Andrea Colucci: football tipster record

Where Andrea Colucci publishes

Published under this name on bottadiculo.it.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/andrea-colucci/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 1,592 predictions · last change 5 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

7 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 3 of 7.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 4 of 7 (4 W / 3 L, average odds 1.54) Small sample (7); Both teams to score 3 of 5 (3 W / 2 L, average odds 1.51) Small sample (5); Double chance 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.35) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

1 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 2 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 2 of the same 2 forecasts.

Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 2 forecasts on 1 match.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Archived before kick-off · 322 settled archived picks · −11.7%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

326 predictions; 323 checked against the final score.

322 settled selections across 133 matches, 19 July 2025 – 8 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −11.7% (95.0% interval −22.7% to −1.0%).

Eligible prices were available for 322 of the 323 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 175 of 322 decided picks (54.3%); the prices of the same picks implied 60.4%.

By market: Match result 4 of 7 (4 W / 3 L, average odds 1.54) Small sample (7); Both teams to score 3 of 5 (3 W / 2 L, average odds 1.51) Small sample (5); Double chance 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.35) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Source-reported history · 1,071 settled source-reported picks · −5.3%

The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.

1,083 predictions; 1,079 checked against the final score.

1,071 settled selections across 483 matches, 21 May 2025 – 17 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −5.3% (95.0% interval −11.3% to +0.8%).

Eligible prices were available for 1,071 of the 1,079 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 621 of 1,071 decided picks (58.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 60.9%.

By market: Match result 4 of 7 (4 W / 3 L, average odds 1.54) Small sample (7); Both teams to score 3 of 5 (3 W / 2 L, average odds 1.51) Small sample (5); Double chance 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.35) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

None of the 2 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 2 matches; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same 2 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts come from the source’s own published history; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

Record details and history

Record details

• Most recorded: Both teams to score · 123 matches

  Both teams to score 64/123 (123 matches); Goals over/under 66/109 (101 matches); Match result (1X2) 44/93 (92 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 15/22 (22 matches); Bet-builder combos 5/7 (7 matches); Correct score 1/2 (1 match)

  Most recorded bet type: the rule

• Exact scores · 1/2

  Exact scores: the rule

• Longest price: correct at 3.59 · 4 Nov 2026

  Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · Draw at 3.59 (our pre-match price)

  Correct at a long price: the rule

• Draw calls · 5/20

  Draw calls: the rule

• Away calls · 10/17

  Away calls: the rule

• Non-favourite calls · 4/19

  Non-favourite calls: the rule

• Result calls: 42 correct · 49.5 implied by prices

  88 result calls with a pre-match price for the named outcome (margin included).

  Correct against prices implied: the rule

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Andrea Colucci? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Andrea Colucci has published.

Source we monitor

bottadiculo.it

Channels

website

Watched by us

11 October – 5 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 21 May 2025

Without a match page

145 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.75 against 1.57 (+11.5%) · 1.38 against 1.27 (+8.7%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

2,256

Predictions

1,592

Qualifying picks

1,423

Settled picks

1,416

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 131 opinions and 532 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−178.18 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 14 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,400 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −12.7% on 14 live picks settled in this window · 14 matches · 15 October – 5 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Method changed · 7 November 2026

Before

−11.7% on 322 settled picks across 133 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−12.7% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (322 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (14 settled picks).

Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−11.0% on 325 settled picks across 133 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−11.7% on 322 settled picks across 133 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 13 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−11.0% on 325 settled picks across 133 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

First headline number for this record: 325 settled picks in the series “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

5 November 2026, 2 days before this page's data date

Observed

11 October 2026 — 5 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (63 shown)

• “Il margine resta comunque sottile sul piano del risultato” — 4 November 2026, 06:00 GMT · source
• “Una sfida da due o tre gol appare una traccia credibile” — 4 November 2026, 06:00 GMT · source
• “con 1-1 o 2-1 tra gli sviluppi plausibili.” — 4 November 2026, 07:08 GMT · source
• “Anche nel confronto tra le quote dei siti scommesse emerge un equilibrio da non sottovalutare” — 4 November 2026, 06:56 GMT · source
• “Un 1-1 oppure un 1-2 rientrerebbero in una partita combattuta” — 4 November 2026, 06:51 GMT · source
• “Uno 0-2 o un 1-2 sarebbero sviluppi coerenti con il differente momento delle due squadre” — 4 November 2026, 06:46 GMT · source
• “Sedici conclusioni di media testimoniano iniziativa, ma appena cinque tiri nello specchio nelle due giornate” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “In Europa la squadra belga ha disputato gare contenute, con una media di un gol e mezzo complessivo e una” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Anche in Conference League il cammino è diviso a metà, con il successo per 1-0 contro l’Aarhus e il ko per” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Il Gent ha alternato risultati molto diversi nelle ultime settimane: il 4-0 rifilato all’Anderlecht è stato” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Il problema è stato il rapporto fra produzione offensiva e tenuta dietro, perché i 6,49 expected gol concessi” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Le due gare continentali hanno però mostrato anche una capacità di creare occasioni: undici tiri in porta” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Il momento del KuPS racconta una squadra che nelle ultime cinque partite, tra campionato e Conference ” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Il Gent, dal canto suo, ha costruito il proprio bottino con il successo interno sull’Aarhus, ma lontano” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “Il KuPS ha incassato sei reti nelle prime due uscite continentali e deve ritrovare ordine dopo il ko di campionato” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “I finlandesi cercano i primi punti europei dopo due sconfitte, mentre i belgi hanno già mosso la classifica” — 4 November 2026, 06:40 GMT · source
• “I risultati europei fin qui registrati dalle due formazioni lasciano spazio a punteggi come 0” — 4 November 2026, 06:27 GMT · source
• “Resta però significativo il dato interno europeo: una vittoria e porta inviolata nell’unica gara” — 4 November 2026, 05:20 GMT · source
• “In casa in Europa League ha vinto 1-0 senza subire reti.” — 4 November 2026, 05:20 GMT · source
• “uno scenario come l’1-1 all’intervallo o una gara che si accende nuovamente nella ripresa” — 4 November 2026, 04:10 GMT · source

• Sette punti e imbattibilità nelle prime tre gare di Europa League.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• Tre punti nelle prime tre giornate di Europa League.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• Il Celta cerca una reazione dopo il pesante 0-3 incassato sul campo del Rayo Vallecano

  4 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• I belgi sono imbattuti e occupano il sesto posto, mentre gli spagnoli hanno raccolto tre punti

  4 Nov 2026, 06:00 GMT · Source

• Bookmaker Quota Bonus 1.62 2.500€ Verifica quota 1.60 5.100€ Verifica quota 1.62 5.010€

  4 Nov 2026, 08:00 GMT · Source

• Iberia 1999: imbattuta di recente, ma in Europa manca incisività

  4 Nov 2026, 08:00 GMT · Source

• FC Copenhagen: continuità e gol nel cammino europeo

  4 Nov 2026, 08:00 GMT · Source

• forma recente, numeri offensivi e fattore campo.

  4 Nov 2026, 08:00 GMT · Source

• Analisi, statistiche e quote di FC Copenhagen-Iberia 1999

  4 Nov 2026, 08:00 GMT · Source

• Due vittorie e tre sconfitte nelle ultime cinque partite disponibili.

  4 Nov 2026, 07:08 GMT · Source

• Cinque vittorie consecutive nelle ultime cinque partite disponibili.

  4 Nov 2026, 07:08 GMT · Source

• Bookmaker 1 X 2 Eurobet 2.45 3.60 2.60

  4 Nov 2026, 07:08 GMT · Source

• Analisi e quote di Trabzonspor-Friburgo, match di Conference League in programma giovedì

  4 Nov 2026, 07:08 GMT · Source

• Tre gol segnati e due subiti nelle prime due giornate europee.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:56 GMT · Source

• Quattro vittorie nelle ultime cinque partite tra tutte le competizioni.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:56 GMT · Source

• Borac Banja Luka: fiducia alta, ma il viaggio europeo pesa

  4 Nov 2026, 06:56 GMT · Source

• Mjallby AIF: l’Europa rilancia una difesa affidabile

  4 Nov 2026, 06:56 GMT · Source

• Il Borac arriva invece con quattro vittorie nelle ultime cinque partite complessive e rappresenta il principale motivo di cautela per una sfida che si annuncia equilibrata.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:56 GMT · Source

• Bookmaker Quota Bonus 1.43 7.305€ Verifica quota

  4 Nov 2026, 06:51 GMT · Source

• Il dato sulle grandi opportunità sprecate invita alla cautela

  4 Nov 2026, 06:51 GMT · Source

• In Conference League ha creato 9 grandi occasioni, realizzandone una sola.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:51 GMT · Source

• Midtjylland: tre vittorie di fila per rialzare il ritmo

  4 Nov 2026, 06:51 GMT · Source

• Bookmaker Quota Bonus 1.57 2.500€ Verifica quota

  4 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT · Source

• Hajduk Split: imbattuto e già convincente in coppa

  4 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT · Source

• Lincoln Red Imps: il nodo della tenuta europea

  4 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT · Source

• L’Hajduk ha risposto con un rotondo 5-0 sull’HNK Gorica

  4 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT · Source

• Il Lincoln arriva però all’appuntamento dopo due successi consecutivi in Premier Division

  4 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT · Source

• I gibilterriani hanno perso entrambe le prime uscite, mentre i croati hanno raccolto due vittorie

  4 Nov 2026, 06:46 GMT · Source

• Statistiche chiave di Aarhus GF-Braga

  4 Nov 2026, 06:27 GMT · Source

• Il Braga si presenta in Danimarca dopo una risposta convincente contro il Famalicão

  4 Nov 2026, 06:27 GMT · Source

• Sullo sfondo resta però l’incertezza tecnica del Braga, che il 20 ottobre ha esonerato Carlos Vicens dopo una fase complicata in campionato.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:27 GMT · Source

• L’Aarhus arriva dall’eliminazione subita sul campo del Brondby, mentre il Braga ha reagito con un netto 3-0 al Famalicão.

  4 Nov 2026, 06:27 GMT · Source

• I danesi hanno raccolto un punto nelle prime due uscite, i portoghesi tre

  4 Nov 2026, 06:27 GMT · Source

• Non ci sono precedenti tra Sunderland e Dinamo Zagabria.

  4 Nov 2026, 05:20 GMT · Source

• Statistiche chiave di Sunderland-Dinamo Zagabria

  4 Nov 2026, 05:20 GMT · Source

• Comparazione quote 1 Sunderland 2 Dinamo Zagabria 3 Statistiche 4 Sunderland-Dinamo Zagabria

  4 Nov 2026, 05:20 GMT · Source

• In trasferta europea ha incassato quattro reti in due partite.

  4 Nov 2026, 04:10 GMT · Source

• Tre vittorie e due sconfitte nelle ultime cinque partite.

  4 Nov 2026, 04:10 GMT · Source

• Il rendimento interno in Europa League merita comunque prudenza, perché l’unico precedente casalingo del torneo si è chiuso con una sconfitta per 2-1.

  4 Nov 2026, 04:10 GMT · Source

• La Real Sociedad ha costruito un cammino europeo vivace, con una media realizzativa superiore ai due gol a partita e una produzione costante di occasioni.

  4 Nov 2026, 04:10 GMT · Source

• Un pareggio con gol oppure un successo inglese con margine contenuto, come 1-1 o 1-2

  4 Nov 2026, 04:00 GMT · Source

• Bournemouth: cinque vittorie e una difesa blindata

  4 Nov 2026, 04:00 GMT · Source

• Sparta Praga: un cammino europeo da rendere più continuo

  4 Nov 2026, 04:00 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
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From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Andrea Colucci
• A month following Andrea Colucci
• Said → happened — Andrea Colucci
• Turning point — Andrea Colucci

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Andrea Colucci

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Record definitions and related evidence

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• Brasileiro Série A
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