Sam Varley: football tipster record

Where Sam Varley publishes

Published under this name on footballwhispers.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/sam-varley/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 2 October 2026 · 57 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

5 predictions recorded before kick-off. None of the 5 was right.

Prices implied by market

By market: Both teams to score 0 of 3 (0 W / 3 L) Small sample (3); Match result 2 of 3 (2 W / 1 L) Small sample (3); Over/under goals 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L) Small sample (3); Corners over/under 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Correct score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

None of the 20 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 4 of 9 matches; the market favourite was right in 6 of the same 9 matches.

A pre-match market favourite is known for 9 of 20 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Correct score · 18 matches

  Correct score 0/18 (18 matches); Goals over/under 1/5 (5 matches); Match result (1X2) 3/5 (5 matches); Both teams to score 0/3 (3 matches); Corners and cards 1/1 (1 match); Other markets 0/1 (1 match)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 0/18

  Exact scores: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Sam Varley? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Sam Varley has published.

Source we monitor

footballwhispers.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

2 October – 7 November 2026

Without a match page

19 predictions

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

103

Predictions

57

Qualifying picks

11

Settled picks

11

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 7 opinions and 39 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−269.52 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 11 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −24.5% on 11 live picks settled in this window · 6 matches · 21 October – 5 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−17.0% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

−24.5% on 11 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

−69.52 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−17.0% on 10 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 28 October 2026

Before

−481.13 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−69.52 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−381.13 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−481.13 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 22 October 2026

Before

−81.13 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−381.13 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 21 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−81.13 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

2 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (30 shown)

• “Bromley will hope to make a winning start to progress in the cup.” — 5 November 2026, 22:06 GMT · source
• “With pressure surely growing on Jones, and the international break arguably coming at a decent time to arrest Charlton's slump” — 5 November 2026, 22:29 GMT · source
• “Drury may opt to rotate his Huddersfield team at the weekend to rest some key men” — 5 November 2026, 22:51 GMT · source
• “Luton Town will be desperate to kickstart their season with a home win on Tuesday.” — 18 October 2026, 21:23 BST · source

• Rotherham United will likely remain without Ossama Ashley, Jamie Jellis, Fabio Tavares

  5 Nov 2026, 22:06 GMT · Source

• Bromley are set to remain without goalkeeper Shamal George, defender Chanse Headman

  5 Nov 2026, 22:06 GMT · Source

• Stendel should field a near full-strength XI with the Reds desperate for a win to turn their fortunes

  5 Nov 2026, 22:18 GMT · Source

• Barnsley are set to remain without attackers Ben Hamed Toure and Fabio Jalo on Saturday

  5 Nov 2026, 22:18 GMT · Source

• Sheffield United are without forwards Patrick Bamford and Ryan One and midfielder Joe Rothwell

  5 Nov 2026, 22:29 GMT · Source

• Charlton Athletic remain unable to call on winger Rob Apter, who has been sidelined since early September.

  5 Nov 2026, 22:29 GMT · Source

• Jake Doyle-Hayes, Gwion Edwards, Ajay Matthews, Danny Rose and Daniel Watts sidelined.

  5 Nov 2026, 22:51 GMT · Source

• Jack Whatmough, Herbie Kane, Marcus McGuane, Murray Wallace and Bojan Radulovic will likely

  5 Nov 2026, 22:51 GMT · Source

• Bradford City's Tyreik Wright and Josh Neufville remain confined to the treatment room.

  23 Oct 2026, 07:52 BST · Source

• Oxford United remain without midfielder Jamie McDonnell through injury

  23 Oct 2026, 07:52 BST · Source

• Huddersfield Town remain without defenders Radinio Balker, Murray Wallace and Jack Whatmough

  23 Oct 2026, 00:02 BST · Source

• The hosts sit at the foot of the division after a midweek defeat while the visitors find themselves

  23 Oct 2026, 00:02 BST · Source

• Derby County remain badly hit by injuries, with Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Sondre Langas, Charlie

  22 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST · Source

• Sheffield United's injury troubles have eased in recent weeks, but they remain without Femi Seriki

  22 Oct 2026, 15:54 BST · Source

• Luton Town are without Shandon Baptiste, Shayden Morris, Benedict Benagr and Gideon Kodua

  18 Oct 2026, 21:23 BST · Source

• Sheffield Wednesday are still without Sil Swinkels, Tyler Onyango, Jordi Liongola and Louie Barry

  18 Oct 2026, 19:50 BST · Source

• Notts County remain unable to call on Matty Platt, Lewis Macari, Dean Campbell and Emile Acquah

  18 Oct 2026, 19:50 BST · Source

• Two sides fighting at opposite ends of the League One table will square off at Meadow Lane

  18 Oct 2026, 19:50 BST · Source

• Reyes Cleary remains their star man going forward with five goals and two assists

  15 Oct 2026, 22:26 BST · Source

• Gassan Ahadme has scored in consecutive games to make it four in eight games

  15 Oct 2026, 22:26 BST · Source

• Callum Stead, Callum Perry and Shane McLoughlin ruled out.

  15 Oct 2026, 22:26 BST · Source

• midfielder Luca Connell will continue to serve a three-match suspension

  15 Oct 2026, 22:26 BST · Source

• Barnsley remain without goalkeeper Cieran Slicker

  15 Oct 2026, 22:26 BST · Source

• Jack Armer has scored three league goals from a wing-back role this season

  8 Oct 2026, 23:02 BST · Source

• While Gary Bowyer's men have conceded 15 goals in those games

  8 Oct 2026, 23:02 BST · Source

• Grant McCann's side scored just six goals and conceded nine in those games

  8 Oct 2026, 23:02 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (3)

• Bankroll card — Sam Varley
• A month following Sam Varley
• Said → happened — Sam Varley

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Sam Varley

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• Record details and history below