Individual tipster · racingpost.com

Dan Childs: football tipster record

Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Dan Childs before kick-off across 21 matches between 10 October and . At our recorded market prices these picks returned −49.0% on the total staked.

Tracking level: Established · 184 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work

Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules

Record summary

Return at our recorded market prices

−49.0%Measured Small sample (24)

24 settled picks with an eligible price · 21 matches · picks settled under method v2.2

95% interval −81.7% to −13.6% Small sample (24)

Won 6 of 23 (26.1% Small sample (23)) at average odds 2.39; those prices implied 44.7% Small sample (23) (including bookmaker margin).

Eligible prices were available for 24 of the 61 selections checked against the result.

Copy citation

Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Dan Childs before kick-off across 21 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −49.0% on the total staked. Of the 615 predictions we hold for Dan Childs, 492 are linked to matches: 88 were recorded by us before kick-off, 227 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 177 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.

Previously published citation

Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Dan Childs before kick-off across 21 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −49.0% on the total staked. Of the 615 predictions we hold for Dan Childs, 492 are linked to matches: 88 were recorded by us before kick-off, 227 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 177 first found after the match. Figures as of .

https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dan-childs/

1,832 statements read → 615 predictions → 492 linked to matches → 88 recorded before kick-off → 61 outcome-checked → 24 at our recorded market price (+106 at other prices) · 177 found after kick-off (not in the return)

227 archived before kick-off → 123 outcome-checked → 93 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.

Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.

Tipster, source and record definitions

Compare football tipsters and sources

Dan Childs football prediction record: 24 settled live picks on 21 matches, 10 October 2026 – 7 November 2026; return at our recorded market price −49.0%.
Dan Childs: 24 settled live picks on 21 matches, – . Figures as of .

Latest outcomes

From the headline series: 24 settled picks at our recorded market prices

Newest first · each result opens its evidence on this page

Return over time

100 points per pick
Cumulative points at our recorded market prices24 settled picks, final result -1,128.00 points.0-1,128.00 points10 Oct7 Nov

Recorded by us before kick-off: Net result −1,128 points on 24 settled live picks · Lowest point −1,128 points.

Recorded before kick-off · dated by match day

Show chart as a table
Return over time
DateSettled picksCumulative points
10.00
2-100.00
3-200.00
4-300.00
5-226.00
6-326.00
7-426.00
8-318.00
9-418.00
10-518.00
11-618.00
17-828.00
19-823.00
22-928.00
23-1,028.00
24-1,128.00

Return over time at archived prices

100 points per pick
Cumulative points at archived prices93 settled picks, final result 254.50 points.0254.50 points17 Aug 202412 Sep 2026

Reconstructed at archived prices: Net result +254.50 points on 93 settled archived picks · Lowest point −1,190.50 points.

Archived before kick-off · dated by match day

Show chart as a table
Return over time at archived prices
DateSettled picksCumulative points
1-100.00
2-200.00
3-300.00
4-185.00
5-105.00
7-70.00
8-170.00
9-270.00
10-370.00
12-388.00
13-488.00
16-788.00
17-715.00
19-765.00
20-865.00
21-965.00
24-896.00
25-996.00
26-1,096.00
28-803.00
29-697.00
30-797.00
31-732.00
32-617.00
34-447.00
35-547.00
36-647.00
38-847.00
39-790.50
40-890.50
42-670.50
43-770.50
45-750.50
47-484.00
49-319.00
50-419.00
52-619.00
54-596.00
55-552.50
56-652.50
58-852.50
59-952.50
60-865.50
62-1,065.50
65-1,190.50
67-1,165.50
69-387.50
72-323.50
73-423.50
76-566.50
78-605.50
81-770.00
84-51.50
85-151.50
87554.50
89354.50
91310.50
92354.50
93254.50

By market

Recorded before kick-off · at our recorded market prices

Markets

Markets
MarketWon
1X2, match result5/13
Draw no bet0 W / 4 L
Asian handicap0 W / 2 L
Double chance0 W / 2 L
Player to score1 W / 1 L

Both tables count the same 24 settled live picks as the headline number.

Recorded picks and results

1–20 of 615

On this page: 20 settled · 0 pending · 0 excluded from the return

Current predictions

2 predictions for upcoming matches · they count once the result is checked

Crystal Palace v Liverpool ·

Both teams to score: yes · Pending · evidence

Crystal Palace v Liverpool ·

Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.2 · Pending · evidence

Wrexham 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers ·

1X2: Wolverhampton Wanderers2.19 market priceRecorded 20.3 h before kick-offLost
Best bet Wolves 1pt 6-5 general
racingpost.com
Tipster / Source
Dan Childs
Prices
Stated 2.20, market 2.19, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers ·

Draw no bet: Bolton Wanderers1.90 market priceRecorded 23.8 h before kick-offLost
Bolton draw no bet 1pt 11-10 Paddy Power
racingpost.com
Tipster / Source
Dan Childs
Prices
Stated 2.10, market 1.90, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool ·

Asian handicap -1: Liverpool -11.78 market priceRecorded 23.5 h before kick-offLost
Best bet Liverpool -1 on Asian handicap 1pt 17-20 bet365
racingpost.com
Tipster / Source
Dan Childs
Prices
Stated 1.85, market 1.78, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool ·

Player to score: Alexander Isak to score1.95 market priceRecorded 45.5 h before kick-offWon
Alexander Isak to score at any time 23-20 Coral, Ladbrokes
racingpost.com
Tipster / Source
Dan Childs
Prices
Stated 2.15, market 1.95, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool ·

Asian handicap -1: Liverpool -1.01.87 market priceRecorded 45.5 h before kick-offLost
Liverpool -1 on Asian handicap 1pt 17-20 bet365
racingpost.com
Tipster / Source
Dan Childs
Prices
Stated 1.85, market 1.87, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Huddersfield Town 1-1 Luton Town ·

1X2: Huddersfield Town2.00 market priceRecorded 28.3 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Derby County 0-4 Norwich City ·

1X2: Norwich City2.05 market priceRecorded 28.3 h before kick-offWon

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Swindon 2-1 Rotherham United ·

1X2: Swindon2.28 market priceRecorded 25.8 h before kick-offWon

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Swansea City 4-0 Blackburn Rovers ·

Double chance: draw or Blackburn Rovers1.99 market priceRecorded 25.8 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Leicester City 2-2 Stevenage ·

1X2: Leicester City1.68 market priceRecorded 25.8 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Port Vale 4-2 Rochdale ·

1X2: Port Vale1.62 market priceRecorded 23.3 h before kick-offWon

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United ·

Player to score: Bryan Mbeumo to score3.40 market priceRecorded 42.9 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United ·

1X2: draw3.90 market priceRecorded 42.9 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 30

Sheffield United 1-0 Wrexham ·

1X2: draw3.38 market priceRecorded 26.8 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 29

Sunderland 3-2 Brentford ·

1X2: Brentford2.02 market priceRecorded 14.5 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 29

Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United ·

Draw no bet: Peterborough United3.50 market priceRecorded 26.5 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 29

Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion ·

1X2: Liverpool2.08 market priceRecorded 22.8 h before kick-offWon

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 29

AFC Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan ·

1X2: draw3.63 market priceRecorded 50.8 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 28

Reading 1-0 Leyton Orient ·

Double chance: draw or Leyton Orient2.40 market priceRecorded 14.8 h before kick-offLost

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 28

Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens ·

Player to score: Phil Foden to score2.70Recorded 26.8 h before kick-offWonno market price · not in the headline series

Quote, prices and times: recorded picks, page 27

Statements without a match (123)

They name no match, so the feed lists them by date among pages 2–32.

About this record

Source tracked for Dan Childs: racingpost.com, observed since .

Share this record

Dan Childs on Forecast Record: 6 won of 24 settled pre-match picks (avg odds 2.39, small sample, 10 October–7 November 2026). Every pick recorded before kick-off: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dan-childs/

Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)

Record overview

  • 51 recorded before kick-off · since
  • 112 from the pre-match archive · 2024–2026
  • 75 Found after kick-off

Record details and history below

Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 24 settled live picks, 21 matches · View changes to this record

Data changes. 10 records shown here have been corrected; the last correction was on , with its reason in the corrections log. Corrections log. Added later: 72 records added on Found after kick-off; 65 records added on from archived copies; 53 records added on Found after kick-off; 138 more records added on other dates. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.

This page combines Dan Childs across 3 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Dan Childs publishes”.

Where Dan Childs publishes

Identity checked on against public sources: racingpost.com, livescore.com.

Publishing platforms
PlatformBylinePredictionsSettled picksResult
Racing Post, section pagesDan Childs37589+5.3% reconstructed at archived prices
LiveScoreDaniel Childs114—
Racing Post, author pages · record used for this returnDan Childs22924−49.0% at our recorded market prices

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/dan-childs/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 615 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

25 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 15 of 23.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 5 of 13 (prices implied 44.2% Small sample (13)); Draw no bet 0 of 4 (0 W / 4 L) Small sample (4); Asian handicap 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2); Double chance 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2); Player to score 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own. 1 pick left out: void, or half won or half lost on a quarter-goal line.

Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
PriceSame picksPeriodAt that priceReturn at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price2310 October – −44.4%−46.7%
Closing price911 October – −517.80 points−497 points

Archived before kick-off · 93 settled archived picks · +2.7%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

227 predictions; 123 checked against the final score.

93 settled selections across 66 matches, – .

Reconstructed at archived prices: +2.7% (95.0% interval −29.7% to +38.9%).

Eligible prices were available for 93 of the 123 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 42 of 93 decided picks (45.2%); the prices of the same picks implied 44.1%.

By market: Match result 5 of 13 (prices implied 44.2% Small sample (13)); Draw no bet 0 of 4 (0 W / 4 L) Small sample (4); Asian handicap 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2); Double chance 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2); Player to score 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
PriceSame picksPeriodAt that priceReconstructed at archived prices
Author-quoted price59 – +9.7%+3.0%
Closing price, aggregator15 – −8.4%−8.3%

Found after kick-off · 58 settled after-match picks · +16.3%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

177 predictions; 76 checked against the final score.

58 settled selections across 44 matches, – .

Reconstructed at archived prices: +16.3% (95.0% interval −28.9% to +71.5%).

Eligible prices were available for 58 of the 76 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 26 of 57 decided picks (45.6%); the prices of the same picks implied 43.5%.

By market: Match result 5 of 13 (prices implied 44.2% Small sample (13)); Draw no bet 0 of 4 (0 W / 4 L) Small sample (4); Asian handicap 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2); Double chance 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L) Small sample (2); Player to score 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own. 1 pick left out: void, or half won or half lost on a quarter-goal line.

Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
PriceSame picksPeriodAt that priceReconstructed at archived prices
Author-quoted price43 – +15.7%+14.0%
Closing price, aggregator8 – −40 points−52.50 points

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Record details

Record history · 4

  • Away win at 3.17 · Arsenal v Manchester City · · archive record · removed · corrected · recomputed after a correction to the record
  • Exact score 1–1 · Brighton & Hove Albion v West Ham United · · archive record
  • Exact score 0–2 · Rangers v AS Roma · · archive record
  • Exact score 1–1 · Fulham v Manchester United · · archive record

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

What kind of number is this?

Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Dan Childs has published.

Source we monitor
racingpost.com
Channels
website
Watched by us
28 September –
Earlier entries
restored from archives, back to
Without a match page
123 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared withPicks>5.0% above>5.0% belowWithinMedian
Closing market price (restored)165 (31.2%)110+2.9%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Closing market price (restored) · 1 of 16 more than 5.0% below · 10 of 16 within 5.0% · 5 of 16 more than 5.0% above
Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Largest gaps: 2.88 against 3.75 (−23.3%) · 2.15 against 1.95 (+10.1%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements
1,832
Predictions
615
Qualifying picks
279
Settled picks
223

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 260 opinions and 950 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−1,128 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 24 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (2,300 points), void picks excluded (1 void). Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −49.0% on 24 live picks settled in this window · 21 matches · 10 October – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended ·

Before
−42.5% on 18 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)
After
−49.0% on 24 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results ·

Before
−38.9% on 17 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)
After
−42.5% on 18 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended ·

Before
−30.2% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)
After
−38.9% on 17 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended ·

Before
−35.7% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)
After
−30.2% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed ·

Before
+2.6% on 96 settled picks across 67 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−35.7% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

The headline rule changed on : the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (96 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (13 settled picks).

Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

Data corrected ·

Before
+4.0% on 113 settled picks across 74 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
+2.6% on 96 settled picks across 67 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 17 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended ·

Before
+2.6% on 96 settled picks across 67 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
+4.0% on 113 settled picks across 74 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 17 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected ·

Before
+1.2% on 114 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
+2.6% on 96 settled picks across 67 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 19 picks left the headline sample; 1 pick added.

Data corrected ·

Before
+3.0% on 120 settled picks across 80 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
+1.2% on 114 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended ·

Before
+1.2% on 114 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
+3.0% on 120 settled picks across 80 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended ·

Before
−1.7% on 110 settled picks across 75 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
+1.2% on 114 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected ·

Before
−1.4% on 114 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−1.7% on 110 settled picks across 75 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.

Data corrected ·

Before
−2.9% on 117 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−1.4% on 114 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.

Method changed ·

Before
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−2.9% on 117 settled picks across 77 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on : the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (1 settled pick). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (117 settled picks).

Method changed ·

Before
−0.2% on 112 settled picks across 73 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (1 settled pick) instead of “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only” (112 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.

Method changed ·

Before
−0.8% on 148 settled picks across 98 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−0.2% on 112 settled picks across 73 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on : the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (148 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (112 settled picks).

Coverage extended ·

Before
−4.9% on 62 settled picks across 36 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−0.8% on 148 settled picks across 98 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 86 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

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Statements other than predictions (72 shown)

  • “they can lay down a marker this weekend by beating title favourites Leeds at the Hawthorns.” — · source
  • “Rob Edwards' side will improve at some point but they are going through a tough period and they may have” — · source
  • “Confidence is rising in the Millwall ranks but a lack of belief could be an issue for Luton, who are struggling” — · source
  • “This time there may be a dose of caution added to proceedings, however, and that increases the chances of a stalemate.” — · source
  • “there is obvious potential for Boro to get more consistent results.” — · source
  • “Canaries can complete a successful Rams raid” — · source
  • “his players have delivered for him on some big occasions and they can find a way of beating Porto” — · source
  • Probable teams Coventry (4-3-3): Dovin; Van Ewijk, Thomas, Binks, Bidwell; Rudoni, Allen, Torp; Sakamoto, Simms, Wright. Subs: Mason-Clark, Eccles, Thomas-Asante, Palmer, Latibeaudiere, Tavares, Dasilva, Andrews, Kitching. Oxford (4-1-4-1): Cumming; Long, Moore, Brown, Bennett; Vaulks; Goodrham, Rodrigues, Brannagan, Placheta; Harris. Subs: El Mizouni, Leigh, Odonkor, McEachran, Sibley, Ebiowei, Kioso, Scarlett, Phillips.

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  • Coventry vs Oxford team news Coventry Midfielder Ben Sheaf remains sidelined. Oxford Oxford have a largely healthy squad and manager Des Buckingham is expected to revert to last weekend's starting line-up.

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  • Key stat Coventry are winless in their last seven Championship games

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  • Overall the squad looks well equipped for the marathon 46-game campaign but confidence could be fragile after the poor run of league results and a share of the spoils might have to be accepted against Oxford, who have shown they are ready to compete in their new environment.

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  • Robins has been busy strengthening the spine of his team with goalkeeper Oliver Dovin, centre-back Luis Binks, midfielder Jack Rudoni and striker Brandon Thomas-Asante among the permanent summer acquisitions.

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  • There were still plenty of positives for Coventry fans to look back on with a run the FA Cup semi-finals and a ninth-place finish, but it all came to a rather disappointing end with just one point taken from the final six games.

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  • Sky Blues manager Mark Robins remains level-headed but he will want to avoid a repeat of last season's slow start – 16 points from the first 16 games – which undermined his team's promotion push.

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  • Reaching the top six is seen as a realistic aim for Coventry despite their disappointment with last Saturday's 1-0 reverse at Stoke.

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  • Harris's effort was added to by a second half strike from captain Cameron Brannagan as Oxford laid down an early marker against one of last season's playoff participants.

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  • Scarlett may have to bide his time in the short term because Oxford's first-choice line leader, Mark Harris, amassed a 15-goal tally in League One last season and was swiftly off the mark last weekend with a goal in the impressive success over Norwich.

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  • but they have been active in the transfer market and their recruitment drive continued this week with the acquisition of Tottenham striker Dane Scarlett on a season-long loan.

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  • Oxford are having to box clever with their budget which is vastly inferior to some of the division's heavyweight clubs

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  • early evidence indicates that they might perform above expectations in the Championship.

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  • Des Buckingham's side upset the odds in last season's League One playoff final with a well-deserved 2-0 victory over Bolton

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  • However, they will be keen to pile up plenty of points in the early part of the season by maintaining a positive vibe for as long as possible.

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  • Survival will be the priority for the Yellows, who have operated outside the top two divisions for 25 consecutive seasons.

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  • Oxford celebrated their long-awaited return to the second tier with a superb 2-0 triumph at home to Norwich

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  • Coventry 8-13 Oxford 9-2 Draw 3-1

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  • You can watch Coventry vs Oxford in the Championship at 8pm on Friday, August 16, live on Sky Sports Football.

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  • Probable teams West Brom (4-2-3-1): Palmer; Furlong, Ajayi, Bartley, Heggem; Molumby, Mowatt;

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  • No fresh injuries have been reported but a replacement will need to be found for Brighton-bound

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  • West Brom 13-5 Leeds 6-5 Draw 5-2 Odds correct at time of publishing

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  • Man United v Fulham 4/5 NEW CUSTOMER OFFER 50/1 Man United To Wear Red NEW CUSTOMER OFFER

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  • You can watch West Brom vs Leeds in the Championship at 12.30pm on Saturday August 17, live on

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  • Ben Hamer (finger) is sidelined and Ike Ugbo is pushing for a start after coming off the bench in the 4-0 loss at Sunderland.

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  • The transfer window has been an unsettling time for Leeds, who lost another big player on Monday when Georginio Rutter sealed a £40m move to Brighton.

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  • NEW CUSTOMER OFFER £40 in Free Football Bets When You Place a £10 Bet

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  • Sheffield United (4-4-1-1): Cooper; Gilchrist, Souttar, Ahmedhodzic, Burrows; Rak-Sakyi,

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  • Probable teams Hull City (4-1-4-1): Pandur; Coyle, Jones, McLoughlin, Giles; Zambrano;

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  • Probable teams Millwall (4-2-3-1): Jensen; Leonard, Tanganga, Cooper, Bryan; De Norre, Saville; Esse

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  • The Hatters have not reported any new fitness issues but they are without Daiki Hashioka (leg) and Jacob

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  • Striker Mihailo Ivanovic (foot) will have to wait a while to make his Millwall debut and midfielder Billy

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  • The Hatters were beaten 2-1 at home to QPR in their last league outing and anyone who watched the game

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  • Luton are creating plenty of chances – their combined expected-goals figure for their first four matches

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  • The Londoners have kept successive clean sheets and were worthy three-goal victors over Wednesday after

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  • Harris has had a summer to reshape his squad and they appear to have clicked into gear quickly.

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  • The Lions were 21st at the time of Harris's reappointment – he had previously been in charge at the Den

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  • It was a case of third time lucky for the Lions, who turned to club legend Neil Harris in February and

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  • Last season was a rollercoaster ride for Millwall, who parted company with two managers, Gary Rowett

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  • Millwall signed off for the international break with a superb 3-0 home victory over Sheffield Wednesday

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  • Recommended Offer 4/5 NEW CUSTOMER OFFER £40 in Free Accumulator Bets When You Place a £10 Bet

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  • You can watch Millwall vs Luton in the Championship at 12.30pm on Saturday, September 14,

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  • Place a max £1 bet on the 'Both Teams to Score – Yes' market in Tottenham vs Arsenal on Sunday

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  • Get 50-1 odds for 1+ Liverpool shot on target vs Milan in the Champions League

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  • Get 60-1 for Erling Haaland to score anytime

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  • Pays out at 22-1 with Paddy Power

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  • You can watch Manchester City vs Inter in the Champions League at 8pm on Wednesday, September 18th, live on TNT Sports 1.

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  • Plus a £40 Sky Bet free bet offer

    · Source

  • Free Champions League tips, best bets and predictions for Manchester City vs Inter.

    · Source

  • The Tigers' troubles continued with a 2-0 defeat at Sheffield United last Friday and things may get worse before they get better.

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  • Stoke have plenty of scope for improvement but they already look in better shape than Hull.

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  • Pelach begins his tenure with a home clash against struggling Hull on Friday night and the Spaniard could make the best possible start.

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  • Probable teams Sunderland (4-3-3): Patterson; Hume, Ballard, O'Nien, Cirkin; Rigg, Neil, Bellingham;

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  • Sunderland are without Aji Alese, Niall Huggins, Jensen Seelt, Alan Browne and Salis Abdul Samed

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  • Probable teams Plymouth (4-1-4-1): Grimshaw; Edwards, Szucs, Gibson, Mumba; Randell; Whittaker, Gyabi, Forshaw, Cissoko; Hardie. Subs: Al Hajj, Wright, Bundu, Obafemi, Palsson, Ogbeta, Galloway. Luton (3-4-2-1): Kaminski; Burke, McGuinness, Mengi; Walters, Walsh, Nakamba, Doughty; Clark, Morris; Adebayo. Subs: Chong, Moses, Krauss, Nelson, Taylor, Woodrow, Mpanzu.

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  • Luton Daiki Hashioka and Jacob Brown are expected to remain on the sidelines.

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  • Plymouth Goalkeeper Conor Hazard is a long-term absentee but no fresh injuries are reported.

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  • Key stat Luton have won just one of their last 13 away matches

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  • Plymouth raised a few eyebrows when they handed Wayne Rooney his fourth crack at management but they have steadied themselves after a poor start to the season and can take at least a point against Luton at Home Park.

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  • The Canaries will be without Christian Fassnacht (Achilles), Jakob Sorensen (foot) and Ashley Barnes (leg)

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  • David Ozoh, Kane Wilson (both hamstring), Liam Thompson (muscle strain) and Jake Rooney (knee) miss out for the Rams.

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  • Manchester United (4-2-3-1): Onana; Mazraoui, De Ligt, Martinez, Dalot; Eriksen, Ugarte;

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  • Porto (4-2-3-1): Costa; Joao Mario, Ze Pedro, Perez, Francisco Moura; Nico Gonzalez, Varela;

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  • Leny Yoro (foot), Luke Shaw (calf) and Mason Mount (head) miss out but Kobbie Mainoo

    · Source

  • Long-term absentees Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano (both knee) are unavailable and Otavio

    · Source

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Separate price series for each prediction; only the headline series enters the main return.
PredictionSeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
Wrexham v Wolverhampton Wanderers LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Wolverhampton Wanderers2.20100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Wrexham v Wolverhampton Wanderers LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Wolverhampton Wanderers2.19100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Derby County v Bolton Wanderers LostAt the author's stated priceDraw no bet — Bolton Wanderers2.10100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Derby County v Bolton Wanderers LostAt an independent odds snapshotDraw no bet — Bolton Wanderers1.90100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Fenerbahçe v Liverpool LostAt the author's stated priceAsian handicap −1 — Liverpool −11.85100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Fenerbahçe v Liverpool LostAt an independent odds snapshotAsian handicap −1 — Liverpool −11.78100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Fenerbahçe v Liverpool WonAt the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Alexander Isak to score2.15100.00Won115.00v2.2
Fenerbahçe v Liverpool WonAt an independent odds snapshotPlayer to score — Alexander Isak to score1.95100.00Won95.00v2.2
Fenerbahçe v Liverpool LostAt the author's stated priceAsian handicap −1 — Liverpool −1.01.85100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Fenerbahçe v Liverpool LostAt an independent odds snapshotAsian handicap −1 — Liverpool −1.01.87100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Huddersfield Town v Luton Town LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Huddersfield Town2.05100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Huddersfield Town v Luton Town LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Huddersfield Town2.00100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Derby County v Norwich City WonAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Norwich City2.10100.00Won110.00v2.2
Derby County v Norwich City WonAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Norwich City2.05100.00Won105.00v2.2
Swindon v Rotherham United WonAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Swindon2.38100.00Won138.00v2.2
Swindon v Rotherham United WonAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Swindon2.28100.00Won128.00v2.2
Swansea City v Blackburn Rovers LostAt the author's stated priceDouble chance — draw or Blackburn Rovers2.10100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Swansea City v Blackburn Rovers LostAt an independent odds snapshotDouble chance — draw or Blackburn Rovers1.99100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Leicester City v Stevenage LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Leicester City1.75100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Leicester City v Stevenage LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Leicester City1.68100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Port Vale v Rochdale WonAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Port Vale1.70100.00Won70.00v2.2
Port Vale v Rochdale WonAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Port Vale1.62100.00Won62.00v2.2
Chelsea v Manchester United LostAt the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Bryan Mbeumo to score3.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Chelsea v Manchester United LostAt an independent odds snapshotPlayer to score — Bryan Mbeumo to score3.40100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Chelsea v Manchester United LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — draw2.45100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Chelsea v Manchester United LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — draw3.90100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Sheffield United v Wrexham LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — draw3.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Sheffield United v Wrexham LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — draw3.38100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Sunderland v Brentford LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Brentford2.05100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Sunderland v Brentford LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Brentford2.02100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Bradford City v Peterborough United LostAt the author's stated priceDraw no bet — Peterborough United3.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Bradford City v Peterborough United LostAt an independent odds snapshotDraw no bet — Peterborough United3.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Liverpool v Brighton & Hove Albion WonAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — Liverpool2.15100.00Won115.00v2.2
Liverpool v Brighton & Hove Albion WonAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — Liverpool2.08100.00Won108.00v2.2
AFC Bournemouth v AC Milan LostAt the author's stated price1X2, match result — draw3.60100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
AFC Bournemouth v AC Milan LostAt an independent odds snapshot1X2, match result — draw3.63100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Reading v Leyton Orient LostAt the author's stated priceDouble chance — draw or Leyton Orient2.40100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Reading v Leyton Orient LostAt an independent odds snapshotDouble chance — draw or Leyton Orient2.40100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Manchester City v AEK Athens WonAt the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Phil Foden to score2.70100.00Won170.00v2.2

Record definitions and related evidence