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 "heading": "Jamie Griffith: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 12 settled picks by Jamie Griffith recorded before kick-off across 11 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 12 settled live picks by Jamie Griffith before kick-off across 11 matches between 10 October and 2 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +38.7% on the total staked. Of the 416 predictions we hold for Jamie Griffith, 306 are linked to matches: 48 were recorded by us before kick-off, 183 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 75 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "+38.7%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "live_count": 2,
  "restored_count": 126,
  "of_them_archived": 83
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks.csv",
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
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 "page_links": {
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  "public_name": "Jamie Griffith",
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  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
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   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "38.7083",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 12,
   "n_events": 11,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-45.2273",
   "ci_high": "115.6923",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_uid": null,
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 12 settled picks across 11 matches",
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 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
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  "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000,
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  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
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  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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 },
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 "completeness": {
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  "recognised": 416,
  "accepted": 191,
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  "predictions_restored": 258,
  "matches": 28,
  "admitted": 191,
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   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
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   "outcome_label": "Chelsea win, both teams to score: yes",
   "odds_set": {
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
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  {
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   "fragment_from": 2367,
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   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
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  {
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-df20923e8d618f6498d45408",
   "quote_text": "should have too much quality for Viktoria Plzen",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "quote_text": "Frankfurt fancied to ease to victory",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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  {
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   "quote_text": "Eintracht Frankfurt to win to nil\n1pt 13-10 BoyleSports, Hills",
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   "source_info": {
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   },
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    "closing": "2.3500",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "in_words": "To win to nil: Eintracht Frankfurt to win to nil at 2.3"
   },
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    "closing": "2.6500",
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   "quote_text": "Aaron Ramsey, Callum O’Dowda, Will Fish and Kion Etete are absentees while Jesper Daland and Ryotaro Tsunoda will need to be assessed.",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "author_claim": {
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
    "choice": "Casemiro over 0.5 shots on target",
    "author_odds": "2.75",
    "market_key": "player_shots",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "0.5",
    "subject": "shots",
    "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5: Casemiro over 0.5 shots on target at 2.75"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "unknown",
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
     "choice": "Casemiro over 0.5 shots on target",
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    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-shots-assist-cards-and-goalscorer-predictions-amGdZ2P47rHM/",
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   "observation_id": "n-fdd80e03fa2980a9a5e15203",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "observation_id": "n-48eb8efecc4806a55a571078",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/15/#pick-n-48eb8efecc4806a55a571078",
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   },
   "market_label": "Player to be carded",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "in_words": "Player to be carded: Leif Davis to be carded at 7"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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   "corrections": [],
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    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/weekend-premier-league-shots-assist-cards-and-goalscorer-predictions-amGdZ2P47rHM/",
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   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/15/#pick-n-067c3c8eb6624b3e0839407c",
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   "author_claim": {
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "observation_id": "n-54d75f1390559715697a481b",
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    "scoreline": "4-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Both teams to score",
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    "closing": "1.4300",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "market_key": "both_teams_score",
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    "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 Aston Villa."
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    {
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     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
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     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
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     "replaced": false
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   ],
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    "material_author": "Jamie Griffith",
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    "status": "not_named",
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   },
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    "in_words": "Draw no bet: Aston Villa at 2.7"
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "quote_text": "they will fancy their chances against a Sparta Prague side who have lost two of their last four home matches.",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-6284d7efea3a2cf404a960b7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6284d7efea3a2cf404a960b7",
   "quote_text": "suggesting they can take three points against Atleti, although they may not score too many while doing so.",
   "fragment_from": 4113,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "provenance": "restored_archive",
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
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    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-54f26f7d2d13fcdba807d748",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-54f26f7d2d13fcdba807d748",
   "quote_text": "they could be set for more trouble in the French capital.",
   "fragment_from": 3974,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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     "long_before_detection",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-394cd4b41292a11705e27ee4",
   "quote_text": "it could pay to back Feyenoord to dominate from start to finish against struggling Salzburg.",
   "fragment_from": 3741,
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     "long_before_detection",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "observation_id": "n-7afb1edc7397ddf8989767cc",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7afb1edc7397ddf8989767cc",
   "quote_text": "that is unlikely to change in Rotterdam.",
   "fragment_from": 3306,
   "fragment_to": 3346,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
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   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-17f2f9da88935c93c8840036",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-17f2f9da88935c93c8840036",
   "quote_text": "he could help himself to at least a couple more against Benfica",
   "fragment_from": 2995,
   "fragment_to": 3058,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241106185024id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/wednesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aDC5H3M8VRgv/",
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   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-564cc3df6150bd0a7c618c21",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-564cc3df6150bd0a7c618c21",
   "quote_text": "neither look set to make it out of the league phase.",
   "fragment_from": 2186,
   "fragment_to": 2238,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241106185024id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/wednesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aDC5H3M8VRgv/",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
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   "provenance": "restored_archive",
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4c44c74c68a124a6a501164c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4c44c74c68a124a6a501164c",
   "quote_text": "suggesting goals could be at a premium in Gelsenkirchen.",
   "fragment_from": 2018,
   "fragment_to": 2074,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241106185024id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/wednesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aDC5H3M8VRgv/",
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   },
   "published_at": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-62bcbec8387e7694a37b8218",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/14/#pick-n-62bcbec8387e7694a37b8218",
   "quote_text": "Atalanta draw no bet\n2pts Evs general",
   "fragment_from": 1821,
   "fragment_to": 1858,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241106185024id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/wednesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aDC5H3M8VRgv/",
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   },
   "published_at": "2024-11-05T16:43:07.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:29.524Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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    "display_name": "VfB Stuttgart v Atalanta",
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    "starts_at": "2024-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "0-2"
   },
   "market_label": "Draw no bet",
   "outcome_label": "Atalanta",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2",
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-11-06T18:50:24.000Z",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-11-05T16:43:07.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-05T16:43:07.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-11-06T18:50:24.000Z",
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Draw no bet",
    "choice": "Atalanta",
    "author_odds": "2",
    "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
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    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Draw no bet: Atalanta at 2"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
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    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Atalanta."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "39e87babfaf6829fae9c1fdaec4649c15536303cd3e5a79e4b697cbb09b7f242",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Draw no bet",
     "choice": "Atalanta",
     "decimal_odds": "2",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
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     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:29.524Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Jamie Griffith",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/wednesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aDC5H3M8VRgv/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ccee4f951ab876d7de3427f8",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/15/#pick-n-ccee4f951ab876d7de3427f8",
   "quote_text": "Paris St-Germain to win & under 3.5 goals vs Atletico Madrid\n1pt 6-4 BoyleSports",
   "fragment_from": 1739,
   "fragment_to": 1819,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241106185024id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/wednesdays-champions-league-predictions-and-free-football-tips-aDC5H3M8VRgv/",
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   },
   "published_at": "2024-11-05T16:43:07.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:59.944Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:29.506Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Paris Saint-Germain v Atlético Madrid",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
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    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-2"
   },
   "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "Paris Saint-Germain to win and under 3.5 goals",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.5",
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.5000",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
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    "code_name": "E-06",
    "body": "Non-favourite calls · 4/13",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Non-favourite calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/e-06-non-favourite-calls/"
   }
  ],
  "history": []
 },
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 97,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 70,
  "found_post_match": 27,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 2,
  "date_count": 53,
  "span_from": "2024-09-14",
  "span_to": "2026-05-04",
  "line_text": "restored history: 97, of which pre-match archive 70",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, Champions League and Europa League matches between 14 September 2024 and 4 May 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 97. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 70. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 27. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 94,
   "share": "0.4149"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 71,
    "roi": "-7.2394",
    "ci_low": "-39.8947",
    "ci_high": "28.3786",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 16,
    "roi": "34.3631",
    "ci_low": "-25.3013",
    "ci_high": "89.1871",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 65,
    "roi": "-11.2231",
    "ci_low": "-37.5870",
    "ci_high": "14.8308",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Championship",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 46 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 51 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 14,
    "above": 5,
    "above_share_percent": "35.7",
    "below": 3,
    "within": 6,
    "median_difference_percent": "2.7",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +2.7% over 14 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/3/#pick-n-8e4fa92553a44152d6ff5deb",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "2.25",
    "market": "2.00",
    "difference_percent": "12.2"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/3/#pick-n-8fda7bd947b8dab44e50095f",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "2.62",
    "market": "2.45",
    "difference_percent": "7.1"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "racingpost.com",
   "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/football-acca-tips/sundays-european-acca-tips-our-9-1-acca-from-across-the-continent-aJWvA8Z11zBn/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-28",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 12,
  "matches": 11,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 46450,
  "staked_hundredths": 120000,
  "return_percent": "38.71",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-10",
  "period_to": "2026-11-02",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 12 settled live picks by Jamie Griffith before kick-off across 11 matches between 10 October and 2 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +38.7% on the total staked. Of the 416 predictions we hold for Jamie Griffith, 306 are linked to matches: 48 were recorded by us before kick-off, 183 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 75 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "12",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "11",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+464.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+38.7%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −45.2% to +115.7%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "This page combines Jamie Griffith across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Jamie Griffith publishes”."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8750,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1250,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-12",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11250,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -250,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10250,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4750,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16750,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 46450,
    "n": 12
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 11,
    "match_dates": 8,
    "period_from": "2026-10-10",
    "period_to": "2026-11-02",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 46450,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11250,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 46450,
     "after_picks": 12
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8750,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1250,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-12",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11250,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -250,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10250,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4750,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16750,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 46450,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 56,
    "matches": 44,
    "match_dates": 39,
    "period_from": "2024-09-14",
    "period_to": "2026-05-04",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -3600,
    "low": {
     "date": "2024-09-14",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2025-12-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 46400,
     "after_picks": 51
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2024-09-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-09-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -250,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-09-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17050,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-10-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 33550,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-10-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23550,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18050,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12350,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2350,
      "n": 13,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17500,
      "n": 15,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-11-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7500,
      "n": 16,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-12-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3800,
      "n": 18,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-12-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7100,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-12-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2900,
      "n": 20,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-01-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2200,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-01-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3400,
      "n": 23,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-01-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6600,
      "n": 24,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-01-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12150,
      "n": 26,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-01-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2150,
      "n": 27,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-02-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15050,
      "n": 28,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-02-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5050,
      "n": 29,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-03-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14950,
      "n": 31,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-03-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13450,
      "n": 33,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-04-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 150,
      "n": 34,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-04-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9850,
      "n": 35,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-04-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10700,
      "n": 38,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-05-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4600,
      "n": 40,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-05-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 300,
      "n": 42,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-08-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7400,
      "n": 43,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-08-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2600,
      "n": 44,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12600,
      "n": 45,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5400,
      "n": 46,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-11-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12600,
      "n": 47,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-12-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 29800,
      "n": 49,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-12-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 46400,
      "n": 51,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 36400,
      "n": 52,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26400,
      "n": 53,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-03-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16400,
      "n": 54,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6400,
      "n": 55,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-05-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3600,
      "n": 56,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 12 settled live picks by Jamie Griffith before kick-off across 11 matches between 10 October and 2 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +38.7% on the total staked. Of the 416 predictions we hold for Jamie Griffith, 306 are linked to matches: 48 were recorded by us before kick-off, 183 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 75 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 416,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 110,
   "proven_predictions": 231,
   "proven_checked": 121,
   "proven_measured": 68,
   "proven_dates": 61,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 48,
     "checked": 38,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 12,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 11,
      "net_points_hundredths": 46450,
      "staked_hundredths": 120000,
      "return_percent": "38.71",
      "interval_low": "-45.23",
      "interval_high": "115.69",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.8",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 4
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 12,
       "return_main_percent": "38.71",
       "return_other_percent": "43.54",
       "settled_excluding_void": 12,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 46450,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 52250,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 10,
       "return_main_percent": "37.70",
       "return_other_percent": "38.70",
       "settled_excluding_void": 10,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 37700,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 38700,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 38,
      "priced": 12
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 12,
      "won": 6,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "41.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "43.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Draw no bet",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "41.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Player to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "34.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "34.8"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 16,
      "right": 9,
      "wrong": 7,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 183,
     "checked": 83,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 56,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 44,
      "net_points_hundredths": -3600,
      "staked_hundredths": 560000,
      "return_percent": "-0.64",
      "interval_low": "-30.21",
      "interval_high": "28.74",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2024-09-14",
      "period_to": "2026-05-04",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 36,
       "return_main_percent": "-0.49",
       "return_other_percent": "1.67",
       "settled_excluding_void": 36,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -1750,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 6000,
       "period_from": "2024-09-14",
       "period_to": "2026-05-04"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 11,
       "return_main_percent": "50.05",
       "return_other_percent": "49.85",
       "settled_excluding_void": 11,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 55050,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 54831,
       "period_from": "2025-02-26",
       "period_to": "2026-03-21"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 56,
      "won": 28,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "47.2",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
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        "picks": 16,
        "implied_percent": "37.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
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        "picks": 12,
        "implied_percent": "43.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
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        "picks": 9,
        "implied_percent": "63.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 9,
        "implied_percent": "62.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
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        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "38.1"
       },
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        "won": 3,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "41.1"
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      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
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     "checked": 41,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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      "staked_hundredths": 240000,
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      "interval_low": "-42.39",
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      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2024-08-17",
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      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 21,
       "return_main_percent": "7.45",
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       "settled_excluding_void": 21,
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       "net_other_points_hundredths": 22500,
       "period_from": "2024-08-17",
       "period_to": "2026-05-02"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 5,
       "return_main_percent": "-0.80",
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       "settled_excluding_void": 5,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -400,
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       "period_from": "2025-03-08",
       "period_to": "2026-05-02"
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     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 41,
      "priced": 24
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 24,
      "won": 11,
      "won_percent": "45.8",
      "implied_percent": "43.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
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        "picks": 9,
        "implied_percent": "34.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
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        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "39.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "50.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "64.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Win to nil",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "50.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "48.5"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
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  "headline_record_ids": [
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  "interval_low": "-45.23",
  "interval_high": "115.69",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 2 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2024-08-17",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
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   "author_said": "Player to score: Thierno Barry to score at 2.9",
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   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
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    },
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    },
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     "flags": [],
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    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "author_claim": {
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     "choice": "Thierno Barry to score",
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     "in_words": "Player to score: Thierno Barry to score at 2.9"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "in_words": "Won — Thierno Barry scored 1 goal; the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
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    "settlements": [
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      "choice": "Thierno Barry to score",
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    ],
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     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/newcastle-vs-everton-predictions-team-news-odds-betting-tips-bet-builder-auyhO3l5Vv5d/",
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   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 47.7,
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   "points_hundredths": 11000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T20:17:25.711Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
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   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Draw no bet",
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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     "flags": [],
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    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "author_claim": {
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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      "choice": "Everton",
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T16:25:02.107Z",
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     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
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    "authorship": {
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     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/newcastle-vs-everton-predictions-team-news-odds-betting-tips-bet-builder-auyhO3l5Vv5d/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Everton (Draw no bet)"
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2cfd700495e52259294e6617",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/21/#pick-n-2cfd700495e52259294e6617",
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   "lead_hours": 44.7,
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   "group": "settled",
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   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "favourite": {
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   },
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
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   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-469b1e91f67f5bfe96508698",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jhon Duran over 0.5 shots on target",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-20T14:12:13.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:48.198Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b41455ac7cab451b5304660c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Emmanuel Agbadou to be carded",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-19T14:40:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:01:15.035Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-85f060d0d3992878f9025a08",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Levi Colwill to be booked",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-13T14:47:10.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:17:17.961Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7df80417cac6db6f4b97a185",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Antoine Semenyo over 0.5 shots on target",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-01-13T14:47:10.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:17:17.961Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 200,
  "before_kickoff": 48,
  "after_kickoff": 152,
  "at_least_2h": 48,
  "share_2h_plus": 24.0,
  "median_hours": 24.2,
  "min_hours": 2.2,
  "max_hours": 146.9,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 6,
  "settled_picks_all": 10,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 4,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 60000,
  "author_net_hundredths": -28500,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": -60000,
  "difference_hundredths": 31500,
  "author_return_percent": -47.5,
  "favourite_return_percent": -100.0,
  "author_hit_rate": 16.7,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 0.0,
  "picked_favourite_share": 83.3,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 6,
    "staked_hundredths": 60000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -28500,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": -60000,
    "author_hits": 1,
    "favourite_hits": 0,
    "picked_favourite": 5,
    "author_return_percent": -47.5,
    "favourite_return_percent": -100.0
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -20000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -30000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -30000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -40000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -40000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -50000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -50000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -28500,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -60000
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 416,
  "pages": 22,
  "page_urls": [
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   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/2/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/3/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/4/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/5/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/6/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/7/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/8/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/9/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/10/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/11/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/12/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/13/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/14/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/15/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/16/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/17/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/18/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/19/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/20/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/21/",
   "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/22/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 140,
   "pending": 1,
   "excluded": 275
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
  "current": true
 },
 "title_tag": "Jamie Griffith Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-c697be96d57cf5a3ff88e57d",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Jamie Griffith",
  "main_entity": "e-c697be96d57cf5a3ff88e57d",
  "identity": {
   "status": "verified_identity",
   "is_verified": true,
   "when": "2026-10-11",
   "source_list": [
    {
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/authors/jamie-griffith/",
     "what": "«After two years working in the racing department, Jamie joined Sport in 2023 to write about his two biggest passions, football and basketball.»; рубрики: Bet of the Day, European acca, Expert Jury"
    }
   ]
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-c697be96d57cf5a3ff88e57d",
    "medium": "Racing Post",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "racingpost.com",
    "source_info": "racing-post",
    "byline": "Jamie Griffith",
    "url": "/sources/racing-post/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 848,
     "predictions": 253,
     "settled_picks": 56,
     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
     "return_percent": -0.64,
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-10-09"
    }
   },
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-349f0e605452fae05841947c",
    "medium": "Racing Post",
    "channel": "author pages",
    "domain": "racingpost.com",
    "source_info": "racing-post",
    "byline": "Jamie Griffith",
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    "summary": {
     "statements": 594,
     "predictions": 163,
     "settled_picks": 10,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 37.7,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "established"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
  "updated": "2026-11-03",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 12,
   "matches": 11,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-10",
   "period_to": "2026-11-02",
   "composition_hash": "56ec2ea05e02a1a97c0e3e60d319779db445c4a9471a146f73e8abd518e2a26c"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-69a235710c7bc20c1928",
   "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "16.75",
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "matches": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "4b134269438d9c23eaaa8ec992ac443aaefd428b7ac4f9cb1568491712834b9c",
    "text": "+16.75% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-03.1",
    "return_percent": "38.71",
    "settled_picks": 12,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "56ec2ea05e02a1a97c0e3e60d319779db445c4a9471a146f73e8abd518e2a26c",
    "text": "+38.71% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
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   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-0af8c692f7d5bfca83d1",
   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
    "return_percent": "-0.64",
    "settled_picks": 56,
    "matches": 44,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "b334e6c153ac519296400c7da55328f37e4603270567bf28efc7a7c65c5464d4",
    "text": "−0.64% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "16.75",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "4b134269438d9c23eaaa8ec992ac443aaefd428b7ac4f9cb1568491712834b9c",
    "text": "+16.75% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (56 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (10 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "changed": 0
   },
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  {
   "id": "zc-f18890f523fb9fb717c3",
   "at": "2026-10-22T09:54:30.278Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.2",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "13.96",
    "settled_picks": 62,
    "matches": 47,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "51437575d195603f9bde3ab6a14964aa9652b145750868fc89307bb5bf679336",
    "text": "+13.96% on 62 settled picks across 47 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "b334e6c153ac519296400c7da55328f37e4603270567bf28efc7a7c65c5464d4",
    "text": "−0.64% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 6 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "data_version": "2026-10-22.2",
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   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
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    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "b334e6c153ac519296400c7da55328f37e4603270567bf28efc7a7c65c5464d4",
    "text": "−0.64% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "13.96",
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    "matches": 47,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "51437575d195603f9bde3ab6a14964aa9652b145750868fc89307bb5bf679336",
    "text": "+13.96% on 62 settled picks across 47 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
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  },
  {
   "id": "zc-356413be0470df6149b0",
   "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
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   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "12.43",
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    "matches": 45,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "5ae45c3d94b331adbfceafe541bd0d7b95cc26c41b86abe1f3ed6a9c2ea4ac3c",
    "text": "+12.43% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-0.64",
    "settled_picks": 56,
    "matches": 44,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "b334e6c153ac519296400c7da55328f37e4603270567bf28efc7a7c65c5464d4",
    "text": "−0.64% on 56 settled picks across 44 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 3,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-fae15543daea3db7a382"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-c99edff658fde565722f",
   "at": "2026-10-18T04:18:28.335Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.2",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.2",
    "return_percent": "11.98",
    "settled_picks": 65,
    "matches": 49,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "08e60b393016da4ea708d05d80ab833423f81a0be86c81f76ae6c4e02f8b2993",
    "text": "+11.98% on 65 settled picks across 49 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.3",
    "return_percent": "12.43",
    "settled_picks": 59,
    "matches": 45,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "5ae45c3d94b331adbfceafe541bd0d7b95cc26c41b86abe1f3ed6a9c2ea4ac3c",
    "text": "+12.43% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 5 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 5,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-68e397d0e28c62a4e3e5"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-6ed9e67d9d886598385e",
   "at": "2026-10-18T03:29:01.089Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.1",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "12.43",
    "settled_picks": 59,
    "matches": 45,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "5ae45c3d94b331adbfceafe541bd0d7b95cc26c41b86abe1f3ed6a9c2ea4ac3c",
    "text": "+12.43% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.2",
    "return_percent": "11.98",
    "settled_picks": 65,
    "matches": 49,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "08e60b393016da4ea708d05d80ab833423f81a0be86c81f76ae6c4e02f8b2993",
    "text": "+11.98% on 65 settled picks across 49 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-a511006ebaae4974012e",
   "at": "2026-10-16T17:26:36.835Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-16.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.4",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "10.89",
    "settled_picks": 54,
    "matches": 39,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "766fc8b64700eb4f382d3e31ec8be71dd91c9822feb29b8d9921ee5c91454685",
    "text": "+10.89% on 54 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-16.5",
    "return_percent": "12.43",
    "settled_picks": 59,
    "matches": 45,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "5ae45c3d94b331adbfceafe541bd0d7b95cc26c41b86abe1f3ed6a9c2ea4ac3c",
    "text": "+12.43% on 59 settled picks across 45 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample; 7 picks added.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 2,
    "changed": 0
   },
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  },
  {
   "id": "zc-62041dd84493f02672b2",
   "at": "2026-10-16T12:26:54.015Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-16.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.2",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.5",
    "return_percent": "9.79",
    "settled_picks": 57,
    "matches": 42,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "4d4c4e05173ca4eba098ec891cf7655a3b36551a04eca04fdc5fb08c3f398e6b",
    "text": "+9.79% on 57 settled picks across 42 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-16.3",
    "return_percent": "10.89",
    "settled_picks": 54,
    "matches": 39,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "766fc8b64700eb4f382d3e31ec8be71dd91c9822feb29b8d9921ee5c91454685",
    "text": "+10.89% on 54 settled picks across 39 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 3,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-df8ef3b7b387e2cc6d52"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-e9fe25ab2a4ef60c15bc",
   "at": "2026-10-15T18:43:19.205Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.4",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "11.57",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "matches": 42,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "ed6013dc095b6cf3feba1cc6da9b04949d5dc466c3c7b42c44057f2bccc621d8",
    "text": "+11.57% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.5",
    "return_percent": "9.79",
    "settled_picks": 57,
    "matches": 42,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "4d4c4e05173ca4eba098ec891cf7655a3b36551a04eca04fdc5fb08c3f398e6b",
    "text": "+9.79% on 57 settled picks across 42 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 1,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-a4b62ddb4c11531fbfa1"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-95c5bd4870dbf21009f6",
   "at": "2026-10-14T22:11:18.139Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-14.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-14.2",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.3",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "3d185a29b7d58a48542d095462b1a8a1b0f77433138337ef45d80e91b2af3e8b",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-14.3",
    "return_percent": "11.57",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "matches": 42,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "ed6013dc095b6cf3feba1cc6da9b04949d5dc466c3c7b42c44057f2bccc621d8",
    "text": "+11.57% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (2 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (58 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 58,
    "removed": 2,
    "changed": 0
   },
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  {
   "id": "zc-21ce85008b2f8824b748",
   "at": "2026-10-13T14:04:45.283Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-13.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.2",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "11.57",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "matches": 42,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "ed6013dc095b6cf3feba1cc6da9b04949d5dc466c3c7b42c44057f2bccc621d8",
    "text": "+11.57% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.3",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "3d185a29b7d58a48542d095462b1a8a1b0f77433138337ef45d80e91b2af3e8b",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (2 settled picks) instead of “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only” (58 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 58,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-bc5c530627c3a58ba809"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-f0a5199557286585c9e9",
   "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "21.32",
    "settled_picks": 60,
    "matches": 45,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "737d3ace596af94f3997ff3ea089febcb7dd0df3371617ae38fff9b3aa0c1255",
    "text": "+21.32% on 60 settled picks across 45 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "11.57",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "matches": 42,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "ed6013dc095b6cf3feba1cc6da9b04949d5dc466c3c7b42c44057f2bccc621d8",
    "text": "+11.57% on 58 settled picks across 42 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (60 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (58 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 14,
    "removed": 16,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-41540674dbf885beb361"
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  {
   "id": "zc-91281bdb01d6a2449362",
   "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
   "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
    "return_percent": "-3.65",
    "settled_picks": 27,
    "matches": 25,
    "void": 3,
    "series_code": "retro_author_price",
    "price_rule": "author's stated odds, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.0",
    "composition_hash": "c2b220ca271f3710bb216d17334e38ee18ece89b81786b576a870ca13de15beb",
    "text": "−3.65% on 27 settled picks across 25 matches · author's stated odds, restored · method retro-1.0"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "21.32",
    "settled_picks": 60,
    "matches": 45,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "737d3ace596af94f3997ff3ea089febcb7dd0df3371617ae38fff9b3aa0c1255",
    "text": "+21.32% on 60 settled picks across 45 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “second data provider's closing price, restored” (60 settled picks) instead of “author's stated odds, restored” (27 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 44,
    "removed": 11,
    "changed": 7
   },
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 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 1,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-48d6db596c10c9b435ef533d",
    "url": "/authors/jamie-griffith/picks/22/#pick-n-48d6db596c10c9b435ef533d",
    "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 1.5 goals at 2.2",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T15:23:55.240Z",
    "platform": "Racing Post, author pages"
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "archived",
    "title": "Archived before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "settled_picks": 56,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 16,
      "won": 5,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -52250,
      "return_percent": "-32.7",
      "period_from": "2024-09-14",
      "period_to": "2026-03-21",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "2.96",
      "odds_from_author": 13,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 3
     },
     {
      "code_name": "result_and_total",
      "in_words": "Result and total goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 12,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -30800,
      "return_percent": "-25.7",
      "period_from": "2024-10-06",
      "period_to": "2026-05-04",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "2.39",
      "odds_from_author": 11,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 9,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 1450,
      "return_percent": "1.6",
      "period_from": "2024-09-14",
      "period_to": "2025-05-19",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.61",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 9
     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 9,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7600,
      "return_percent": "8.4",
      "period_from": "2024-12-09",
      "period_to": "2026-04-22",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 7
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 65500,
      "return_percent": "163.8",
      "period_from": "2024-09-21",
      "period_to": "2025-01-20",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.69",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 10700,
      "return_percent": "35.7",
      "period_from": "2024-09-22",
      "period_to": "2026-02-22",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.17",
      "odds_from_author": 3,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "win_to_nil",
      "in_words": "Win to nil",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4200,
      "return_percent": "21.0",
      "period_from": "2025-01-19",
      "period_to": "2025-12-20",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.48",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "correct_score_market",
      "in_words": "Correct score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
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