Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions: football prediction source record — archive reconstruction

About this publishing channel

Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Named authors at Sports Illustrated

• Ewan Ross-Murray 6 settled archived picks here · 433 predictions
• James Cormack 3 settled archived picks here · 396 predictions
• Amanda Langell 1 settled archived pick here · 15 predictions
• Roberto Casillas 1 settled archived pick here · 9 predictions
• Andrew Headspeath no settled pick here · 2 predictions
• Barnaby Lane no settled pick here · 4 predictions
• Ben Steiner no settled pick here · 81 predictions
• Braden Chalker no settled pick here · 3 predictions
• Grey Whitebloom no settled pick here · 11 predictions
• Max Mallow no settled pick here · 100 predictions
• Quentin Gesp no settled pick here · 2 predictions
• Rich Fay no settled pick here · 12 predictions
• Toby Cudworth no settled pick here · 10 predictions
• Tom Gott no settled pick here · 15 predictions

Each author's record is on their own page and is not part of the product totals above.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sports-illustrated/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 77 predictions · last change 1 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 1 settled archived pick · won 0 of 1

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

20 predictions; 19 checked against the final score.

1 settled selection across 1 match, 20 September 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −100 points.

Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 19 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 0 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 22.7%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

2 of 18 score forecasts named the exact score (11.1%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 9 of 18 matches; the market favourite was right in 14 of the same 18 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off · 3 settled after-match picks · won 2 of 3

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

57 predictions; 52 checked against the final score.

3 settled selections across 3 matches, 12 February 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +113 points.

Eligible prices were available for 3 of the 52 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 2 of 3 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 54.6%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

4 of 49 score forecasts named the exact score (8.2%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 24 of 48 matches; the market favourite was right in 30 of the same 48 matches.

A pre-match market favourite is known for 48 of 49 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions has published.

Source we monitor

si.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 1 October 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 12 February 2025

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

151

Predictions

77

Qualifying picks

6

Settled picks

4

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 27 opinions and 47 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−100 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled archived pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−400.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (4 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−400.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

1 October 2026, 37 days before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 1 October 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (14 shown)

• “"I do think this is the year." 👀” — 1 October 2026, 01:37 BST · source

• Injuries to Rodri and Kevin De Bruyne are derailments to Pep Guardiola's campaign, but until someone dethrones City it'll be its to win.

  · Source

• The Gunners are just one point off Liverpool for the top spot in the Premier League through six games.

  · Source

• Arsenal picked up its first win of the Champions League league phase with a 2–0 home victory over PSG.

  · Source

• there's more than enough star power on both sides for both teams to get on the scoresheet.

  · Source

• Sporting and Lille's fixture will end with points shared to open their Champions League campaigns.

  · Source

• The Bundesliga side picks up a big win to kick off its UCL campaign.

  · Source

• Harry Kane will do what Harry Kane does best: score goals.

  · Source

• Real Madrid should comfortably defeat Stuttgart

  · Source

• Ollie Watkins will be the difference maker at the Wankdorf Stadium.

  · Source

• Motta's side gets the job done at home.

  · Source

• SI Soccer's editorial team gives our predictions across every fixture.

  · Source

• Santiago Gimenez became the fourth non-European player in history to score a first half brace

  11 Feb 2025, 23:31 GMT · Source

• Christian Pulisic's AC Milan and Harry Kane's Bayern Munich headline the next day of action.

  11 Feb 2025, 23:31 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions
• Said → happened — Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition