James Mason: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where James Mason publishes

Published under this name on racingpost.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/james-mason/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 40 predictions · last change 9 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 14 settled archived picks · +16.1%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

28 predictions; 16 checked against the final score.

14 settled selections across 8 matches, 1 September 2024 – 19 April 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +16.1%.

Eligible prices were available for 14 of the 16 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 6 of 14 decided picks (42.9%); the prices of the same picks implied 38.5%.

By market: Correct score 1 of 4 (prices implied 12.8%); Match result 2 of 4 (prices implied 45.3%); Over/under goals 2 of 4 (prices implied 56.4%); Result and both teams to score 1 of 1 (prices implied 40.9%); Win to nil 0 of 1 (prices implied 40.0%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 9 settled after-match picks · won 3 of 9

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

12 predictions; 10 checked against the final score.

9 settled selections across 7 matches, 6 August 2024 – 1 November 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −215.50 points.

Eligible prices were available for 9 of the 10 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 3 of 9 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 39.8%.

By market: Match result 1 of 4 (prices implied 43.8%); Over/under goals 1 of 2 (prices implied 53.3%); Result and both teams to score 1 of 2 (prices implied 31.7%); Correct score 0 of 1 (prices implied 12.7%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything James Mason has published.

Source we monitor

racingpost.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 17 October 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 6 August 2024

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

141

Predictions

40

Qualifying picks

28

Settled picks

26

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 40 opinions and 61 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+225.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 14 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,400 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 16 October 2026

Before

+9.3% on 13 settled picks across 7 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (13)

After

+16.1% on 14 settled picks across 8 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (14)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

+61.6% on 15 settled picks across 8 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (15)

After

+9.3% on 13 settled picks across 7 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (13)

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (15 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (13 settled picks).

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

+63.1% on 11 settled picks across 5 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (11)

After

+61.6% on 15 settled picks across 8 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (15)

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

17 October 2026, 21 days before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 17 October 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (51 shown)

• “they may struggle to score against the joint-best home defence in the Championship” — 31 October 2025, 16:00 GMT · source
• “they should have enough to overcome a Blackburn side who have lost their last two away matches.” — 31 October 2025, 16:00 GMT · source
• “are fancied to overcome Blackburn by that scoreline.” — 31 October 2025, 16:00 GMT · source
• “the Foxes can keep a Blackburn side who have netted just 10 times in the league at bay.” — 31 October 2025, 16:00 GMT · source
• “Thomas may struggle to keep himself out of the book.” — 31 October 2025, 16:00 GMT · source
• “the Foxes look capable of claiming the spoils and snapping their two-game losing streak.” — 31 October 2025, 16:00 GMT · source
• “it would be no surprise to see another attacking affair” — 30 September 2026, 16:43 BST · source
• “the chance of goals looks high” — 30 September 2026, 16:43 BST · source
• “another end-to-end encounter could be in store” — 30 September 2026, 16:43 BST · source
• “he can cut through this fragile Clarets backline.” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “Creative Williams to play big role” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “he looks capable of adding to his tally against a Burnley defence” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “Gibbs-White to deliver again” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “another nail can be hammered into their relegation coffin by Nottingham Forest” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “this looks like a prime opportunity for the Tricky Trees to clinch a crucial three points” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “The Clarets' relegation to the Championship is a matter of when, not if” — 18 April 2026, 17:00 BST · source
• “The Eagles are still defensively strong and are unlikely to offer up too many opportunities” — 23 August 2025, 17:00 BST · source

• Sign up with Sky Bet to bet on Aston Villa vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv in the Europa League.

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• NEW CUSTOMER OFFER £50 In Free Acca Bets When You Place A £10 Acca (5+ legs)

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Predicted line-up (4-2-3-1): Martinez; Cash, Lindelof, Torres, Maatsen; Onana, Bogarde; Sancho,

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Ross Barkley is ineligible.

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Tyrone Mings is set to miss the rest of the year because of a hamstring injury

  5 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• ♦ Villa have lost just twice at home this season ♦ The Villans have gone four matches at Villa Park without a clean sheet

  28 Jan 2026, 20:00 GMT · Source

• Market Odds Aston Villa 10-21 RB Salzburg 5-1 Draw 18-5 Odds correct at time of publishing

  28 Jan 2026, 20:00 GMT · Source

• Takumu Kawamura and John Mellber are both recovering from long-term knee injuries.

  28 Jan 2026, 20:00 GMT · Source

• Youri Tielemans will miss out after suffering an ankle injury in the Newcastle win

  28 Jan 2026, 20:00 GMT · Source

• Market Odds Leicester 8-11 Blackburn 10-3 Draw 3-1

  31 Oct 2025, 16:00 GMT · Source

• Dominic Solanke remains out and he has been joined in the treatment room by Richarlison

  · Source

• Fabian Schar serves the final match of his three-game suspension.

  · Source

• Ladbrokes are offering £25 in free bets when you bet £5 on Newcastle vs Tottenham.

  · Source

• Paddy Power odds boost: get 50-1 on Man Utd to beat Chelsea

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• Sign up with Sky Bet to bet on this match.

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• late call will be made on Zeki Amdouni, who has only recently returned to training.

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• Josh Laurent is available after serving a one-match ban

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer are all missing through injury.

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• John Victor, Willy Boly and Nicola Savona are sidelined.

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• Chris Wood and Murillo are both expected to recover from knocks suffered in the European victory

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• Callum Hudson-Odoi is out with a muscular injury picked up in Thursday's win over Porto

  18 Apr 2026, 17:00 BST · Source

• Pays out at 12-1 with bet365

  23 Aug 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• Douglas Luiz, Omari Hutchinson, James McAtee and Arnaud Kalimuendo all arriving in Nottinghamshire

  23 Aug 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• Eberechi Eze's departure to Arsenal has Crystal Palace scrambling to bring in reinforcements

  23 Aug 2025, 17:00 BST · Source

• Raul Jimenez should lead the line again although Marco Silva confirmed he won't play the full 90 minutes.

  7 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Antonee Robinson is Fulham's only absentee as he continues his recovery from a knee injury.

  7 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Nathan Patterson is still a couple of weeks away from returning and Jarrad Branthwaite is sidelined until next year.

  7 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Iliman Ndiaye picked up a couple of issues in the draw at Sunderland but has been confirmed as fit

  7 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Pays out at 11-2 with bet365

  7 Nov 2025, 17:00 GMT · Source

• Nikola Milenkovic is available after coming off in stoppage-time with cramp on Wednesday but Nicolas Dominguez and Ola Aina are sidelined and Murillo and Douglas Luiz are doubts.

  26 Sep 2025, 16:15 BST · Source

• ♦ Both teams to score has landed in Forest's last three assignments

  26 Sep 2025, 16:15 BST · Source

• ♦ Three of Sunderland's last four top-flight matches have gone under 2.5 goals

  26 Sep 2025, 16:15 BST · Source

• ♦ Ange Postecoglou has failed to win any of his first four games in charge of Forest

  26 Sep 2025, 16:15 BST · Source

• ♦ Sunderland have failed to score in their two away fixtures this season

  26 Sep 2025, 16:15 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — James Mason
• Said → happened — James Mason

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: James Mason

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition
• Corrected on 29 September 2026 : The author’s fractional price 6-4 was read as 7; as a decimal price it is 2.5.