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 "heading": "Mark Blucerchiato: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 14 settled picks by Mark Blucerchiato recorded before kick-off across 14 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Mark Blucerchiato before kick-off across 14 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +24.8% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Mark Blucerchiato, 16 are linked to matches: 16 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:43.404Z",
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 "entity": {
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  "public_name": "Mark Blucerchiato",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-11",
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   "amount": "24.7671",
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   "n_bets": 14,
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   "ci_low": "-14.0764",
   "ci_high": "56.8107",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
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   "coverage_percent": "92.86",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 14 settled picks across 14 matches",
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 985714,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 992714,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 999293,
    "profit_hundredths": -707,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1000843,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1007510,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1014610,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1022874,
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  ],
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  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
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    "code_name": "ambiguous",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-71623cc25f5473ca0a4c80cd",
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   "quote_text": "De foreventede startopstillinger kommer cirka 11.30.",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-bda604b45df05e93df16ff05",
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   "quote_text": "Betano er i odds 1,75 på Under 3,25 Mål i lørdagens opgør på Sardinien.",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-355fe9f35642697831357f16",
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   "quote_text": "Jeg forventer det godt kan blive et låst opgør, og hvor øboerne har fokus på det defensive.",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-d331e8fb8b6d2fc9848cbe6f",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/picks/3/#pick-n-d331e8fb8b6d2fc9848cbe6f",
   "quote_text": "Cagliari - Frosinone: Under 3.25 Mål\n\n7 Nov 2026 15:00\n1.75",
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    "display_name": "Cagliari — Frosinone",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
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    "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "condition": "finished"
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   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.25 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 3.25",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.75",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
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   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.25 goals",
    "choice": "under 3.25",
    "author_odds": "1.75",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "3.25",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 3.25 goals: under 3.25 at 1.75"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
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    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "quote_text": "Jeg forventer et underholdne opgør, og hvor mål og chancer bør være på menuen.",
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   "quote_text": "PSV Eindhoven er svækket til aftens opgør da man må undvære Til, Van Bommel, Nagalo,",
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    "below": 0,
    "within": 10,
    "median_difference_percent": "3.1",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/picks/3/#pick-n-06c32fc6c47b4621b84afe94",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.70",
    "market": "1.16",
    "difference_percent": "47.2"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/picks/2/#pick-n-0506d428d9efcb9847d234fb",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.85",
    "market": "1.73",
    "difference_percent": "6.8"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "betxpert.com",
   "url": "https://www.betxpert.com/tips/cagliari-frosinone-07-11-2026"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-05",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 14,
  "matches": 14,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 34674,
  "staked_hundredths": 140000,
  "return_percent": "24.77",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-11",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Mark Blucerchiato before kick-off across 14 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +24.8% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Mark Blucerchiato, 16 are linked to matches: 16 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "14",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "14",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+346.74 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+24.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −14.1% to +56.8%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-12",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4286,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-14",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14286,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7286,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -707,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7510,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14610,
    "n": 8
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22874,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 30774,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 37774,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34674,
    "n": 14
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 14,
    "match_dates": 11,
    "period_from": "2026-10-11",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 34674,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14286,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-05",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 37774,
     "after_picks": 12
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-12",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4286,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14286,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7286,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -707,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7510,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14610,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22874,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 30774,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 37774,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34674,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Mark Blucerchiato before kick-off across 14 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +24.8% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Mark Blucerchiato, 16 are linked to matches: 16 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 36,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 20,
   "proven_predictions": 16,
   "proven_checked": 16,
   "proven_measured": 14,
   "proven_dates": 11,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 16,
     "checked": 16,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 14,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 14,
      "net_points_hundredths": 34674,
      "staked_hundredths": 140000,
      "return_percent": "24.77",
      "interval_low": "-14.08",
      "interval_high": "56.81",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "2.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 13,
       "return_main_percent": "25.13",
       "return_other_percent": "32.31",
       "settled_excluding_void": 13,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 32674,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 42000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 10,
       "return_main_percent": "7.87",
       "return_other_percent": "20.39",
       "settled_excluding_void": 10,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 7874,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 20391,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 16,
      "priced": 14
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 14,
      "won": 11,
      "won_percent": "78.6",
      "implied_percent": "62.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "62.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "60.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Corners over/under",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "72.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "58.8"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 1,
      "right": 0,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-06c32fc6c47b4621b84afe94",
   "n-285030f5a229ea285240e5e3",
   "n-3e54a5a77ce8af0878ef3948",
   "n-500dae6b137df4acf8ccd713",
   "n-55ada931bed67d0179dda75c",
   "n-5ce8947d4fe233f86ebeb14f",
   "n-6694ef6a9d0a473631e8d592",
   "n-ae9e92c996fe296d480d06b8",
   "n-c95afeb81c32b668a82cae2d",
   "n-ca9ecd5d5c0d620d93ce760c",
   "n-d331e8fb8b6d2fc9848cbe6f",
   "n-e62370ae399a6c63b6899551",
   "n-e932bf3827ff5c5fb54b1ab3"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-14.08",
  "interval_high": "56.81",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-11",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-d331e8fb8b6d2fc9848cbe6f",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/picks/3/#pick-n-d331e8fb8b6d2fc9848cbe6f",
   "match": "Cagliari v Frosinone",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 51.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.25 goals: under 3.25 at 1.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6900,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.75",
   "settled_price": "1.6900",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T10:11:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T10:19:23.407Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "under",
    "price": "1.6900",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 6900,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d331e8fb8b6d2fc9848cbe6f",
    "quote_text": "Cagliari - Frosinone: Under 3.25 Mål\n\n7 Nov 2026 15:00\n1.75",
    "fragment_from": 138,
    "fragment_to": 197,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.betxpert.com/tips/cagliari-frosinone-07-11-2026",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mark Blucerchiato",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b5fb185dac1e1c2a15f7e8c680af4c67d16a81c933d68fb292010d57dc7fe2ef",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T10:11:24.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T10:19:23.407Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:28:22.044Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-9ac332c1af50",
     "display_name": "Cagliari — Frosinone",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.25 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.25",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.75",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6900",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T10:15:38.141Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6900,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T10:11:24.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T10:11:24.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T10:19:23.407Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.25 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.25",
     "author_odds": "1.75",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.25",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.25 goals: under 3.25 at 1.75"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7bf6b24681f41ad0ca0cd053dd12d87a590000274904645f7e95f8e929a5f9ff",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.25 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.25",
      "decimal_odds": "1.75",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:28:18.318Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "202dc3c85cf747cbe74c66961923ebcac83d195eb901b362ddce5adf40fe089f",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.25 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.25",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6900",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6900,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:28:22.044Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mark Blucerchiato",
     "publisher": "BetXpert",
     "forecaster": "Mark Blucerchiato",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.betxpert.com/tips/cagliari-frosinone-07-11-2026",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 3.25 (Over/Under 3.25 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3e54a5a77ce8af0878ef3948",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/picks/3/#pick-n-3e54a5a77ce8af0878ef3948",
   "match": "Torino v Lecce",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/torino-vs-lecce-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 101.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Torino at 1.88",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "quote": "FC Porto - PSV Eindhoven: FC Porto + Over 1,5 Mål\n\n20 Oct 2026 21:00\n1.83",
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 "title_tag": "Mark Blucerchiato Predictions: Verified Record and Results",
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     "predictions": 36,
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  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 14,
   "matches": 14,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-11",
   "period_to": "2026-11-07",
   "composition_hash": "cf41a7c0b837b264f3ddfe2c1ac6bc9053ce543ad0444421cc5c0987d5dc4553"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-c49db5ed1f90e8b058d2",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "31.48",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 12,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8e63b27a531bf273a87bdc8a8aa71399f518e2101484642e2571be003ff266fd",
    "text": "+31.48% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "24.77",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 14,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "cf41a7c0b837b264f3ddfe2c1ac6bc9053ce543ad0444421cc5c0987d5dc4553",
    "text": "+24.77% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-5006fb4cfe1d993be4c1",
   "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
    "return_percent": "27.98",
    "settled_picks": 11,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a1d667dc09c8dfd853bf57214e49fee068fc0b02f88c73b144145ace63d6ab8f",
    "text": "+27.98% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "31.48",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 12,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8e63b27a531bf273a87bdc8a8aa71399f518e2101484642e2571be003ff266fd",
    "text": "+31.48% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-1aa9c1398cb9f2531dc0",
   "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.2",
    "return_percent": "25.42",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e92902e1d5a0d5e8dfa5148ae08d59d466840185abbf7e61075394d6e9d539eb",
    "text": "+228.74 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-02.1",
    "return_percent": "27.98",
    "settled_picks": 11,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a1d667dc09c8dfd853bf57214e49fee068fc0b02f88c73b144145ace63d6ab8f",
    "text": "+27.98% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-5227fda8328afd68afec",
   "at": "2026-11-01T16:20:36.348Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-01.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
    "return_percent": "18.26",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a66c9b765f29032e9a4c026a567efa36b1c86542a8afc4a806237f70585212d7",
    "text": "+146.10 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.2",
    "return_percent": "25.42",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e92902e1d5a0d5e8dfa5148ae08d59d466840185abbf7e61075394d6e9d539eb",
    "text": "+228.74 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-e644eb575406afc5f45c",
   "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "10.73",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2c719463b1ff1dfaa2552930d4fa730c0ee5f55feed16869e4f4a7b1d59ff9bc",
    "text": "+75.10 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-30.1",
    "return_percent": "18.26",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a66c9b765f29032e9a4c026a567efa36b1c86542a8afc4a806237f70585212d7",
    "text": "+146.10 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-5498fa76fd03dcc74e05",
   "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-28.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.41",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "4031adbf7efa681390f9bcc50d4737cd37ae190e4806bcc9d8ca6aeba5704c1c",
    "text": "−7.07 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "10.73",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2c719463b1ff1dfaa2552930d4fa730c0ee5f55feed16869e4f4a7b1d59ff9bc",
    "text": "+75.10 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-668647fc5f5be75f1814",
   "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-28.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-27.3",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "-18.21",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1b0f0de0d5e9c5de35609cb973014362a2b78a6d8f44500f9fda85d2c637621b",
    "text": "−72.86 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-28.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.41",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "4031adbf7efa681390f9bcc50d4737cd37ae190e4806bcc9d8ca6aeba5704c1c",
    "text": "−7.07 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-8933cedd0cc3e2493aea",
   "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.5",
    "return_percent": "-47.62",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ba1423c0027e06a4afad3a01e9f6760ba14977d204ef7b1f5dd7b8338453db08",
    "text": "−142.86 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "-18.21",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1b0f0de0d5e9c5de35609cb973014362a2b78a6d8f44500f9fda85d2c637621b",
    "text": "−72.86 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-e3e2cd0843317553c076",
   "at": "2026-10-18T08:07:07.527Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.4",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-12.5",
    "return_percent": "-21.43",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "3abc22c05aaab60f749dc0fa97b83b2c4cec4ed1b483c89236c383572cf681ed",
    "text": "−42.86 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.5",
    "return_percent": "-47.62",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ba1423c0027e06a4afad3a01e9f6760ba14977d204ef7b1f5dd7b8338453db08",
    "text": "−142.86 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-ba20b5083a34bbb7c0cd",
   "at": "2026-10-12T21:23:00.584Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-12.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-12.4",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-12.1",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "af7a1e0d2eaee0667805c6e75960a87bf180913c8dcae93366aa693d061bea44",
    "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-12.5",
    "return_percent": "-21.43",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "3abc22c05aaab60f749dc0fa97b83b2c4cec4ed1b483c89236c383572cf681ed",
    "text": "−42.86 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-77868d4f4efcef5d1127",
   "at": "2026-10-12T01:59:30.527Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-12.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.9",
   "url": "/authors/mark-blucerchiato/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-12.1",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "af7a1e0d2eaee0667805c6e75960a87bf180913c8dcae93366aa693d061bea44",
    "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-b5ddcd55c0a1342ef50f"
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 6,
      "won": 5,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 20831,
      "return_percent": "34.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-14",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.66",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 15293,
      "return_percent": "30.6",
      "period_from": "2026-10-12",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "corners_total",
      "in_words": "Corners over/under",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -8450,
      "return_percent": "-42.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-10-28",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.77",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "result_and_total",
      "in_words": "Result and total goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7000,
      "return_percent": "70.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-05",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.72",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Serie A",
      "in_words": "Serie A",
      "url": "/football/competitions/serie-a/",
      "settled_picks": 10,
      "won": 8,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 24774,
      "return_percent": "24.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.70",
      "odds_from_author": 9,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 9393,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-12",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.75",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 4,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 23831,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-28",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.63",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "corners_total",
        "in_words": "Corners over/under",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -8450,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-11",
        "period_to": "2026-10-28",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.77",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
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