{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "source", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "canonical": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "TOTO Extra: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 52 settled picks by TOTO Extra recorded before kick-off across 43 matches, 18 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026: −7.5% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 52 settled live picks by TOTO Extra before kick-off across 43 matches between 18 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −7.5% on the total staked. Of the 112 predictions we hold for TOTO Extra, 89 are linked to matches: 77 were recorded by us before kick-off and 12 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-c2dcf783e8a8d9907ce519b3", "public_name": "TOTO Extra", "tracker_number": 4975, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-17", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-c2dcf783e8a8d9907ce519b3-roi-market-price-90d-z99", 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While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 143, "recognised": 112, "accepted": 88, "executed": 61, "calculated": 59, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 18 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 16 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 11 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 5 }, { "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 143, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 20, "not_about_a_match": 11, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 112, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 68, "admitted": 88, "qualifying_picks": 61, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 59, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 54, "settled_picks": 52, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 43, "operations_settled": 52, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 61, "settled_picks": 59, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 49, "operations_settled": 59, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "derived_series", "derived": true, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 1, "settled_picks": 0, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 1, "matches": 0, "operations_settled": 0, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 18 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 16 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 11 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 5 }, { "code_name": "not_admitted", "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-11abe1138ad542d8e213e491", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-11abe1138ad542d8e213e491", "quote_text": "Een overwinning voor de Tukkers is misschien een te gewaagde voorspelling.", "fragment_from": 3902, "fragment_to": 3976, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-eredivisie-fc-twente-ajax", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b47050fec3bdc6c546c7e0b67410f990ae6a9a73a65d3dee95ae006663ef46a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:22:53.737Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:22:53.737Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6c0a0a8d0f0bc9ab37458c19", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-6c0a0a8d0f0bc9ab37458c19", "quote_text": "Wordt Wout zondag weer bijgestaan door Onze Lieve Heer, en maakt hij twee doelpunten of meer? Dan kan je daarmee 7,25 keer je inleg winnen.", "fragment_from": 4863, "fragment_to": 5002, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-eredivisie-fc-twente-ajax", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b47050fec3bdc6c546c7e0b67410f990ae6a9a73a65d3dee95ae006663ef46a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:22:53.737Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:22:53.737Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-89b271da7b0b186b566543d5", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-89b271da7b0b186b566543d5", "quote_text": "Denk je dat we 4 doelpunten of meer zullen zien dit duel? Dan kan je daar 2,10 keer je inleg mee winnen.", "fragment_from": 4546, "fragment_to": 4650, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-eredivisie-fc-twente-ajax", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b47050fec3bdc6c546c7e0b67410f990ae6a9a73a65d3dee95ae006663ef46a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:22:53.737Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T14:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T14:22:53.737Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4ed0cb188f7738291acfe328", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-4ed0cb188f7738291acfe328", "quote_text": "Door in te zetten op FC Twente of gelijkspel is een van beide uitkomsten al genoeg om je weddenschap te winnen. 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"The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-europa-league-speelronde-3", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 54, "above": 6, "above_share_percent": "11.1", "below": 5, "within": 43, "median_difference_percent": "0.1", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/4/#pick-n-301e6509f126534598033847", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.55", "market": "1.36", "difference_percent": "13.9" }, { "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/4/#pick-n-ecb8e03d3a40915b302161b7", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.90", "market": "1.71", "difference_percent": "11.1" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "editorial", "entity_words": "Editorial source", "source": { "name": "extra.toto.nl", "url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-eredivisie-fc-twente-ajax" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-17", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 52, "matches": 43, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -38748, "staked_hundredths": 520000, "return_percent": "-7.45", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 52 settled live picks by TOTO Extra before kick-off across 43 matches between 18 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −7.5% on the total staked. Of the 112 predictions we hold for TOTO Extra, 89 are linked to matches: 77 were recorded by us before kick-off and 12 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "52", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "43", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−387.48 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−7.5%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −33.8% to +20.5%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10256, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9406, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50584, "n": 38 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -68143, "n": 41 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53693, "n": 45 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50122, "n": 46 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70122, "n": 48 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -66789, "n": 49 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38748, "n": 52 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 52, "matches": 43, "match_dates": 10, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -38748, "low": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70122, "after_picks": 48 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10256, "after_picks": 9 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10256, "n": 9, "picks": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9406, "n": 20, "picks": 11 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50584, "n": 38, "picks": 18 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -68143, "n": 41, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53693, "n": 45, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50122, "n": 46, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -70122, "n": 48, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -66789, "n": 49, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38748, "n": 52, "picks": 3 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 52 settled live picks by TOTO Extra before kick-off across 43 matches between 18 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −7.5% on the total staked. Of the 112 predictions we hold for TOTO Extra, 89 are linked to matches: 77 were recorded by us before kick-off and 12 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 112, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 23, "proven_predictions": 77, "proven_checked": 73, "proven_measured": 52, "proven_dates": 10, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 77, "checked": 73, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 52, "void": 0, "matches": 43, "net_points_hundredths": -38748, "staked_hundredths": 520000, "return_percent": "-7.45", "interval_low": "-33.81", "interval_high": "20.49", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.3", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 15 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 52, "return_main_percent": "-7.45", "return_other_percent": "-6.56", "settled_excluding_void": 52, "net_main_points_hundredths": -38748, "net_other_points_hundredths": -34100, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 33, "return_main_percent": "7.15", "return_other_percent": "4.37", "settled_excluding_void": 33, "net_main_points_hundredths": 23602, "net_other_points_hundredths": 14422, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 1, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "1 score forecast is waiting for a final score." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 73, "priced": 52 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 52, "won": 28, "won_percent": "53.8", "implied_percent": "57.9", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 12, "picks": 24, "implied_percent": "55.6" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 7, "picks": 13, "implied_percent": "66.3" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 9, "picks": 12, "implied_percent": "55.1" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 0, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "50.1" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 4, "right": 2, "wrong": 2, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 12, "checked": 12, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 12, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-00ef1de6f295b6234e88085d", "n-01201c5d213b39aaeee9b4e7", "n-1368c3a6843b9c2970d2d36a", "n-1bc774938cb034c60506178a", "n-20f2433a1255b821d748e50e", "n-22db8ee5076478c58fa7f1c5", "n-27f4356f68184e4d794456a0", "n-2900e95eaa8c4ecad72ddb7b", "n-2c20019dff4ff946eebfba11", "n-2cace6eebc88b3f094f2f5f6", "n-301e6509f126534598033847", "n-31a9e5c1524c2ec98ef8bf4b", "n-3bc1e479a186044997389ba6", "n-3f9b66cc869851b2c242b20d", "n-420e776d4c8797865847d12c", "n-461ac213d12b7ae72b1620e3", "n-4a9ae9ecf1182cfca775afd3", "n-4b13390e8f093adc14feffb1", "n-4c6d3be801acfcbc8b086216", "n-51b1c81204cd3e77d9b1bb03", "n-5b5af7ce4b0070c7f6b4d1a5", "n-5ff83faf8e9b163d3dfd9180", "n-60eef4dfdd145e8c1445afef", "n-61290bb9e104257dd28da2d4", "n-6f5a763e9a54ffa069dad666", "n-7085cb8887415ba2f28cb2c1", "n-70990ac3e228a20789925022", "n-808a13739cb1a90519d87143", "n-830fd3dfb9d369788b34fb24", "n-84d33530bd1b47d04957180f", "n-88e65a8bdf64312533f0d191", "n-97487ef98da1f68effef7eb5", "n-975be361a94a02297b089314", "n-9d0ca40dfce3a917cc6fc3dd", "n-9ee600ac79d948d1994b6d5b", "n-adde35a21b0eb6d39c032c7d", "n-af5df1fff4f052a135622b77", "n-b74a5b6ccfc0a000e471d7d3", "n-bbfb36b9bf91f90f27ba2e84", "n-c397c24c6142e92703a2fc35", "n-c71c96d8ff030e879c0902bc", "n-c88a2384eab4a1a361399f42", "n-ceed64a8efacedf9c13eacf2", "n-d8e3073cbce7a56c86b5fe61", "n-db8f62b3843346363de44cfa", "n-e08f05445b6b2267f4cb02e6", "n-e4a7cdf2cf660132beedbce0", "n-e6846e1fdce13e4cfafa9215", "n-e8e5acb2f2bd3910f730c107", "n-ecb8e03d3a40915b302161b7", "n-f534f857018541965f06b8d3", "n-f7187b8b7092c36dde59153a" ], "interval_low": "-33.81", "interval_high": "20.49", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 18 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-17", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-00ef1de6f295b6234e88085d", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-00ef1de6f295b6234e88085d", "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Juventus", "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 11.6, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.67", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 6667, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.67", "settled_price": "1.6667", "published_at": "2026-11-04T14:31:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T08:22:48.985Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-00ef1de6f295b6234e88085d", "quote_text": "Beide teams scoren tegen 1,67 past bij de aanvallende kwaliteiten van beide ploegen.", "fragment_from": 5092, "fragment_to": 5176, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-europa-league-az-juventus", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d5bf09391601a99e9de1603852f7839502fb2773ec41463ca250ee6865a0685e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T14:31:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T08:22:48.985Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T08:24:44.019Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a705d07502db", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.67", "our_snapshot": "1.6667", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T08:18:10.557Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 6667, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T14:31:27.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T14:31:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T08:22:48.985Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.67", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.67" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f42ccfffe467ce67bcc0282267ccc5db7c98f4570a0124832f1a17d55780434b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.67", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6700, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T08:24:35.715Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "49b2b17993ee48a0c1029903317e198be6afcc2b7f709bc5b519fcdc141263a3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.6667", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6667, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T08:24:44.019Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "TOTO Extra", "publisher": "TOTO Extra", "forecaster": "TOTO Extra", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-europa-league-az-juventus", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-6f5a763e9a54ffa069dad666", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-6f5a763e9a54ffa069dad666", "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Juventus", "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 11.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.97", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 9524, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.97", "settled_price": "1.9524", "published_at": "2026-11-04T14:31:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T08:22:48.985Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6f5a763e9a54ffa069dad666", "quote_text": "Juventus wint tegen 1,97 is interessant voor wie verwacht dat de bezoekers hun sterke Europese vorm voortzetten.", "fragment_from": 4798, "fragment_to": 4910, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://extra.toto.nl/artikel/voorspelling-europa-league-az-juventus", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": 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the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1f42f3e24999c1815ecc23aa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Wedtip: Rennes wint > 1,23", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T08:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:03:01.688Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match 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null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Wedtip: Union SG wint > 2,32", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T08:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:03:01.688Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-52bc3263365d03f4fbaeaa7f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Wedtip: AZ wint met 1-0, 2-0 of 3-0 > 2,65", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T08:15:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:03:01.688Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 89, "before_kickoff": 77, "after_kickoff": 12, "at_least_2h": 77, "share_2h_plus": 86.5, "median_hours": 72.5, "min_hours": 11.6, "max_hours": 128.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 28, "settled_picks_all": 52, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 3, "no_recorded_line": 21, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 280000, "author_net_hundredths": -26960, "favourite_net_hundredths": 2486, "difference_hundredths": -29446, "author_return_percent": -9.63, "favourite_return_percent": 0.89, "author_hit_rate": 53.6, "favourite_hit_rate": 60.7, "picked_favourite_share": 85.7, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 13, "staked_hundredths": 130000, "author_net_hundredths": -42502, "favourite_net_hundredths": -8506, "author_hits": 5, "favourite_hits": 7, "picked_favourite": 11, "author_return_percent": -32.69, "favourite_return_percent": -6.54 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 10, "staked_hundredths": 100000, "author_net_hundredths": -10367, "favourite_net_hundredths": -10367, "author_hits": 6, "favourite_hits": 6, "picked_favourite": 10, "author_return_percent": -10.37, "favourite_return_percent": -10.37 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 5, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "author_net_hundredths": 25909, "favourite_net_hundredths": 21359, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 4, "picked_favourite": 3, "author_return_percent": 51.82, "favourite_return_percent": 42.72 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T14:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 8696 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2593, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 16103 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -12593, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6103 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -6605, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12091 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -16605, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2091 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10544, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 8152 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -5281, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13415 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7219, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 25915 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 15386, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 34082 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 5386, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 24082 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13078, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 31774 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 18206, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 36902 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 8206, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 42202 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 18606, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 52602 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 8606, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 42602 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -1394, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 32602 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -11394, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 22602 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -21394, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12602 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -16394, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17602 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -12784, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 21212 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -22784, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 11212 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -32784, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1212 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -30343, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 3653 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -40343, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 10953 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -32143, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 19153 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -42143, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 9153 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38810, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12486 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -26960, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2486 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 112, "pages": 7, "page_urls": [ "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/2/", "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/3/", "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/4/", "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/5/", "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/6/", "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/" ], "groups": { "settled": 59, "pending": 2, "excluded": 51 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "TOTO Extra: Football Prediction Record", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=52&odds=1.83&roi=-7.5&src=record", "n": 52, "odds": "1.83", "roi": "-7.5", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "source_info": { "code_name": "extra-toto-nl", "display_name": "TOTO Extra", "type_code": "channel", "domains": [ "extra.toto.nl" ], "owner": null, "check": { "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "products": [ { "code_name": "toto-extra", "display_name": "TOTO Extra", "type_code": "column", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "entity_ref": "e-c2dcf783e8a8d9907ce519b3", "summary": { "statements": 143, "predictions": 112, "settled_picks": 52, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -7.45, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "author_list": [], "authors_count": 0, "auto": true, "product": "toto-extra", "product_page": false }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 52, "matches": 43, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "87206040721f13a2074858024bc451b04ca068f0020bf5551e63b765b80b078a" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-6e76f7178aab64025e04", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-5.64", "settled_picks": 51, "matches": 42, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f540b8cdc2fedb07f21928cb9e4b8b95aaf69fe2fe3afaa932f446dc56950339", "text": "−5.64% on 51 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-7.45", "settled_picks": 52, "matches": 43, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "87206040721f13a2074858024bc451b04ca068f0020bf5551e63b765b80b078a", "text": "−7.45% on 52 settled picks across 43 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c93d1bf83098e1dc6d44", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-11.83", "settled_picks": 48, "matches": 40, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f433afe78534d115537ee469a7d593ac1dabf631656a7dce6032967d28387deb", "text": "−11.83% on 48 settled picks across 40 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-5.64", "settled_picks": 51, "matches": 42, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f540b8cdc2fedb07f21928cb9e4b8b95aaf69fe2fe3afaa932f446dc56950339", "text": "−5.64% on 51 settled picks across 42 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a85b70ae401e3b169af7", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-12.79", "settled_picks": 47, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6e74f2e2f3805a93a2f6fa38bc84027361b11014f5ac8ba5644e8224ff9d113e", "text": "−12.79% on 47 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-11.83", "settled_picks": 48, "matches": 40, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f433afe78534d115537ee469a7d593ac1dabf631656a7dce6032967d28387deb", "text": "−11.83% on 48 settled picks across 40 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-6121c32b7ba2244c44c8", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-8.92", "settled_picks": 45, "matches": 38, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f7a2e0ceda9d7ee8f35aea250efac32d9d2387179cb2e86cd88b437a1bc732d3", "text": "−8.92% on 45 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-12.79", "settled_picks": 47, "matches": 39, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6e74f2e2f3805a93a2f6fa38bc84027361b11014f5ac8ba5644e8224ff9d113e", "text": "−12.79% on 47 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-594529b93afb74a5c1db", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "return_percent": "-9.93", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 37, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0bdc53f746f0d0d736ec92358165c29d36a8d7e605d1ba65e2effa847d565c10", "text": "−9.93% on 44 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-8.92", "settled_picks": 45, "matches": 38, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f7a2e0ceda9d7ee8f35aea250efac32d9d2387179cb2e86cd88b437a1bc732d3", "text": "−8.92% on 45 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ff56922b9229b1aa13ea", "at": "2026-11-01T16:20:36.348Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-12.18", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 36, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "77bfd0a5f50508293968c12b24304f83a27a3158db4b4390db7bccec7b354754", "text": "−12.18% on 41 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "return_percent": "-9.93", "settled_picks": 44, "matches": 37, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0bdc53f746f0d0d736ec92358165c29d36a8d7e605d1ba65e2effa847d565c10", "text": "−9.93% on 44 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3721b055a5ca0b2c17ac", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-14.54", "settled_picks": 40, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3f1ed588a814dc663a420349461110fe18909573d24f99ebdb0bcc25180ff26e", "text": "−14.54% on 40 settled picks across 35 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-12.18", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 36, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "77bfd0a5f50508293968c12b24304f83a27a3158db4b4390db7bccec7b354754", "text": "−12.18% on 41 settled picks across 36 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-18c09cbef81fa50f0637", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-9.77", "settled_picks": 35, "matches": 32, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ae6ed07f0ab1c92f31248b62506241d992456924c248732502a1c9c4b3e4daf6", "text": "−9.77% on 35 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-14.54", "settled_picks": 40, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3f1ed588a814dc663a420349461110fe18909573d24f99ebdb0bcc25180ff26e", "text": "−14.54% on 40 settled picks across 35 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4387f6d2c6bc3afb9cf8", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-12.06", "settled_picks": 34, "matches": 31, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7fc821d06903a5010382fd9f0c56bd161e96118c55e85a97340b125769e3cb7a", "text": "−12.06% on 34 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-9.77", "settled_picks": 35, "matches": 32, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ae6ed07f0ab1c92f31248b62506241d992456924c248732502a1c9c4b3e4daf6", "text": "−9.77% on 35 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fab99b59a9968e3f9e37", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "return_percent": "10.21", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "87bc2d985c64fc7ef56cef815c88873c629d54f0791abf9268d23b130c759782", "text": "+10.21% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-12.06", "settled_picks": 34, "matches": 31, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7fc821d06903a5010382fd9f0c56bd161e96118c55e85a97340b125769e3cb7a", "text": "−12.06% on 34 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 9 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 6 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 15, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f8097f342047e1bf5d32", "at": "2026-10-22T18:00:17.739Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "7.61", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0e83982b6bb060f0c92d1cca5d60cd3dd7ba459c9d48f708f7749352e5fb5941", "text": "+7.61% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "return_percent": "10.21", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "87bc2d985c64fc7ef56cef815c88873c629d54f0791abf9268d23b130c759782", "text": "+10.21% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-7ac47f8c35128590d0cd", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "5.74", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "1fa4758f9ffb01e0d47013a7db9b688718db8f17afe87205460553c2e1409714", "text": "+5.74% on 15 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "7.61", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0e83982b6bb060f0c92d1cca5d60cd3dd7ba459c9d48f708f7749352e5fb5941", "text": "+7.61% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-de703e80aba252b73b0e", "at": "2026-10-22T03:02:07.338Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-5.58", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8bbe1bb3b9e172943067b94d43be0cb73c0f0465b1d511222482833800edf9d5", "text": "−5.58% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "5.74", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "1fa4758f9ffb01e0d47013a7db9b688718db8f17afe87205460553c2e1409714", "text": "+5.74% on 15 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3525ddd4889ed873b2b8", "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "return_percent": "-1.09", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0cd51370e751ccb61d155f197a14917617abdd22da9ee5602e6c4ae436711574", "text": "−5.44 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-5.58", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8bbe1bb3b9e172943067b94d43be0cb73c0f0465b1d511222482833800edf9d5", "text": "−5.58% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "8 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 8, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-94c113a795d5a8f9bcb3", "at": "2026-10-21T02:27:55.722Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "634067b3d6344e00d5b8226b4617e77765f266fd035820f3639faaa2be734f00", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "return_percent": "-1.09", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0cd51370e751ccb61d155f197a14917617abdd22da9ee5602e6c4ae436711574", "text": "−5.44 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4e7f7aa7fe53a0cdf67a", "at": "2026-10-18T21:29:31.006Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.7", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.8", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "634067b3d6344e00d5b8226b4617e77765f266fd035820f3639faaa2be734f00", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 2, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-059a4b3ba88fc7727363ed6c", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-059a4b3ba88fc7727363ed6c", "match": "SC Heerenveen v Feyenoord", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-heerenveen-vs-feyenoord-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T11:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Eredivisie", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.41", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T10:42:52.399Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-11505637746daacc6144da39", "url": "/sources/extra-toto-nl/picks/7/#pick-n-11505637746daacc6144da39", "match": "SC Heerenveen v Feyenoord", "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-heerenveen-vs-feyenoord-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T11:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Eredivisie", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Feyenoord at 1.69", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T10:42:52.399Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 52, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 24, "won": 12, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -23578, "return_percent": "-9.8", "period_from": "2026-10-18", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.97", "odds_from_author": 24, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 13, "won": 7, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -23700, "return_percent": "-18.2", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.56", "odds_from_author": 13, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 12, "won": 9, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 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