Tom McGarry: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Tom McGarry publishes

Published under this name on racingpost.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/tom-mcgarry/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 43 predictions · last change 17 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 11 settled archived picks · +29.3%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

22 predictions; 13 checked against the final score.

11 settled selections across 9 matches, 31 August 2024 – 19 April 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +29.3%.

Eligible prices were available for 11 of the 13 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 4 of 11 decided picks (36.4%); the prices of the same picks implied 38.3%.

By market: Match result 2 of 5 (prices implied 43.1%); Over/under goals 1 of 3 (prices implied 39.6%); Correct score 1 of 2 (prices implied 12.6%); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 61.7%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 9 settled after-match picks · won 4 of 9

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

21 predictions; 9 checked against the final score.

9 settled selections across 9 matches, 2 November 2024 – 3 January 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −66 points.

Eligible prices were available for 9 of the 9 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 4 of 9 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 48.1%.

By market: Match result 1 of 3 (prices implied 42.5%); Result and both teams to score 0 of 2 (prices implied 41.9%); Asian handicap 1 of 1 (prices implied 68.5%); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 60.1%); Double chance 1 of 1 (prices implied 49.3%); Over/under goals 1 of 1 (prices implied 43.5%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Tom McGarry has published.

Source we monitor

racingpost.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 18 October 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 31 August 2024

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

132

Predictions

43

Qualifying picks

30

Settled picks

22

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 18 opinions and 71 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+322.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 11 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 22 October 2026

Before

+18.5% on 12 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (12)

After

+29.3% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (11)

The same picks give a different total: the calculation was corrected.

Data corrected · 22 October 2026

Before

+29.3% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (11)

After

+18.5% on 12 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (12)

The same picks give a different total: the calculation was corrected.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

+18.5% on 12 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (12)

After

+29.3% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (11)

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 16 October 2026

Before

−41.6% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (11)

After

+18.5% on 12 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (12)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 15 October 2026

Before

−35.8% on 10 settled picks across 7 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (10)

After

−41.6% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (11)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−39.0% on 16 settled picks across 10 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (16)

After

−35.8% on 10 settled picks across 7 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (10)

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (16 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (10 settled picks).

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−39.0% on 16 settled picks across 10 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (16)

Added 14 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

18 October 2026, 20 days before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 18 October 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (39 shown)

• “Narrow home win expected” — 22 October 2025, 16:00 BST · source
• “that brings the 2-1 home win firmly into play.” — 5 November 2025, 17:00 GMT · source
• “They may be vulnerable favourites and Coventry are worth supporting in the double chance market.” — 1 October 2026, 01:37 BST · source
• “Another team that could enjoy some away success is Coventry” — 1 October 2026, 01:37 BST · source
• “they offer plenty of value to record another victory on Saturday.” — 1 October 2026, 01:37 BST · source
• “the Black Cats can add another victory away at struggling QPR.” — 1 October 2026, 01:37 BST · source
• “Black Cats expected to push on” — 1 October 2026, 01:37 BST · source
• “This is a game Ipswich perhaps need to win if they are to achieve their aims this season, and” — 4 October 2025, 12:33 BST · source
• “With both sides in need of the victory, this could be an explosive East Anglian derby.” — 10 April 2026, 16:00 BST · source

• Sign up with Betfair to bet on Brann vs Rangers in the Europa League.

  22 Oct 2025, 16:00 BST · Source

• All matches are live on Sky Sports+ at 12.30pm on Saturday

  · Source

• Cameron Carter-Vickers, Jota and Kelechi Iheanacho remain unavailable for Celtic

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Ovie Ejeheri, Edward Chilufya and Adam Gabriel all sidelined through injury.

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Predicted line-up (4-2-3-1): Butland; Tavernier, Souttar, Cornelius, Meghoma; Rothwell, Raskin; Antman, Aasgaard, Gassama; Miovski.

  22 Oct 2025, 16:00 BST · Source

• Predicted line-up (4-4-2): Dyngeland; De Roeve, Knudsen, Helland, Soltvedt; Kornvig, Sorensen, Gudmundsson, Holm; Mathisen, Finne.

  22 Oct 2025, 16:00 BST · Source

• Ipswich vs Norwich team news and predicted line-ups Ipswich Wes Burns and Conor Townsend are

  4 Oct 2025, 12:33 BST · Source

• Ipswich vs Norwich betting odds Sign up with Sky Bet to bet on Ipswich vs Norwich in the Championship

  4 Oct 2025, 12:33 BST · Source

• Key stats for Ipswich vs Norwich ♦ Ipswich are unbeaten at Portman Road this season and have

  4 Oct 2025, 12:33 BST · Source

• Recommended Offer 4/5 NEW CUSTOMER OFFER £50 In Free Acca Bets When You Place A £10 Acca (

  4 Oct 2025, 12:33 BST · Source

• Free Bets next race 19:45 Newcastle (A.W) FREE BETS Check out all our Offers on our Free Bets

  4 Oct 2025, 12:33 BST · Source

• Important information: This article may contain links to offers or promotions

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Sign up with bet365 to bet on this match.

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• ♦ Ipswich have lost just one home match in the Championship this season

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Predicted line-up (4-4-2): Brynn; Brittain, Ayling, Fry, Targett; Browne, Morris, McGree, Hansen;

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Middlesbrough are still sweating over the fitness of key pair Hayden Hackney and Morgan Whittaker

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Predicted line-up (4-2-3-1): Walton; Johnson, O'Shea, Greaves, Davis; Taylor, Neil; Philogene,

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Ipswich should be boosted by the return of Leif Davis, who missed the midweek loss at Portsmouth

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• The absences of key players such as Hayden Hackney and Morgan Whittaker over recent weeks

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• A record of no wins and just three points accrued from the last 18 available has turned Boro

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• The defeat at Fratton Park ended a nine-match unbeaten run for the Tractor Boys

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Coventry rubber-stamped their return to the Premier League on Friday

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Pays out at 14-1 with bet365

  18 Apr 2026, 15:14 BST · Source

• Ipswich are boosted by the return of left-back Leif Davis from suspension, but midfielder Azor Matusiwa

  10 Apr 2026, 16:00 BST · Source

• Predicted line-up (4-2-3-1): Kovacevic; Stacey, Darling, Cordoba, Fisher; Field, Mattsson; Schwartau,

  10 Apr 2026, 16:00 BST · Source

• Millwall vs West Ham betting offer: Get 50-1 on both teams to score with Coral

  10 Apr 2026, 16:00 BST · Source

• Pays out at 11-1 with bet365

  10 Apr 2026, 16:00 BST · Source

• Football accumulator tips for Saturday January 3: Back our acca at 26-1 with bet365

  2 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Jean-Clair Todibo is West Ham's main fitness concern

  2 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Pays out at 15-4 with bet365

  2 Jan 2026, 16:00 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Tom McGarry
• Said → happened — Tom McGarry

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Tom McGarry

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition
• L