Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Mark Blucerchiato before kick-off across 14 matches between 11 October and . At our recorded market prices these picks returned +24.8% on the total staked.
Tracking level: Probation — day 28 of 30 needed for Tracked · 16 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Mark Blucerchiato before kick-off across 14 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +24.8% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Mark Blucerchiato, 16 are linked to matches: 16 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
140 statements read → 36 predictions → 16 linked to matches → 16 recorded before kick-off → 16 outcome-checked → 14 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
On 13 picks with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 3 (23.1% Small sample (13)), within 5.0% on 10; median difference 3.1% Small sample (13).
Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.
Asian handicap 0.5: Sassuolo +0.5without a stated priceRecorded 7 h before kick-offExcluded from the returnno market price · not in the headline series
Mark Blucerchiato on Forecast Record: 11 won of 14 settled pre-match picks (avg odds 1.63, small sample, 11 October–7 November 2026). Every pick recorded before kick-off: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mark-blucerchiato/
Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 14 settled live picks, 14 matches · View changes to this record
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mark-blucerchiato/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 36 predictions · last change 5 November 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
1 prediction recorded before kick-off. It was not right.
Prices implied by market
By market: Over/under goals 5 of 6 (5 W / 1 L, average odds 1.64) Small sample (6); Match result 4 of 5 (4 W / 1 L, average odds 1.67) Small sample (5); Corners over/under 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.44) Small sample (2); Result and total goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.70) Small sample (1).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price
13
11 October –
+32.3%
+25.1%
Closing price
10
11 October –
+20.4%
+7.9%
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Record details and history
Record history · 2
7 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct–1 Nov 2026 · removed · corrected · recomputed after a correction to the record
5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct–31 Oct 2026 · removed · corrected · recomputed after a correction to the record
Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
13
3 (23.1%)
0
10
+3.1%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 10 of 13 within 5.0% · 3 of 13 more than 5.0% aboveEach bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 23 opinions and 81 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+346.74 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 14 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,400 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +24.8% on 14 live picks settled in this window · 14 matches · 11 October – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
New results ·
Before
+31.5% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
After
+24.8% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
Before
+28.0% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)
After
+31.5% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
Before
+228.74 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+28.0% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)
Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
Before
+146.10 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+228.74 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
Before
+75.10 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+146.10 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Before
−7.07 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+75.10 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.
New results ·
Before
−72.86 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−7.07 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
Before
−142.86 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−72.86 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
Before
−42.86 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−142.86 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Before
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−42.86 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Method changed ·
Before
no published headline number
After
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
(): the live market price of a pick is the market price at the moment the pick was first recorded, before kick-off. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, 2 days before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (55 shown)
“Jeg forventer det godt kan blive et låst opgør, og hvor øboerne har fokus på det defensive.” — · source
“Feyenoord er et stærkt og solidt hjemmehold på De Kuip, og hvor man har en god 12 mand på lægterne” — · source
“Jo længere man kommer ind i opgøret og stillingen forsat er uafgjort så er jeg ikke sikker på” — · source
“Jeg forventer et helt åbent opgør som godt kan gå hen og blive både målrigt og underholdne” — · source
“Serie B er en svær liga og hvor alle kan slå alle på dagen” — · source
“Jeg forventer et underholdne opgør, og hvor mål og chancer bør være på menuen.” — · source
“Oprykkerne fra Monza kan ikke møde gæsterne på et bedre tidspunkt, og de kan måske godt gå ud” — · source
“Med rotation eller ej så er dette et opgør Inter skal vinde, og derfor forventer jeg også de henter en pligtsejr.” — · source
“Selv med en del rotation dufter det af en udesejr” — · source
“jeg tør godt sige når vi når til Maj er de ikke i Top 5.” — · source
“Med kun et point i fire opgør har værterne behov for point, og kom tilbage på det rigtige spor igen.” — · source
“Jeg forventer et opgør hvor Como vil være mest på bolden og dominerende, og Torino vil blive” — · source
“Jeg forventer det godt kan blive et bøvlet opgør for Frosinone” — · source
“Jeg forventer det bliver et opgør, og hvor Palermo igen vil være spillestyrende og i kontrol.” — · source
“Det store problem for Bologna er de endnu ikke er gået fra banen uden, at de har lukket mål ind.” — · source
“Et tidligt mål i opgøret vil måske åbne op for tingene i begge ender af banen.” — · source
“Det vigtigste for Porto er en sejr i aftens opgør, og kan de hive en 1-0 sejr vil de være” — · source
De foreventede startopstillinger kommer cirka 11.30.