Juan Pablo Aravena: football prediction record
Juan Pablo Aravena — football predictions, page 2 of 4
Page 2 of 4 of the predictions by Juan Pablo Aravena recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 51 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.
Source: our own evidence archive
Recorded picks and results, page 2 of 4
Showing 1–20 of 51 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 51 (JSON).
Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.
1 row on this page has no evidence card: it was found after the match or restored from archive copies, and its outcome and price are shown in the row itself.
6 rows on this page are set aside; the reason is shown in each row.
Filter the 20 predictions shown on this page.
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Score prediction: England 1, Spain 1”
26 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Best bet: Draw (+257 / 28¢ at Kalshi)”
26 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Total-goals lean: Under 2.5 (+117 / 46¢ at Polymarket)”
26 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Under 3.5 goals is good value”
24 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool Won
Said: 1X2, match result: Liverpool at 2.22 · final score 0-1
20 September 2026 · Author's odds 2.22 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.19, restored: +119 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Their 45¢ contract on Liverpool to win translates to +122 American odds
- Author said
- 1X2, match result: Liverpool at 2.22
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- seen too late
- Event
- AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool, , final score 0-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.22 · independent odds snapshot — · closing 2.20
- Count status
- counted in the restored-history series
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method Restored, at the author's stated price 1X2, match result — Liverpool 2.22 100.00 Won 122.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the closing market price 1X2, match result — Liverpool 2.20 100.00 Won 120.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 1X2, match result — Liverpool 2.19 100.00 Won 119.00 retro-1.1 - AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool Lost
Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.33 · final score 0-1
20 September 2026 · Author's odds 2.33 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.44, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
I am targeting Over 3.5 total goals at 43¢ (+133 equivalent) at Polymarket or Kalshi.
- Author said
- Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.33
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- seen too late
- Event
- AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool, , final score 0-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.33 · independent odds snapshot — · closing 2.21
- Count status
- counted in the restored-history series
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method Restored, at the author's stated price Over/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.5 2.33 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the closing market price Over/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.5 2.21 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) Over/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.5 2.44 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.1 - AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool Excluded
Said: Over/Under 10.5 corners: over 10.5 at 1.64
20 September 2026 · counted in the restored-history series · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
Counted: included in the totals shown on this page. Definition.
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
I am betting Yes on 10+ corners at 61¢ (-156 equivalent) at Kalshi.
- Author said
- Over/Under 10.5 corners: over 10.5 at 1.64
- Outcome of the pick
- Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- seen too late
- Event
- AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool,
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.64 · independent odds snapshot — · closing 1.95
- Count status
- counted in the restored-history series
- Brentford v Chelsea Lost
Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.27 · final score 3-0
18 September 2026 · Author's odds 2.27 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.27, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Pick 2: Over 3.5 Goals (+127 / 44¢ at Polymarket)
- Author said
- Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.27
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was Brentford 3-0 Chelsea.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- seen too late
- Event
- Brentford v Chelsea, , final score 3-0
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.27 · independent odds snapshot — · closing 2.20
- Count status
- counted in the restored-history series
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method Restored, at the author's stated price Over/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.5 2.27 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the closing market price Over/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.5 2.20 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) Over/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.5 2.27 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.1 - Brentford v Chelsea Lost
Said: Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: over 1.5 at 2.27 · final score 3-0
18 September 2026 · Author's odds 2.27 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.23, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Pick 3: Over 1.5 First-Half Goals (+127 / 44¢ at Kalshi)
- Author said
- Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: over 1.5 at 2.27
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was Brentford 3-0 Chelsea.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- seen too late
- Event
- Brentford v Chelsea, , final score 3-0
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.27 · independent odds snapshot — · last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 2.23
- Count status
- counted in the restored-history series
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method Restored, at the author's stated price Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half — over 1.5 2.27 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half — over 1.5 2.23 100.00 Lost −100.00 retro-1.1 - Brentford v Chelsea Won
Said: 1X2, match result: Brentford at 2.94 · final score 3-0
18 September 2026 · Author's odds 2.94 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.55, restored: +155 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Taking Brentford at +194 offers exceptional expected value.
- Author said
- 1X2, match result: Brentford at 2.94
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Brentford 3-0 Chelsea.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Found after the match; date as stated by the source
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- seen too late
- Event
- Brentford v Chelsea, , final score 3-0
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.94 · independent odds snapshot — · closing 2.55
- Count status
- counted in the restored-history series
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method Restored, at the author's stated price 1X2, match result — Brentford 2.94 100.00 Won 194.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the closing market price 1X2, match result — Brentford 2.55 100.00 Won 155.00 retro-1.0 Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 1X2, match result — Brentford 2.55 100.00 Won 155.00 retro-1.1 - England v Czechia Excluded
Said: Asian handicap −2.5: England −2.5 at 2.08 · final score 3-0
6 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off
Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Pick 1: England -2.5 Handicap (48¢ on Kalshi / +108 implied)
- Author said
- Asian handicap −2.5: England −2.5 at 2.08
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was England 3-0 Czechia.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- England — Czechia, , final score 3-0
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.08 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “Pick 3: Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer (-194 at Novig)”
6 October 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- England v Czechia Excluded
Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.96 · final score 3-0
6 October 2026 · graded against the result: wrong · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Pick 2: Over 3.5 Goals (51¢ on Kalshi / -104 implied)
- Author said
- Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.96
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was England 3-0 Czechia.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- England — Czechia, , final score 3-0
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.96 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Said: Asian handicap 1.5: Leeds United +1.5 at 1.79 · final score 2-1
10 October 2026 · Author's odds 1.79 · settled at our market price 1.75: +74.50 points · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Leeds +1.5 Handicap (-127 / 56¢ at Kalshi)
- Author said
- Asian handicap 1.5: Leeds United +1.5 at 1.79
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- recognised
- Event
- Arsenal — Leeds United, , final score 2-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.79 · independent odds snapshot 1.75 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method At the author's stated price Asian handicap 1.5 — Leeds United +1.5 1.79 100.00 Won 79.00 v2.1 At an independent odds snapshot Asian handicap 1.5 — Leeds United +1.5 1.75 100.00 Won 74.50 v2.2 Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.17 · final score 2-1
10 October 2026 · Author's odds 2.17 · settled at our market price 1.98: −100 points · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
I am targeting Under 2.5 total goals (+117 / 46¢ at Kalshi)
- Author said
- Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.17
- Outcome of the pick
- Lost: the final score was Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- recognised
- Event
- Arsenal — Leeds United, , final score 2-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.17 · independent odds snapshot 1.98 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method At the author's stated price Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.5 2.17 100.00 Lost −100.00 v2.1 At an independent odds snapshot Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.5 1.98 100.00 Lost −100.00 v2.2 - Arsenal v Leeds United Pending
Said: Player to score: Viktor Gyokeres to score at 2.2 · final score 2-1
10 October 2026 · the match is played; settlement follows · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
Viktor Gyökeres to find the net (+120 at BetMGM)
- Author said
- Player to score: Viktor Gyokeres to score at 2.2
- Outcome of the pick
- Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- recognised
- Event
- Arsenal — Leeds United, , final score 2-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.20 · independent odds snapshot 2.27 · closing — (snapshot taken ; from a commercial odds aggregator; closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake Series Market and pick Price Stake Result Points Method At the author's stated price Player to score — Viktor Gyokeres to score 2.20 100.00 Pending — v2.1 At an independent odds snapshot Player to score — Viktor Gyokeres to score 2.27 100.00 Pending — v2.2 - No match linked Excluded
Said: “The Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (58¢)”
13 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- Viking FK v FC Bayern München Excluded
Said: Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.64 · final score 3-3
13 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.64; returns at the author's price leave it out · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
The Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (61¢)
- Author said
- Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.64
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Viking FK 3-3 FC Bayern München.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- Viking FK — FC Bayern München, , final score 3-3
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 1.64 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
- No match linked Excluded
Said: “The Pick: Slavia Prague Moneyline (48¢)”
13 October 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement
- Villarreal v SSC Napoli Excluded
Said: 1X2, match result: Villarreal at 2.17 · final score 3-1
13 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 2.17; returns at the author's price leave it out · Recorded by us before kick-off
Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
The Pick: Villarreal Moneyline (46¢)
- Author said
- 1X2, match result: Villarreal at 2.17
- Outcome of the pick
- Won: the final score was Villarreal 3-1 SSC Napoli.
- Source
- sportsbettingdime.com (RSS)
- Speaker
- Juan Pablo Aravena
- Attribution
- channel owner
- Origin
- Recorded by us before kick-off
- Published
- First recorded by us
- Class
- stated price and stake
- State
- ambiguous
- Event
- Villarreal — SSC Napoli, , final score 3-1
- Prices for this pick
- author's price 2.17 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
Other recorded statements (1)
Repeated picks and copies on other platforms. It leaves the counts unchanged; each one with its prices is in this page's JSON.
Paris Saint-Germain — FC Barcelona: “Goal-Total Pick: Over 4.5 (+113 via Kalshi) I am backing the Over 4.5 goals.”
sportsbettingdime.com · published · first recorded by us · Recorded by us before kick-off
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