Juan Pablo Aravena: football prediction record
Juan Pablo Aravena — football predictions, page 3 of 4
Page 3 of 4 of the predictions by Juan Pablo Aravena recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 21–40 of 51 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.
Source: our own evidence archive
Recorded picks and results, page 3 of 4
Showing 21–40 of 51 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 51 (JSON).
Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.
9 rows on this page are set aside; the reason is shown in each row.
Filter the 20 predictions shown on this page.
- Atlético Madrid v Manchester United Excluded
Said: Correct score: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Manchester United · final score 2-0
13 October 2026 · Recorded by us before kick-off
Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Exact-Score Prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Manchester United
- Author said
- Correct score: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Manchester United
- Outcome of the pick
- Did not match: the final score was Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- score forecast
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- Atlético Madrid — Manchester United, , final score 2-0
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Betis vs Porto Pick: Betis ML (48¢)”
14 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Slovan Bratislava vs Stuttgart Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (46¢)”
14 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (53¢)”
14 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Bodø/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund Pick: Dortmund ML (47¢)”
14 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- FC Bayern München v RB Leipzig Excluded
Said: Player to score: Christopher Nkunku to score at 3.75 · final score 6-1
17 October 2026 · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Anytime Goalscorer Pick: Christopher Nkunku (+275 at BetMGM)
- Author said
- Player to score: Christopher Nkunku to score at 3.75
- Outcome of the pick
- Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig, , final score 6-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 3.75 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
- FC Bayern München v RB Leipzig Excluded
Said: Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 2 · final score 6-1
17 October 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Total-Goals Pick: Under 4.5 (+100 via Kalshi)
- Author said
- Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5 at 2
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was FC Bayern München 6-1 RB Leipzig.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- FC Bayern München — RB Leipzig, , final score 6-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.00 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “First-Half Pick: Over 1.5 Goals (-117 / 54¢ at Kalshi)”
20 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Total-Goals Pick: Over 3.5 Total Goals (-133 / 57¢ at Kalshi)”
20 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Handicap Pick: AEK Athens +2.5 (+117 / 47¢ at Kalshi)”
20 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Best Bet: Lovro Majer Anytime Goalscorer (+750 at BetMGM)”
20 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
Said: Player to score: Ferran Torres García to score at 2.4 · final score 4-2
20 October 2026 · settled at the author's odds 2.40: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Best Bet: Ferran Torres Anytime Goal (+140 at BetMGM)
- Author said
- Player to score: Ferran Torres García to score at 2.4
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost — Ferran Torres García scored 0 goals; the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 FC Barcelona.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- recognised
- Event
- Paris Saint-Germain — FC Barcelona, , final score 4-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.40 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method At the author's stated price Player to score — Ferran Torres García to score 2.40 100.00 Lost −100.00 v2.2 - Paris Saint-Germain v FC Barcelona Excluded
Said: Over/Under 4.5 goals: over 4.5 at 2.13 · final score 4-2
20 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Goal-Total Pick: Over 4.5 (+113 via Kalshi)
- Author said
- Over/Under 4.5 goals: over 4.5 at 2.13
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 FC Barcelona.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- Paris Saint-Germain — FC Barcelona, , final score 4-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.13 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
- Paris Saint-Germain v FC Barcelona Excluded
Said: 1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain at 2.5 · final score 4-2
20 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Moneyline Pick: PSG (+150 via Kalshi) My official match prediction is PSG to win outright.
- Author said
- 1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain at 2.5
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 FC Barcelona.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- not supported
- Event
- Paris Saint-Germain — FC Barcelona, , final score 4-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.50 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.64 · final score 2-2
21 October 2026 · Author's odds 1.64 · settled at our market price 1.52: +52.08 points · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Total-Goals Pick: Over 2.5 Total Goals (61¢ / -156 via Kalshi)
- Author said
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.64
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- recognised
- Event
- FC Bayern München — Arsenal, , final score 2-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.64 · independent odds snapshot 1.52 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method At the author's stated price Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 1.64 100.00 Won 64.00 v2.2 At an independent odds snapshot Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 1.52 100.00 Won 52.08 v2.2 - FC Bayern München v Arsenal Excluded
Said: Asian handicap 0.5: Arsenal +0.5 · final score 2-2
21 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Handicap Pick: Arsenal [telefon-vyrezan] at Novig)
- Author said
- Asian handicap 0.5: Arsenal +0.5
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated pick without a price
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- FC Bayern München — Arsenal, , final score 2-2
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “The Pick: Martin Odegaard Anytime Goalscorer (+550 at BetMGM)”
21 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur Pending
Said: Player to score: João Pedro to score at 2.2 · final score 0-2
24 October 2026 · the match is played; settlement follows · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Pick: Joao Pedro 1+ Goals (+120 at BetMGM) Identifying betting value demands targeting elite offensive volume. Chelsea has scored 17 goals in seven Premier League matches, and Joao Pedro acts as the primary catalyst. I am playing Joao Pedro as an Anytime Goalscorer at +120 odds at BetMGM. The underlying production metrics thoroughly validate this price. Pedro boasts five goals in six matches, translating to a blistering 0.83 goals per match. He consistently generates high-leverage scoring opportunities, logging six total shots on target this season. Tottenham has already conceded 10 goals in seven matches. Finding a plus-money return on a player converting at an 83% per-match rate against a leaky defensive unit constitutes an enormous mathematical edge.
- Author said
- Player to score: João Pedro to score at 2.2
- Outcome of the pick
- Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- recognised
- Event
- Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur, , final score 0-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.20 · independent odds snapshot 2.20 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method At the author's stated price Player to score — João Pedro to score 2.20 100.00 Pending — v2.2 At an independent odds snapshot Player to score — João Pedro to score 2.20 100.00 Pending — v2.2 - Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur Excluded
Said: 1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.88 · final score 0-2
24 October 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
I am backing the Chelsea moneyline as my primary play. You can find their standard moneyline priced at -128 on BetMGM, but Novig offers a superior payout of 53% or -113 for a Chelsea victory.
- Author said
- 1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.88
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur, , final score 0-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.88 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
- Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur Excluded
Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.72 · final score 0-2
24 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.72; returns at the author's price leave it out · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
My secondary prediction targets under 3.5 goals. While a high-scoring Chelsea side often attracts over money, Tottenham lacks the requisite firepower to push this total past three goals. Four of the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs stayed under the 3.5-goal threshold. Kalshi currently prices the “No” on over 3.5 goals at 58 cents. This implies odds of roughly -138, which presents much better value than traditional sportsbooks, which have the under juiced to -164.
- Author said
- Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.72
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur, , final score 0-2
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.72 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
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