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 "heading": "Andrea Colucci: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 14 settled picks by Andrea Colucci recorded before kick-off across 14 matches, 15 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Andrea Colucci before kick-off across 14 matches between 15 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −12.7% on the total staked. Of the 1,592 predictions we hold for Andrea Colucci, 1,447 are linked to matches: 38 were recorded by us before kick-off, 326 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1,083 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−12.7%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": true,
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 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 338,
  "date_count": 45,
  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2,
  "live_count": 14,
  "restored_count": 1402,
  "of_them_archived": 323
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:16:32.841Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "08e8076b0192052253f0700c1cff68f3615862643bd62dcbb2997eb0ae2c23c7",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/index.json",
   "bytes": null
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  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks.csv",
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
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  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
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 },
 "page_links": {
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  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534",
  "public_name": "Andrea Colucci",
  "tracker_number": 3485,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-11",
   "until": "2026-11-05"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
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  ],
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 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-12.7271",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
   "cause": null,
   "n_bets": 14,
   "n_events": 14,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-53.0714",
   "ci_high": "28.7014",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "92.86",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:16:32.841Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_uid": null,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 14 settled picks across 14 matches",
  "average_odds": "1.50",
  "odds_from_author": 13,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 1
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
  "series_uid": "sr-3361d7a63e92cce2590e66c4",
  "bankroll_hundredths": 982182,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": -17818,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "data_points": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-14T21:09:44.569Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1006986,
    "profit_hundredths": 6986,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f5850732acf161baac694d32"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-15T18:56:40.473Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1012686,
    "profit_hundredths": 12686,
    "outcome_id": "ish-66461e2ae4cfedbe54b1671e"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-15T18:56:40.478Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1017386,
    "profit_hundredths": 17386,
    "outcome_id": "ish-502219334f2193cca35d3534"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-15T21:06:08.672Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1021386,
    "profit_hundredths": 21386,
    "outcome_id": "ish-c3d7d083f465911c5f9e1020"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-23T00:50:40.301Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1004400,
    "profit_hundredths": 4400,
    "outcome_id": "ish-bfedef73f1a255030ff3fd34"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:48.440Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 994400,
    "profit_hundredths": -5600,
    "outcome_id": "ish-e363bf0b885ddcb64d288097"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:14.888Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1000082,
    "profit_hundredths": 82,
    "outcome_id": "ish-2c26cc3cba375b8d93faa767"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:51.525Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 990082,
    "profit_hundredths": -9918,
    "outcome_id": "ish-b87b355b608e7ea58ed7e7cf"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:52.891Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1002082,
    "profit_hundredths": 2082,
    "outcome_id": "ish-3dfd431d58882094ca078831"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-06T22:57:47.475Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1003282,
    "profit_hundredths": 3282,
    "outcome_id": "ish-b0cf71c99c9271c7b0689277"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:03:18.379Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 993282,
    "profit_hundredths": -6718,
    "outcome_id": "ish-d05f72b744a561bd42f9cdef"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:57.560Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 983282,
    "profit_hundredths": -16718,
    "outcome_id": "ish-3c992594d3b45c57beb1a9e6"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:57.582Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 987282,
    "profit_hundredths": -12718,
    "outcome_id": "ish-16c1d3287042bb201f6725d8"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:57.637Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 977282,
    "profit_hundredths": -22718,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f4152af27061dc65f9cd0d9a"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:36:58.216Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 982182,
    "profit_hundredths": -17818,
    "outcome_id": "ish-3d921b415cc673220db033ee"
   }
  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
  "series_key": "market_price",
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 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 2256,
  "recognised": 1592,
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   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
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   },
   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
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   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 9
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   {
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 6
   },
   {
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
    "figure": 1
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 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
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  "of_them_restored": 1409,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 131,
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  },
  "predictions": 1592,
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  "settled_picks_restored": 1402,
  "series_list": [
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    "code_name": "market_price",
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    "void": 0,
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
    "derived": false,
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    "qualifying_picks": 13,
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    "void": 0,
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    "operations_settled": 13,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 1407,
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    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 7,
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    "operations_settled": 1400,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
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    "qualifying_picks": 1400,
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    "matches": 616,
    "operations_settled": 1393,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
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    "figure": 10
   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 9
   },
   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 6
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_admitted",
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "code_name": "no_price_at_capture",
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
    "figure": 1
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  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {
   "service": 13
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  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-d24415cecb260392c5a2c37d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d24415cecb260392c5a2c37d",
   "quote_text": "Sette punti e imbattibilità nelle prime tre gare di Europa League.",
   "fragment_from": 7610,
   "fragment_to": 7676,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-celta-vigo-union-sg-5-novembre-2026/",
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    "speaker": "Andrea Colucci",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:00:53.000Z",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T06:00:53.000Z",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-db0c5377321bc680e707c59e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-db0c5377321bc680e707c59e",
   "quote_text": "Tre punti nelle prime tre giornate di Europa League.",
   "fragment_from": 5692,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-celta-vigo-union-sg-5-novembre-2026/",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:00:53.000Z",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T06:00:53.000Z",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-180bb16edb9e76b17535efc8",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-180bb16edb9e76b17535efc8",
   "quote_text": "Il margine resta comunque sottile sul piano del risultato",
   "fragment_from": 9638,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:00:53.000Z",
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    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T06:00:53.000Z",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-bbe58b9beaba110c97606db8",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-bbe58b9beaba110c97606db8",
   "quote_text": "Una sfida da due o tre gol appare una traccia credibile",
   "fragment_from": 9501,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-05T00:08:49.121Z",
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   "statement_class": "opinion",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "quote_text": "il pronostico è 1 a quota 2.1 (Betflag)",
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   },
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   "quote_text": "Bookmaker\n\nQuota\n\nBonus\n\n1.43\n\n7.305€\nVerifica quota",
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   "source_info": {
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   "quote_text": "Il dato sulle grandi opportunità sprecate invita alla cautela",
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   "source_info": {
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  },
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-57a3c899f430612caceb2a8e",
   "quote_text": "In Conference League ha creato 9 grandi occasioni, realizzandone una sola.",
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   "source_info": {
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-99132a33d051cae0c8abc858",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-99132a33d051cae0c8abc858",
   "quote_text": "Midtjylland: tre vittorie di fila per rialzare il ritmo",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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  },
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   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/81/#pick-n-f6a131fe90b86d87c274eb11",
   "quote_text": "il pronostico è GOAL a quota 1.43 (Lottomatica)",
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   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T07:28:59.087Z",
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    "scoreline": "1-6",
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   },
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "quote_text": "Bookmaker\n\nQuota\n\nBonus\n\n1.57\n\n2.500€\nVerifica quota",
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   "quote_text": "Hajduk Split: imbattuto e già convincente in coppa",
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   "quote_text": "Lincoln Red Imps: il nodo della tenuta europea",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ca55a669bb13a1534223d173",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ca55a669bb13a1534223d173",
   "quote_text": "L’Hajduk ha risposto con un rotondo 5-0 sull’HNK Gorica",
   "fragment_from": 1305,
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   "source_info": {
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2c3ea0ac6eb9851aca325bed",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2c3ea0ac6eb9851aca325bed",
   "quote_text": "Il Lincoln arriva però all’appuntamento dopo due successi consecutivi in Premier Division",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-199206a6bf89fa03cbd1af55",
   "quote_text": "I gibilterriani hanno perso entrambe le prime uscite, mentre i croati hanno raccolto due vittorie",
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   "observation_id": "n-0a3d5c7652ac926e41e37e69",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/81/#pick-n-0a3d5c7652ac926e41e37e69",
   "quote_text": "il pronostico è 2 + Multigol 2-6 a quota 1.57 (Planetwin365).",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a3de8a1200f6749126127542",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/80/#pick-n-a3de8a1200f6749126127542",
   "quote_text": "il pronostico è Over 0.5 1° Tempo + Over 0.5 2° Tempo a quota 1.43 (Planetwin365).",
   "fragment_from": 10339,
   "fragment_to": 10421,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-real-sociedad-lione-5-novembre-2026/",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T04:10:36.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:18:46.069Z",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a947a06e13e0a542286ec613",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a947a06e13e0a542286ec613",
   "quote_text": "Un pareggio con gol oppure un successo inglese con margine contenuto, come 1-1 o 1-2",
   "fragment_from": 9919,
   "fragment_to": 10003,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-sparta-praga-bournemouth-5-novembre-2026/",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:09:06.459Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:09:06.459Z",
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    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d1adaed6c0d7b4d5cb2b005d",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d1adaed6c0d7b4d5cb2b005d",
   "quote_text": "Bournemouth: cinque vittorie e una difesa blindata",
   "fragment_from": 7582,
   "fragment_to": 7632,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-sparta-praga-bournemouth-5-novembre-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Andrea Colucci",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "1ffa0018299cd992dedf6e289e47cc73b2d763259fd4b0d348fb1d889445da8b",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:09:06.459Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:09:06.459Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ca4d29350822158f0730af0b",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ca4d29350822158f0730af0b",
   "quote_text": "Sparta Praga: un cammino europeo da rendere più continuo",
   "fragment_from": 5691,
   "fragment_to": 5747,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-sparta-praga-bournemouth-5-novembre-2026/",
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    "speaker": "Andrea Colucci",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:09:06.459Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T04:00:16.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T06:09:06.459Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
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  "service": 13,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": {
  "titles": [
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "display_name": "Draw at 3.59 · Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · 4 Nov 2026",
    "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "window_kind": "event",
    "cause": null,
    "type_code": null,
    "bucket_code": "all",
    "bucket": "Long-price call",
    "measure": null,
    "place": null,
    "out_of": null,
    "n_bets": 1,
    "n_events": null,
    "amount": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "ci_level": null,
    "fact": "Draw at 3.59 · Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · 4 Nov 2026",
    "rationale": "Draw called correctly at 3.59 (our pre-match price). 12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (7 named home win, 3 named away win, 2 named draw). Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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    "anchor_id": "standing-e-07-all-event",
    "alt": "Andrea Colucci · Draw at 3.59 · Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · 4 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
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    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/andrea-colucci/#title-long-price-call\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534/e-07-all-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Andrea Colucci · Draw at 3.59 · Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · 4 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"892\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
    "neighbours": [],
    "window_words": "On show until 2 Feb 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
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    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "status": "active",
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    "event_at": "2026-11-04",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-04",
    "earned_at": "2026-11-04",
    "published_at": "2026-11-05",
    "visible_until": "2027-02-02",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 3.59 · 4 Nov",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-d3ee1c92f3261f508c8a",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-9fa8c1efcdc98d9dc38b8f2e",
      "data": "2026-11-04",
      "match": "Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result, first half: draw at 2.25",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": 3.59,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (7 named home win, 3 named away win, 2 named draw)",
      "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/79/#pick-n-9fa8c1efcdc98d9dc38b8f2e"
     }
    ],
    "evidence_total": 1,
    "badge": {
     "variants": [
      {
       "size": "l",
       "theme": "light",
       "width": 1212,
       "height": 40,
       "url": "/b/e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534/e-07-all-event-l-light.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "l",
       "theme": "dark",
       "width": 1212,
       "height": 40,
       "url": "/b/e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534/e-07-all-event-l-dark.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "m",
       "theme": "light",
       "width": 892,
       "height": 28,
       "url": "/b/e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534/e-07-all-event-m-light.svg"
      },
      {
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       "width": 892,
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      },
      {
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      {
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       "width": 697,
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       "url": "/b/e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534/e-07-all-event-s-dark.svg"
      }
     ],
     "card_url": "/b/e-e7b571a49ccf14c99dc3d534/e-07-all-event-card.svg"
    },
    "profile_anchor": "title-d3ee1c92f326",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "single",
     "priced": 1,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.278552,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.56,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-long-price-call"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-d3ee1c92f3261f508c8a",
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Correct at 3.59 · 4 Nov",
    "body": "Draw at 3.59 · Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · 4 Nov 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-d3ee1c92f326",
    "event_at": "2026-11-04",
    "url": "/titles/e-07-long-price-call/#zk-d3ee1c92f3261f508c8a"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [
   {
    "portion": "live",
    "n": 33,
    "body": "33 recorded before kick-off · since 13 Oct 2026"
   },
   {
    "portion": "archived",
    "n": 323,
    "body": "323 from the pre-match archive · 2025–2026"
   }
  ],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.59 · Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · 4 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-04",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-d3ee1c92f326"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [
   {
    "code_name": "M-11",
    "body": "Most recorded: Both teams to score · 123 matches",
    "details_words": "Both teams to score 64/123 (123 matches); Goals over/under 66/109 (101 matches); Match result (1X2) 44/93 (92 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 15/22 (22 matches); Bet-builder combos 5/7 (7 matches); Correct score 1/2 (1 match)",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Most recorded bet type",
    "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-01",
    "body": "Exact scores · 1/2",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Exact scores",
    "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
    "body": "Longest price: correct at 3.59 · 4 Nov 2026",
    "details_words": "Stade Rennais v Olympiakos Piraeus · Draw at 3.59 (our pre-match price)",
    "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/79/#pick-n-9fa8c1efcdc98d9dc38b8f2e",
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Correct at a long price",
    "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-01",
    "body": "Draw calls · 5/20",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Draw calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/e-01-draw-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-03",
    "body": "Away calls · 10/17",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Away calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/e-03-away-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-06",
    "body": "Non-favourite calls · 4/19",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Non-favourite calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/e-06-non-favourite-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-05",
    "body": "Result calls: 42 correct · 49.5 implied by prices",
    "details_words": "88 result calls with a pre-match price for the named outcome (margin included).",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Correct against prices implied",
    "rule_href": "/titles/c-05-correct-against-prices-implied/"
   }
  ],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.51 · Skendija 79 v Samsunspor · 19 Feb 2026 · archive record",
    "event_at": "2026-02-19",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "90 days after the event",
    "provenance": "archived"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.36 · Villarreal v Juventus · 1 Oct 2025 · archive record",
    "event_at": "2025-10-01",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "90 days after the event",
    "provenance": "archived"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.40 · Ferencvarosi TC v Plzen · 25 Sep 2025 · archive record",
    "event_at": "2025-09-25",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "90 days after the event",
    "provenance": "archived"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 20 Jul–30 Jul 2025 · archive record",
    "event_at": "2025-07-30",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "provenance": "archived"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 1402,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 323,
  "found_post_match": 0,
  "of_them_source_reported": 1079,
  "live_count": 14,
  "date_count": 95,
  "span_from": "2025-05-21",
  "span_to": "2026-09-17",
  "line_text": "restored history: 1402, of which pre-match archive 323",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, UEFA Super Cup, Brasileiro Série A and Serie A matches between 21 May 2025 and 17 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 1402. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 323. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 1079. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 1402,
   "share": "0.572"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 1398,
    "roi": "-7.2089",
    "ci_low": "-12.4915",
    "ci_high": "-2.2786",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 1393,
    "roi": "-6.7405",
    "ci_low": "-11.9689",
    "ci_high": "-1.7082",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "Conference League",
   "UEFA Super Cup",
   "Brasileiro Série A",
   "Serie A"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 1402 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 13,
    "above": 2,
    "above_share_percent": "15.4",
    "below": 1,
    "within": 10,
    "median_difference_percent": "-1.2",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/75/#pick-n-9d3bf36848cd360646e71815",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.75",
    "market": "1.57",
    "difference_percent": "11.5"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/77/#pick-n-632a83a406c9a451c7339ce5",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.38",
    "market": "1.27",
    "difference_percent": "8.7"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "bottadiculo.it",
   "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-celta-vigo-union-sg-5-novembre-2026/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-05",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 14,
  "matches": 14,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -17818,
  "staked_hundredths": 140000,
  "return_percent": "-12.73",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-15",
  "period_to": "2026-11-05",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Andrea Colucci before kick-off across 14 matches between 15 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −12.7% on the total staked. Of the 1,592 predictions we hold for Andrea Colucci, 1,447 are linked to matches: 38 were recorded by us before kick-off, 326 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1,083 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "14",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "14",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−178.18 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−12.7%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −53.1% to +28.7%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 1,083 predictions dated by the source. 1,071 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15600,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14400,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3818,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17818,
    "n": 14
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 14,
    "match_dates": 4,
    "period_from": "2026-10-15",
    "period_to": "2026-11-05",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -17818,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-05",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17818,
     "after_picks": 14
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15600,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-15",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15600,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14400,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3818,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17818,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 5
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 322,
    "matches": 133,
    "match_dates": 36,
    "period_from": "2025-07-19",
    "period_to": "2026-09-08",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -376050,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -376100,
     "after_picks": 317
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2025-07-30",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 52600,
     "after_picks": 10
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2025-07-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 700,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-07-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 41100,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-07-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 52600,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-08-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44450,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-08-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34450,
      "n": 15,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43100,
      "n": 31,
      "picks": 16
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 45050,
      "n": 45,
      "picks": 14
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39550,
      "n": 58,
      "picks": 13
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2150,
      "n": 69,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43900,
      "n": 86,
      "picks": 17
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-09-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53750,
      "n": 107,
      "picks": 21
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -99100,
      "n": 122,
      "picks": 15
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -124550,
      "n": 165,
      "picks": 43
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -107000,
      "n": 186,
      "picks": 21
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -122650,
      "n": 189,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -239900,
      "n": 241,
      "picks": 52
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-11-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -272950,
      "n": 246,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-11-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -266750,
      "n": 247,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-11-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -227850,
      "n": 253,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-12-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -233400,
      "n": 257,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-12-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -273400,
      "n": 261,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-12-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -243000,
      "n": 266,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-01-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -226600,
      "n": 269,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -250000,
      "n": 273,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -239400,
      "n": 275,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -289900,
      "n": 286,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -303800,
      "n": 289,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-02-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -323800,
      "n": 291,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-03-12",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -326900,
      "n": 293,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-03-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -334300,
      "n": 295,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -348100,
      "n": 299,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-08",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -375900,
      "n": 307,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -361300,
      "n": 314,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-07-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -376100,
      "n": 317,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-08-13",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -361200,
      "n": 319,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-09-08",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -376050,
      "n": 322,
      "picks": 3
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Andrea Colucci before kick-off across 14 matches between 15 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −12.7% on the total staked. Of the 1,592 predictions we hold for Andrea Colucci, 1,447 are linked to matches: 38 were recorded by us before kick-off, 326 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1,083 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/andrea-colucci/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 1592,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 145,
   "proven_predictions": 364,
   "proven_checked": 359,
   "proven_measured": 338,
   "proven_dates": 45,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 38,
     "checked": 36,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 14,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 14,
      "net_points_hundredths": -17818,
      "staked_hundredths": 140000,
      "return_percent": "-12.73",
      "interval_low": "-53.07",
      "interval_high": "28.70",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.1",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 8
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 13,
       "return_main_percent": "-14.63",
       "return_other_percent": "-14.46",
       "settled_excluding_void": 13,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -19018,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -18800,
       "period_from": "2026-10-15",
       "period_to": "2026-11-05"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 6,
       "return_main_percent": "-2.36",
       "return_other_percent": "-0.13",
       "settled_excluding_void": 6,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -1418,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -76,
       "period_from": "2026-10-15",
       "period_to": "2026-11-05"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 2,
      "exact_hits": 1,
      "exact_rate": 50.0,
      "outcome_checked": 2,
      "outcome_hits": 1,
      "outcome_rate": 50.0,
      "baseline_matches": 2,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 1,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0,
      "favourite_hits": 2,
      "favourite_rate": 100.0,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "1 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 2 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 2 of the same 2 forecasts.",
       "Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 2 forecasts on 1 match.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 36,
      "priced": 14
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 14,
      "won": 8,
      "won_percent": "57.1",
      "implied_percent": "67.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "66.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "66.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "76.1"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 7,
      "right": 3,
      "wrong": 4,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 326,
     "checked": 323,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 322,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 133,
      "net_points_hundredths": -376050,
      "staked_hundredths": 3220000,
      "return_percent": "-11.68",
      "interval_low": "-22.67",
      "interval_high": "-0.96",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-07-19",
      "period_to": "2026-09-08",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 322,
       "return_main_percent": "-11.68",
       "return_other_percent": "-12.61",
       "settled_excluding_void": 322,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -376050,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -406100,
       "period_from": "2025-07-19",
       "period_to": "2026-09-08"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 323,
      "priced": 322
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 322,
      "won": 175,
      "won_percent": "54.3",
      "implied_percent": "60.4",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 60,
        "picks": 116,
        "implied_percent": "59.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 61,
        "picks": 103,
        "implied_percent": "64.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 39,
        "picks": 82,
        "implied_percent": "56.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 11,
        "picks": 15,
        "implied_percent": "65.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "70.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "54.6"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 1083,
     "checked": 1079,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1071,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 483,
      "net_points_hundredths": -562900,
      "staked_hundredths": 10710000,
      "return_percent": "-5.26",
      "interval_low": "-11.34",
      "interval_high": "0.79",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-05-21",
      "period_to": "2026-09-17",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1067,
       "return_main_percent": "-5.08",
       "return_other_percent": "-5.66",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1067,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -541800,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -604200,
       "period_from": "2025-05-21",
       "period_to": "2026-09-17"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 2,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 2,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": 0.0,
      "baseline_matches": 2,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 2,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 0.0,
      "favourite_hits": 1,
      "favourite_rate": 50.0,
      "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price",
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "0 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 2 matches; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same 2 matches.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).",
       "These forecasts come from the source’s own published history; when they were made depends on the date the source gives."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1079,
      "priced": 1071
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1071,
      "won": 621,
      "won_percent": "58.0",
      "implied_percent": "60.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 195,
        "picks": 352,
        "implied_percent": "59.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 171,
        "picks": 315,
        "implied_percent": "55.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 198,
        "picks": 303,
        "implied_percent": "66.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 38,
        "picks": 65,
        "implied_percent": "65.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 18,
        "picks": 26,
        "implied_percent": "68.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 10,
        "implied_percent": "46.9"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-0c534dc7e5e07e571dd1b3e3",
   "n-172b7ada9f82f204a1f941c7",
   "n-1f4301ee1ac24289cdf24aae",
   "n-2d4d69d0372018d2ae95b9e3",
   "n-3863e16bd5e4c566cdf84fcb",
   "n-38b9ed35ea45ee40e509e277",
   "n-4fe6b4da2541f5434c55944a",
   "n-632a83a406c9a451c7339ce5",
   "n-6e376cfec37292d3761a7f1e",
   "n-86e142877360da836b1b13a2",
   "n-9d3bf36848cd360646e71815",
   "n-a73f524a0211388953d686bc",
   "n-d4584537ee22aa6b1f9d1bc4",
   "n-f6a131fe90b86d87c274eb11"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-53.07",
  "interval_high": "28.70",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 15 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2025-05-21",
  "record_to": "2026-11-05"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-2d4d69d0372018d2ae95b9e3",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/81/#pick-n-2d4d69d0372018d2ae95b9e3",
   "match": "FC Thun v Hearts",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-thun-vs-hearts-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 34.1,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Hearts at 1.48",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.48",
   "settled_price": "1.5900",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T07:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T07:38:52.371Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2d4d69d0372018d2ae95b9e3",
    "quote_text": "Il nostro pronostico X2\n\nBonus 2500€\n1.48 Verifica quota",
    "fragment_from": 607,
    "fragment_to": 663,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-thun-hearts-5-novembre-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Andrea Colucci",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "5916b2da1aa36486c87c6bdc4a9151991d579a90061b0717074a7fbfd186339e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T07:02:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T07:38:52.371Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:27:53.006Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e4ab5b164d6f",
     "display_name": "FC Thun — Hearts",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-thun-vs-hearts-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Hearts",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.48",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5900",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T07:36:49.022Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T07:02:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T07:02:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T07:38:52.371Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Hearts",
     "author_odds": "1.48",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Hearts at 1.48"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Thun 3-1 Hearts."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e755c63d672eb5074b6fa6dbbf6bd8ba57144ce163f3aea45b6ff90b7300bd52",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Hearts",
      "decimal_odds": "1.48",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:27:51.861Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "cf80509aa7427c269dcebd825dd2372802132069bb0e40ec40ed593afcd39fbd",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Hearts",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5900",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:27:53.006Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Andrea Colucci",
     "publisher": "bottadiculo.it",
     "forecaster": "Andrea Colucci",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-thun-hearts-5-novembre-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Hearts"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4fe6b4da2541f5434c55944a",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/81/#pick-n-4fe6b4da2541f5434c55944a",
   "match": "Mjällby v Borac Banja Luka",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/mjallby-vs-borac-banja-luka-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 34.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Mjällby at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 12000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.2000",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:56:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T07:29:02.440Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.2000",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 12000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4fe6b4da2541f5434c55944a",
    "quote_text": "il pronostico è 1 a quota 2.1 (Betflag)",
    "fragment_from": 9695,
    "fragment_to": 9734,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-mjallby-borac-banja-luka-5-novembre-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Andrea Colucci",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "e39d3161cbae0a09afe09cbe8439d05ab875ff33966b8a5c7fb44d103ad06939",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:56:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T07:29:02.440Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-04T07:35:33.722Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-44dd1831527b",
     "display_name": "Mjällby — Borac Banja Luka",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/mjallby-vs-borac-banja-luka-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Mjällby",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": "2.2000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T07:26:36.966Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 12000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T06:56:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T06:56:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T07:29:02.440Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Mjällby",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Mjällby at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Mjällby 2-0 Borac Banja Luka."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1920cfc1bc0600b3bcf19fac46c986ecac793bf2fb84d8be40e3626bfdb9b50f",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Mjällby",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 11000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-04T07:35:31.332Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e0d1c93d3e79c358db2d16e3f928b83138aacf4ab84d22cb2ef9ee5ff87973f1",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Mjällby",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-04T07:35:33.722Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Andrea Colucci",
     "publisher": "bottadiculo.it",
     "forecaster": "Andrea Colucci",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-mjallby-borac-banja-luka-5-novembre-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Mjällby to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f6a131fe90b86d87c274eb11",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/picks/81/#pick-n-f6a131fe90b86d87c274eb11",
   "match": "FC Midtjylland v AFC Ajax",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-midtjylland-vs-afc-ajax-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 34.3,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.43",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-6",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.43",
   "settled_price": "1.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:51:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T07:28:59.087Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f6a131fe90b86d87c274eb11",
    "quote_text": "il pronostico è GOAL a quota 1.43 (Lottomatica)",
    "fragment_from": 9989,
    "fragment_to": 10036,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bottadiculo.it/pronostico-midtjylland-ajax-5-novembre-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Andrea Colucci",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4c6c0d99712ea133d460836bd2fac27b6665ee16e0e9704a4ea9fcedd2e12eed",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T06:51:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T07:28:59.087Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:27:54.937Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-6544cd7db73b",
     "display_name": "FC Midtjylland — AFC Ajax",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-midtjylland-vs-afc-ajax-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "1-6",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.43",
     "our_snapshot": "1.4000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T07:26:36.966Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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 "title_tag": "Andrea Colucci Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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  {
   "id": "zc-817e9ed629ace5848055",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-11.68",
    "settled_picks": 322,
    "matches": 133,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "3e072ebef87bd63cde45043831f90f58a43ddf9679e51bd1cdcc3ae77b335e0b",
    "text": "−11.68% on 322 settled picks across 133 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "-12.73",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 14,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1e18ef0b3ae1b16f835ada3774c091285fdb14cfcfc5399a530572b9cdc7bece",
    "text": "−12.73% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (322 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (14 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 14,
    "removed": 322,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-e582207f766fd06fe9a6"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-06239143cbb7dead2d91",
   "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.5",
    "return_percent": "-10.96",
    "settled_picks": 325,
    "matches": 133,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "eaffeb18b11e07eaff2f1299bd3ac2dab54472eed3babc1bde990ea620023e62",
    "text": "−10.96% on 325 settled picks across 133 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-11.68",
    "settled_picks": 322,
    "matches": 133,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "3e072ebef87bd63cde45043831f90f58a43ddf9679e51bd1cdcc3ae77b335e0b",
    "text": "−11.68% on 322 settled picks across 133 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 3 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 3,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-f947c05d2e43bb0a33f4"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-0679594d604bd155cdf9",
   "at": "2026-10-13T20:21:18.065Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-13.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.4",
   "url": "/authors/andrea-colucci/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.5",
    "return_percent": "-10.96",
    "settled_picks": 325,
    "matches": 133,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "eaffeb18b11e07eaff2f1299bd3ac2dab54472eed3babc1bde990ea620023e62",
    "text": "−10.96% on 325 settled picks across 133 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 325 settled picks in the series “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 325,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 7,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -3600,
      "return_percent": "-5.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.57",
      "odds_from_author": 7,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -5418,
      "return_percent": "-10.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-22",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.49",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -8800,
      "return_percent": "-44.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.30",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Conference League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Conference League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/",
      "settled_picks": 9,
      "won": 5,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -12400,
      "return_percent": "-13.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.52",
      "odds_from_author": 8,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 6,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -7600,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-15",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.61",
        "odds_from_author": 6,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -8800,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-15",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.30",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 4000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.43",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Europa League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Europa League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/",
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -16000,
      "return_percent": "-53.3",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.47",
      "odds_from_author": 3,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-22",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.52",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 4000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-15",
        "period_to": "2026-10-15",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.37",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Champions League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Champions League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/",
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 10582,
      "return_percent": "52.9",
      "period_from": "2026-11-04",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.48",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 10582,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-04",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.48",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "best_slice": null
   },
   {
    "code": "archived",
    "title": "Archived before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "settled_picks": 322,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 116,
      "won": 60,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -161100,
      "return_percent": "-13.9",
      "period_from": "2025-07-19",
      "period_to": "2026-09-08",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_from_author": 116,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 103,
      "won": 61,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -88200,
      "return_percent": "-8.6",
      "period_from": "2025-07-19",
      "period_to": "2026-08-13",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.56",
      "odds_from_author": 103,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 82,
      "won": 39,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -131100,
      "return_percent": "-16.0",
      "period_from": "2025-07-20",
      "period_to": "2026-09-08",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.93",
      "odds_from_author": 82,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 15,
      "won": 11,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7700,
      "return_percent": "5.1",
      "period_from": "2025-07-19",
      "period_to": "2026-04-08",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.56",
      "odds_from_author": 15,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "result_and_total",
      "in_words": "Result and total goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6650,
      "return_percent": "13.3",
      "period_from": "2025-09-18",
      "period_to": "2025-10-23",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.35",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2025-09-30",
      "period_to": "2025-09-30",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.62",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Champions League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Champions League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/",
      "settled_picks": 152,
      "won": 83,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -210700,
      "return_percent": "-13.9",
      "period_from": "2025-07-30",
      "period_to": "2026-09-08",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.68",
      "odds_from_author": 152,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 61,
        "won": 32,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -101250,
        "return_percent": "-16.6",
        "period_from": "2025-07-30",
        "period_to": "2026-09-08",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.63",
        "odds_from_author": 61,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 49,
        "won": 29,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -42050,
        "return_percent": "-8.6",
        "period_from": "2025-09-16",
        "period_to": "2026-04-08",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.60",
        "odds_from_author": 49,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 35,
        "won": 17,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -67500,
        "return_percent": "-19.3",
        "period_from": "2025-08-27",
        "period_to": "2026-09-08",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.91",
        "odds_from_author": 35,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 900,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2025-09-30",
        "period_to": "2026-01-28",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.46",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "result_and_total",
        "in_words": "Result and total goals",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 9200,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2025-09-18",
        "period_to": "2025-10-21",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.38",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
        "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2025-09-30",
        "period_to": "2025-09-30",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.62",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Europa League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Europa League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/",
      "settled_picks": 108,
      "won": 61,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -59400,
      "return_percent": "-5.5",
      "period_from": "2025-09-24",
      "period_to": "2026-08-13",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.69",
      "odds_from_author": 108,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 37,
        "won": 19,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -38350,
        "return_percent": "-10.4",
        "period_from": "2025-09-24",
        "period_to": "2026-08-13",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.66",
        "odds_from_author": 37,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 36,
        "won": 23,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -11500,
        "return_percent": "-3.2",
        "period_from": "2025-09-24",
        "period_to": "2026-08-13",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.50",
        "odds_from_author": 36,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 27,
        "won": 13,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -16150,
        "return_percent": "-6.0",
        "period_from": "2025-09-24",
        "period_to": "2026-04-09",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "2.02",
        "odds_from_author": 27,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 8,
        "won": 6,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 6600,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2025-09-24",
        "period_to": "2026-04-08",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.60",
        "odds_from_author": 8,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Conference League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Conference League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/",
      "settled_picks": 54,
      "won": 24,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -147050,
      "return_percent": "-27.2",
      "period_from": "2025-08-28",
      "period_to": "2026-03-12",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_from_author": 54,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 18,
        "won": 7,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -64050,
        "return_percent": "-35.6",
        "period_from": "2025-08-28",
        "period_to": "2026-03-12",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.88",
        "odds_from_author": 18,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 16,
        "won": 7,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -46150,
        "return_percent": "-28.8",
        "period_from": "2025-10-02",
        "period_to": "2026-02-19",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.59",
        "odds_from_author": 16,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 15,
        "won": 7,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -30500,
        "return_percent": "-20.3",
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        "period_to": "2026-03-12",
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