Marco Avena: football tipster record

Where Marco Avena publishes

Published under this name on sportytrader.it.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/marco-avena/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 188 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

21 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 10 of 21.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 7 of 17 (prices implied 47.0% Small sample (17)); Over/under goals 8 of 15 (prices implied 58.1% Small sample (15)); Both teams to score 7 of 12 (prices implied 59.6% Small sample (12)); Player to score 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 2.29) Small sample (2); Double chance 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.32) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

3 predictions; 0 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Marco Avena has published.

Source we monitor

sportytrader.it

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 6 November 2026

Without a match page

97 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 2.00 against 2.20 (−9.1%) · 1.65 against 1.81 (−8.8%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

914

Predictions

188

Qualifying picks

55

Settled picks

51

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 62 opinions and 664 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−556.15 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 47 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (4,700 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −11.8% on 47 live picks settled in this window · 25 matches · 10 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−19.3% on 35 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−11.8% on 47 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 9 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−16.9% on 32 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−19.3% on 35 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 7 November 2026

Before

−17.0% on 30 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−16.9% on 32 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

−14.1% on 29 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (29)

After

−17.0% on 30 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−26.0% on 26 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

After

−14.1% on 29 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (29)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−22.7% on 23 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

After

−26.0% on 26 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−11.1% on 20 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

After

−22.7% on 23 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−18.7% on 18 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

After

−11.1% on 20 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 30 October 2026

Before

−18.8% on 16 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

After

−18.7% on 18 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 29 October 2026

Before

−12.9% on 11 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

After

−18.8% on 16 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−75.99 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−12.9% on 11 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−119.99 points on 8 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−75.99 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

−337.11 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−119.99 points on 8 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 22 October 2026

Before

−137.11 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−337.11 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−237.11 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−137.11 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

New results · 18 October 2026

Before

−137.11 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−237.11 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Data corrected · 14 October 2026

Before

−37.11 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−137.11 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Data corrected: line sign (1 pick); 1 pick added.

New results · 10 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−37.11 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

9 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (65 shown)

• “Il Napoli sta attraversando una crisi di identità che non si registrava da tempo.” — 6 November 2026, 11:40 GMT · source
• “Una situazione precaria che vede in bilico anche la panchina del tecnico livornese.” — 6 November 2026, 11:40 GMT · source
• “il Nottingham Forest non è riuscito a trovare la giusta forma sotto la guida dell'ex allenatore” — 5 November 2026, 17:40 GMT · source
• “sono gli ospiti ad essere favoriti per la vittoria finale.” — 5 November 2026, 17:40 GMT · source
• “Gli isolani dovranno rispondere presente per arginare la forza offensiva della squadra di Massimiliano” — 5 November 2026, 14:09 GMT · source
• “Il Frosinone è stato brillante da vedere e molto più convincente quando è in forma rispetto al Cagliari” — 5 November 2026, 14:09 GMT · source
• “il Frosinone di Massimiliano Alvini ha offerto un gioco spettacolare, dimostrando anche grande efficacia” — 5 November 2026, 14:09 GMT · source
• “il Cagliari di Fabio Pisacane ha collezionato nell'ultimo turno la quarta sconfitta consecutiva.” — 5 November 2026, 14:09 GMT · source
• “Un Lorenzo Musetti in grande spolvero ritrova il francese Luca Van Assche” — 5 November 2026, 09:39 GMT · source

• Milla sembra l'elemento certo con uno tra Perrone e Caqueret pronto ad affiancarlo.

  · Source

• Tra i pali è Sanchez ad essere favorito su Butez

  · Source

• Analisi della panchina di Inter-Como: la rosa a disposizione

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di Inter e Como

  · Source

• Al momento su Bet365. Offerta limitata nel tempo

  · Source

• Il Como attraversa un momento magico: mercoledì ha colto la sesta vittoria di fila tra tutte le competizioni

  · Source

• L'Inter ha però vinto 5 gare di fila in casa in Serie A e 6 affermazioni casalinghe consecutive in

  · Source

• In seguito al ko per 3-1 nella stracittadina milanese di domenica scorsa, prima battuta d'arresto

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 22.35% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Como vs Inter

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Inter e Como è del 26.12%

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 51.53% per un pronostico Vittoria Inter

  · Source

• Da valutare i vari Gudmunsson, Rovella e Marusic.

  · Source

• Marianucci squalificato nel Napoli. Nella Lazio si è fermato Zaccagni per un problema muscolare.

  · Source

• In casa Napoli le cose vanno piuttosto male e l'ambiente "fumantino" non dà certo una mano

  · Source

• Gli uomini di Gennaro Gattuso guidano la classifica con la miglior difesa del torneo

  · Source

• Una striscia così vincente non si registrava dal 2020.

  · Source

• A Napoli arriva una Lazio che vola grazie al sesto successo di fila, il 2-1 sul Cagliari.

  · Source

• Questo trend negativo mette a forte rischio la panchina di Massimiliano Allegri

  · Source

• Il Napoli sta affrontando una crisi profonda dopo il pesante 4-1 incassato in casa del Porto

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 40.59% per un pronostico Vittoria Napoli

  · Source

• La quota migliore sul mercato Sudafrica vincente vs Italia al momento è a 1.02 su SNAI.

  · Source

• Su Planetwin365 troviamo la quota più alta per il pareggio tra Italia e Sudafrica, a 41.

  · Source

• La migliore quota per il segno 1 vincente - vittoria Italia vs Sudafrica è attualmente a 19 su Planetwin365.

  · Source

• Per chi decidesse di scommettere su Nottingham Forest - Manchester City, bisogna sapere che Snai mette a disposizione dei nuovi clienti un bonus fino a 2003€.

  · Source

• I precedenti tra Nottingham Forest e Manchester City - Gli scontri diretti

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Nottingham Forest e Manchester

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 16.92% per un pronostico Vittoria Nottingham

  · Source

• Le chiavi del centrocampo sono affidate a Olaf Gorter, affiancato da Oumar Ngom e Youssef Maleh.

  · Source

• Seguire Torino - Lecce

  · Source

• Il rendimento esterno dei pugliesi resta deficitario, con quattro ko in sei gare lontano dal Va

  · Source

• Torino-Lecce: condizioni e ultime notizie

  · Source

• I precedenti tra Torino e Lecce - Gli scontri diretti

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 30.25% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Lecce vs Torino

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Torino e Lecce è del 29.5% con

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 40.25% per un pronostico Vittoria Torino

  · Source

• Scelta del giorno Il pronostico a massima fiducia della redazione, ogni giorno.

  · Source

• Le migliori quote per scommettere sulla partita Torino - Lecce

  · Source

• Il Lecce, sotto la guida di Eusebio Di Francesco, ha mostrato maggiore propensione al gioco in questa stagione

  · Source

• Ignazio Abate e il suo Torino avevano collezionato tre vittorie consecutive dopo la lunga pausa dedicata alle nazionali

  · Source

• Tuttavia, nessun tipo di profitto o vincita è garantito.

  · Source

• Bisognerà poi depositare un primo versamento minimo di 20€ e l'operatore erogherà il bonus al 50

  · Source

• Innanzitutto occorre iscriversi sul sito ufficiale Sisal.it, inserendo nel form di registrazione

  · Source

• Chi desidera scommettere su Cagliari Calcio - Frosinone Calcio può usufruire dell'offerta di benvenuto

  · Source

• 5100€ offerti per scommettere

  · Source

• In attacco, l'inamovibile Daniel Maldini agirà sulla trequarti a supporto dell'unica punta

  · Source

• Cagliari senza lo squalificato Obert.

  · Source

• Al momento su Sisal. Offerta limitata nel tempo

  · Source

• Cagliari Calcio 1 : 0 Frosinone Calcio

  · Source

• Uno dei grossi problemi della squadra di Fabio Pisacane è l'attacco visto che è il terzo peggiore

  · Source

• Il Cagliari è reduce da 4 sconfitte di fila e, compreso il pari con la Juventus, non vince da

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 27.84% per un pronostico Vittoria Cagliari

  · Source

• Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus 2.60 3.60 2.40

  · Source

• Gli ultimi risultati di Lorenzo Musetti e Luca Van Assche

  · Source

• Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus 1.30 3.40 1.34 3.40 1.33 3.40 1.30 3.40 1.38 3.00

  · Source

• Davanti a Okoye, la difesa a tre sarà guidata da Solet, affiancato da Abankwah e Palma.

  · Source

• Queste cinque sfide sono accomunate dal fatto che sono sempre stati segnati 3 o più gol

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Marco Avena
• A month following Marco Avena
• Said → happened — Marco Avena
• Turning point — Marco Avena

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Marco Avena

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 10