Alex Wrigley: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Alex Wrigley publishes

Published under this name on racingpost.com.

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/alex-wrigley/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 1 October 2026 · 20 predictions · last change 17 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 7 settled archived picks · won 2 of 7

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

9 predictions; 8 checked against the final score.

7 settled selections across 5 matches, 10 August – 6 October 2024.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −321 points.

Eligible prices were available for 7 of the 8 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 2 of 7 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 55.8%.

By market: Match result 1 of 3 (prices implied 58.0%); Both teams to score 1 of 2 (prices implied 55.9%); Double chance 0 of 1 (prices implied 46.3%); European handicap 0 of 1 (prices implied 58.8%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 4 settled after-match picks · won 0 of 4

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

11 predictions; 4 checked against the final score.

4 settled selections across 4 matches, 5 March – 6 May 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −400 points.

Eligible prices were available for 4 of the 4 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 0 of 4 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 38.6%.

By market: Double chance 0 of 1 (prices implied 47.2%); Match result 0 of 1 (prices implied 39.5%); Over/under goals 0 of 1 (prices implied 35.4%); Result and both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 32.3%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Alex Wrigley has published.

Source we monitor

racingpost.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

1–17 October 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 10 August 2024

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

82

Predictions

20

Qualifying picks

12

Settled picks

12

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 16 opinions and 46 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−321 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 7 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (700 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 15 October 2026

Before

−322.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−321.00 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−222.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−322.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (4 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (5 settled picks).

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−222.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · Reconstruction method 1.1

First headline number for this record: 4 settled picks in the series “second data provider's closing price, restored”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

17 October 2026, 21 days before this page's data date

Observed

1 October 2026 — 17 October 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (26 shown)

• “expect the goals to flow in north London.” — 2 October 2026, 01:53 BST · source
• “Destiny Udogie could return after being injured at Old Trafford.” — 2 October 2026, 01:47 BST · source
• “his fast-paced set-up could work wonders against a Brighton side” — 2 October 2026, 01:47 BST · source
• “they could be in line for their first back-to-back defeats of the season” — 2 October 2026, 01:47 BST · source
• “could find themselves taken apart again by Postecoglou's chaotic attacking football.” — 1 October 2026, 01:38 BST · source
• “Spurs have notched 13 times in their last five matches, so they will carry plenty of confidence” — 1 October 2026, 01:38 BST · source
• “Son is expected to miss out again at the Amex Stadium” — 1 October 2026, 01:38 BST · source
• “Albion will once again be without the injured Jan Paul van Hecke at the back.” — 1 October 2026, 01:38 BST · source
• “his fast-paced set-up could work wonders against a Brighton side who were torn apart on the break” — 1 October 2026, 01:38 BST · source
• “they could be in line for their first back-to-back defeats of the season when in-form Tottenham travel” — 1 October 2026, 01:38 BST · source

• Leeds 4-11 Portsmouth 7-1 Draw 4-1

  · Source

• Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; White, Saliba, Magalhaes, Timber; Partey, Odegaard, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Trossard

  · Source

• Midfield recruit Matt O'Riley requires surgery after injuring his ankle in the midweek win over Crawley

  · Source

• Pays out at 9-1 with Paddy Power

  · Source

• Probable teams Brighton (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Veltman, Webster, Dunk, Estupinan;

  · Source

• Richarlison and Wilson Odobert are the only confirmed absentees for Tottenham

  · Source

• Long-term absentee Solly March is still ruled out for Brighton, with summer arrival Matt O'Riley,

  · Source

• Brighton 19-10 Tottenham 5-4 Draw 3-1

  · Source

• You can watch Brighton vs Tottenham in the Premier League at 4.30pm on Sunday October 6

  · Source

• Ladbrokes are offering £25 in free bets when you bet £5 on Brighton vs Tottenham

  · Source

• Pays out at 16-1 with bet365

  · Source

• Midfield recruit Matt O'Riley requires surgery after injuring his ankle

  · Source

• Gabriel Jesus is out until after the international break

  · Source

• Arsenal 4-11 Brighton 8-1 Draw 49-10

  · Source

• Ladbrokes are offering £25 in free bets when you bet £5 on Arsenal vs Brighton

  · Source

• Regan Poole, Tom McIntyre, Jacob Farrell and Colby Bishop are all confirmed absentees

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Alex Wrigley
• Said → happened — Alex Wrigley

Check us

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• Corrections log
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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition