Jake Osgathorpe: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Jake Osgathorpe publishes

Identity checked on 11 October 2026 against public sources: sportinglife.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Its own published record, checked

• 11 October 2026 · Jake Osgathorpe — Not directly comparable: the season total is published without its rows, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure; the claimed period starts on 1 August 2026, before our collection of this source began (28 September 2026).
• 11 October 2026 · Jake Osgathorpe — Its own rows add up to +7.45 points, not the +7.95 claimed. Not directly comparable: each row of its record is a whole column of several bets with one total, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure.

How the source counts and how we recount the same picks: each check, and the full list of record checks.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/jake-osgathorpe/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 499 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

13 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 8 of 13.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 3 of 3 (3 W / 0 L, average odds 2.17) Small sample (3); Player to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1); Team goals 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

1 of 21 score forecasts named the exact score (4.8%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 6 of 18 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 18 matches.

A pre-match market favourite is known for 18 of 21 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Archived before kick-off · 24 settled archived picks · +29.3%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

301 predictions; 186 checked against the final score.

24 settled selections across 22 matches, 17 August 2024 – 8 April 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +29.3% (95.0% interval −24.5% to +83.8%).

Eligible prices were available for 24 of the 186 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 13 of 24 decided picks (54.2%); the prices of the same picks implied 42.8%.

By market: Over/under goals 3 of 3 (3 W / 0 L, average odds 2.17) Small sample (3); Player to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1); Team goals 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

14 of 123 score forecasts named the exact score (11.4%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 63 of 123 matches; the market favourite was right in 66 of the same 123 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

8 predictions; 0 checked against the final score.

Source-reported history · 18 settled source-reported picks · +7.3%

The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.

21 predictions; 19 checked against the final score.

18 settled selections across 17 matches, 19 February 2025 – 13 May 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +7.3% (95.0% interval −47.5% to +66.8%).

Eligible prices were available for 18 of the 19 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 9 of 18 decided picks (50.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 47.6%.

By market: Over/under goals 3 of 3 (3 W / 0 L, average odds 2.17) Small sample (3); Player to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1); Team goals 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Correct score · 139 matches

  Correct score 15/139 (139 matches); Goalscorer picks 7/29 (26 matches); Player props 1/10 (10 matches); Goals over/under 4/9 (8 matches); Bet-builder combos 3/7 (7 matches); Match result (1X2) 3/6 (6 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 3/5 (5 matches); Team goals and win to nil 5/6 (5 matches)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 15/139

  before kick-off 1/16 · archive 14/123

  Exact scores: the rule

• Minority calls · 0/6

  Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.

  Minority calls: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 4.20 · 14 Jan 2025

  Nottingham Forest v Liverpool · Draw at 4.20 (archive closing price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Liverpool

  Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Draw calls · 15/41

  Draw calls: the rule

• Away calls · 21/37

  Away calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 20/59

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

• Most picked team: Aston Villa · 9/18

  Most picked team: the rule

• Result calls: 67 correct · 63.8 implied by prices

  135 result calls with a pre-match price for the named outcome (margin included).

  Correct against prices implied: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Jake Osgathorpe? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published; who made the predictions whose attribution is under review.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Jake Osgathorpe has published.

Source we monitor

sportinglife.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 7 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 17 August 2024

Without a match page

115 predictions

Attribution under review

9 predictions, kept out of this record’s totals

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off); Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Largest gaps: 1.91 against 1.61 (+18.6%) · 3.50 against 3.10 (+12.9%) · 2.10 against 1.89 (+11.4%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

1,144

Predictions

499

Qualifying picks

134

Settled picks

94

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 266 opinions and 377 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+702.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 24 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (2,400 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +101.18 points on 5 live picks settled in this window · 5 matches · 23 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 22 October 2026

Before

+21.6% on 28 settled picks across 26 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (28)

After

+29.3% on 24 settled picks across 22 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (24)

Data corrected: 4 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

+29.3% on 24 settled picks across 22 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (24)

After

+21.6% on 28 settled picks across 26 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (28)

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

+23.3% on 26 settled picks across 24 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (26)

After

+29.3% on 24 settled picks across 22 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (24)

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Data corrected · 18 October 2026

Before

+21.6% on 28 settled picks across 26 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (28)

After

+23.3% on 26 settled picks across 24 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (26)

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 18 October 2026

Before

+23.3% on 26 settled picks across 24 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (26)

After

+21.6% on 28 settled picks across 26 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (28)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 16 October 2026

Before

+21.6% on 28 settled picks across 26 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (28)

After

+23.3% on 26 settled picks across 24 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (26)

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 13 October 2026

Before

+15.0% on 25 settled picks across 24 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (25)

After

+21.6% on 28 settled picks across 26 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (28)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

+20.5% on 60 settled picks across 48 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

+15.0% on 25 settled picks across 24 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (25)

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (60 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (25 settled picks).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

28 September 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (34 shown)

• “should they avoid defeat at the Emirates it would go down as their best result of the season so far.” — 5 November 2026, 11:18 GMT · source
• “City have conceded multiple goals in six of their last nine, making them an easy swerve all things considered” — 5 November 2026, 11:18 GMT · source
• “Manchester City are a tempting 8/11 to win here.” — 5 November 2026, 11:18 GMT · source
• “Simon Hooper is the referee here and he's a good appointment for card backers” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “At least one centre-back has been booked in all of their last their last five games across the Premier League and Europa League” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “The angle to attack here is a card for an Ipswich centre-back.” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “Bournemouth are rolling right now. They have won seven straight games in all competitions” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “Mac Allister should get ample opportunity to pull the trigger.” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “Palace actually prop up the division for shots conceded this season” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “given the amount of shots the Reds are taking and the Eagles are conceding, we'll head to the player shots market.” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “That latter figure is alarming.” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “their attack continues to underwhelm.” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “Liverpool were poor last weekend against Arsenal and were beaten in Turkiye in midweek against Fenerbache” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “making this a hard one to call, especially with Brighton having played a taxing schedule” — 6 November 2026, 15:27 GMT · source
• “We have to expect some sort of a reaction from United here” — 29 October 2026, 11:56 GMT · source

• All odds correct at 15:30 GMT (06/11/26)

  6 Nov 2026, 15:27 GMT · Source

• Youri Tielemans joined Manchester United from Aston Villa in the summer

  6 Nov 2026, 15:27 GMT · Source

• Now on this bet we are taking Maguire without super sub as the prices for him to be carded with firms

  6 Nov 2026, 15:27 GMT · Source

• Both the Neto bets are slightly better priced with BetVictor (10/11 and 5/1), but we will be taking

  6 Nov 2026, 15:27 GMT · Source

• *All player prop prices chosen with Super Sub bar Maguire card

  6 Nov 2026, 15:27 GMT · Source

• which did mean a glance at Everton win to nil at 9/4. But, I'm not ready to trust the Toffees in that regard.

  4 Nov 2026, 11:15 GMT · Source

• with Coventry posting the worst attacking numbers in the league through nine games (0.92 xGF per game)

  4 Nov 2026, 11:15 GMT · Source

• Moyes' men are 8/11 to win the game on Friday which looks about right

  4 Nov 2026, 11:15 GMT · Source

• Odd correct at 18:00 GMT (03/11/26)

  3 Nov 2026, 21:19 GMT · Source

• Possibly more bets to be added...

  3 Nov 2026, 21:19 GMT · Source

• Odds correct at 14:00 GMT (27/10/26)

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• Doku drew four fouls last weekend at Villa Park, causing all sorts of problems

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• So Michael Carrick is going to be in the dugout for this game, making it anyones guess as to what version of Manchester United we will get.

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• TV: Sky Sports Main Event

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• Live odds, form and stats

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• The Blues will be without Cole Palmer and Joao Pedro for this game, while starting goalkeeper Emi Martinez

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• So Michael Carrick is going to be in the dugout for this game,

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• The Blues will be without Cole Palmer and Joao Pedro for this game, while starting goalkeeper Emi Martinez is out too.

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

• So Michael Carrick is going to be in the dugout for this game

  29 Oct 2026, 11:56 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Jake Osgathorpe
• A month following Jake Osgathorpe
• Said → happened — Jake Osgathorpe
• Turning point — Jake Osgathorpe

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Jake Osgathorpe

Check us

• How we count
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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Record details and history below
• L
• L
• L
• W
• W
• UEFA Europa League
• 25