SportyTrader.it: football prediction source record

About this publishing channel

SportyTrader.it is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Named authors at SportyTrader.it

• Alberto Mauro 48 settled live picks here · 203 predictions
• Marco Avena 47 settled live picks here · 188 predictions
• Massimiliano Ciancaglioni 24 settled live picks here · 129 predictions
• Matteo Oneto 22 settled live picks here · 117 predictions
• Daniele Cerato 19 settled live picks here · 94 predictions
• Sergio Stanco 15 settled live picks here · 177 predictions
• Manal Jaddour 1 settled live pick here · 26 predictions

Each author's record is on their own page and is not part of the product totals above.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sportytrader-it/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 155 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

11 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 2 of 11.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 2 of 4 (2 W / 2 L, average odds 1.70) Small sample (4); Both teams to score 2 of 3 (2 W / 1 L, average odds 1.74) Small sample (3); Match result 0 of 3 (0 W / 3 L, average odds 2.59) Small sample (3); Result and both teams to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 5.90) Small sample (1); Result and total goals 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 2.76) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything SportyTrader.it has published.

Source we monitor

sportytrader.it

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 6 November 2026

Without a match page

119 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this source stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the source's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the source’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.90 against 1.68 (+13.1%) · 5.50 against 5.90 (−6.8%)

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

680

Predictions

155

Qualifying picks

13

Settled picks

12

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 78 opinions and 447 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−507.26 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 12 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,200 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −42.3% on 12 live picks settled in this window · 12 matches · 10–27 October 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−47.9% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

−42.3% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 28 October 2026

Before

−52.7% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

After

−47.9% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 28 October 2026

Before

−447.25 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−52.7% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−247.25 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−447.25 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−147.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−247.25 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

−47.25 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−147.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 22 October 2026

Before

+52.75 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−47.25 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 11 October 2026

Before

−28.57 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+52.75 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 10 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−28.57 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

9 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (66 shown)

• “C'è molta curiosità riguardo alla reazione del pubblico e dei giocatori dopo la generazionale sconfitta” — 6 November 2026, 19:54 GMT · source
• “Partita assolutamente da tenere d'occhio quella del Bollaert-Delelis di domenica tra Lens e Marsiglia.” — 6 November 2026, 19:54 GMT · source
• “La Serie B è sempre molto equilibrata” — 6 November 2026, 18:40 GMT · source
• “Sconsigliamo di scommettere sull'1X2” — 6 November 2026, 15:54 GMT · source
• “Partita dall'esito incerto tra squadre che hanno iniziato bene e hanno poi deluso nell'ultimo mese.” — 6 November 2026, 15:54 GMT · source
• “Contro un avversario forse più morbido ha però l'opportunità di giocare con meno pressione” — 6 November 2026, 15:54 GMT · source
• “Anche in Europa League perdendo con la Juventus ha continuato la propria striscia negativa” — 6 November 2026, 15:54 GMT · source
• “A differenza del Benevento ha vinto l'ultima di campionato (contro il Pisa) ed è tornato al gol” — 5 November 2026, 18:39 GMT · source
• “Prevediamo una vittoria ospite. Pronostico Mantova Verona: 2.” — 5 November 2026, 16:24 GMT · source
• “non consigliamo di scommettere sull'1X2: sarebbe un azzardo” — 5 November 2026, 14:24 GMT · source
• “Che OM vedremo a Leverkusen?” — 3 November 2026, 20:10 GMT · source

• Per chi decidesse di scommettere su Lens - Marsiglia, bisogna sapere che Snai mette a disposizione

  · Source

• Gli ultimi risultati di Lens e Marsiglia

  · Source

• Classifica

  · Source

• Come arrivano Lens e Marsiglia a questa sfida

  · Source

• Le migliori quote per scommettere sulla partita Lens - Marsiglia

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• Per chi decidesse di scommettere su L.R. Vicenza - Cremonese, bisogna sapere che Snai mette a disposizione dei nuovi clienti un bonus fino a 2003€.

  · Source

• La Cremonese schiera molti giocatori di alto livello e di grande esperienza anche in Serie A come Bonazzoli e Thorsby.

  · Source

• La Cremonese ha vinto le ultime due.

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 23.32% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Cremonese vs

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra L.R. Vicenza e Cremonese…

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di AZ Alkmaar e Groningen

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• I precedenti tra AZ Alkmaar e Groningen - Gli scontri diretti

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• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 24.58% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Groningen

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra AZ Alkmaar e Groningen è del

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 51.15% per un pronostico Vittoria AZ

  · Source

• Schiera uno dei capocannonieri del campionato, la sorpresa Willumsson, e il giocatore più conosciuto

  · Source

• 2100€ offerti per scommettere

  · Source

• Al momento su Eurobet. Offerta limitata nel tempo

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di Stade Rennes FC e Lilla

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 26.36% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Lilla

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Stade Rennes FC e Lilla

  · Source

• Bonus Betsson da utilizzare su Twente - Ajax

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di Twente e Ajax

  · Source

• L'Ajax non è arrivato a 9 ma già in cinque occasioni questa stagione ha segnato almeno 5 gol, l'ultima

  · Source

• Il Twente è stato protagonista di una delle storie di calcio del weekend avendo battuto l'Excelsior

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 19.44% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Ajax vs Twente

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Twente e Ajax è del 21.69%

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 58.87% per un pronostico Vittoria Twente

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di Benevento e US Avellino 1912

  · Source

• I precedenti tra Benevento e US Avellino 1912 - Gli scontri diretti

  · Source

• 1 ago 2026 - Partite Amichevoli Club Frosinone Calcio 2 : 2 Benevento

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 45.61% per un pronostico Vittoria Benevento

  · Source

• Le migliori quote per scommettere sulla partita Benevento - US Avellino 1912

  · Source

• I punti chiave del pronostico Mantova - Hellas Verona

  · Source

• Si tratta di uno dei pochi allibratori a proporre un bonus di benvenuto senza deposito all'iscrizione, oltre a un bonus sulla prima ricarica, per un totale di 4000€ da utilizzare su SS Juve Stabia - Arezzo.

  · Source

• Se si desidera giocare su SS Juve Stabia - Arezzo potrebbe essere conveniente utilizzare il bonus di benvenuto proposto da Betsson: in occasione di questa partita di Serie B, l'operatore offre fino a 4000€ per chi si registra tramite questo link sulla piattaforma del bookmaker per la prima volta.

  · Source

• Bonus Betsson da utilizzare su SS Juve Stabia - Arezzo

  · Source

• L'Arezzo ha segnato 8 gol su 9 nel secondo tempo.

  · Source

• La Juve Stabia ha segnato 8 gol su 11 nel secondo tempo.

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• Le ultime formazioni titolari di SS Juve Stabia e Arezzo

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• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 27.02% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Arezzo vs SS

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra SS Juve Stabia e Arezzo è del

  · Source

• La partita, arbitrata da Edoardo Mazzoni, vede di fronte due squadre che occupano le posizioni

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di Padova e Empoli

  · Source

• Migliori realizzatori e assistmen Padova Empoli Miglior Marcatore P. Fusi (1 Gol) , M. Pompetti

  · Source

• Giocatori assenti Padova Attaccante C. Buonaiuto G. Caprari K. Lasagna L. Zanimacchia

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 26.49% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Empoli vs Padova con una quota di 3.4 su Admiralbet.

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Padova e Empoli è del 29.91% con una quota di 3.35 su Netbet.

  · Source

• L'algoritmo di Sportytrader ⭐ valuta una probabilità del 43.6% per un pronostico Vittoria Padova contro Empoli con una quota di 2.2 su Bet365.

  · Source

• L'ultimo precedente è un'amichevole del 2023 finita 2-1 per il Bayer Leverkusen.

  · Source

• Sono assenti solo Emerson Palmieri e Cornelius ma la rosa è stata rimaneggiata in estate

  · Source

• Le ultime formazioni titolari di Bayer Leverkusen e Marsiglia

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 16.5% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Marsiglia vs Bayer

  · Source

• La probabilità secondo Sportytrader ⭐ per un pronostico Pareggio tra Bayer Leverkusen e Marsiglia…

  · Source

• Il nostro modello previsionale dà il 16.5% di probabilità ⭐ per una scommessa Vittoria Marsiglia

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (3)

• Bankroll card — SportyTrader.it
• A month following SportyTrader.it
• Turning point — SportyTrader.it

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 8