Individual tipster · betbrothers.es

María Candelario: football tipster record

Forecast Record recorded 7 settled live picks by María Candelario before kick-off across 4 matches between 24 October and . Won 3 of 7 settled live picks at our recorded market prices.

Tracking level: Probation — day 30 of 30 needed for Tracked · 11 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work

Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules

Record summary

3 won / 4 lost; average odds 1.87

Small sample (7) · 7 settled picks · picks settled under method v2.2

Eligible prices were available for 7 of the 11 selections checked against the result.

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Forecast Record recorded 7 settled live picks by María Candelario before kick-off across 4 matches between 24 October and 7 November 2026. Won 3 of 7 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 14 predictions we hold for María Candelario, 11 are linked to matches: 11 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.

https://forecastrecord.com/authors/maria-candelario/

35 statements read → 14 predictions → 11 linked to matches → 11 recorded before kick-off → 11 outcome-checked → 7 at our recorded market price (+1 at other prices) · none found after kick-off

On 7 picks with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 0 Small sample (7), within 5.0% on 5.

Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.

Tipster, source and record definitions

Compare football tipsters and sources

María Candelario football prediction record: 7 settled live picks on 4 matches, 24 October 2026 – 7 November 2026.
María Candelario: 7 settled live picks on 4 matches, – . Figures as of .

Latest outcomes

From the headline series: 7 settled picks at our recorded market prices

Newest first · each result opens its evidence on this page

By market and competition

Recorded before kick-off · at our recorded market prices

Markets

Markets
MarketWonReturnAvg odds
Over/under goals2 W / 1 L— Small sample (3)1.51
Result and both teams to score0 W / 2 L— Small sample (2)2.54
Both teams to score1 W / 0 L— Small sample (1)1.44
Result and total goals0 W / 1 L— Small sample (1)2.02

Competitions

Competitions
CompetitionWonReturnAvg odds
Bundesliga3 W / 4 L— Small sample (7)1.87

Both tables count the same 7 settled live picks as the headline number.

Recorded picks and results

1–14 of 14

On this page: 8 settled · 0 pending · 6 excluded from the return

1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 FC Bayern München ·

Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: FC Bayern München to win and over 3.5 goals2.02 market priceRecorded 30.6 h before kick-offLost
juntando ambos se queda en una buena combinada, gana Bayern y más de 3.5 goles se paga a 1.90 por euro apostado.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.90, market 2.02, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 FC Bayern München ·

Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.51.60 market priceRecorded 30.6 h before kick-offLost
Mi pronóstico principal es que habrá más de 3,5 goles que se paga a 1.57 por euro apostado.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.57, market 1.60, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

FC Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund ·

Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.51.63 market priceRecorded 37.6 h before kick-offWon
Otra apuesta interesante es la de más de 3,5 goles, con una cuota de 1,66 por euro apostado que se puede combinar con otros eventos.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.66, market 1.63, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

FC Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund ·

BTTS: yes1.44 market priceRecorded 37.6 h before kick-offWon
Mi pronóstico principal es que ambos equipos marcan, con una cuota de 1,44 por euro apostado en la casa de apuestas Luckia.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.44, market 1.44, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart ·

Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.51.30 market priceRecorded 34.5 h before kick-offWon
el mercado de más de 2,5 goles, con una cuota de 1,32 por euro apostado, también resulta muy interesante.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.32, market 1.30, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart ·

Match result and both teams to score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, both teams to score: yes2.62 market priceRecorded 34.5 h before kick-offLost
Mi apuesta para este encuentro es victoria del Bayer Leverkusen y ambos equipos marcan, una combinada con una cuota de 2,50 por euro apostado en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 2.50, market 2.62, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt ·

Match result and both teams to score: Borussia Dortmund win, both teams to score: yes2.45 market priceRecorded 14.9 h before kick-offLost
Mi pronóstico es Borussia Dortmund gana y ambos equipos marcan, una combinación que encontramos con una cuota de 2.30 por euro apostado.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 2.30, market 2.45, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Bodø/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund ·

Over/Under 9 corners: over 91.83Recorded 18.6 h before kick-offWon
Y otra cuota que se paga muy bien y que es muy factible es la de más de 9 córners que se paga a 1.83 por euro apostado.
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.83, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal ·

Combined pick (bet builder or multiple), 2 legs: draw, both teams to score: yes (Match result and both teams to score) + …without a stated priceRecorded 18.8 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
una combinada con ambos marcan y más de 2.5 goles que nos deja una cuota de 1.83
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Pick and result
The pick matched the result
Why excluded
More than one reading of this statement is possible.
Cite · Report

Borussia Dortmund 2-2 SV Werder Bremen ·

Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.51.68Recorded 4.4 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
combinarla con más de 2.5 goles que se nos queda en 1.68 por euro apostado
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.68, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Pick and result
The pick matched the result
Why excluded
Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
Cite · Report

Borussia Dortmund 2-2 SV Werder Bremen ·

1X2: Borussia Dortmund1.36Recorded 4.4 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
iría a la victoria del Borussia Dortmund que se paga a 1.36 por euro apostado
betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated 1.36, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Pick and result
The pick did not match the result
Why excluded
Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
Cite · Report
Statements without a match (3)

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

ambos equipos marcan y que hay más de 2,5 goles que se paga a 1.53 por euro apostado en la casa de apuestas Tonybet.betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
v2.2
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

que Harry Kane, Kai Havertz, Luis Diaz, Ismael Saibari y Eberichi Eze harán más de un remate, sumando una cuota de 2.87 por euro apostadobetbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
v2.2
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

iría claramente a la combinada con la victoria del Dortmund o empate sumada a más de 2.5 goles que se paga a 1.90 por euro apostado en la casa de apuestas Luckia.betbrothers.es
Tipster / Source
María Candelario
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
v2.2
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

About this record

Source tracked for María Candelario: betbrothers.es, observed since .

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María Candelario on Forecast Record: 11 pre-match predictions recorded (24 October–7 November 2026). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/maria-candelario/

Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)

Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 7 settled live picks, 4 matches · View changes to this record

Where María Candelario publishes

Published under this name on betbrothers.es.

Publishing platforms
PlatformBylinePredictionsSettled picksResult
betbrothers.esMaría Candelario147—

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/maria-candelario/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 14 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

2 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 1 of 2.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 2 of 3 (2 W / 1 L, average odds 1.51) Small sample (3); Result and both teams to score 0 of 2 (0 W / 2 L, average odds 2.54) Small sample (2); Both teams to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.44) Small sample (1); Result and total goals 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 2.02) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
PriceSame picksPeriodAt that priceReturn at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price724 October – −258 points−262.67 points
Closing price431 October – +89.41 points+37.33 points

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything María Candelario has published.

Source we monitor
betbrothers.es
Channels
website
Watched by us
9 October –
Without a match page
3 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared withPicks>5.0% above>5.0% belowWithinMedian
Our market price when we first recorded the pick70 (0.0%)25−1.8%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 2 of 7 more than 5.0% below · 5 of 7 within 5.0%
Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.90 against 2.02 (−6.2%) · 2.30 against 2.45 (−6.1%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements
35
Predictions
14
Qualifying picks
8
Settled picks
8

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 7 opinions and 14 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−262.67 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 7 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (700 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −262.67 points on 7 live picks settled in this window · 4 matches · 24 October – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

New results ·

Before
−62.67 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−262.67 points on 7 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results ·

Before
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−62.67 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results ·

Before
no published headline number
After
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us
, 1 day before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website

Statements other than predictions (21 shown)

  • “El Bayern parte como claro favorito por su potencial ofensivo y su excelente rendimiento a domicilio” — · source
  • “Espero un partido atractivo para el espectador, con ocasiones y goles.” — · source
  • “Espero un partido intenso, con ocasiones y alternativas, aunque el Bayern parte como claro favorito.” — · source
  • “un duelo mucho más igualado de lo que podrían sugerir las cuotas.” — · source
  • “me parece más interesante buscar algo de valor en el mercado de goles.” — · source
  • “este fin de semana tras encajar dos tantos en cuatro minutos en los últimos diez del partido en Bundesliga” — · source
  • “sin no hubiera habido parón me resulta muy suculenta la de que ambos no marcan que se paga a 2.20” — · source
  • los locales tendrán que recomponer su defensa por las sanciones de Stefan Posch y Phillipp Mwene.

    · Source

  • Kompany seguirá sin sentarse en el banquillo por enfermedad, así que Aaron Banks afronta este compromiso

    · Source

  • Michael Olise, autor de un doblete en el último encuentro, está siendo uno de los futbolistas más desequilibrantes

    · Source

  • +18 / Publicidad / Juego Responsable

    · Source

  • Tampoco podrá jugar Jamal Musiala, aunque Kompany recupera a Michael Olise

    · Source

  • Luis Díaz, autor de un hat-trick frente al Leipzig, sufrió una lesión muscular en los isquiotibiales y no estará disponible.

    · Source

  • han encajado dieciséis goles en seis jornadas y vienen de sufrir un contundente por seis a cero

    · Source

  • La principal preocupación del Dortmund es la baja de Konstantinos Karetsas.

    · Source

  • Madueke, Saka y Rice son los jugadores más determinantes en este inicio de campaña.

    · Source

  • Michael Olise, expulsado en el anterior partido por doble amarilla, no estará sobre el terreno de juego.

    · Source

  • Arriba, Silva, Guirassy, Karetsas y Beier serán los encargados de avasallar la portería rival.

    · Source

  • En el partido anterior, Kovac hizo rotaciones, lo que nos hace indicar que de inicio jugarán Nmecha y Veerman

    · Source

  • Bremen solo ha ganado una vez de sus últimas trece visitas al Signal Iduna Park.

    · Source

  • el Werder Bremen, ha perdido a Karl Hein, quien regresó de la convocatoria de Estonia con molestias

    · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Separate price series for each prediction; only the headline series enters the main return.
PredictionSeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München LostAt the author's stated priceMatch result and over/under 3.5 goals — FC Bayern München to win and over 3.5 goals1.90100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München LostAt an independent odds snapshotMatch result and over/under 3.5 goals — FC Bayern München to win and over 3.5 goals2.02100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München LostAt the author's stated priceOver/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.51.57100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München LostAt an independent odds snapshotOver/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.51.60100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund WonAt the author's stated priceOver/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.51.66100.00Won66.00v2.2
FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund WonAt an independent odds snapshotOver/Under 3.5 goals — over 3.51.63100.00Won62.89v2.2
FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund WonAt the author's stated priceBoth teams to score — yes1.44100.00Won44.00v2.2
FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund WonAt an independent odds snapshotBoth teams to score — yes1.44100.00Won44.44v2.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart WonAt the author's stated priceOver/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.51.32100.00Won32.00v2.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart WonAt an independent odds snapshotOver/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.51.30100.00Won30.00v2.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart LostAt the author's stated priceMatch result and both teams to score — Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, both teams to score: yes2.50100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart LostAt an independent odds snapshotMatch result and both teams to score — Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, both teams to score: yes2.62100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt LostAt the author's stated priceMatch result and both teams to score — Borussia Dortmund win, both teams to score: yes2.30100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt LostAt an independent odds snapshotMatch result and both teams to score — Borussia Dortmund win, both teams to score: yes2.45100.00Lost−100.00v2.2
Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund WonAt the author's stated priceOver/Under 9 corners — over 91.83100.00Won83.00v2.2

Record definitions and related evidence