VfB Stuttgart -1 at 2.87", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.383Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-21871feefa4f54bbc91c5c65", "quote_text": "Quote 2,87 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1199, "fragment_to": 1221, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hamburg-stuttgart-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a0e4003a67e7b79cd9eb4555e2eee13b75494d1506379f07a64c3eb08d53ee23", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.383Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d201d9c150bb", "display_name": "Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "outcome_label": "VfB Stuttgart -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.87", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.383Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart -1", "author_odds": "2.87", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": "-1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -1: VfB Stuttgart -1 at 2.87" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "20ffcbbd517136cd57252b32eab77703cd8db686fa508e0340d1d2f7e78c5b8e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b6d3682d59a68f1de50d3d659c03ffedab40651cbd836f00569018a037b72eb4", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "VfB Stuttgart -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/hamburg-stuttgart-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "VfB Stuttgart -1" } }, { "record_id": "n-b11fe36db914cc1cd23637ea", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-b11fe36db914cc1cd23637ea", "match": "Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:02.323Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b11fe36db914cc1cd23637ea", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nInnerhalb der letzten sechs Ligaspiele bekam Berlin, trotz Sieg, immer ein Gegentor.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1244, "fragment_to": 1382, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-hertha-bsc-16-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1453a3b55965744fcb3bd7908b3171e8238ec0e76a8ffd7718880a44241a97cb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:02.323Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d84d8e116beb", "display_name": "Holstein Kiel — Hertha Berlin", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:02.323Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Holstein Kiel 0-0 Hertha Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ee83f59225942d3c2f41d718e511b4a7a8e9cad423948b988258e0a90fd83ed1", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "92687de3793cd2d2844317f455006e61e77ccd4e8e02c87abf130e2e270a01ae", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-hertha-bsc-16-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-69e1de00558fc3a8107ac31d", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/#pick-n-69e1de00558fc3a8107ac31d", "match": "Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 47.0, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Hertha Berlin at 2.27", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:02.323Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-69e1de00558fc3a8107ac31d", "quote_text": "Sieg Hertha BSC 2\n\nBislang hat Berlin jedes seiner sieben Ligaspiele gewinnen können!\n\nQuote 2,27 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1127, "fragment_to": 1236, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-hertha-bsc-16-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1453a3b55965744fcb3bd7908b3171e8238ec0e76a8ffd7718880a44241a97cb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:02.323Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d84d8e116beb", "display_name": "Holstein Kiel — Hertha Berlin", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Hertha Berlin", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.27", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T02:43:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T17:27:02.323Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Hertha Berlin", "author_odds": "2.27", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Hertha Berlin at 2.27" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Holstein Kiel 0-0 Hertha Berlin." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a78e19a46db30c06e82bc673e1252412a17d1b1a5e2e5c5c8e163ac4f6002742", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Hertha Berlin", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3498b4b6c5fdf4358c795a863e021614e4b7f7bc8299a978aab36f96246eb4e2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Hertha Berlin", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/kiel-hertha-bsc-16-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Hertha Berlin to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-4927f3596572cfed07dfa543", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-4927f3596572cfed07dfa543", "match": "Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 75.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T15:27:04.066Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4927f3596572cfed07dfa543", "quote_text": "Tore\n\nÜber 2,5 Tore\n\n16 Pflichtspiele in Serie hat der FK Bodö/Glimt diese Marke jetzt schon gebrochen!\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1305, "fragment_to": 1437, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bodoe-glimt-dortmund-14-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8e5595af711898aa16f74a1fab93863868facdcd1f5c514f18d19549cd937816", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T15:27:04.066Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T15:27:04.066Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4dbfdb6f03add4e73ba8274b4ee8a77e60fb21f4993323477d494e4ed08b8444", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: not settled", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:56.714Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bodoe-glimt-dortmund-14-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-9abd9f6ee15e73bb2762d6d9", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-9abd9f6ee15e73bb2762d6d9", "match": "Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 75.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 2.07", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T15:27:04.066Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9abd9f6ee15e73bb2762d6d9", "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\nSieg Dortmund 2\n\nBorussia Dortmund gewann 6 der letzten 7 Pflichtspiele in der laufenden Saison.\n\nQuote 2,07 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1174, "fragment_to": 1303, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bodoe-glimt-dortmund-14-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8e5595af711898aa16f74a1fab93863868facdcd1f5c514f18d19549cd937816", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T15:27:04.066Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.07", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T07:30:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T15:27:04.066Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": "2.07", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 2.07" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "fb46f58fea3ec797622e8355389caebad8e905246a3afdbd9480b98b7cdb381d", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "2.07", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: not settled", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:56.682Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/bodoe-glimt-dortmund-14-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-42dd012d7b56f706df8bbd90", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-42dd012d7b56f706df8bbd90", "match": "SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 46.2, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.2", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.915Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-42dd012d7b56f706df8bbd90", "quote_text": "Quote 2,20 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1441, "fragment_to": 1468, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-schalke-11-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e48274a318dfaf47adec18b377a12aecd6f63991cedea5068ea0dd2302eea4f8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.915Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-40031903677a", "display_name": "SC Freiburg — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-11/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.2", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.915Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.2", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "91548358ef6905ac98daf23eb614c8db35bca13faf25d2a2f5e7e3268af94c66", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "2.2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T17:18:50.508Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "07e63cd7806ea135217e9cefc9773c57e1dff976afe998a6e8dcb9c7680b8853", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "2.1200", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:11:58.451Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-schalke-11-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-9e1c8050ed64d56338e8e119", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-9e1c8050ed64d56338e8e119", "match": "SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 46.2, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap 1: SC Freiburg +1 at 2.57", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.915Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9e1c8050ed64d56338e8e119", "quote_text": "Quote 2,57 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1279, "fragment_to": 1301, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-schalke-11-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e48274a318dfaf47adec18b377a12aecd6f63991cedea5068ea0dd2302eea4f8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.915Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-40031903677a", "display_name": "SC Freiburg — FC Schalke 04", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-freiburg-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-10-11/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap 1", "outcome_label": "SC Freiburg +1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.57", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T16:15:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.915Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap 1", "choice": "SC Freiburg +1", "author_odds": "2.57", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap 1: SC Freiburg +1 at 2.57" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e53397ac6673cb5cbd5cf049e0109455c4c4a7a7a5b1b8fe65465721076a63e1", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap 1", "choice": "SC Freiburg +1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "d3f1e06835ab4026f7ca84e9319b8031eb80d31bf09148f9b279ae097c998b1c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap 1", "choice": "SC Freiburg +1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/freiburg-schalke-11-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "SC Freiburg +1" } }, { "record_id": "n-25648f4d6c1f8c1eb29fd622", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-25648f4d6c1f8c1eb29fd622", "match": "FC St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.2, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.43", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.739Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-25648f4d6c1f8c1eb29fd622", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nBeide Vereine stehen bei sieben direkten Duellen (H2H) mit Toren und Gegentoren.\n\nQuote 1,43 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1380, "fragment_to": 1514, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/st-pauli-karlsruhe-11-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "22613915badde1fb38e37506cd24f39fbaf03579140c89232980243879b83d14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.739Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-9f164eca333a", "display_name": "FC St. Pauli — Karlsruher SC", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.43", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.739Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.43", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.43" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC St. Pauli 2-0 Karlsruher SC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "0506a90da8f7c3df52861e780a7f49136db5d2cfaa7139e47b23fd6646378ab6", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5f51363497289b9ed9737b42eea20acc4f9d6dfcaf60e406d05b782b2812ab8c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/st-pauli-karlsruhe-11-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-a63c6ebd42f2f4de2940d77f", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/#pick-n-a63c6ebd42f2f4de2940d77f", "match": "FC St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 42.2, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 4.25", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.739Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a63c6ebd42f2f4de2940d77f", "quote_text": "Daher gehen wir in den Wett-Tipps auf St. Pauli vs. Karlsruhe auf das\nUnentschieden X\nund nehmen dafür bei Betano eine 4,25 als Quote mit.", "fragment_from": 7984, "fragment_to": 8122, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/st-pauli-karlsruhe-11-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "22613915badde1fb38e37506cd24f39fbaf03579140c89232980243879b83d14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.739Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-9f164eca333a", "display_name": "FC St. Pauli — Karlsruher SC", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "4.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T17:17:07.739Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "4.25", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 4.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC St. Pauli 2-0 Karlsruher SC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "508b42180fe5d7d4b762e1c16080309cd82789676a676c01a85b78a0cac0a5a4", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3538b67289ee8b7d9c88c7c59528488f9105fec0409cd2883bc8fa2550712905", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/st-pauli-karlsruhe-11-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-6b850799c99ccabdfcab83f7", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-6b850799c99ccabdfcab83f7", "match": "SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 23.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.9", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.584Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6b850799c99ccabdfcab83f7", "quote_text": "Quote 2,90 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1432, "fragment_to": 1459, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-stuttgart-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "803bccdb6ecb027bcb8a99302fbb9bdd8129e4df96eb491be19af0016b4c2b94", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.584Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-17e4bb51bca5", "display_name": "SC Paderborn 07 — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.9", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.584Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "2.9", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.9" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1afcc34fb606496f3dd96007a1e3923da326cf53b9de0553fb4afc3373809f84", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2.9", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:02:35.479Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "04ad086539a4af9f5257e8f42b107a948e42e4879f5a7c322af78c0d7d31f04e", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-stuttgart-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-9a29e5732160170c8b528819", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-9a29e5732160170c8b528819", "match": "SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-10/", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 23.5, "market_code": "handicap_european", "author_said": "European handicap 2: SC Paderborn 07 +2 at 1.53", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.584Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9a29e5732160170c8b528819", "quote_text": "Quote 1,53 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1290, "fragment_to": 1312, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-stuttgart-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "803bccdb6ecb027bcb8a99302fbb9bdd8129e4df96eb491be19af0016b4c2b94", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.584Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-17e4bb51bca5", "display_name": "SC Paderborn 07 — VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-10/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap 2", "outcome_label": "SC Paderborn 07 +2", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.53", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:03:22.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.584Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap 2", "choice": "SC Paderborn 07 +2", "author_odds": "1.53", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "2", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap 2: SC Paderborn 07 +2 at 1.53" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1a70eef534d9b26fbc67132c85cf5051ebe2d06d0df67cc5c642eb1442f7098b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap 2", "choice": "SC Paderborn 07 +2", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "fda72f6abb0caab45eb90ba25a2e946883a4058e425b81fac41e0ce48a2fcd2c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap 2", "choice": "SC Paderborn 07 +2", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/paderborn-stuttgart-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "SC Paderborn 07 +2" } }, { "record_id": "n-2dedfb49365dd8aa79286a10", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-2dedfb49365dd8aa79286a10", "match": "SV Darmstadt 98 v Cottbus", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 20.9, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2dedfb49365dd8aa79286a10", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nEnergie Cottbus beendete fünf seiner sechs Ligaspiele mit drei oder mehr Toren!\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1335, "fragment_to": 1458, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "852d47e9ab548302a092523534d9ec7075df138f6dd00ec11a16a507deb58556", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d14818ba0331", "display_name": "SV Darmstadt 98 — Cottbus", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.4", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SV Darmstadt 98 3-1 Cottbus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "232b616150c4a2ffc4eb0f7ad32693f60d7e3e68ed8a2de6838190be0a3c42f1", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a799e0b3f9c1b918749b5b3386b8e963fdb3d807544dca1ace651c85b619f5b2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-2a47145ff31c4cb216a4c390", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-2a47145ff31c4cb216a4c390", "match": "SV Darmstadt 98 v Cottbus", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 20.9, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Cottbus at 3.1", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2a47145ff31c4cb216a4c390", "quote_text": "Sieg Cottbus 2\n\nDer FC Energie Cottbus ist bislang einfach besser in die Saison 26/27 gekommen.\n\nQuote 3,10 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1208, "fragment_to": 1327, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "852d47e9ab548302a092523534d9ec7075df138f6dd00ec11a16a507deb58556", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d14818ba0331", "display_name": "SV Darmstadt 98 — Cottbus", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Cottbus", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.1", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Cottbus", "author_odds": "3.1", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Cottbus at 3.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SV Darmstadt 98 3-1 Cottbus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4f4c4af2f95f59b552672998f63b0dbe1ef8978a248697492efd4cddcfa4df0b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Cottbus", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "aefb59010c3ad4d931a5fa58e5c99247c36f6493047d227c287e828fa74b0312", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Cottbus", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Cottbus to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-19df6ca06829bd1ea5f49cc2", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/#pick-n-19df6ca06829bd1ea5f49cc2", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-09/", "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 4.5, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.25", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": "", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.317Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-19df6ca06829bd1ea5f49cc2", "quote_text": "Nicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nDortmund siegte in drei seiner vier bisherigen Ligaspiele ohne ein Gegentor zu kassieren.\n\nQuote 2,25 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1301, "fragment_to": 1450, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-09-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d73f8e1c6b2a13b0bb0623b66bbf2471f680be5f245b7627f243bef5f5b760db", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.317Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-bc1b20d37a35", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-09/", "scoreline": "2-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.25", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-07T07:40:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:57:00.317Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "2.25", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.25" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-2 SV Werder Bremen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b4e280ac480129f7d4634bd2b8d62a55ed2411e3b81c3a8fe0e6c7af3af26ca9", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "2.25", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:00:22.574Z", "methodology_version": "2.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8666b973829cfeeaab8bb80b70221a940a7d34d5cc8ee305d70bd7945b0e68bc", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "2.1800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "cancelled", "status_text": "Cancelled: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:06.233Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/dortmund-bremen-09-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-80a0a4ffb4a31bd04c04673a", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-80a0a4ffb4a31bd04c04673a", "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Kaiserslautern", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/", "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 2.4, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.45", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-80a0a4ffb4a31bd04c04673a", "quote_text": "Quote 2,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1385, "fragment_to": 1412, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "78cfb814e7078f783303f84becaaf64e11302d7438acc8244daa0654f221b0e4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-ac618c09ceec", "display_name": "1. FC Heidenheim — Kaiserslautern", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.45", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "2.45", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Kaiserslautern." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "38c675aff735bceb4005c65865a56ee82d725f1b423af2361504b439c18361f5", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "887228b702e3370d9bb0fc49389199fd2dd0bab418750712ed92c26b8f8e9617", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-c4768016c20342bda62ff489", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-c4768016c20342bda62ff489", "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Kaiserslautern", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/", "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 2.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c4768016c20342bda62ff489", "quote_text": "Quote 3,75 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1242, "fragment_to": 1264, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "78cfb814e7078f783303f84becaaf64e11302d7438acc8244daa0654f221b0e4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-ac618c09ceec", "display_name": "1. FC Heidenheim — Kaiserslautern", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Kaiserslautern." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "98416bc3b2587211dd598fde85038137f09cb5e97e06ae00b5656eb596a91db8", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f1b8802f1d278c287a0f41773ff8ea6e12e0d6718cae0d3621bd0b7f7dc20702", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-4fba7c8ab046ca73f9340020", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-4fba7c8ab046ca73f9340020", "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 2.4, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.45", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4fba7c8ab046ca73f9340020", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nVier der letzten fünf direkten Duelle (H2H) zeigen Tore und auch Gegentore vor.\n\nQuote 1,45 bei Interwetten*", "fragment_from": 1359, "fragment_to": 1492, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "68cf5470ca952a0a52fa30d0efe3c7d4b1a7da2b0aebe608bb0fc61b8293e5dd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-715cdf968fcc", "display_name": "Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.45", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.45", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "49501232214ed483497526370cf1936340de815d14a1bd6e65cd861498f31cfd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4487284613ff721eec5d36a76f4ed5e7ed0ff0cd2f8bd179daeffef3f243df4d", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-329bd0c953e67a1124c5fcae", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-329bd0c953e67a1124c5fcae", "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "2. Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 2.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-329bd0c953e67a1124c5fcae", "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nDie Kieler Störche beendeten vier von sechs Ligaspiele mit einer Punkteteilung.\n\nQuote 3,65 bei Betano*", "fragment_from": 1231, "fragment_to": 1351, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Michael Siemann", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "68cf5470ca952a0a52fa30d0efe3c7d4b1a7da2b0aebe608bb0fc61b8293e5dd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-715cdf968fcc", "display_name": "Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel", "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.65", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.65", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3c8c53efe8a9518dc1c59054c41036757aa110d6ec182b1a368fdf19464707da", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "259eaa19032559b9b560ec21c10cc90c1f421cfda0a17f234f4e972c55aa0297", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Michael Siemann", "publisher": "n-tv.de", "forecaster": "Michael Siemann", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-f7d6d2a890b678b885288249", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp: Sieg Köln 2\n\nQuote: 2.65", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:54:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T17:42:05.730Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-54ba131cd804ccf37f28c4d9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Die\nDoppelte Chance 1X\ngreift die Schalker Formflaute auf und deckt obendrein die Mehrheit der Ergebnisse im H2H-Vergleich ab.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-75d91679733673804bff7d6c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp:\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore\n\nBeste Quote\n\n1.55", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:49:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T17:42:04.762Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d8a0f682763706dfaed72a04", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp: Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nQuote: 1.35", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T12:17:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T17:42:08.935Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3c9311fc7f53ff7e4934718c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nStuttgart spielte in den letzten Pflichtspielen 0:1, 2:0 und 0:1.\n\nQuote 2,75 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-21T02:22:30.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:04.755Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-65c7cafa016a689b290992c0", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Stuttgart 1\n\n6 Gladbacher Liga-Niederlagen in Folge sprechen bei dieser Auswahl eine deutliche Sprache.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-21T02:22:30.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T17:42:04.755Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-726af932d5fc691d29557644", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nKreta spielte international 2:0 und 1:2; Leverkusen 2:0 und 4:0 (hier aber mit zwei Elfmetern).\n\nQuote 1,85 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:20.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:03.791Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-370b8e3871ce2db9e0724a41", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Leverkusen 2\n\nQualitätsunterschied und Europa-Form sind zwei gewichtige Argumente.\n\nQuote 1,26 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-18T08:19:20.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T17:57:03.791Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ffd0404cf17025e262482c71", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Unentschieden X\neine gute Wahl.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:25:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T17:27:13.138Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9f855962907951a89ea2f498", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nBeste Quote\n\n1.35", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:25:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T17:27:13.138Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4327bd49addf4f4ab9b7b36f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nZwölf der letzten 13 Duelle (H2H) endeten mit Toren auf beiden Seiten vom Doppelpunkt.\n\nQuote 1,35 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:25:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T17:27:13.138Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7cbaa9850ac4e9fdeca5dc14", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tendenz\n\nUnentschieden X\n\n13 von 39 Duelle aus dem H2H-Vergleich endeten mit einem Remis.\n\nQuote 3,95 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:25:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T17:27:13.138Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ee0f8d059bc18d71884341e9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Diaby-Gala beim Heimerfolg in der BayArena bei\nbet365: Moussa Diaby ein Tor und mehr als 2 Tore und Leverkusen gewinnt –\n4,00\n(statt 3,75)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0dd9c42c33e34c3a1af1fb26", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Disziplinierter Auftakt vor der Pause bei\nInterwetten: Halbzeitresultat 1:0 –\n4,75\n(statt 4,10)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-06d5c27cb22703fc385fccbc", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Werkself-Heimsieg im Schlagabtausch bei\nbwin: Leverkusen gewinnt und beide Teams treffen –\n3,10\n(statt 2,85)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-181ac7e08a9994b2bc4731cf", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Etwas riskanter ist das\nUnentschieden X, welches in der H2H-Bilanz ausreichend häufig vorkommt.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:23:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T17:27:04.387Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-756b74f7065bcc74deb853ea", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nDie letzten vier Pflichtspiele der Bullen endeten 1:0, 6:0, 0:2 und 5:0.\n\nQuote 3,05 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T04:34:24.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:57:00.766Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-57c18a5940941b531c93224c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tendenz\n\n1 Handicap 0:1\n\nDie Münchener gewannen die letzten Spiele gegen Leipzig mit 3:1, 2:0, 5:1 und 6:0.\n\nQuote 1,53 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T04:34:24.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:57:00.766Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a9a0f752c3fdb62d8161800c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nTatsächlich fielen in den letzten 8 Duellen laut H2H-Vergleich immer mindestens drei Treffer.\n\nQuote 1,37 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:03.383Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fd9a28697d7b3c639e10b753", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDer SV Werder schloss vier seiner fünf Ligaspiele mit mehr Treffern ab.\n\nQuote 1,53 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T03:33:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:04.569Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-eeab39ab164cb1906f742298", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Bremen 1\n\nBremen hat seit vier Spielen nicht verloren und dabei seine zwei Heimspiele gewonnen!\n\nQuote 1,80 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T03:33:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:04.569Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8cac672d4ed8afca109d637d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nicht beide Teamas treffen N2S\n\nDortmund mit vier Gegentoren mit die beste Defensive; Union Berlin mit 5 Toren die drittschwächste Offensive!\n\nQuote 2,40 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T02:59:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:02.986Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8436247370b2d1d32ba6a8c9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Dortmund 2\n\n4 Siege in 5 Ligaspielen und generell eine gute Bilanz; Dortmund will vor dem FC Bayern bleiben!\n\nQuote 1,65 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T02:59:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:27:02.986Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f9c2fd4d8812b0ca27e5c460", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp:\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\n1.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:58:57.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:02.946Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3e6e7bddfc5458e2e9d1b36c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Quote 3,75 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:58:57.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:42:02.946Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-799e308ad448605685a2514b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nHoffenheim zuletzt mit einem 2:3 gegen Hamburg; insgesamt schon mit 9:13 Toren (5 Partien).\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T03:42:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:27:17.947Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-350f2864c1087e8147847521", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Besiktas 2\n\nDie Formkrise von Hoffenheim, mit drei Niederlagen in Folge, ist hier Grund genug.\n\nQuote 3,50 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T03:42:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:27:17.947Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5005e57d2cb9798747ee55f2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nPosen zuletzt mit dem 4:1, 2:2 (Testspiel) und 5:1); Leverkusen mit dem 4:3 gegen Mainz.\n\nQuote 1,53 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T02:41:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:27:17.627Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e4d1c25799fc8fc3f90513fa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Leverkusen 2\n\nDrei Pflichtspiele hat Bayer 04 Leverkusen jetzt schon in Folge gewonnen!\n\nQuote 1,67 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T02:41:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:27:17.627Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-420aed21875f8b1198475e3c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDie TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beendete seine Ligaspiele bislang mit 1:3, 2:1, 2:3 und 2:3!\n\nQuote 1,35 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T03:05:51.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.447Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f0e2afa3678ef1b53d2faa8d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Hamburg 2\n\nBeide Teams mit einem ähnlichen Start, aber der HSV mit Vorteilen im H2H-Vergleich.\n\nQuote 7,50 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T03:05:51.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.447Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b08f1adbf214bfe9fbe7d08e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Frühstarter-Wette bei\nbet365: Patrick Schick erzielt das 1. Tor –\n6,00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T20:59:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:05.424Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ae03bbdfb695647269212ae8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Torfestival-Heimtipp bei\nMerkur Bets: Leverkusen siegt, über 3,5 Tore & beide Teams treffen –\n4,75", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T20:59:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:05.424Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-de19b071574011cf17687887", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Leverkusen 1\n\n1.55", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T20:59:48.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:05.424Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-26f6022a07884b177f48ef13", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ein Tor beider Mannschaften und der Sieg des FCB sind Wett-Tipps auf Bayern vs. Real Madrid, die wir jeweils einzeln oder in einer Mini-Kombination empfehlen würden.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T12:00:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:21:38.014Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-db0848bff54dc7246c965cdd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ein Tor beider Mannschaften und der Sieg des FCB sind Wett-Tipps auf Bayern vs. Real Madrid, die wir jeweils einzeln oder in einer Mini-Kombination empfehlen würden.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-07T12:00:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:21:38.014Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2b5358bb18b210c4c693a599", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Beide Teams treffen B2SAdmiralbet*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-05T21:44:23.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:56:58.268Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-be7b65492d78e9d19da5d320", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Freiburg 1Bwin*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-05T21:44:23.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:56:58.268Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0f4ce11a346f9bec01589db8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tore\n\nÜber 2,5\n\nDie jüngsten Ergebnisse sprechen durchaus für viele Tore.\n\nQuote 2,05 bei Bet365*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-30T19:14:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:30.146Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-744e77ac3dfe49f27cb87d45", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Aston Villa 2\n\nDie Engländer bezwangen zuletzt den FC Liverpool mit 4:2.\n\nQuote 1.70 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-30T19:14:52.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:30.146Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cff518905821a78e7f6329c3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Über 3,5 Tore\n\nErneut ist der Klassenunterschied eine starke Begründung für viele Tore; auch die Wettquote ist spannend.\n\nQuote 2,20 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-25T17:47:24.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:34.719Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f7f099605cffcedf8dbfa77c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Unter 4,5 Tore\n\nWir glauben, dass beide Teams nicht so weit auseinander sind und erwarten kein Torfestival!\n\nQuote 1,22 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-23T12:39:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:35.158Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ac8c11ce0fab20d7a73c3bf6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg St. Pauli 2\n\nDer FC St. Pauli ist das höherklassige Team und dennoch stark quotiert.\n\nQuote 2,12 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-23T12:39:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:35.158Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e0cd76bacc73220e6562f6f3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Quote ca. 2,05 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-23T10:05:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:54.334Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-33edb70e8ecf479d05586f6c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Quote ca. 1,65 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-23T10:05:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:54.334Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9e47d593416c41c035e07802", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nBislang standen sich die Mannschaften sechsmal gegenüber; fünfmal trafen beide Clubs.\n\nQuote 1,43 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-21T10:00:11.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:19.249Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-34abb6fbd2cf2a42525082d2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Elversberg 2\n\nWenn der SVE einmal ins Rollen kommt, ist zumindest die Offensive nur schwer zu stoppen.\n\nQuote 3,55 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-21T10:00:11.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:19.249Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-dce351c28a86771ebe796a35", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Allerdings ist der Tipp auf\nUnter 3,5 Tore\nausgewogener. Die Quote fällt mit 1,77 bei Interwetten,", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:00:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:18.650Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5881131e64572f4bc2e2b4d5", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Wir würden das\nRemis\nals Wett-Tipp auf Paderborn vs. Hoffenheim durchaus riskieren.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:00:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:18.650Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a29e5ec97fd9e379611d5521", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nIn 7 der letzten 8 Pflichtspiele stand bei OFI Kreta eine Null im Endergebnis!\n\nQuote 1,95 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:49:35.805Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-23c7643edf447fe8fff5fb68", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Hoffenheim 2\n\nWenn sich die größere Qualität durchsetzt, dann sollte Hoffenheime als Sieger vom Platz gehen.\n\nQuote 1,42 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:49:35.805Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9819030d040bd59f72737dc3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nBei dieser riskanten Empfehlung bauen wir auf eine lange Zeit kompakte Defensive von Celje.\n\nQuote 2,10 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:29.216Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-83656608a3709f18b763e759", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Quote 1,45 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-16T13:34:28.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:29.216Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bbeacb3623f6466e123860e8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nGrundsätzlich trauen wir dem HSV Tore, wegen diverser Umstellungen aber auch ein Gegentor zu.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-10T10:06:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.268Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4121f6f84c472376b74e9daf", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Hamburg 2\n\nDer Bundesligist ist gegen den schlecht gestarteten Drittligisten der klare Favorit.\n\nQuote 1,55 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-10T10:06:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.268Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-03f469b958e84448f4b707ff", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tore\n\nNicht beide Teams treffen N2S\n\nSteht die Abwehr, wie gegen Schalke, stabil? Der Qualitätsunterschied ist auch ein Faktor!\n\nQuote 2,25 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-09T11:24:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:40:45.445Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-30310401d3dc38fc423156de", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tendenz\n\n1 Handicap 0:3\n\nImmerhin spielen hier die Außenseiter aus Norwegen gegen Kane, Olise und Co!\n\nQuote 2,70 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-09T11:24:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:40:45.445Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d466ecf973df4d8e4e8621b5", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tore\n\nÜber 4,5\n\nAn einem guten Tag setzt Borussia Dortmund hier mit Toren ein Zeichen.\n\nQuote ca. 1,85 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-01T10:09:08.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:33.200Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-011df561926ac5e0f459de64", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tendenz\n\n2 Handicap 3:0\n\nDie Qualität im BVB-Kader ist groß genug für einen souveränen Sieg.\n\nQuote ca. 1,70 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-01T10:09:08.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:33.200Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c16879d28dfb5a139ac8ecea", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "1,90⚽ToreBeide Teams treffen B2SInterwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-08-27T14:38:33.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:30.318Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9e042836faa2e783ea76f6b4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tipp:\n\nAston Villa kommt weiter!\n\n2.22", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-08-27T14:38:33.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:53:30.318Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-642803008f1eb885827ab312", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Not2Score N2S\n\nDie letzten Ergebnisse der Freiburger und von Düsseldorf deuten auf eine Null im Ergebnis hin.\n\nQuote 2,30 bei Interwetten*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-08-27T10:06:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T17:21:20.231Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b00e1bbd3f49b0836e78a5aa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Freiburg 2\n\nWir halten die Freiburger für abgeklärt genug, um das Duell mit den Drittligisten zu gewinnen.\n\nQuote 1,47 bei Betano*", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-08-27T10:06:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T17:21:20.231Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 104, "before_kickoff": 101, "after_kickoff": 3, "at_least_2h": 101, "share_2h_plus": 97.1, "median_hours": 44.3, "min_hours": 2.4, "max_hours": 97.0, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 31, "settled_picks_all": 40, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 4, "no_recorded_line": 5, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 310000, "author_net_hundredths": -39421, "favourite_net_hundredths": -23704, "difference_hundredths": -15717, "author_return_percent": -12.72, "favourite_return_percent": -7.65, "author_hit_rate": 48.4, "favourite_hit_rate": 54.8, "picked_favourite_share": 67.7, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 17, "staked_hundredths": 170000, "author_net_hundredths": -25205, "favourite_net_hundredths": 13710, "author_hits": 7, "favourite_hits": 10, "picked_favourite": 8, "author_return_percent": -14.83, "favourite_return_percent": 8.06 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 8, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "author_net_hundredths": -20759, "favourite_net_hundredths": -20657, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 4, "picked_favourite": 8, "author_return_percent": -25.95, "favourite_return_percent": -25.82 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 6, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "author_net_hundredths": 6543, "favourite_net_hundredths": -16757, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": 10.9, "favourite_return_percent": -27.93 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1600, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1600 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -8400, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -8400 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -18400, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 691 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -28400, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9309 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38400, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 3091 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35501, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 5990 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -45501, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4010 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -55501, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14010 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -50501, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -8908 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -60501, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 616 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -70501, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9384 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -66299, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -5182 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -60951, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 166 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -47651, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9834 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -57651, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2516 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -53106, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7061 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -47456, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12711 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -43012, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17155 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -53012, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7155 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -63012, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2845 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35512, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12845 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -32496, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9829 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -14046, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -19829 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -24046, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -29829 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -19469, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -25252 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -29469, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -35252 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -39469, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23752 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35121, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -19404 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -45121, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -29404 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -39421, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23704 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 167, "pages": 10, "page_urls": [ "/authors/michael-siemann/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/", "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/" ], "groups": { "settled": 57, "pending": 0, "excluded": 110 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Michael Siemann Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=40&odds=2.08&roi=-14.4&src=record", "n": 40, "odds": "2.08", "roi": "-14.4", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "person": { "person_id": "o-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Michael Siemann", "main_entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "medium": "n-tv.de", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "n-tv.de", "source_info": null, "byline": "Michael Siemann", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 569, "predictions": 167, "settled_picks": 40, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -14.41, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-10-31" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "updated": "2026-11-06", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 40, "matches": 29, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "composition_hash": "eed439e157787b632f99e384821259b664e3605dab3581913b7b70b0b2081ebc" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-a67f515cb311f6fff949", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-12.22", "settled_picks": 39, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "396693ab2cc5c5023c4ef7b3608f10b09627fe5a0371b6ed3138f1b051bc7118", "text": "−12.22% on 39 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "-14.41", "settled_picks": 40, "matches": 29, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "eed439e157787b632f99e384821259b664e3605dab3581913b7b70b0b2081ebc", "text": "−14.41% on 40 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-bc28ba66b55794cfd76f", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "-14.04", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 27, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0922045b162931bb00c93694f574dbb2e031520bd2336051360d19c39bd14765", "text": "−14.04% on 38 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-12.22", "settled_picks": 39, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "396693ab2cc5c5023c4ef7b3608f10b09627fe5a0371b6ed3138f1b051bc7118", "text": "−12.22% on 39 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-9a132c3000f14f52ee49", "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "return_percent": "-11.72", "settled_picks": 37, "matches": 26, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6f8811545e7d87ab88dd43453eaac4ba45588e7bdce0159a2d7d809d66a60aa3", "text": "−11.72% on 37 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "-14.04", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 27, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0922045b162931bb00c93694f574dbb2e031520bd2336051360d19c39bd14765", "text": "−14.04% on 38 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-8f1bd05963449d1f69be", "at": "2026-11-01T06:32:40.816Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-9.26", "settled_picks": 36, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5c374d32624cc05ae1e6a3bd52ab1fd119526ce014bebbce600139be3bbc39b8", "text": "−9.26% on 36 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "return_percent": "-11.72", "settled_picks": 37, "matches": 26, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6f8811545e7d87ab88dd43453eaac4ba45588e7bdce0159a2d7d809d66a60aa3", "text": "−11.72% on 37 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-022d8e5bacca5b15c522", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "-15.86", "settled_picks": 26, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bc7a8992f2de5a32a3dfe9c7e20c4821f6ff2fcccfca081b9f35061880b49192", "text": "−15.86% on 26 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-9.26", "settled_picks": 36, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5c374d32624cc05ae1e6a3bd52ab1fd119526ce014bebbce600139be3bbc39b8", "text": "−9.26% on 36 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "10 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 10, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b207fb8f4cf49a26927f", "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-27.3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-18.43", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "79c144a04c5f30fe55d85c94a23dee886a53bc1914b30b6e284c195d54a993a1", "text": "−18.43% on 24 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "-15.86", "settled_picks": 26, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bc7a8992f2de5a32a3dfe9c7e20c4821f6ff2fcccfca081b9f35061880b49192", "text": "−15.86% on 26 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2a7469febf9db14b83ff", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-20.17", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "49b13f463a8dd215803d25fc6f8137f7596ac8829d2815092974844e224e066f", "text": "−20.17% on 20 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-18.43", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "79c144a04c5f30fe55d85c94a23dee886a53bc1914b30b6e284c195d54a993a1", "text": "−18.43% on 24 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-09bf5ca1494cd1d848dc", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "-23.57", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d9f2f8245438264a86f03d28eac05125b43eacdd369dbcbb3561d800bfc2ff5a", "text": "−23.57% on 19 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-20.17", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "49b13f463a8dd215803d25fc6f8137f7596ac8829d2815092974844e224e066f", "text": "−20.17% on 20 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3acb38f94280f4fc27ee", "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-50.85", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6c9b4bfb0bec8dde630ca24b2fa58428e694541f524b77844b8f8b55d8c8e50c", "text": "−50.85% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "-23.57", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d9f2f8245438264a86f03d28eac05125b43eacdd369dbcbb3561d800bfc2ff5a", "text": "−23.57% on 19 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "6 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 6, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c471cf2a80688e9e31de", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "-41.91", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "85f70071a887c92521d174c722678b046a58b773add499543cf0a65abe485fc5", "text": "−41.91% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-50.85", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6c9b4bfb0bec8dde630ca24b2fa58428e694541f524b77844b8f8b55d8c8e50c", "text": "−50.85% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2e37cb7591ff4cf9c627", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-50.50", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "952d612087d9d1d964ee5aa0f6be60413d48f64959d8d04ce13e7be27e6a872a", "text": "−50.50% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "-41.91", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "85f70071a887c92521d174c722678b046a58b773add499543cf0a65abe485fc5", "text": "−41.91% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b8e32bd7025be6248830", "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "98.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c1071e5027a80c273fc7d4fdb990c3097e7613a6c703f7ea5d90d592fc7e321f", "text": "+196.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-50.50", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "952d612087d9d1d964ee5aa0f6be60413d48f64959d8d04ce13e7be27e6a872a", "text": "−50.50% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (10 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 10, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-cb1a65a6c66e2f5f3a42" }, { "id": "zc-e2126993df63e29ae1d8", "at": "2026-10-14T22:11:18.139Z", "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-14.2", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "return_percent": "-64.00", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "80a663b20e96aa5a6b3ddd6e5fc5a80cae0a87ed40bea8aee9cfedddca41495c", "text": "−384.00 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "98.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c1071e5027a80c273fc7d4fdb990c3097e7613a6c703f7ea5d90d592fc7e321f", "text": "+196.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (6 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 6, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-eae57ced3b8d9c255a6f" }, { "id": "zc-7fcca1e823a450b31c38", "at": "2026-10-11T20:14:51.236Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-56.80", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ace4f5bc71ddd452180fb0bc6bdd5112b77bbd797683a262e6d375773c72168c", "text": "−284.00 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "return_percent": "-64.00", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "80a663b20e96aa5a6b3ddd6e5fc5a80cae0a87ed40bea8aee9cfedddca41495c", "text": "−384.00 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-cfddc237a3964ea3bcaf", "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-56.80", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ace4f5bc71ddd452180fb0bc6bdd5112b77bbd797683a262e6d375773c72168c", "text": "−284.00 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 5 settled picks.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-30deaeddb50711a6c5e1" } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 40, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 20, "won": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -32205, "return_percent": "-16.1", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "2.64", "odds_from_author": 20, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 8, "won": 4, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20759, "return_percent": "-25.9", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.43", "odds_from_author": 8, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 8, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 943, "return_percent": "1.2", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.64", "odds_from_author": 8, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "url": null, "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -5627, "return_percent": "-14.1", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.79", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Bundesliga", "in_words": "Bundesliga", "url": "/football/competitions/bundesliga/", "settled_picks": 31, "won": 16, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -18547, "return_percent": "-6.0", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "2.00", "odds_from_author": 31, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 13, "won": 6, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1896, "return_percent": "1.5", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "2.55", "odds_from_author": 13, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 8, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 943, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.64", "odds_from_author": 8, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 6, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -15759, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.42", "odds_from_author": 6, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -5627, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.79", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Champions League", "in_words": "UEFA Champions League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/", "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -12101, "return_percent": "-30.3", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-21", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.99", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -17101, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-21", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.15", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 5000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-10-21", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.50", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "Germany DFB Pokal", "in_words": "Germany DFB Pokal", "url": "/football/competitions/germany-dfb-pokal/", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 3000, "return_percent": "15.0", "period_from": "2026-10-27", "period_to": "2026-10-27", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.80", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 3000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-27", "period_to": "2026-10-27", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.80", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Europa League", "in_words": "UEFA Europa League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-10-22", "period_to": "2026-10-22", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.44", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-22", "period_to": "2026-10-22", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.47", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-22", "period_to": "2026-10-22", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.40", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2. Bundesliga", "in_words": "2. Bundesliga", "url": "/football/competitions/2-bundesliga/", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.27", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.27", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] } ], "best_slice": { "portion": "live", "scope": "league_market", "competition": "Bundesliga", "competition_url": "/football/competitions/bundesliga/", "market_code": "1x2", "market_words": "Match result", "in_words": "Bundesliga · Match result", "settled_picks": 13, "won": 6, "lost": 7, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1896, "return_percent": "1.5", "small_sample": false, "threshold": 10, "average_odds": "2.55", "odds_from_author": 13, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01" } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "settled_picks": 2, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "handicap_european", "in_words": "European handicap", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 2100, "return_percent": "21.0", "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.45", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 17500, "return_percent": "175.0", "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.10", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "UEFA Europa League", "in_words": "UEFA Europa League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/", "settled_picks": 2, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 19600, "return_percent": "98.0", "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.77", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "handicap_european", "in_words": "European handicap", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 2100, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.45", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 17500, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-09-16", "period_to": "2026-09-16", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.10", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] } ], "best_slice": null } ], "best_slice": { "portion": "live", "scope": "league_market", "competition": "Bundesliga", "competition_url": "/football/competitions/bundesliga/", "market_code": "1x2", "market_words": "Match result", "in_words": "Bundesliga · Match result", "settled_picks": 13, "won": 6, "lost": 7, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1896, "return_percent": "1.5", "small_sample": false, "threshold": 10, "average_odds": "2.55", "odds_from_author": 13, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-01" } }, "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 167 predictions · last change 31 October 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/michael-siemann/", "s": "2026-10-09", "prediction_count": 167, "refreshed_at": "2026-10-31", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 167 predictions · last change 31 October 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "tracked", "in_words": "Tracked", "settled_count": 101, "days": 47, "weeks": 5, "archive": false, "in_review": false, "own_page": true, "won_count": 49, "first_settled_on": "2026-09-16", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "colleagues": null, "author_type": "Tipster", "data_changes": { "added_later": "6 records added on 9 Oct 2026 found after the match; 2 records added on 11 Oct 2026 found after the match; 2 records added on 13 Oct 2026 from archived copies. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.", "records_corrected": 0, "last_correction_at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "entity_id": "person:o-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "source_revision": 162, "related": [ { "url": "/cards/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31-bank/", "name": "Bankroll card — Michael Siemann", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31-month-following/", "name": "A month following Michael Siemann", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31-said-vs-happened/", "name": "Said → happened — Michael Siemann", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31-turning-point/", "name": "Turning point — Michael Siemann", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/for-authors/michael-siemann/", "name": "Your record on Forecast Record: Michael Siemann", "detail": null, "source_group": "for_authors" } ], "number_sets": [ { "set": "profile.settled", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 59, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 167, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 167, "where": "picks", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.live", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 40, "where": "origin", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.archived", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 2, "where": "origin-archived", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.found_after", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 1, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked.live", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 99, "where": "origin", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked.archived", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 2, "where": "origin-archived", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.window", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 40, "where": "calculation", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "label": true }, { "set": "profile.checked", "entity": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31", "value": 101, "where": "trust-level", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "label": true } ] }