Ewan Ross-Murray: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Ewan Ross-Murray publishes

Identity checked on 12 October 2026 against public sources: si.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ewan-ross-murray/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 512 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

8 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 3 of 8.

Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

5 of 47 score forecasts named the exact score (10.6%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 18 of 35 matches; the market favourite was right in 16 of the same 35 matches.

A pre-match market favourite is known for 35 of 47 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Archived before kick-off · 6 settled archived picks · won 1 of 6

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

350 predictions; 347 checked against the final score.

6 settled selections across 6 matches, 25 October 2025 – 8 January 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −65 points.

Eligible prices were available for 6 of the 347 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 1 of 6 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 47.8%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

37 of 341 score forecasts named the exact score (10.9%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 168 of 341 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 188 of the same 341 forecasts.

Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 341 forecasts on 298 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

89 predictions; 81 checked against the final score.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

6 of 81 score forecasts named the exact score (7.4%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 32 of 81 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 44 of the same 81 forecasts.

Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 81 forecasts on 80 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

Record details and history

More dated records

• Exact score 1–1 · Ipswich Town v Nottingham Forest · 23 Oct 2026

  On show until 21 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 23 October 2026 · Ipswich Town v Nottingham Forest · Correct score: Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest · score right · result right · 7 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 3 right
• Exact score 0–3 · Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart · 14 Oct 2026

  On show until 12 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 14 October 2026 · Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart · Correct score: Slovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart · score right · result right · 5 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 0 right
• Exact score 3–0 · FC Barcelona v Getafe · 10 Oct 2026

  On show until 8 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 10 October 2026 · FC Barcelona v Getafe · Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-0 Getafe · score right · result right · 2 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 1 right
• Exact score 3–0 · England v Czechia · 6 Oct 2026

  On show until 4 Jan 2027 · The picks behind it

  • 6 October 2026 · England v Czechia · Correct score: England 3-0 Czechia · score right · result right · 2 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 1 right
• Correct at 3.62 · 12 Sep archive Draw at 3.62 · AFC Bournemouth v Brentford · 12 Sep 2026 · archive record

  On show until 11 Dec 2026 · The picks behind it

  • 12 September 2026 · AFC Bournemouth v Brentford · Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Brentford · score wrong · result right · price 3.62
• Exact score 1–1 · 30 Aug archive Exact score 1–1 · Leeds United v Brentford · 30 Aug 2026 · archive record

  On show until 28 Nov 2026 · The picks behind it

  • 30 August 2026 · Leeds United v Brentford · Correct score: Leeds United 1-1 Brentford · score right · result right
• Exact score 1–1 · 29 Aug archive Exact score 1–1 · AFC Bournemouth v Everton · 29 Aug 2026 · archive record

  On show until 27 Nov 2026 · The picks behind it

  • 29 August 2026 · AFC Bournemouth v Everton · Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton · score right · result right
• Exact score 2–1 · 23 Aug archive Exact score 2–1 · Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth · archive record

  On show until 21 Nov 2026 · The picks behind it

  • 23 August 2026 · Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth · Correct score: Manchester City 2-1 AFC Bournemouth · score right · result right
• Exact score 2–2 · 23 Aug archive Exact score 2–2 · Newcastle United v Liverpool · 23 Aug 2026 · archive record

  On show until 21 Nov 2026 · The picks behind it

  • 23 August 2026 · Newcastle United v Liverpool · Correct score: Newcastle United 2-2 Liverpool · score right · result right

Record details

• Most recorded: Correct score · 341 matches

  Correct score 43/384 (341 matches); Match result (1X2) 3/8 (8 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 43/384

  before kick-off 6/43 · archive 37/341

  Exact scores: the rule

• Minority calls · 1/5

  Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.

  Minority calls: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 5.35 · 3 Dec 2025

  Liverpool v Sunderland · Draw at 5.35 (archive closing price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Liverpool 2-2 Sunderland

  Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Draw calls · 31/95

  Draw calls: the rule

• Away calls · 51/96

  Away calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 35/114

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

• Most picked team: Liverpool · 15/43

  Most picked team: the rule

• Result calls: 158 correct · 163.0 implied by prices

  330 result calls with a pre-match price for the named outcome (margin included).

  Correct against prices implied: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Ewan Ross-Murray? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Ewan Ross-Murray has published.

Source we monitor

si.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 7 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 25 October 2025

Without a match page

23 predictions

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

3,296

Predictions

512

Qualifying picks

10

Settled picks

6

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 475 opinions and 2,296 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−65 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 6 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (600 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 22 October 2026

Before

−218.00 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−65.00 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−65.00 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−218.00 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−218.00 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−65.00 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−89.95 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · closing market price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

−218.00 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: closing market price, restored (9 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (9 settled picks).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

28 September 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (76 shown)

• “his presence alone makes City undeniable favourites this weekend.” — 26 October 2025, 00:00 BST · source
• “Garnacho spared Chelsea’s blushes against Arsenal with his second-half brace and that should earn the Argentine a route back” — 16 January 2026, 16:00 GMT · source
• “Neto always provides an explosive edge down the flanks and could line up on the right-hand side.” — 16 January 2026, 16:00 GMT · source
• “could prove the difference-maker against Brentford. He’s managed three goals in his last five outings.” — 16 January 2026, 16:00 GMT · source
• “Caicedo will be instrumental to Chelsea securing a first home win under Rosenior” — 16 January 2026, 16:00 GMT · source
• “will have his hands full with Igor Thiago this weekend—the Brazilian has scored an incredible 16 Premier League goals” — 16 January 2026, 16:00 GMT · source
• “Another wobbly showing could open the door for deputy Filip Jörgensen.” — 16 January 2026, 16:00 GMT · source
• “Barcelona will be strong favorites to reach the final but they can ill-afford complacency against the Nerazzurri” — 29 April 2025, 15:30 BST · source
• “should have the offensive muscle to secure a commanding aggregate lead and put one foot in the final.” — 30 April 2025, 00:00 BST · source
• “No team has beaten Arsenal at the Emirates this term and Liverpool will be hard-pushed to become the first” — 7 January 2026, 17:10 GMT · source
• “it would be no surprise to see him influence Thursday’s game.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “The Norwegian’s distribution could make the difference in north London.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “He will be relieved to avoid a battle with Mohamed Salah, who is still at the Africa Cup of Nations.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “Gabriel will be licking his lips ahead of Thursday’s duel.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “his night could be made easier by Hugo Ekitiké’s potential absence.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “Timber will remain wary of the threats posed by fellow countryman Cody Gakpo or Florian Wirtz.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “Raya will be fearing a busy evening against Liverpool but might enjoy a quieter night than expected.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source
• “they head into the midweek battle with Liverpool as significant favourites.” — 7 January 2026, 16:30 GMT · source

• Rodri is still absent for City.

  26 Oct 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• Youri Tielemans will sit out the weekend’s clash.

  26 Oct 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• Aston Villa predicted lineup vs. Man City (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen;

  26 Oct 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• Liam Delap is battling illness and his absence will result in a return to the central striker role for Pedro

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Palmer has been absent with a minor injury in recent matches, but should make his comeback on Saturday.

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Cucurella was suspended for the Charlton win and then struggled against Bukayo Saka midweek.

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• The potential new signing of a centre back, however, does cast longer-term doubt over his place

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• James has missed Rosenior’s opening matches through injury but the Chelsea boss has confirmed that the Englishman could return

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• subsequent 3–2 defeat to Arsenal in the Carabao Cup semifinal first leg underscores the improvements required

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Rosenior’s debut ended with an emphatic 5–1 victory over Charlton Athletic in the FA Cup third round

  16 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Robert Lewandowski's hamstring injury has come at the worst time for Barcelona but the encouraging form of Torres alleviates some pressure.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Alejandro Balde is closing in on a return from injury but Barcelona are expected to be cautious with the Spaniard.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Should injury doubt Marcus Thuram feature alongside the Argentine, then Cubarsi will need to be even more alert.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Kounde was the hero in extra-time during the Copa del Rey final, scoring from range to secure the trophy for Barcelona.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Marc-Andre ter Stegen returned to the bench at the weekend having been sidelined since September.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Barcelona Predicted Lineup vs. Inter: Champions League Semifinals

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Inter predicted lineup vs Barcelona (3-5-2): Sommer; Bisseck, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries,

  30 Apr 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• Barcelona predicted lineup vs Inter (4-2-3-1): Szczesny; Kounde, Cubarsi, Martinez, Martin;

  30 Apr 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• Marcus Thuram is an injury concern / IMAGO | Marco Canoniero

  30 Apr 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• Robert Lewandowski will be missing for Barcelona / IMAGO | Joaquin Corchero

  30 Apr 2025, 00:00 BST · Source

• LW: Florian Wirtz—Wirtz has been Liverpool’s chief creative force in recent games

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• ST: Cody Gakpo—Hugo Ekitiké is a major doubt and appears increasingly unlikely to start

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• AM: Alexis Mac Allister—Mac Allister’s decline has been one of many reasons behind Liverpool’s slump

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• DM: Curtis Jones—Slot has opted to flood his side with central midfielders

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• DM: Ryan Gravenberch—Against an all-star midfield trio of Martin Ødegaard, Declan Rice and Martín Zubimendi

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• LB: Milos Kerkez—Few would bet on Kerkez winning the battle with Bukayo Saka

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• CB: Virgil van Dijk—Liverpool need their captain to guide them in a hostile atmosphere

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• CB: Ibrahima Konaté—The No.9 position is arguably Arsenal’s weak spot

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• RB: Conor Bradley—While Bradley should have the athleticism to thwart Leandro Trossard

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• GK: Alisson—Alisson will expect to be worked relentlessly at the Emirates

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• Liverpool Predicted Lineup vs. Arsenal (4-2-3-1)

  7 Jan 2026, 17:10 GMT · Source

• Arsenal Predicted Lineup vs. Liverpool (4-3-3)

  7 Jan 2026, 16:30 GMT · Source

• Marcus Thuram— Thuram is a fitness doubt for Wednesday's clash but Inter will be desperate to deploy him up top if remotely fit.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Benjamin Pavard also proved crucial against his old side in the previous round but will miss Wednesday through injury.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Here is how Inter could line up for their crucial semifinal first leg with Barcelona.

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• Inter Predicted Lineup vs. Barcelona: Champions League Semifinals

  29 Apr 2025, 15:30 BST · Source

• LW: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia—The nimble Georgian terrorised the Gunners for much of the first leg, as he'd done to Liverpool in the last 16.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• ST: Ousmane Dembélé—There were fitness concerns over Dembélé, who injured his hamstring during the first leg. However, he has been passed fit for Wednesday's affair and will be aiming to add to his eight Champions League goals.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• RW: Désiré Doué—The 19-year-old's form has been so impressive that he's kept fellow starlet Bradley Barcola out of the starting lineup since the turn of the year.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CM: Fabían Ruiz—PSG's passing game is facilitated by three supreme technicians in the engine room, with Ruiz also expected to supply some attacking threat in and around the penalty area.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CM: Vitinha—PSG's tempo-setter in central midfield will be busy dictating things.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CM: Joao Neves—Neves spurned a promising opportunity to double PSG's cushion last week and the diminutive midfielder will be hoping that miss proves immaterial come the end of Wednesday's affair.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• LB: Nuno Mendes—Mendes scored some crucial goals in the quarterfinal victory over Aston Villa but will be more focussed on defensive responsibilities against the dazzling Bukayo Saka.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CB: Willian Pacho—The summer recruit has enjoyed an excellent debut season in France and was rarely troubled during the first leg.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CB: Marquinhos—PSG's attacking dynamos have stolen the limelight this season but the experienced head of Marquinhos has helped keep things in motion.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• RB: Achraf Hakimi—Hakimi's battle with Martinelli last week was intriguing but the Moroccan should have greater license to bomb up the right flank in Paris.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• GK: Gianluigi Donnarumma––Donnarumma wasn't overly worked during the first leg but still produced two mammoth stops to deny Gabriel Martinelli and, in particular, Leandro Trossard.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• Ousmane Dembélé has shrugged off a hamstring injury

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• Here is how Les Parisiens could line up. PSG Predicted Lineup vs. Arsenal (4-3-3)

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• LW: Gabriel Martinelli––Martinelli spurned an excellent opportunity to level proceedings at the Emirates Stadium last week

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• ST: Mikel Merino––Merino was moved back into midfield during the first leg given the absence of Partey and the injured Jorginho

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• RW: Bukayo Saka––Arsenal need some trademark Saka magic to turn the tie around

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CM: Declan Rice––Partey's presence will allow Rice more creative freedom in Paris

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CM: Thomas Partey––The suspended Partey was an enormous miss during the first leg

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CM: Martin Odegaard––Odegaard took a slight knock at the weekend but is expected to start in France.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• LB: Myles Lewis-Skelly––Lewis-Skelly's confidence and technical ability are astounding for a player so young

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CB: Jakub Kiwior—The Poland international is a downgrade on Gabriel but has been generally solid since replacing the injured Brazilian.

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• CB: William Saliba—Saliba returns to Paris – the city in which he was born – for the second leg

  6 May 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

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