{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "source", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "canonical": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Sports Illustrated: Football Prediction Record", "description": "1 settled pick by Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions archived before kick-off across 1 match, 20 Sep 2025: won 0 of 1.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 20 September 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 77 predictions we hold for Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions, 20 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 57 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "1", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 19, "date_count": 6, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 4, "of_them_archived": 1 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "b4d0987fd897962de393fcc3fcd9c65a7de69cc1fc8d50887ea3d6e71bd12049", "dependency_group": "author:e-a07db1fd8a1e336fbf51ec6c", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-a07db1fd8a1e336fbf51ec6c", "public_name": "Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions", "tracker_number": 1584, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-10-01" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-a07db1fd8a1e336fbf51ec6c-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 151, "recognised": 77, "accepted": 6, "executed": 6, "calculated": 4, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 70 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 151, "of_them_restored": 151, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 27, "not_about_a_match": 47, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 77, "predictions_restored": 77, "matches": 0, "admitted": 6, "qualifying_picks": 6, "qualifying_picks_restored": 6, "settled_picks": 4, "settled_picks_restored": 4, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 1, "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 1, "operations_settled": 1, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the closing 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null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-22T14:29:34.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:15:58.862Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-22T14:29:34.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Real Madrid 2-0 Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 Borussia Dortmund" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "5-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Real Madrid 5-2 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ba6b595a5ae8d5cd0e3d247e04dc937fed98598da5703cc5375f9896dcf5f293", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Real Madrid", "decimal_odds": "1.4000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:42.572Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-22-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0f61d95644dd9d0a15b9e9c5", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/5/#pick-n-0f61d95644dd9d0a15b9e9c5", "quote_text": "Prediction: Juventus 2–1 VfB Stuttgart (Braden Chalker)", "fragment_from": 1632, "fragment_to": 1687, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022142934id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee1b17b56e3419741938f3b4a9fadc58af0c5b83869f0c277fd2ffaeb36b1e08", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:15:58.862Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Juventus v VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Juventus 2-1 VfB Stuttgart", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-22T14:29:34.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:15:58.862Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-22T14:29:34.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Juventus 2-1 VfB Stuttgart", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Juventus 2-1 VfB Stuttgart" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Juventus 0-1 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2e8cb0bf95776c692122ea373d16a90367c01ccf0904fd484c98cc0536416b96", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "2.0500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:42.559Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-22-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-eb255115cd148b3d1e0800df", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/5/#pick-n-eb255115cd148b3d1e0800df", "quote_text": "Prediction: AC Milan 2–0 Club Brugge (Braden Chalker)", "fragment_from": 1053, "fragment_to": 1106, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022142934id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ee1b17b56e3419741938f3b4a9fadc58af0c5b83869f0c277fd2ffaeb36b1e08", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:15:58.862Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AC Milan v Club Brugge KV", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AC Milan 2-0 Club Brugge KV", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-22T14:29:34.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T14:14:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:15:58.862Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-22T14:29:34.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AC Milan 2-0 Club Brugge KV", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AC Milan 2-0 Club Brugge KV" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AC Milan 3-1 Club Brugge KV." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "614f036af202a10d5bfd0b6a6cc3fb27473401ace5c2058f50dc942921a7a3aa", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AC Milan", "decimal_odds": "1.3700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3700, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:42.543Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-22-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a7e7a5843c94c84982cc9028", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/5/#pick-n-a7e7a5843c94c84982cc9028", "quote_text": "Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 3–1 Ipswich Town", "fragment_from": 3512, "fragment_to": 3558, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241108155732id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/premier-league-predictions-matchdays-11-9-10-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "40903e4e199c59f6690a1418da9a2ea7610a8bc51fb5cf4de7c5e5a03422c9f4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-11-08T15:52:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:03.863Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2024-11-10T14:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-2" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Ipswich Town", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-11-08T15:57:32.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-11-08T15:52:03.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-11-08T15:52:03.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:12:03.863Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-11-08T15:57:32.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Ipswich Town", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": 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"excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ee5b3723c3b117553f5ef684", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/5/#pick-n-ee5b3723c3b117553f5ef684", "quote_text": "Prediction: Crvena zvezda 1–2 PSV", "fragment_from": 1897, "fragment_to": 1930, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250121072307id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-1-21-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4ed39d1363d78249fb849c0c6f7cbb8f11f37a17ab79e4e66b13819ec72e10a2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-01-21T06:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:45.486Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, 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}, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "FK Crvena Zvezda 1-2 PSV Eindhoven", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: FK Crvena Zvezda 1-2 PSV Eindhoven" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FK Crvena Zvezda 2-3 PSV Eindhoven." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "54e5a3f2c61c7aca1f4a9dc4cc0523889c3f3d6397897912a6b2f22d4ba852bd", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": 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"verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-99d90aab928c1f43a0a4a905", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/5/#pick-n-99d90aab928c1f43a0a4a905", "quote_text": "Prediction: Benfica 1–3 Barcelona", "fragment_from": 1601, "fragment_to": 1634, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250121072307id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-1-21-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4ed39d1363d78249fb849c0c6f7cbb8f11f37a17ab79e4e66b13819ec72e10a2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-01-21T06:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:45.486Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Benfica v FC Barcelona", "competition_name": 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"market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Monaco 1-2 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Monaco 1-0 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6661e52f1d8833c74c1ed6e5f9ca23100c43e3ef1166b3668f2b307d34835bd4", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.6900", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": 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null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a7aa423196ccd1a89d1f28be", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-a7aa423196ccd1a89d1f28be", "quote_text": "Prediction: AC Milan 1–1 Liverpool (Dan Willis)", "fragment_from": 2560, "fragment_to": 2607, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3191a67bd7337d92ce6e5f3c5fd54fb3663421eee9a1dd41587c048c6c07056e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AC Milan v Liverpool", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-17T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-3" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AC Milan 1-1 Liverpool", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AC Milan 1-1 Liverpool", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AC Milan 1-1 Liverpool" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "0109c4bc96f2c5ad09907a82a5f2f0068bdd8dfad4f1bde1e67269a444c407a8", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": 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"https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-23dc8e87f9601fc7087b8a1b", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-23dc8e87f9601fc7087b8a1b", "quote_text": "Prediction: Sporting CP 1–1 LOSC Lille (Braden Chalker)", "fragment_from": 2379, "fragment_to": 2434, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3191a67bd7337d92ce6e5f3c5fd54fb3663421eee9a1dd41587c048c6c07056e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Sporting CP v Lille", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-17T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Sporting CP 1-1 Lille", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Sporting CP 1-1 Lille", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Sporting CP 1-1 Lille" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Sporting CP 2-0 Lille." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "880c22f9615149143a18a3f9db69abee97c552fbef0a314579f8844051cd471c", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "4.3500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.230Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e21199e50aba994d0532563b", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-e21199e50aba994d0532563b", "quote_text": "Prediction: Real Madrid 2–0 VfB Stuttgart (Amanda Langell)", "fragment_from": 1654, "fragment_to": 1712, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3191a67bd7337d92ce6e5f3c5fd54fb3663421eee9a1dd41587c048c6c07056e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Real Madrid v VfB Stuttgart", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-17T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Real Madrid 2-0 VfB Stuttgart", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Real Madrid 2-0 VfB Stuttgart", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 VfB Stuttgart" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Real Madrid 3-1 VfB Stuttgart." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c92a05bf405fa05f7396afc6f0a8c1bfab6792b3583547afac64fa1453e7f8ca", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Real Madrid", "decimal_odds": "1.3050", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3050, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.195Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c906212b50ddc85c9c541a2f", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-c906212b50ddc85c9c541a2f", "quote_text": "Prediction: Young Boys 1–2 Aston Villa (Braden Chalker)", "fragment_from": 1111, "fragment_to": 1166, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3191a67bd7337d92ce6e5f3c5fd54fb3663421eee9a1dd41587c048c6c07056e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "BSC Young Boys v Aston Villa", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-17T16:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-3" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "BSC Young Boys 1-2 Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "BSC Young Boys 1-2 Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: BSC Young Boys 1-2 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was BSC Young Boys 0-3 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "32b93bb0c6ee95fbe458e63ecd82dafa80abf7d846f4c849d78702060efb60cb", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "1.6200", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6200, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.173Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5f01c9a03b1b6f590bf30b42", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-5f01c9a03b1b6f590bf30b42", "quote_text": "Prediction: Juventus 2–1 PSV (Braden Chalker)", "fragment_from": 539, "fragment_to": 584, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3191a67bd7337d92ce6e5f3c5fd54fb3663421eee9a1dd41587c048c6c07056e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Juventus v PSV Eindhoven", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-17T16:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-17T15:06:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:40.667Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Juventus 2-1 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{ "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-17-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-922574f8238c21e8c2555965", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-922574f8238c21e8c2555965", "quote_text": "Prediction: Manchester City 3-1 Inter Milan", "fragment_from": 1964, "fragment_to": 2007, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-18-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": 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"2026-10-01T00:37:39.429Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Club Brugge KV 1-2 Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Club Brugge KV 1-2 Borussia Dortmund" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Club Brugge KV 0-3 Borussia Dortmund." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "be234601022dcad83d6a6b27c5296b576f018534746320451714cf2d3fd94919", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": 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"https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-18-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3a2073ad771f8c2da3dcdafa", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-3a2073ad771f8c2da3dcdafa", "quote_text": "Prediction: PSG 2-0 Girona", "fragment_from": 1038, "fragment_to": 1064, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-18-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d154bd1587ac41a9c7e496d17f74d09b5dd5575a31d4343ae246ee2e80e4be40", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-18T15:06:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:39.429Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Paris Saint-Germain v Girona", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-18T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Girona", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-18T15:06:11.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-18T15:06:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:39.429Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Girona", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Girona" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 Girona." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6db4145f249f1611d5f3fa07b1038162ff94828b6e93453e20e7b0eeb948deb6", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain", "decimal_odds": "1.2800", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2800, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:57.328Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "SI Staff", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "SI Staff", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-18-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-94e8e62e4d1c2e35cfd9a943", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-94e8e62e4d1c2e35cfd9a943", "quote_text": "Prediction: Sparta Praha 1-2 RB Salzburg", "fragment_from": 832, "fragment_to": 872, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-9-18-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d154bd1587ac41a9c7e496d17f74d09b5dd5575a31d4343ae246ee2e80e4be40", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-18T15:06:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:39.429Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AC Sparta Praha v Red Bull Salzburg", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-18T16:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AC Sparta Praha 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-18T15:06:11.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-18T15:06:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:39.429Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AC Sparta Praha 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AC Sparta Praha 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AC Sparta Praha 3-0 Red Bull Salzburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "cfef47538c62c92debc6160971fa419c0329c516944622e2b8cae078163c9800", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Red Bull Salzburg", "decimal_odds": 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null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8666ea5af6c1fc45a550a51beda64753d52f524bd53f5ee3ee7ddc39e05265a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-09-19T14:29:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:35.968Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Atlético Madrid v RB Leipzig", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-19T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Atlético Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, 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"score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Stade Brestois v Sturm Graz", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-09-19T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Stade Brestois 2-1 Sturm Graz", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-09-19T14:29:37.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-09-19T14:29:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:35.968Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Stade Brestois 2-1 Sturm Graz", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Stade Brestois 2-1 Sturm Graz" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Stade Brestois 2-1 Sturm Graz." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "98b725a860f72f11c5a45621bf7c2e0bd7bac560524a8798f73fb9864c15a751", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result 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"authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ec5ee92420518a244d56c1b3d07843ea3ceed901a9fd7f1ba99df9f05d1aee57", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-10-01T22:36:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:16.709Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Sturm Graz v Club Brugge KV", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-10-02T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Sturm Graz 1-1 Club Brugge KV", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, 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"not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-2-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ffc437aedb89f8a69e33f299", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/#pick-n-ffc437aedb89f8a69e33f299", "quote_text": "Prediction: Lille 1–2 Real Madrid", "fragment_from": 1779, "fragment_to": 1812, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-2-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ec5ee92420518a244d56c1b3d07843ea3ceed901a9fd7f1ba99df9f05d1aee57", "material_removed": false }, 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null }, { "observation_id": "n-448b00683e2fe9f08d158b7e", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/3/#pick-n-448b00683e2fe9f08d158b7e", "quote_text": "Prediction: Slovan Bratislava 1–2 Dinamo Zagreb", "fragment_from": 727, "fragment_to": 774, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-11-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f7dafc328b70902c00c4750480666d1a05ebcb52f730f8494c62d3cf2ec84973", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-11-04T17:07:32.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:36:31.445Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Slovan Bratislava v Dinamo Zagreb", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", 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null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Slovan Bratislava 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Slovan Bratislava 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Slovan Bratislava 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "72ae6cee9fa29b51b4c52f858bcd51a31c966ed88de765a0b102748349aac593", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Dinamo Zagreb", "decimal_odds": "1.9350", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, 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"quote_text": "Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-2 Atalanta", "fragment_from": 3336, "fragment_to": 3374, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-11-6-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2d6a4bbf15d0829e58de547dc9ca607f3ffe55adcbce9258371c5ff865403881", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-11-05T22:04:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:36:29.425Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "VfB Stuttgart v Atalanta", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-2" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "VfB Stuttgart 2-2 Atalanta", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, 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"1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Atlético Madrid", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Atlético Madrid" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 1-2 Atlético Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6a2e7a7946d5d23ab74418cc1d2f7e1c7c26270d3c19ca7910c0b3eeae11ca37", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": 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"verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2be38eff6a0a4cda182a005d", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/2/#pick-n-2be38eff6a0a4cda182a005d", "quote_text": "Prediction: Feyenoord 2-0 RB Salzburg", "fragment_from": 1320, "fragment_to": 1357, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-11-6-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2d6a4bbf15d0829e58de547dc9ca607f3ffe55adcbce9258371c5ff865403881", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-11-05T22:04:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:36:29.425Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Feyenoord v Red Bull Salzburg", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions 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Brugge KV 0-3 Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "0-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Club Brugge KV 0-3 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Club Brugge KV 1-0 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "47a0525c919a0d7dcd3708c1f53acfbf00fc02cb697816c08d90ea9396cf478a", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": "2.1000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": 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"fragment_to": 747, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-11-6-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2d6a4bbf15d0829e58de547dc9ca607f3ffe55adcbce9258371c5ff865403881", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-11-05T22:04:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:36:29.425Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Shakhtar Donetsk v BSC Young Boys", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-11-06T17:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 BSC Young Boys", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2024-11-05T22:04:06.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2024-11-05T22:04:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:36:29.425Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 BSC Young Boys", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 BSC Young Boys" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 BSC Young Boys." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "08dbc4e7638ebbf142c3756aaae657d78babf78b9cfc8d98366bab810cb70284", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Shakhtar Donetsk", "decimal_odds": "1.7750", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7750, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.949Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", 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"https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-11-27-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f83c49c49587a5410ebb28330d9579c0c56d0bcf628366af9715097ae0faf80e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2024-11-26T22:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:36:10.643Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Liverpool v Real Madrid", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2024-11-27T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-0" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Liverpool 3-1 Real Madrid", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", 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"publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-11-27-24", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-41292c684661eb63d77fad9b", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-41292c684661eb63d77fad9b", "quote_text": "Santiago Gimenez became the fourth non-European player in history to score a first half brace", "fragment_from": 1219, "fragment_to": 1312, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d27d6a8af532ed542e39b133a2542280b51294f86eebac06926a224bb2e7e4e5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d340f980a7164c3f87acad50", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d340f980a7164c3f87acad50", "quote_text": "Christian Pulisic's AC Milan and Harry Kane's Bayern Munich headline the next day of action.", "fragment_from": 286, "fragment_to": 378, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d27d6a8af532ed542e39b133a2542280b51294f86eebac06926a224bb2e7e4e5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-47092ce178eab21d597cc35d", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/2/#pick-n-47092ce178eab21d597cc35d", "quote_text": "Benfica get a big win on the road taking a one goal lead back to Portugal.", "fragment_from": 2283, "fragment_to": 2357, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d27d6a8af532ed542e39b133a2542280b51294f86eebac06926a224bb2e7e4e5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.320Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Monaco v Benfica", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Benfica", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.7500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 17500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Benfica", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Benfica" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Monaco 0-1 Benfica." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "dc990d3bd8b1739463f9a8efece21c88001ec84cd369ccca0e7f72b9d4cb06cf", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Benfica", "decimal_odds": "2.7500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 17500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.320Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6e0c9ec2a07038e10dc45023", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/2/#pick-n-6e0c9ec2a07038e10dc45023", "quote_text": "Prediction: Monaco 1-2 Benfica", "fragment_from": 2070, "fragment_to": 2100, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d27d6a8af532ed542e39b133a2542280b51294f86eebac06926a224bb2e7e4e5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Monaco v Benfica", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Monaco 1-2 Benfica", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Monaco 1-2 Benfica", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Monaco 1-2 Benfica" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Monaco 0-1 Benfica." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a7edcb2ac4b6a6178bef66123943f8dba9f3e37fb375a2d3914144000c639dcb", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Benfica", "decimal_odds": "2.7500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 17500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.315Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cc6a1cc497cd5a8036f7fa61", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/2/#pick-n-cc6a1cc497cd5a8036f7fa61", "quote_text": "Bayern get a big win on the road", "fragment_from": 1972, "fragment_to": 2004, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d27d6a8af532ed542e39b133a2542280b51294f86eebac06926a224bb2e7e4e5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.309Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Celtic v FC Bayern München", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.3800", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 3800, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Bayern München", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: FC Bayern München" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Celtic 1-2 FC Bayern München." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "9ba69fc3035e269bdf1aeae3716adeca080ac7203c62336c20cd3b2454167f3a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Bayern München", "decimal_odds": "1.3800", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3800, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.309Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Max Mallow", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Max Mallow", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-2-12-25", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 4, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1, "found_post_match": 3, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 2, "span_from": "2024-09-17", "span_to": "2025-09-20", "line_text": "restored history: 4, of which pre-match archive 1", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League and Champions League matches between 17 September 2024 and 20 September 2025 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 4. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 3. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 4, "share": "0.5" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 1, "roi": "-100.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 4, "roi": "3.2500", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_derived_sm", "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 67, "roi": "-12.3507", "ci_low": "-34.9478", "ci_high": "10.3507", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League", "Champions League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 1 settled restored pick, and the two agree; 70 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.", "score_accuracy": { "n": 67, "share": "0.0896" } }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "editorial", "entity_words": "Editorial source", "source": { "name": "si.com", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022142934id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/uefa-champions-league-predictions-matchday-10-22-24" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-10-01", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 20 September 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 77 predictions we hold for Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions, 20 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 57 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−100 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "−100.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 4 selections in this historical price series, 1 has a pre-match archive copy and 3 were first found after the match.", "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -10000, "low": { "date": "2025-09-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2025-09-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2025-09-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 20 September 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 77 predictions we hold for Sports Illustrated Premier League Predictions, 20 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 57 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sports-illustrated/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 77, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 20, "proven_checked": 19, "proven_measured": 19, "proven_dates": 6, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 20, "checked": 19, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "-100.00", "return_other_percent": "-100.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": -10000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000, "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 18, "exact_hits": 2, "exact_rate": 11.1, "outcome_checked": 18, "outcome_hits": 9, "outcome_rate": 50.0, "baseline_matches": 18, "baseline_distinct_matches": 18, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 9, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0, "favourite_hits": 14, "favourite_rate": 77.8, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "2 of 18 score forecasts named the exact score (11.1%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 9 of 18 matches; the market favourite was right in 14 of the same 18 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 19, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 0, "won_percent": "0.0", "implied_percent": "22.7", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "22.7" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 57, "checked": 52, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "matches": 3, "net_points_hundredths": 11300, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "37.67", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2025-02-12", "period_to": "2025-02-12", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 49, "exact_hits": 4, "exact_rate": 8.2, "outcome_checked": 49, "outcome_hits": 25, "outcome_rate": 51.0, "baseline_matches": 48, "baseline_distinct_matches": 48, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 24, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0, "favourite_hits": 30, "favourite_rate": 62.5, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 2, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "4 of 49 score forecasts named the exact score (8.2%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 24 of 48 matches; the market favourite was right in 30 of the same 48 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 48 of 49 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).", "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 52, "priced": 3 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 3, "won": 2, "won_percent": "66.7", "implied_percent": "54.6", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 2, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "54.6" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-0a2cee668af459b6bcb46fc6" ], 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"2025-09-20T09:35:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:43:12.381Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0a2cee668af459b6bcb46fc6", "quote_text": "[I would] take a draw,", "fragment_from": 1318, "fragment_to": 1340, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250920101458id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/wayne-rooney-offers-prediction-liverpool-everton", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "294ca321aaa5565179ac66d3ca518da567679fe09a9937c35a7f8142065998c3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-20T09:35:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:43:12.381Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:00.491Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Liverpool v Everton", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2025-09-20T11:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "4.3000", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-20T10:14:58.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-20T09:35:55.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-20T09:35:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:43:12.381Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-20T10:14:58.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 2-1 Everton." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "20277eb34237b872723ee29adff260b78c65b306c37a4d3dd8913dd676e90540", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the 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"change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:00.508Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Tom Gott", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Tom Gott", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/wayne-rooney-offers-prediction-liverpool-everton", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-47092ce178eab21d597cc35d", "url": null, "match": "Monaco v Benfica", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14284.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Benfica", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 17500, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "2.7500", "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cc6a1cc497cd5a8036f7fa61", "url": null, "match": "Celtic v FC Bayern München", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14284.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: FC Bayern München", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 3800, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.3800", "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-52e70d9a14c90e499d6608f8", "url": null, "match": "Feyenoord v AC Milan", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14284.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: AC Milan", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.8150", "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fa856d81c6437968a77908f7", "url": null, "match": "Sunderland v Aston Villa", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -8931.3, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Sunderland 0-2 Aston Villa", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-19T19:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:18:12.680Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-51d7f594d364bde38b4a1224", "url": null, "match": "Sunderland v Aston Villa", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -8931.3, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Sunderland 0-0 Aston Villa", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-19T12:00:04.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:18:06.302Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7fa557ab49f9b41330e947f3", "url": null, "match": "Liverpool v Everton", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-09-20T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -8958.2, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Everton", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-20T09:35:55.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:43:12.381Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6e0c9ec2a07038e10dc45023", "url": null, "match": "Monaco v Benfica", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14284.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Monaco 1-2 Benfica", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d12e71412997a18d47401258", "url": null, "match": "Celtic v FC Bayern München", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14284.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Celtic 1-3 FC Bayern München", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0f20c22f965225508a85e384", "url": null, "match": "Feyenoord v AC Milan", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14284.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Feyenoord 1-3 AC Milan", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c068de8c2dbfd22f2c7216f6", "url": null, "match": "Club Brugge KV v Atalanta", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T17:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14286.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Atalanta", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-008aff9876003205767450b3", "url": null, "match": "Club Brugge KV v Atalanta", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-12T17:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14286.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Club Brugge KV 0-2 Atalanta", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-02-11T23:31:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:34:36.755Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-42510a0d0209cbb59626e625", "url": null, "match": "Bologna v Borussia Dortmund", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-01-21T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -14813.0, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Bologna 1-3 Borussia Dortmund", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-01-21T06:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:45.486Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e27e2ecf168dfea8290faa94", "url": null, "match": "Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-01-21T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", 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"2025-09-19T19:05:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:18:12.680Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d2e345f533981d1a28269a70", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Maybe Arsenal, maybe it will be their year.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-08T01:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:16:03.036Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 75, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 75, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": 0.0, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, 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Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 77, "pages": 5, "page_urls": [ "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/2/", "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/3/", "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/4/", "/sources/sports-illustrated/picks/5/" ], "groups": { "settled": 4, "pending": 0, "excluded": 73 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Sports Illustrated: Football Prediction Record and Named Authors", "calculator": null, "source_info": { "code_name": "sports-illustrated", "display_name": "Sports Illustrated", "type_code": "media", "domains": [ "si.com" ], "owner": null, "check": { "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "products": [ { "code_name": "premier-league-predictions", "display_name": "Premier League predictions", "type_code": "column", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "entity_ref": "e-a07db1fd8a1e336fbf51ec6c", "summary": { "statements": 151, "predictions": 77, "settled_picks": 1, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": -100.0, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-10-01" } } ], "author_list": [ { "name_shown": "Ewan Ross-Murray", "url": "/authors/ewan-ross-murray/", "settled_picks": 6, "predictions": 433, "headline_part": "archived" }, { "name_shown": "James Cormack", "url": "/authors/james-cormack/", "settled_picks": 3, "predictions": 396, "headline_part": "archived" }, { "name_shown": "Amanda Langell", "url": "/authors/amanda-langell/", "settled_picks": 1, "predictions": 15, "headline_part": "archived" }, { "name_shown": "Roberto Casillas", "url": "/authors/roberto-casillas/", "settled_picks": 1, "predictions": 9, "headline_part": "archived" }, { "name_shown": "Andrew Headspeath", "url": "/authors/andrew-headspeath/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 2, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Barnaby Lane", "url": "/authors/barnaby-lane/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 4, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Ben Steiner", "url": "/authors/ben-steiner/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 81, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Braden Chalker", "url": "/authors/braden-chalker/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 3, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Grey Whitebloom", "url": "/authors/grey-whitebloom/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 11, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Max Mallow", "url": "/authors/max-mallow/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 100, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Quentin Gesp", "url": "/authors/quentin-gesp/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 2, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Rich Fay", "url": "/authors/rich-fay/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 12, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Toby Cudworth", "url": "/authors/toby-cudworth/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 10, "headline_part": null }, { "name_shown": "Tom Gott", "url": "/authors/tom-gott/", "settled_picks": 0, "predictions": 15, "headline_part": null } ], "authors_count": 14, "auto": false, "product": "premier-league-predictions", "product_page": false }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "updated": "2026-10-19", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "sample": { "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "composition_hash": "e5bcb366e09b29747f5862f0c47306b2f661e310601d2d55722f55c4d769b35a" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-f7f3a335f995b45f8073", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ccb90c80f6a9b36a524de6bcf587cee4067bb855494b7fee01d4e8dcb7adfa53", "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "e5bcb366e09b29747f5862f0c47306b2f661e310601d2d55722f55c4d769b35a", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-871b9d7e36715b4f3af7" }, { "id": "zc-94bf7e7bbb7123f71319", "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { 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(~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (4 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-8eef55e7bb88af9c5260" }, { "id": "zc-f82d6f275b5d5d227c0a", "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ccb90c80f6a9b36a524de6bcf587cee4067bb855494b7fee01d4e8dcb7adfa53", "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "0d19cc4809060b3a925f1f0f235e33fa679b1eec5b29bd66f4bef372b348b5dd", "text": "−400.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "settled_picks": 1, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "4.42", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Premier League", "in_words": "Premier League", "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "4.42", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-09-20", "period_to": "2025-09-20", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "4.42", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ] } ], "best_slice": null } ], "best_slice": null }, "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 77 predictions · last change 1 October 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sports-illustrated/", "s": "2026-09-28", "prediction_count": 77, "refreshed_at": "2026-10-01", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 77 predictions · last change 1 October 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "probation", "in_words": "Probation", "settled_count": 19, "days": 334, "weeks": 5, "archive": false, "in_review": false, "own_page": true, "won_count": 2, "first_settled_on": "2024-10-22", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "no_own_record": { "checked_at": "2026-10-10" }, "author_type": "Prediction site", "data_changes": { "added_later": "4 records added on 28 Sep 2026 found after the match; 18 records added on 1 Oct 2026 from archived copies; 53 records added on 1 Oct 2026 found after the match; 2 more records added on other dates. 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