{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "canonical": "/authors/joe-casey/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Joe Casey: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 19 settled picks by Joe Casey recorded before kick-off across 15 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026: −32.0% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Joe Casey before kick-off across 15 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −32.0% on the total staked. Of the 427 predictions we hold for Joe Casey, 346 are linked to matches: 43 were recorded by us before kick-off, 151 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 152 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−32.0%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 61, "date_count": 63, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 155, "of_them_archived": 90 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "ad59cb0c4ba0e8582603143abb764f2d6a589a730b564173c87bad69c00d352f", "dependency_group": "author:e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0", "public_name": "Joe Casey", "tracker_number": 1521, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-31.9737", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 19, "n_events": 15, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": "-73.3913", "ci_high": "26.0000", "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "series_uid": null }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 19 settled picks across 15 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 1207, "recognised": 427, "accepted": 242, "executed": 229, "calculated": 182, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 125 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 37 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 18 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 12 }, { "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 5 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 1207, "of_them_restored": 809, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 216, "not_about_a_match": 564, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 427, "predictions_restored": 303, "matches": 28, "admitted": 242, "qualifying_picks": 229, "qualifying_picks_restored": 209, "settled_picks": 182, "settled_picks_restored": 162, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 19, "settled_picks": 19, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 15, "operations_settled": 19, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 18, "settled_picks": 18, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 16, "operations_settled": 18, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.1", "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 34, "settled_picks": 31, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 3, "matches": 28, "operations_settled": 31, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price" }, { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 179, "settled_picks": 139, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 40, "matches": 120, "operations_settled": 139, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 95, "settled_picks": 81, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 14, "matches": 67, "operations_settled": 81, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 125 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 37 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 18 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 12 }, { "code_name": "outside_coverage", "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 5 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 28, "junk": { "service": 6, "ads": 42 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-1453dba632111d38fe87add8", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/18/#pick-n-1453dba632111d38fe87add8", "quote_text": "Ivan Toney to be shown a card", "fragment_from": 5761, "fragment_to": 5790, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fafdbad296d3bd43f1bf63909e24230211cd1f49392dd6a576a645c6fb598e14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", 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"added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0b9b10c3151bcaef5873a3e8", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0b9b10c3151bcaef5873a3e8", "quote_text": "Subs: Hughes, Ward, Sarr, Lerma, Ayew, Schlupp, Clyne, Riad, Mateta", "fragment_from": 5247, "fragment_to": 5314, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": 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"simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-17T12:07:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6846cef4de6e7e95e32ed626", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6846cef4de6e7e95e32ed626", "quote_text": "Subs: Onyeka, Damsgaard, Schade, Peart-Harris, Yarmolyuk, Carvalho, Lewis-Potter, Kim, Mee", "fragment_from": 5034, "fragment_to": 5124, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fafdbad296d3bd43f1bf63909e24230211cd1f49392dd6a576a645c6fb598e14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-17T12:07:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-06a7c88d0b191f8ad42bcba1", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-06a7c88d0b191f8ad42bcba1", "quote_text": "Probable teams\n\nBrentford (4-3-3): Flekken; Roerslev, Collins, Pinnock, Ajer; Norgaard, Janelt, Jensen; Mbeumo, Toney, Wissa", "fragment_from": 4909, "fragment_to": 5033, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fafdbad296d3bd43f1bf63909e24230211cd1f49392dd6a576a645c6fb598e14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-17T12:07:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5d749399c98746b93fbc0d2a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5d749399c98746b93fbc0d2a", "quote_text": "Chris Richards has been passed fit but Jean-Philippe Mateta may not be rushed straight into the starting line-up after playing in the Olympic final just nine days ago.", "fragment_from": 4740, "fragment_to": 4907, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fafdbad296d3bd43f1bf63909e24230211cd1f49392dd6a576a645c6fb598e14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-08-17T12:07:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c5308a544181af9a1ec62cba", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c5308a544181af9a1ec62cba", "quote_text": "Josh Dasilva is also set for a long absence while Aaron Hickey and Rico Henry are sidelined for this clash.", "fragment_from": 4548, "fragment_to": 4655, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, 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"fragment_from": 1775, "fragment_to": 1817, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240817143007id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/brentford-v-crystal-palace-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aniVs1B34pzh/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fafdbad296d3bd43f1bf63909e24230211cd1f49392dd6a576a645c6fb598e14", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:54:05.595Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, 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"material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:07:16.278Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-12-09T17:08:56.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:07:16.278Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page 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"market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "choice": "over 4.5", "author_odds": "2.1", "market_key": "cards_over_under", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "4.5", "subject": "bookings", "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 cards: over 4.5 at 2.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 1-2 Fulham." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "fca40a400ba5be26bca031b6e11115c51d8321a7ac84b9a8a5780ff26600746b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "choice": "over 4.5", "decimal_odds": "2.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.821Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3b5b58bff617e64abb219e738b021eb5e9cb874242c802f83cd8033708da2211", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 cards", "choice": "over 4.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:37.827Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Joe Casey", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Joe Casey", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a969fd91de746e0f3adcfc25", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/#pick-n-a969fd91de746e0f3adcfc25", "quote_text": "Julio Enciso to have three or more shots\n3pm Saturday\n3pts Evs Coral, Ladbrokes", "fragment_from": 1289, "fragment_to": 1368, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250131205311id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "0e6756896a65a273406a90909cf4e380680c496d8cb16ed93c92c59a07565ecd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Ipswich Town v Southampton", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5", "outcome_label": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-01-31T16:07:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:57:32.389Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-01-31T20:53:11.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5", "choice": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target", "author_odds": "2", "market_key": "player_shots", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "shots", "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5: Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target at 2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "02979820b7e9e31ed686986b4bf4c43502dc342bf8f80adf45f14a3eefac5bd7", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5", "choice": "Julio Enciso over 2.5 shots on target", "decimal_odds": "2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: not settled", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T11:35:04.360Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Joe Casey", "publisher": "racingpost.com", "forecaster": "Joe Casey", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/saturdays-premier-league-assist-cards-goalscorer-predictions-a0Fyw1o6BZD4/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b9c824a77da9977eabaa5e67", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b9c824a77da9977eabaa5e67", "quote_text": "AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1): Owusu-Oduro; Maikuma, Goes, Penetra, De Wit; Clasie, Koopmeiners; Poku, Buurmeester", "fragment_from": 4165, "fragment_to": 4270, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250306012334id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/az-alkmaar-vs-tottenham-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a5zBp0d3hIfa/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9174ebb4a6ac16ed573286d3ff852ab9b69eeed49d6c11e4820b01fcc0f95500", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e0f2052ef627964074b9e345", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e0f2052ef627964074b9e345", "quote_text": "Micky van de Ven, Cristian Romero and Dominic Solanke all trained ahead of Thursday's trip to the", "fragment_from": 3117, "fragment_to": 3214, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250306012334id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/az-alkmaar-vs-tottenham-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a5zBp0d3hIfa/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9174ebb4a6ac16ed573286d3ff852ab9b69eeed49d6c11e4820b01fcc0f95500", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-19141af964bbc5da03cc632a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-19141af964bbc5da03cc632a", "quote_text": "Here are the latest odds ahead of AZ Alkmaar vs Tottenham in the Europa League", "fragment_from": 1582, "fragment_to": 1660, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250306012334id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/az-alkmaar-vs-tottenham-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a5zBp0d3hIfa/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9174ebb4a6ac16ed573286d3ff852ab9b69eeed49d6c11e4820b01fcc0f95500", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-03-05T17:22:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:41.749Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 28, "service": 2, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": { "titles": [], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [], "record_origin": [ { "portion": "live", "n": 29, "body": "29 recorded before kick-off · since 5 Oct 2026" }, { "portion": "archived", "n": 91, "body": "91 from the pre-match archive · 2024–2026" }, { "portion": "found_after", "n": 70, "body": "70 found after the match" } ], "recent_record": [], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Goalscorer picks · 39 matches", "details_words": "Goalscorer picks 11/40 (39 matches); Match result (1X2) 10/28 (28 matches); Player props 2/13 (13 matches); Goals over/under 7/12 (12 matches); Bet-builder combos 3/9 (9 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 2/5 (5 matches); Both teams to score 0/4 (4 matches); Corners and cards 2/2 (2 matches)", "url": null, "provenance": "live+archived", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 0/2", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "archived", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 3.25 · 26 Oct 2025", "details_words": "Everton v Tottenham Hotspur · Away win at 3.25 (archive closing price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Everton 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur at 13", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/5/#pick-n-dbfe042cfb848236330e3bd4", "provenance": "archived", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" }, { "code_name": "E-03", "body": "Away calls · 7/20", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live+archived", "display_name": "Away calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-03-away-calls/" }, { "code_name": "E-06", "body": "Non-favourite calls · 4/10", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live+archived", "display_name": "Non-favourite calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-06-non-favourite-calls/" } ], "history": [ { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 3.22 · Crystal Palace v Leeds United · 15 Mar 2026 · archive record", "event_at": "2026-03-15", "status": "historical", "cause": "90 days after the event", "provenance": "archived" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Away win at 3.25 · Everton v Tottenham Hotspur · 26 Oct 2025 · archive record", "event_at": "2025-10-26", "status": "historical", "cause": "90 days after the event", "provenance": "archived" }, { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Nov–23 Nov 2024 · archive record", "event_at": "2024-11-23", "status": "historical", "cause": "120 days after the event", "provenance": "archived" } ] }, "retro": { "restored_total": 139, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 80, "found_post_match": 59, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 74, "span_from": "2024-08-17", "span_to": "2026-05-10", "line_text": "restored history: 139, of which pre-match archive 80", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, League Cup, Champions League and Europa League matches between 17 August 2024 and 10 May 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 139. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 80. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 59. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 138, "share": "0.3261" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 118, "roi": "-14.5186", "ci_low": "-39.0403", "ci_high": "11.8113", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 20, "roi": "-23.0055", "ci_low": "-68.2425", "ci_high": "28.6600", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 63, "roi": "-31.6587", "ci_low": "-54.4500", "ci_high": "-6.5781", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_derived_sm", "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 1, "roi": "53.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League", "Championship", "League Cup", "Champions League", "Europa League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 67 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 72 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.", "score_accuracy": { "n": 1, "share": "0.0" } }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "closing", "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)", "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)", "compared": 14, "above": 4, "above_share_percent": "28.6", "below": 0, "within": 10, "median_difference_percent": "1.8", "not_comparable": 1, "disputed": 1, "status": "calculated", "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +1.8% over 14 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately." } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/3/#pick-n-5b109a27b99a1acbbd7830f5", "basis": "closing", "stated": "2.60", "market": "2.19", "difference_percent": "18.5" }, { "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/3/#pick-n-091b33c718dcf5808d825dc0", "basis": "closing", "stated": "2.00", "market": "1.76", "difference_percent": "13.9" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "racingpost.com", "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/football-acca-tips/football-accumulator-tips-for-saturday-november-7-axYg29K6IKSw/" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -60750, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "return_percent": "-31.97", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Joe Casey before kick-off across 15 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −32.0% on the total staked. Of the 427 predictions we hold for Joe Casey, 346 are linked to matches: 43 were recorded by us before kick-off, 151 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 152 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "19", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "15", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−607.50 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−32.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −73.4% to +26.0%" } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Joe Casey across 3 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Joe Casey publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12500, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7500, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4300, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -300, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70300, "n": 15 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50750, "n": 18 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60750, "n": 19 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "match_dates": 8, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -60750, "low": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70300, "after_picks": 15 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12500, "n": 3, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7500, "n": 5, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4300, "n": 6, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -300, "n": 8, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70300, "n": 15, "picks": 7 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50750, "n": 18, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -60750, "n": 19, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 42, "matches": 37, "match_dates": 29, "period_from": "2024-09-22", "period_to": "2026-04-25", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -129650, "low": { "date": "2026-02-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -141850, "after_picks": 40 }, "high": { "date": "2025-05-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18350, "after_picks": 21 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2024-09-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-09-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-11-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13300, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-12-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23300, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-12-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14150, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2024-12-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34150, "n": 7, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-01-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -16150, "n": 8, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-01-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -26150, "n": 9, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-01-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15650, "n": 10, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-02-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2850, "n": 12, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-03-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7150, "n": 13, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15350, "n": 15, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13850, "n": 17, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6150, "n": 19, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-05-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6350, "n": 20, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-05-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18350, "n": 21, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-07-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8350, "n": 22, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-08-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3450, "n": 25, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-08-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23450, "n": 27, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -33450, "n": 28, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -41850, "n": 30, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -51850, "n": 31, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-11-08", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -71850, "n": 33, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-11-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -81850, "n": 34, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-02-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -101850, "n": 36, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-02-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -121850, "n": 38, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-02-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -141850, "n": 40, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-03-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -119650, "n": 41, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -129650, "n": 42, "picks": 1 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Joe Casey before kick-off across 15 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −32.0% on the total staked. Of the 427 predictions we hold for Joe Casey, 346 are linked to matches: 43 were recorded by us before kick-off, 151 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 152 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/joe-casey/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 427, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 81, "proven_predictions": 194, "proven_checked": 129, "proven_measured": 61, "proven_dates": 63, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 43, "checked": 38, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 19, "void": 0, "matches": 15, "net_points_hundredths": -60750, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "return_percent": "-31.97", "interval_low": "-73.39", "interval_high": "26.00", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.5", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 5 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 17, "return_main_percent": "-23.97", "return_other_percent": "-20.28", "settled_excluding_void": 17, "net_main_points_hundredths": -40750, "net_other_points_hundredths": -34480, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 13, "return_main_percent": "-25.73", "return_other_percent": "-35.03", "settled_excluding_void": 13, "net_main_points_hundredths": -33450, "net_other_points_hundredths": -45534, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 38, "priced": 19 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 19, "won": 6, "won_percent": "31.6", "implied_percent": "46.1", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 2, "picks": 6, "implied_percent": "45.3" }, { "market": "Player to score", "won": 1, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "41.4" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "50.4" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "47.3" }, { "market": "Asian handicap", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "75.8" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "34.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 9, "right": 4, "wrong": 4, "other": 1 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 151, "checked": 91, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 42, "void": 0, "matches": 37, "net_points_hundredths": -129650, "staked_hundredths": 420000, "return_percent": "-30.87", "interval_low": "-60.63", "interval_high": "4.09", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2024-09-22", "period_to": "2026-04-25", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 35, "return_main_percent": "-20.36", "return_other_percent": "-19.77", "settled_excluding_void": 35, "net_main_points_hundredths": -71250, "net_other_points_hundredths": -69210, "period_from": "2024-09-22", "period_to": "2026-03-15" }, { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 18, "return_main_percent": "-2.56", "return_other_percent": "-3.35", "settled_excluding_void": 18, "net_main_points_hundredths": -4600, "net_other_points_hundredths": -6034, "period_from": "2025-02-01", "period_to": "2026-04-25" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 91, "priced": 42 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 42, "won": 14, "won_percent": "33.3", "implied_percent": "45.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 7, "picks": 20, "implied_percent": "46.9" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 4, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "49.6" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "57.5" }, { "market": "Cards over/under", "won": 2, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "56.3" }, { "market": "Correct score", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "11.7" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 1, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "41.5" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 152, "checked": 71, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 39, "void": 0, "matches": 30, "net_points_hundredths": -43150, "staked_hundredths": 390000, "return_percent": "-11.06", "interval_low": "-39.61", "interval_high": "21.14", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2024-08-31", "period_to": "2026-09-13", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 22, "return_main_percent": "-24.36", "return_other_percent": "-22.50", "settled_excluding_void": 22, "net_main_points_hundredths": -53600, "net_other_points_hundredths": -49509, "period_from": "2024-08-31", "period_to": "2026-05-10" }, { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 10, "return_main_percent": "-1.75", "return_other_percent": "-1.91", "settled_excluding_void": 10, "net_main_points_hundredths": -1750, "net_other_points_hundredths": -1911, "period_from": "2025-12-13", "period_to": "2026-09-13" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 71, "priced": 39 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 39, "won": 19, "won_percent": "48.7", "implied_percent": "48.6", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 8, "picks": 11, "implied_percent": "51.5" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 5, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "59.5" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 2, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "51.8" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "37.9" }, { "market": "Result and total goals", "won": 1, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "49.5" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 3, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "38.1" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-1597e76102338aefb02b5a92", "n-1c73a4b62df4e6fb4e8430d7", "n-2ebb58187af1cc6a68abe223", "n-42111a2d6a393d1f0bbe35ac", "n-5c1874e562950a525df1aa77", "n-6a34ee5aebeee9b7bf42ea0f", "n-835642afcb29a63834738954", "n-9753ff5cc3c61b7222e37b3d", "n-97ab667e5507247cb0488f4c", "n-9d7156f017859294c8d02c7e", "n-a5ca214563943b54046ff131", "n-c2b05a38033ed38f9222cac2", "n-d380622939b4d3530aaebd62", "n-d81209f3dbfe00d5f95e66e1", "n-dbcd2b82e9922fb7c1e33213", "n-e1c94bc4f8c593161a5d2b59", "n-f1f3792b0008f1433f7f9852", "n-f5b1848339af0c9b8c0dd5d6", "n-fe55278ca07f4507eec9f6d5" ], "interval_low": "-73.39", "interval_high": "26.00", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2024-08-17", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-9753ff5cc3c61b7222e37b3d", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/picks/23/#pick-n-9753ff5cc3c61b7222e37b3d", "match": "Celtic v Beşiktaş", "match_url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 26.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Beşiktaş at 2.15", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.15", "settled_price": "2.1300", "published_at": "2026-11-04T17:08:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T17:14:43.987Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.1300", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "platform": "Racing Post, author pages", "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9753ff5cc3c61b7222e37b3d", "quote_text": "Besiktas\n2pts 23-20 bet365, Coral, Ladbrokes", "fragment_from": 2891, "fragment_to": 2935, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/europa-league/celtic-vs-besiktas-predictions-team-news-odds-betting-tips-bet-builder-aXzZZ5j4XgJn/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Joe Casey", "authorship": "channel_owner", 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"outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-28T16:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:46:16.661Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a41219c499fa4588843084b4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Greg Taylor to be shown a card", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-28T16:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:46:16.661Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c4dec62056416f0e185c0250", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Richarlison to score at any time", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-25T15:05:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:58:47.628Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f23a58b943fa7842b934289e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Bruno Guimaraes to score or assist\nTNT Sports 1, 12.30pm Saturday\n2pts 21-10 Betfair, Paddy Power, BoyleSports", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-03T17:02:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:40:19.767Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 252, "before_kickoff": 43, "after_kickoff": 209, "at_least_2h": 43, "share_2h_plus": 17.1, "median_hours": 26.1, "min_hours": 3.8, "max_hours": 50.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 9, "settled_picks_all": 19, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 9, "no_recorded_line": 1, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 90000, "author_net_hundredths": -17450, "favourite_net_hundredths": -5467, "difference_hundredths": -11983, "author_return_percent": -19.39, "favourite_return_percent": -6.07, "author_hit_rate": 33.3, "favourite_hit_rate": 44.4, "picked_favourite_share": 66.7, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 6, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "author_net_hundredths": -15200, "favourite_net_hundredths": 6200, "author_hits": 2, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": -25.33, "favourite_return_percent": 10.33 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 3, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "author_net_hundredths": -2250, "favourite_net_hundredths": -11667, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -7.5, "favourite_return_percent": -38.89 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 3000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 24400 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-14T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -7000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 14400 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -17000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 22733 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -27000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12733 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -37000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2733 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -19250, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -7267 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -7450, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4533 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -17450, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -5467 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 427, "pages": 23, "page_urls": [ "/authors/joe-casey/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/2/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/3/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/4/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/5/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/6/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/7/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/8/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/9/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/10/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/11/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/12/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/13/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/14/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/15/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/16/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/17/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/18/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/19/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/20/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/21/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/22/", "/authors/joe-casey/picks/23/" ], "groups": { "settled": 182, "pending": 0, "excluded": 245 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Joe Casey Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Joe Casey", "main_entity": "e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0", "identity": { "status": "verified_identity", "is_verified": true, "when": "2026-10-11", "source_list": [ { "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/authors/joe-casey/", "what": "«A Newcastle fan learning to embrace the good times on Tyneside, Joe is a genuine all-rounder who specialises in football and baseball.»" } ] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-8416d1e0bdd7469568366eb0", "medium": "Racing Post", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "racingpost.com", "source_info": "racing-post", "byline": "Joe Casey", "url": "/sources/racing-post/", "summary": { "statements": 677, "predictions": 276, "settled_picks": 42, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": -30.87, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-10-09" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-327f549e9b8caa5338bf7864", "medium": "LiveScore", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "livescore.com", "source_info": "livescore", "byline": "Joe Casey", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 13, "predictions": 2, "settled_picks": 0, "headline_kind": null, "return_percent": null, "headline_part": null, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-10-09" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-cbc2feb76e429b67551a7d39", "medium": "Racing Post", "channel": "author pages", "domain": "racingpost.com", "source_info": "racing-post", "byline": "Joe Casey", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 517, "predictions": 149, "settled_picks": 19, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -31.97, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "established" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "6cffe81c58fe478beaebd9ad0e5fe72e02a64e82d99c01d98ecd8b79b6c01ad8" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-8ad51965ae1d567b626d", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-23.97", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b5b182dc68823c89230b155c8d3d08bdcd0afb92394275dff6146d7b7cfb7f17", "text": "−23.97% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-31.97", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6cffe81c58fe478beaebd9ad0e5fe72e02a64e82d99c01d98ecd8b79b6c01ad8", "text": "−31.97% on 19 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-421b572552db88f6422f", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-19.22", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "873fe3b5ae88d357fd9d62c2e7a0987140c736f9571c53f31c6fa13e5f128927", "text": "−19.22% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-23.97", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b5b182dc68823c89230b155c8d3d08bdcd0afb92394275dff6146d7b7cfb7f17", "text": "−23.97% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3e9ca21db353fb41e507", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-38.69", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f1c1375dec848af82e070ac8a3bb6ae0c16f71bb9b22b90a4ececaec3c663a9b", "text": "−38.69% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-19.22", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 14, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "873fe3b5ae88d357fd9d62c2e7a0987140c736f9571c53f31c6fa13e5f128927", "text": "−19.22% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-52e0716783f2df6a3b39", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "return_percent": "-30.87", "settled_picks": 42, "matches": 37, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c7ff6f26c04908460d0793882b7dc5f2652ba9d492829015dae9b5f9f0a7e99b", "text": "−30.87% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-38.69", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f1c1375dec848af82e070ac8a3bb6ae0c16f71bb9b22b90a4ececaec3c663a9b", "text": "−38.69% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (42 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (13 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 13, "removed": 42, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-257430807f1c9831bf72" }, { "id": "zc-d0c9be8aec8d2cbfbbaa", "at": "2026-10-22T09:54:30.278Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "return_percent": "-27.31", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 38, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "d53b55e63ad67f6fe5a42105b61431272c8736194ce050af963583a8b1a76dd8", "text": "−27.31% on 44 settled picks across 38 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "return_percent": "-30.87", "settled_picks": 42, "matches": 37, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c7ff6f26c04908460d0793882b7dc5f2652ba9d492829015dae9b5f9f0a7e99b", "text": "−30.87% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-07eca65abd654fd4304b" }, { "id": "zc-7634ef622889337d3a70", "at": "2026-10-22T05:56:36.122Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-30.87", "settled_picks": 42, "matches": 37, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c7ff6f26c04908460d0793882b7dc5f2652ba9d492829015dae9b5f9f0a7e99b", "text": "−30.87% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.2", "return_percent": "-27.31", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 38, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "d53b55e63ad67f6fe5a42105b61431272c8736194ce050af963583a8b1a76dd8", "text": "−27.31% on 44 settled picks across 38 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-7890fa75f12cd606c21d", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.3", "return_percent": "-29.80", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "71e1d58badacf7accd00772887ea47bd2d81dc061012af35dac0c8ed9ad83dc7", "text": "−29.80% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-30.87", "settled_picks": 42, "matches": 37, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c7ff6f26c04908460d0793882b7dc5f2652ba9d492829015dae9b5f9f0a7e99b", "text": "−30.87% on 42 settled picks across 37 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-26e2e884a8fe70cc290f" }, { "id": "zc-241d8582879d36cf2405", "at": "2026-10-18T04:18:28.335Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "return_percent": "-28.92", "settled_picks": 45, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "28738589b3fcf7b22b4bed02faea8708dee8a12d8352af6390ab141f1d1f0658", "text": "−28.92% on 45 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.3", "return_percent": "-29.80", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "71e1d58badacf7accd00772887ea47bd2d81dc061012af35dac0c8ed9ad83dc7", "text": "−29.80% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-c333ad174b9782dd1c26" }, { "id": "zc-941a1ad77a802f807661", "at": "2026-10-18T03:29:01.089Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.1", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.5", "return_percent": "-29.80", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "71e1d58badacf7accd00772887ea47bd2d81dc061012af35dac0c8ed9ad83dc7", "text": "−29.80% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.2", "return_percent": "-28.92", "settled_picks": 45, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "28738589b3fcf7b22b4bed02faea8708dee8a12d8352af6390ab141f1d1f0658", "text": "−28.92% on 45 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-82dd6c4583ae46e02444", "at": "2026-10-16T17:26:36.835Z", "data_version": "2026-10-16.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.4", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.5", "return_percent": "-34.14", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 27, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ff8938d7520314e514eaf059c46f6330069c58258f711f6365351cea1ee27808", "text": "−34.14% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.5", "return_percent": "-29.80", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "71e1d58badacf7accd00772887ea47bd2d81dc061012af35dac0c8ed9ad83dc7", "text": "−29.80% on 44 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample; 12 picks added.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 12, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-245b4b6f94c842cab2ed" }, { "id": "zc-254cd979272e916a2308", "at": "2026-10-15T18:43:19.205Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.4", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "-36.07", "settled_picks": 34, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "1d939ae98d958d93ac2433d5ae6f88a0a6fc6754cf8bbd710316efa3ee299a15", "text": "−36.07% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.5", "return_percent": "-34.14", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 27, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ff8938d7520314e514eaf059c46f6330069c58258f711f6365351cea1ee27808", "text": "−34.14% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-4be407b9dd6443ea2a90" }, { "id": "zc-e0f1aabba0e029e65854", "at": "2026-10-14T22:11:18.139Z", "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-14.2", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "return_percent": "-2.50", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5d1e13ef63f85bdd59b25aee6307c46df911a56fc24b5441333434069460bfd6", "text": "−5.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "-36.07", "settled_picks": 34, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "1d939ae98d958d93ac2433d5ae6f88a0a6fc6754cf8bbd710316efa3ee299a15", "text": "−36.07% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (2 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (34 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 34, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-9c227714909869d49af9" }, { "id": "zc-14216b210763d3a47382", "at": "2026-10-13T21:34:28.953Z", "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-36.07", "settled_picks": 34, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "1d939ae98d958d93ac2433d5ae6f88a0a6fc6754cf8bbd710316efa3ee299a15", "text": "−36.07% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "return_percent": "-2.50", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5d1e13ef63f85bdd59b25aee6307c46df911a56fc24b5441333434069460bfd6", "text": "−5.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (2 settled picks) instead of “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only” (34 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 34, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-4b634335e341f51c7490" }, { "id": "zc-068a7eeeeee560d07a2b", "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "19.91", "settled_picks": 60, "matches": 50, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "price_rule": "author's stated odds, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.0", "composition_hash": "e751b84f1e5a68fa30532d95463074904b59b7614f66453aaa83f1d72c6bd5cb", "text": "+19.91% on 60 settled picks across 50 matches · author's stated odds, restored · method retro-1.0" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-36.07", "settled_picks": 34, "matches": 28, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "1d939ae98d958d93ac2433d5ae6f88a0a6fc6754cf8bbd710316efa3ee299a15", "text": "−36.07% on 34 settled picks across 28 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (60 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (34 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 13, "removed": 39, "changed": 7 }, "correction_id": "i-5f33bcf09ab6bc885b37" }, { "id": "zc-07630dd358b7498a02de", "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "url": "/authors/joe-casey/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "return_percent": "-31.69", "settled_picks": 31, "matches": 25, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "0e3d0100670d34a0be2b6f1626d71254090439a5358ca4830fd914e4438e6fc0", "text": "−31.69% on 31 settled picks across 25 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "19.91", "settled_picks": 60, "matches": 50, "void": 1, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "price_rule": "author's stated odds, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.0", "composition_hash": "e751b84f1e5a68fa30532d95463074904b59b7614f66453aaa83f1d72c6bd5cb", "text": "+19.91% on 60 settled picks across 50 matches · author's stated odds, restored · method retro-1.0" }, "reason": "The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “author's stated odds, restored” (60 settled picks) instead of “second data provider's closing price, restored” (31 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 40, "removed": 11, "changed": 8 }, "correction_id": "i-f938f5aced7c8e14ff82" } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "settled_picks": 42, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 20, "won": 7, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -37100, "return_percent": "-18.6", "period_from": "2024-12-10", "period_to": "2026-04-25", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "2.37", "odds_from_author": 15, "odds_from_snapshot": 5 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 7, "won": 4, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 1250, "return_percent": "1.8", "period_from": "2024-09-25", "period_to": "2025-11-08", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.07", "odds_from_author": 6, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 3, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -30000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2024-09-22", "period_to": "2025-08-30", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.76", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, { "code_name": "cards_over_under", "in_words": "Cards over/under", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 15700, "return_percent": "78.5", "period_from": "2024-11-23", "period_to": "2025-02-01", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.89", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "correct_score_market", "in_words": "Correct score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-10-21", "period_to": "2025-10-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "10.75", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result", "in_words": "Result and both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-11-08", "period_to": "2025-11-09", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.60", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "result_and_total", "in_words": "Result and total goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 500, "return_percent": "2.5", "period_from": "2025-01-26", "period_to": "2025-01-29", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.30", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "win_to_nil", "in_words": "Win to nil", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-02-11", "period_to": "2026-02-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.25", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-10-23", "period_to": "2025-10-23", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.60", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "handicap_european", "in_words": "European handicap", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-02-26", "period_to": "2026-02-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.95", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Premier League", "in_words": "Premier League", "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/", "settled_picks": 29, "won": 10, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -78900, 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