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Juan Pablo Aravena: football prediction record

Juan Pablo Aravena — football predictions, page 4 of 4

Page 4 of 4 of the predictions by Juan Pablo Aravena recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–51 of 51 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.

Source: our own evidence archive

Recorded picks and results, page 4 of 4

Showing 41–51 of 51 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 51 (JSON).

Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.

Filter the 11 predictions shown on this page.

  1. Said: Player to score: Ferran Torres to score at 2.15 · final score 0-6

    3 November 2026 · Author's odds 2.15 · settled at our market price 2.10: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Top Goalscorer Pick: Ferran Torres Anytime Goalscorer (+115 at BetMGM)
    Author said
    Player to score: Ferran Torres to score at 2.15
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost — Ferran Torres scored 0 goals; the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    recognised
    Event
    Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain, , final score 0-6
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.15 · independent odds snapshot 2.10 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Ferran Torres to score2.15100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
    At an independent odds snapshotPlayer to score — Ferran Torres to score2.10100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
  2. Said: 1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain at 1.75 · final score 0-6

    3 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    3-Way Moneyline Pick: PSG to Win (-133 at BetMGM)
    Author said
    1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain at 1.75
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain, , final score 0-6
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.75 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  3. Said: Team goals over/under 2.5: Paris Saint-Germain over 2.5 at 2.56 · final score 0-6

    3 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 2.56; returns at the author's price leave it out · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    grabbing Kalshi’s 39¢ shares on PSG to score over 2.5 goals creates highly correlated upside.
    Author said
    Team goals over/under 2.5: Paris Saint-Germain over 2.5 at 2.56
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain, , final score 0-6
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.56 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  4. Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2 · final score 0-6

    3 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Total-Goals Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (+100 / 50¢ at Kalshi)
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain, , final score 0-6
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.00 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  5. Said: Player to score: Achraf Hakimi to score at 6.5 · final score 0-6

    3 November 2026 · Author's odds 6.50 · settled at our market price 4.50: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Longshot Goalscorer Pick: Achraf Hakimi Anytime Goalscorer (+550 at BetMGM)
    Author said
    Player to score: Achraf Hakimi to score at 6.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost — Achraf Hakimi scored 0 goals; the final score was Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint-Germain.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    recognised
    Event
    Villarreal — Paris Saint-Germain, , final score 0-6
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 6.50 · independent odds snapshot 4.50 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Achraf Hakimi to score6.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
    At an independent odds snapshotPlayer to score — Achraf Hakimi to score4.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
  6. Said: Asian handicap −1.5: Liverpool −1.5 at 2.27 · final score 3-2

    4 November 2026 · Author's odds 2.27 · settled at our market price 1.74: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Handicap Pick: Liverpool -1.5 (+127 at Novig)
    Author said
    Asian handicap −1.5: Liverpool −1.5 at 2.27
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    recognised
    Event
    Fenerbahçe — Liverpool, , final score 3-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.27 · independent odds snapshot 1.74 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    At the author's stated priceAsian handicap −1.5 — Liverpool −1.52.27100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
    At an independent odds snapshotAsian handicap −1.5 — Liverpool −1.51.74100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
  7. Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.13 · final score 3-2

    4 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Total Goals Pick: Over 3.5 (+113 / 47¢ at Kalshi)
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.13
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Fenerbahçe — Liverpool, , final score 3-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.13 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  8. Said: Player to score: Alexis Mac Allister to score at 4.8 · final score 3-2

    4 November 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Anytime Goal Pick: Mac Allister 1+ Goal (+380 at BetMGM)
    Author said
    Player to score: Alexis Mac Allister to score at 4.8
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost — Alexis Mac Allister scored 0 goals; the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Fenerbahçe — Liverpool, , final score 3-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 4.80 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  9. Said: 1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.59 · final score 2-3

    4 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    City Moneyline (-170 / 63¢ on Kalshi)
    Author said
    1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.59
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    RB Leipzig — Manchester City, , final score 2-3
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.59 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  10. Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.89 · final score 2-3

    4 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Over 3.5 Total Goals (-113 / 53¢ on Kalshi)
    Author said
    Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.89
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    RB Leipzig — Manchester City, , final score 2-3
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.89 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  11. Said: Player to score: Erling Haaland to score at 1.55 · final score 2-3

    4 November 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer (-182 at BetMGM)
    Author said
    Player to score: Erling Haaland to score at 1.55
    Outcome of the pick
    Won — Erling Haaland scored 1 goal; the final score was RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City.
    Source
    sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
    Speaker
    Juan Pablo Aravena
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    RB Leipzig — Manchester City, , final score 2-3
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.55 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))

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