SoccerLoy: football tipster record
Forecast Record recorded 16 settled live picks by SoccerLoy before kick-off across 16 matches between 27 October and . At our recorded market prices these picks returned +16.8% on the total staked.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Return at our recorded market prices
+16.8%Measured Small sample (16)
16 settled picks with an eligible price · 16 matches · picks settled under method v2.2
95% interval −8.1% to +34.5% Small sample (16)
Won 14 of 16 (87.5% Small sample (16)) at average odds 1.35; those prices implied 74.4% Small sample (16) (including bookmaker margin).
Eligible prices were available for 16 of the 20 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record recorded 16 settled live picks by SoccerLoy before kick-off across 16 matches between 27 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +16.8% on the total staked. Of the 56 predictions we hold for SoccerLoy, 23 are linked to matches: 20 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Forecast Record recorded 16 settled live picks by SoccerLoy before kick-off across 16 matches between 27 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +16.8% on the total staked. Of the 56 predictions we hold for SoccerLoy, 23 are linked to matches: 20 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of .
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/soccerloy/
58 statements read → 56 predictions → 23 linked to matches → 20 recorded before kick-off → 20 outcome-checked → 16 at our recorded market price · 3 found after kick-off (not in the return)
On 16 picks with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 1 (6.2% Small sample (16)), within 5.0% on 15; median difference 0.6% Small sample (16).
Latest outcomes
Return over time
Recorded by us before kick-off: Net result +268.08 points on 16 settled live picks.
Show chart as a table
| Date | Settled picks | Cumulative points |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 99.25 | |
| 5 | 164.25 | |
| 7 | 108.69 | |
| 9 | 174.69 | |
| 11 | 114.69 | |
| 13 | 171.72 | |
| 14 | 205.05 | |
| 16 | 268.08 |
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 8 W / 1 L | — Small sample (9) | 1.33 |
| Over/under goals | 5 W / 0 L | — Small sample (5) | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.44 |
| Double chance | 0 W / 1 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.51 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 4 W / 0 L | — Small sample (4) | 1.35 |
| Süper Lig | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.31 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 W / 0 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.30 |
| Brasileiro Série A | 0 W / 1 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.51 |
| EFL Championship | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.36 |
+6 competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| EFL Trophy | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.32 |
| Estonia Meistriliiga | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.40 |
| Germany DFB Pokal | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.36 |
| Ligue 1 | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.36 |
| Primeira Liga | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.30 |
| Scottish Premiership | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.32 |
Recorded picks and results
1X2: FC Twente1.33Recorded 12.9 h before kick-offExcluded from the returnno market price · not in the headline series
Prediction: Home win @ 1.33t.me
- Tipster / Source
- SoccerLoy
- Prices
- Stated 1.33, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
- Pick and result
- The pick matched the result
- Why excluded
- Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
Lincoln Red Imps 1-0 Hajduk Split ·
1X2: Hajduk Split1.37Recorded 10.7 h before kick-offExcluded from the returnno market price · not in the headline series
Prediction: Away win @ 1.37t.me
- Tipster / Source
- SoccerLoy
- Prices
- Stated 1.37, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
- Pick and result
- The pick did not match the result
- Why excluded
- Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CP ·
Double chance: draw or Sporting CP1.31Recorded 10.7 h before kick-offExcluded from the returnno market price · not in the headline series
Prediction: X2 @ 1.31t.me
- Tipster / Source
- SoccerLoy
- Prices
- Stated 1.31, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
- Pick and result
- The pick matched the result
- Why excluded
- Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
Union St. Gilloise 5-2 Cercle Brugge ·
1X2: Union St. Gilloise1.32Recorded 11.2 h before kick-offExcluded from the returnno market price · not in the headline series
Prediction: Home win @ 1.32t.me
- Tipster / Source
- SoccerLoy
- Prices
- Stated 1.32, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- v2.2
- Pick and result
- The pick matched the result
- Why excluded
- Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 0 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 16 settled live picks, 16 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 3 records added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Where SoccerLoy publishes
Published under this name on t.me.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| t.me, Telegram | SoccerLoy | 56 | 16 | +16.8% at our recorded market prices |
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/soccerloy/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 25 October 2026 · 56 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match
4 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 3 of 4.
Prices implied by market
By market: Match result 8 of 9 (8 W / 1 L, average odds 1.33) Small sample (9); Over/under goals 5 of 5 (5 W / 0 L, average odds 1.33) Small sample (5); Both teams to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.44) Small sample (1); Double chance 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 1.51) Small sample (1).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Return at our recorded market price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 16 | 27 October – | +17.9% | +16.8% |
| Closing price | 10 | 27 October – | +21.7% | +20.3% |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
3 predictions; 3 checked against the final score.
Record details and history
Record history · 1
- 4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 1 Nov–3 Nov 2026 · removed · corrected · recomputed after a correction to the record
Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
- Stated
- The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything SoccerLoy has published.
- Source we monitor
- t.me
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- 25 October –
- Without a match page
- 33 predictions
Stated price vs market
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
| Compared with | Picks | >5.0% above | >5.0% below | Within | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our market price when we first recorded the pick | 16 | 1 (6.2%) | 0 | 15 | +0.6% |
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Largest gaps: 1.38 against 1.31 (+5.1%)
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 58
- Predictions
- 56
- Qualifying picks
- 16
- Settled picks
- 16
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 2 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+268.08 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 16 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,600 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +16.8% on 16 live picks settled in this window · 16 matches · 27 October – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +14.8% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)
- After
- +16.8% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)
Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- +13.2% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)
- After
- +14.8% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +12.1% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
- After
- +13.2% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- +10.4% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)
- After
- +12.1% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +174.69 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +10.4% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +108.69 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +174.69 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +164.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +108.69 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +99.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +164.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- +99.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , the date of this page's data
- Observed
- —
- Channels
- website
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (4)
For the author of this record (1)
Check us
Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City v West Ham United Won | At the author's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.33 | 100.00 | Won | 33.00 | v2.2 |
| Cardiff City v West Ham United Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.36 | 100.00 | Won | 36.00 | v2.2 |
| AEK Athens v Real Madrid Won | At the author's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.32 | 100.00 | Won | 32.00 | v2.2 |
| AEK Athens v Real Madrid Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.27 | 100.00 | Won | 27.03 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Won | At the author's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.34 | 100.00 | Won | 34.00 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.33 | 100.00 | Won | 33.33 | v2.2 |
| Trabzonspor v Gaziantep F.K. Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Trabzonspor | 1.33 | 100.00 | Won | 33.00 | v2.2 |
| Trabzonspor v Gaziantep F.K. Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Trabzonspor | 1.27 | 100.00 | Won | 27.00 | v2.2 |
| Como v Venezia Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Como | 1.34 | 100.00 | Won | 34.00 | v2.2 |
| Como v Venezia Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Como | 1.30 | 100.00 | Won | 30.03 | v2.2 |
| Fenerbahçe v Göztepe Lost | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Fenerbahçe | 1.35 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Fenerbahçe v Göztepe Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Fenerbahçe | 1.35 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| JK Nomme United v FC Levadia Tallinn Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — FC Levadia Tallinn | 1.34 | 100.00 | Won | 34.00 | v2.2 |
| JK Nomme United v FC Levadia Tallinn Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — FC Levadia Tallinn | 1.40 | 100.00 | Won | 40.00 | v2.2 |
| Casa Pia v Sporting CP Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Sporting CP | 1.31 | 100.00 | Won | 31.00 | v2.2 |
| Casa Pia v Sporting CP Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Sporting CP | 1.30 | 100.00 | Won | 30.00 | v2.2 |
| Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain Won | At the author's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.32 | 100.00 | Won | 32.00 | v2.2 |
| Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.36 | 100.00 | Won | 36.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Mineiro v Cruzeiro Lost | At the author's stated price | Double chance — Atlético Mineiro or draw | 1.47 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Mineiro v Cruzeiro Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Double chance — Atlético Mineiro or draw | 1.51 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Frosinone v Lecce Won | At the author's stated price | Both teams to score — yes | 1.46 | 100.00 | Won | 46.00 | v2.2 |
| Frosinone v Lecce Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Both teams to score — yes | 1.44 | 100.00 | Won | 44.44 | v2.2 |
| Celtic v Dundee Utd Won | At the author's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.32 | 100.00 | Won | 32.00 | v2.2 |
| Celtic v Dundee Utd Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.32 | 100.00 | Won | 32.00 | v2.2 |
| Venezia v Inter Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Inter | 1.36 | 100.00 | Won | 36.00 | v2.2 |
| Venezia v Inter Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Inter | 1.33 | 100.00 | Won | 33.00 | v2.2 |
| AS Roma v Cagliari Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — AS Roma | 1.38 | 100.00 | Won | 38.00 | v2.2 |
| AS Roma v Cagliari Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — AS Roma | 1.31 | 100.00 | Won | 31.25 | v2.2 |
| Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Borussia Dortmund | 1.36 | 100.00 | Won | 36.00 | v2.2 |
| Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Borussia Dortmund | 1.36 | 100.00 | Won | 36.00 | v2.2 |
| Blackpool v Aston Villa U21 Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Blackpool | 1.36 | 100.00 | Won | 36.00 | v2.2 |
| Blackpool v Aston Villa U21 Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Blackpool | 1.32 | 100.00 | Won | 32.00 | v2.2 |