{
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 "heading": "SoccerLoy: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 16 settled picks by SoccerLoy recorded before kick-off across 16 matches, 27 Oct 2026 – 4 Nov 2026: +16.8% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 16 settled live picks by SoccerLoy before kick-off across 16 matches between 27 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +16.8% on the total staked. Of the 56 predictions we hold for SoccerLoy, 23 are linked to matches: 20 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "+16.8%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "outside_core",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 16,
  "date_count": 10,
  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:49:04.754Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-12371f096805c5ddb717b85f",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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 "exports": [
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
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 },
 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
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 "page_links": {
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 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-12371f096805c5ddb717b85f",
  "public_name": "SoccerLoy",
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  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-25",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
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   {
    "medium": "website",
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 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-12371f096805c5ddb717b85f-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "16.7550",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 16,
   "n_events": 16,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-8.0506",
   "ci_high": "34.4544",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:49:04.754Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 16 settled picks across 16 matches",
  "average_odds": "1.36",
  "odds_from_author": 16,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 0
 },
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 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
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  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
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   {
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1003200,
    "profit_hundredths": 3200,
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   {
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1006325,
    "profit_hundredths": 6325,
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-27T22:41:44.989Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1009925,
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    "outcome_id": "ish-693e560f987bd002ebaab142"
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-28T20:18:06.848Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1013225,
    "profit_hundredths": 13225,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f2aa2fbcba2162e158f42acb"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-28T23:14:37.697Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1016425,
    "profit_hundredths": 16425,
    "outcome_id": "ish-8073cec40a3e96076f30f0b3"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-29T20:19:44.536Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1020869,
    "profit_hundredths": 20869,
    "outcome_id": "ish-dbc1781e98fb614e4ebd7044"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T03:10:09.313Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1010869,
    "profit_hundredths": 10869,
    "outcome_id": "ish-ed9a6b96d66e3a14b2ada6f2"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T20:08:51.311Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1014469,
    "profit_hundredths": 14469,
    "outcome_id": "ish-55396f5dbddfa815a9518ef5"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-30T23:12:30.489Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1017469,
    "profit_hundredths": 17469,
    "outcome_id": "ish-111cf597b8a5453e3ec41453"
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T15:58:50.420Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1021469,
    "profit_hundredths": 21469,
    "outcome_id": "ish-65a545880704be4e2bcd9539"
   },
   {
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1011469,
    "profit_hundredths": 11469,
    "outcome_id": "ish-18dd3d9be85df206b34afd7e"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T14:35:27.114Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1014472,
    "profit_hundredths": 14472,
    "outcome_id": "ish-4f5935e3c08002a82dacceac"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T15:50:30.263Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1017172,
    "profit_hundredths": 17172,
    "outcome_id": "ish-4010bfe2aed70528b3912d5c"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:14.061Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1020772,
    "profit_hundredths": 20772,
    "outcome_id": "ish-3fd99a30f8a01c05f590c168"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:57.601Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1023475,
    "profit_hundredths": 23475,
    "outcome_id": "ish-39a778ebcedd7f55492e26fb"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:59.397Z",
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  ],
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  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
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 },
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   {
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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   "observation_id": "n-c6180f1ce4155eaa9de25af9",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-35c888681c281b5b1383c53a",
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   "quote_text": "Prediction: 1X @ 1.32",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4160",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T07:00:35.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T07:03:16.415Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T07:03:16.415Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/4/#pick-n-0084ffa16aaed0345d7f7674",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Away win @ 1.43",
   "fragment_from": 102,
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   "published_at": "2026-11-06T07:00:35.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T07:03:16.415Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-25ec249a19a0f61a48c68dee",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/4/#pick-n-25ec249a19a0f61a48c68dee",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.33",
   "fragment_from": 229,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4159",
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Trabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep F.K.."
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   "corrections": [],
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   "observation_id": "n-8832b61c3031325e1c6ee7ab",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-01T07:03:17.011Z",
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   "statement_class": "priced",
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    "display_name": "Como — Venezia",
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   "observation_id": "n-04e99ef98697cebcf45484ff",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:41.336Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-16T07:00:44.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:40.560Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:40.560Z",
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   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.30",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
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   "quote_text": "Visit our website for more free tips: https://soccerloy.com/",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:39.753Z",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:39.753Z",
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   },
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "963550209d69817c95b0f956c674c89221638b967dc1abbde3470a3845bb20bd",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:39.753Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:39.753Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-40675396acac5d4620ef285e",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-40675396acac5d4620ef285e",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.36",
   "fragment_from": 103,
   "fragment_to": 130,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4138",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "963550209d69817c95b0f956c674c89221638b967dc1abbde3470a3845bb20bd",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:39.753Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T07:00:34.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:39.753Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2d97ddac316f553c548c5186",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-2d97ddac316f553c548c5186",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Away win @ 1.31",
   "fragment_from": 200,
   "fragment_to": 227,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4137",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "acc2989611147868700322cd5a7292d3556370a225a9a4da53cac1cc2e927553",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:35.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:38.919Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:35.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:35.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:38.919Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6018e7118e6c45fd10737f92",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-6018e7118e6c45fd10737f92",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.33",
   "fragment_from": 87,
   "fragment_to": 114,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4137",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "acc2989611147868700322cd5a7292d3556370a225a9a4da53cac1cc2e927553",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:35.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:38.919Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:35.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T07:00:35.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:38.919Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-174595ef92224e110f1e8f8b",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-174595ef92224e110f1e8f8b",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 1.5 @ 1.30",
   "fragment_from": 148,
   "fragment_to": 175,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4135",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "dc23cde0369bf58794822595763c638e3116cc010ffdbfd9e565c19623387e73",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:34.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:35.242Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_checked",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-06bacf89a285",
    "display_name": "Levante UD — Sevilla",
    "competition_name": "LaLiga",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/levante-ud-vs-sevilla-2026-10-12/",
    "scoreline": "3-3",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.3",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:34.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:34.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:35.242Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 1.5",
    "author_odds": "1.3",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "1.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5 at 1.3"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "3-3",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Levante UD 3-3 Sevilla."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "8973c3f27cd06f9bd821d6fd6ccca0a5f1a5e203501172c5f5d6f944967f9785",
     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "decimal_odds": null,
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     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "366a82ca3db0ace4435a175a510fefdfacbfbb650cf0fee27038cca3a5f33623",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "SoccerLoy",
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    "forecaster": "SoccerLoy",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4135",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-bbfa390f5bf654c5dd2f2e08",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-bbfa390f5bf654c5dd2f2e08",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: X2 @ 1.48",
   "fragment_from": 79,
   "fragment_to": 100,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4135",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "dc23cde0369bf58794822595763c638e3116cc010ffdbfd9e565c19623387e73",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:34.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:35.242Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_checked",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-6edca84611db",
    "display_name": "Coritiba — Botafogo",
    "competition_name": "Brasileiro Série A",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/coritiba-vs-botafogo-2026-10-12/",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Double chance",
   "outcome_label": "draw or Botafogo",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.48",
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:34.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T07:00:34.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:35.242Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "choice": "draw or Botafogo",
    "author_odds": "1.48",
    "market_key": "double_chance",
    "choice_key": "X2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Botafogo at 1.48"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Coritiba 1-1 Botafogo."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "88b1c285e5a8c816cd694ddf0dd71353ff996d9c55745e3c3fb73381a1c25cad",
     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Botafogo",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
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     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "aacbe00ee8a7d551b66db4679af48faf47097bb4a6641a15516190d115db6fac",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Botafogo",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "SoccerLoy",
    "publisher": "t.me",
    "forecaster": "SoccerLoy",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4135",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f4306f14b6137370ce1a7365",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-f4306f14b6137370ce1a7365",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.39",
   "fragment_from": 201,
   "fragment_to": 228,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4134",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "9b61e2e50598e20d3e2d31106b9e8281965a1c8deb414eb717eff058a56d557b",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T07:01:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:34.504Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T07:01:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T07:01:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:34.504Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "result": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-8800365557ae11e897083030",
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   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.33",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:34.504Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T07:01:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:34.504Z",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-02090a0dafe915d6eb729203",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-02090a0dafe915d6eb729203",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.31",
   "fragment_from": 358,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4133",
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    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "3c9b823cb2ee70d18c610c5fb95b534e0a8c3127f03530a5334d18bfa029d8ff",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-d2f38cb4de68490c3e956df9",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-d2f38cb4de68490c3e956df9",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Away win @ 1.33",
   "fragment_from": 272,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4133",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "3c9b823cb2ee70d18c610c5fb95b534e0a8c3127f03530a5334d18bfa029d8ff",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "cause_code": "not_supported",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3b736dfa644cdbcc734d7bd0",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-3b736dfa644cdbcc734d7bd0",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.30",
   "fragment_from": 186,
   "fragment_to": 213,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4133",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "3c9b823cb2ee70d18c610c5fb95b534e0a8c3127f03530a5334d18bfa029d8ff",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-b51577869cd20757b8807bb9",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-b51577869cd20757b8807bb9",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.32",
   "fragment_from": 96,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4133",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "3c9b823cb2ee70d18c610c5fb95b534e0a8c3127f03530a5334d18bfa029d8ff",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:33.702Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e26c310205e1619db886a3e1",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-e26c310205e1619db886a3e1",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.44",
   "fragment_from": 369,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4132",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "ba95626abff76bf0fb686b9e71bdc3cfa433a9c0e40ccacb3311f2c4b7bacfd2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:50.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.953Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.953Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-979a541c2adf308b5b5a4572",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-979a541c2adf308b5b5a4572",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.32",
   "fragment_from": 282,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4132",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "ba95626abff76bf0fb686b9e71bdc3cfa433a9c0e40ccacb3311f2c4b7bacfd2",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:50.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.953Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.953Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-3535fb6c953c1de05db52b63",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-3535fb6c953c1de05db52b63",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.36",
   "fragment_from": 183,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "ba95626abff76bf0fb686b9e71bdc3cfa433a9c0e40ccacb3311f2c4b7bacfd2",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:50.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.953Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-27T07:56:12.514Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen",
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    "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-27/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
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   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
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   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Borussia Dortmund",
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    "market_key": "1x2",
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    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.36"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 3-2 SV Werder Bremen."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Borussia Dortmund",
     "decimal_odds": "1.36",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 3600,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-27T07:55:49.979Z",
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     "on_claim_market": true,
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    },
    {
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     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Borussia Dortmund",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "change_hundredths": 3600,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-27T07:56:12.514Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "SoccerLoy",
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    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ced649388585e6d995889975",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T07:00:50.000Z",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.953Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-816147a0309272e190cdcbae",
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   "quote_text": "Prediction: Away win @ 1.33",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T07:00:31.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.073Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T07:00:31.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T07:00:31.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.073Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-74f8a4ba00d594b3e522a779",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-74f8a4ba00d594b3e522a779",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Home win @ 1.55",
   "fragment_from": 85,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4131",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
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    "bundle_id": "2acdc3fb3d5fa634ff85717cef0a0c0b654ce4af07586cb15491972355960f70",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T07:00:31.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.073Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T07:00:31.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:32.073Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-fcb8f82758db2cb578f7f792",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-fcb8f82758db2cb578f7f792",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 1.5 @ 1.32",
   "fragment_from": 168,
   "fragment_to": 195,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4130",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "e17ca617dba5cb805c0fbb5bb58faf611b279914f3242ac939ff41e90df9731f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:28.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:31.309Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:31.309Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d6ad4b694feb697d942df0c8",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-d6ad4b694feb697d942df0c8",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: X2 @ 1.33",
   "fragment_from": 88,
   "fragment_to": 109,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4130",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "e17ca617dba5cb805c0fbb5bb58faf611b279914f3242ac939ff41e90df9731f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:28.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:31.309Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:28.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-07T07:00:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:31.309Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-76d1af52b78b3948c8bce0c8",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-76d1af52b78b3948c8bce0c8",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Away win @ 1.44",
   "fragment_from": 284,
   "fragment_to": 311,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4129",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "55c79530cb730b85e1b70e7e46949c963b172f85361edacbf9ac525d32dd0f83",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:30.569Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "cause_code": "outside_coverage",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:30.569Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-501cd3c4a92d95c19cf3cb4d",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-501cd3c4a92d95c19cf3cb4d",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Over 2.5 @ 1.36",
   "fragment_from": 188,
   "fragment_to": 215,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4129",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "55c79530cb730b85e1b70e7e46949c963b172f85361edacbf9ac525d32dd0f83",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:30.569Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "cause_code": "outside_coverage",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:30.569Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a6533d6759583f933e0618cc",
   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-a6533d6759583f933e0618cc",
   "quote_text": "Prediction: Away win @ 1.30",
   "fragment_from": 93,
   "fragment_to": 120,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4129",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "SoccerLoy",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "55c79530cb730b85e1b70e7e46949c963b172f85361edacbf9ac525d32dd0f83",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:30.569Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "cause_code": "outside_coverage",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-06T07:00:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T03:42:30.569Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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    "ci_level": null,
    "fact": "7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 25 Oct–29 Oct 2026",
    "rationale": "7 different matches in a row with every counted pick correct, first to last within 28 days; matches kicking off at the same time count as one group. The run ended on Atlético Mineiro v Cruzeiro. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
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    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
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    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/soccerloy/#title-correct-run-correct-run\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-12371f096805c5ddb717b85f/s-01-z-fa161d5899-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"SoccerLoy · 7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 25 Oct–29 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"827\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
    "neighbours": [],
    "window_words": "On show until 26 Feb 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
    "amount_words": null,
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    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "status": "active",
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    "event_at": "2026-10-29",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-29",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-29",
    "published_at": "2026-10-31",
    "visible_until": "2027-02-26",
    "badge_label": "7 right in a row · 29 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-fa161d58996e463171a7",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-1f67d1d43aa42823782906c4",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Union St. Gilloise v Cercle Brugge",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Union St. Gilloise at 1.32",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win)",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-1f67d1d43aa42823782906c4"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3c6e56ceae91f425a2bf2433",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Blackpool v Aston Villa U21",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Blackpool at 1.36",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-3c6e56ceae91f425a2bf2433"
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     {
      "nid": "n-d769621ed15053d85e920152",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "AS Roma v Cagliari",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AS Roma at 1.38",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 25 right (25 named home win)",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-d769621ed15053d85e920152"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3535fb6c953c1de05db52b63",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.36",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win, 2 named draw)",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-3535fb6c953c1de05db52b63"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-54a62b41a65fd5ca66782c07",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Venezia v Inter",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.36",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (22 named away win)",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-54a62b41a65fd5ca66782c07"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-50116d678a4d2dffb1eac5ef",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Celtic v Dundee Utd",
      "said_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.32",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-50116d678a4d2dffb1eac5ef"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-885e5edcd3af70ca5849408e",
      "data": "2026-10-29",
      "match": "Frosinone v Lecce",
      "said_text": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.46",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-885e5edcd3af70ca5849408e"
     }
    ],
    "evidence_total": 7,
    "badge": {
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    },
    "profile_anchor": "title-fa161d58996e",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
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     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 6,
     "probability": 0.167369,
     "one_in": 6,
     "log10": -0.78,
     "words": "1 in 6",
     "rule": "product of the market probabilities (1/price) of every pick in the run",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run-correct-run"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-fa161d58996e463171a7",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "7 right in a row · 29 Oct",
    "body": "7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 25 Oct–29 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-fa161d58996e",
    "event_at": "2026-10-29",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-fa161d58996e463171a7"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-3b089a6e9d642a55af65",
    "code_name": "P-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "8/9 · week of 26 Oct",
    "body": "8/9 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-3b089a6e9d64",
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "url": "/titles/p-01-week-record/#zk-3b089a6e9d642a55af65"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-c711dd9a8d8210af5d35",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "6 right in a row · 4 Nov",
    "body": "6 matches in a row, every pick correct · 1 Nov–4 Nov 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-c711dd9a8d82",
    "event_at": "2026-11-04",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-c711dd9a8d8210af5d35"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 25 Oct–29 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-29",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-fa161d58996e"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "P-01",
    "body": "8/9 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-3b089a6e9d64"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "6 matches in a row, every pick correct · 1 Nov–4 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-04",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-c711dd9a8d82"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 1 Nov–3 Nov 2026 · removed 5 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-05",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": null,
 "late": {
  "selected": 1,
  "by_proof": {
   "platform_timestamp": 1
  },
  "double": 0,
  "span_from": "2026-10-05",
  "span_to": "2026-10-05",
  "body": "1 pick was published before kick-off and found by us only after the match had started. The time of publication is evidenced (the platform's own timestamp: 1). Each is priced at the market price in our own price history at that moment; the author’s own stated price, where given, is a separate line. These picks are never mixed with the record kept before kick-off and do not enter rankings or the points bankroll. Our price history starts on 26 September 2026; for earlier picks the price at publication is unknown, and the closing price is shown on its own line, outside this series.",
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "publication_market_price",
    "display_name": "Market price at the evidenced time of publication",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "price_unknown": 1,
    "waiting": 0,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "late-1.0"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "publication_author_price",
    "display_name": "Author's own stated price",
    "n": 1,
    "roi": "32.0000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "price_unknown": 0,
    "waiting": 0,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "late-1.0"
   }
  ],
  "methodology_version": "late-1.0"
 },
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 16,
    "above": 1,
    "above_share_percent": "6.2",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 15,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.6",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-d769621ed15053d85e920152",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.38",
    "market": "1.31",
    "difference_percent": "5.1"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "t.me",
   "url": "https://t.me/soccerloy/4161"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-25",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 16,
  "matches": 16,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 26808,
  "staked_hundredths": 160000,
  "return_percent": "16.75",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-27",
  "period_to": "2026-11-04",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 16 settled live picks by SoccerLoy before kick-off across 16 matches between 27 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +16.8% on the total staked. Of the 56 predictions we hold for SoccerLoy, 23 are linked to matches: 20 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "16",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "16",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+268.08 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+16.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −8.1% to +34.5%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9925,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16425,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10869,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17469,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11469,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17172,
    "n": 13
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20505,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26808,
    "n": 16
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 16,
    "matches": 16,
    "match_dates": 8,
    "period_from": "2026-10-27",
    "period_to": "2026-11-04",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 26808,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-27",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9925,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26808,
     "after_picks": 16
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9925,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16425,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10869,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17469,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11469,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17172,
      "n": 13,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20505,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26808,
      "n": 16,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 16 settled live picks by SoccerLoy before kick-off across 16 matches between 27 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +16.8% on the total staked. Of the 56 predictions we hold for SoccerLoy, 23 are linked to matches: 20 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/soccerloy/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 56,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 33,
   "proven_predictions": 20,
   "proven_checked": 20,
   "proven_measured": 16,
   "proven_dates": 10,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 20,
     "checked": 20,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 16,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 16,
      "net_points_hundredths": 26808,
      "staked_hundredths": 160000,
      "return_percent": "16.75",
      "interval_low": "-8.05",
      "interval_high": "34.45",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-27",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 16,
       "return_main_percent": "16.75",
       "return_other_percent": "17.94",
       "settled_excluding_void": 16,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 26808,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 28700,
       "period_from": "2026-10-27",
       "period_to": "2026-11-04"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 10,
       "return_main_percent": "20.31",
       "return_other_percent": "21.68",
       "settled_excluding_void": 10,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 20308,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 21683,
       "period_from": "2026-10-27",
       "period_to": "2026-11-04"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 20,
      "priced": 16
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 16,
      "won": 14,
      "won_percent": "87.5",
      "implied_percent": "74.4",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 8,
        "picks": 9,
        "implied_percent": "75.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "75.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "69.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "66.1"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 4,
      "right": 3,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
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 ],
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 },
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   {
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 },
 "pagination": {
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 "title_tag": "SoccerLoy Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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 "person": {
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 },
 "number_changes": [
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    "text": "+14.84% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+12.06% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+13.21% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+108.69 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+174.69 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z",
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    "composition_hash": "bb753486ae3d263ac7fbcf59f4efa0f00920b36fab9bfeeb7e57a595644fa997",
    "text": "+164.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "15.53",
    "settled_picks": 7,
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    "composition_hash": "0e62f0ddd9aaa1c69fff8c5e4b53837df578eaa1c0d80897256fa2e53e4eae23",
    "text": "+108.69 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/",
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    "composition_hash": "82a6b2486b953aebe0a9afa34e781f15df76e0545515537ca3a0324ae9801466",
    "text": "+99.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "32.85",
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    "composition_hash": "bb753486ae3d263ac7fbcf59f4efa0f00920b36fab9bfeeb7e57a595644fa997",
    "text": "+164.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/soccerloy/",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "82a6b2486b953aebe0a9afa34e781f15df76e0545515537ca3a0324ae9801466",
    "text": "+99.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
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     {
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     },
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