Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks: football prediction source record — archive reconstruction
Forecast Record restored 5 settled archived picks by Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches between 20 January and . Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 5 settled archived picks.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Early source record: 2 won / 3 lost; average odds 2.29
Small sample (5) · 5 settled picks · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1
Eligible prices were available for 5 of the 5 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record restored 5 settled archived picks by Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches between 20 January and 5 May 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 5 settled archived picks. Of the 5 predictions we hold for Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks, 5 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
https://forecastrecord.com/sources/canada-sports-betting/
20 statements read → 5 predictions → 5 linked to matches → 0 recorded before kick-off → 0 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
5 archived before kick-off → 5 outcome-checked → 5 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.
Latest outcomes
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 2.80 |
| Over/under goals | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | 0 W / 1 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.91 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Champions League | 0 W / 3 L | — Small sample (3) | 2.62 |
| Premier League | 2 W / 0 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.80 |
Recorded picks and results
BTTS: yes1.95Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Both Teams to Score @ -105 on bet365web.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks
- Prices
- Stated 1.95, market —, closing 1.91
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
1X2: draw3.90Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Draw @ +290 on bet365web.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks
- Prices
- Stated 3.90, market —, closing 4.20
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United ·
Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.52.30Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
Bonus Tip: Under 2.5 Goals (+130)web.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks
- Prices
- Stated 2.30, market —, closing 2.17
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United ·
1X2: Arsenal1.48Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
Our Pick: Match Result: Arsenal (-208)web.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks
- Prices
- Stated 1.48, market —, closing 1.38
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Our best bet for Tuesday’s Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Arsenal is under 2.5 goals to be scored.web.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing 1.76
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.1
About this record
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Editorial source · Archived source article · canadasportsbetting.ca · record 20 January – · restored from archives
Canada Sports Betting: Football Prediction Record
Last change · Reconstruction method 1.1 · Price rule: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Sample: 5 settled archived picks, 3 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 2 records added on from archived copies; 3 records added on from archived copies. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the source’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.
About this publishing channel
Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.
Named authors at Canada Sports Betting
- Gautham Marthandan 8 settled live picks here · 125 predictions
- Melissa Samaroo 3 settled live picks here · 112 predictions
Each author's record is on their own page and is not part of the product totals above.
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/canada-sports-betting/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 5 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>Archived before kick-off · 5 settled archived picks · won 2 of 5
Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.
5 predictions; 5 checked against the final score.
5 settled selections across 3 matches, 20 January – .
Reconstructed at archived prices: −140 points.
Eligible prices were available for 5 of the 5 selections checked against the result.
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 2 of 5 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 50.0%.
By market: Match result 1 of 2 (prices implied 47.6%); Over/under goals 1 of 2 (prices implied 51.1%); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 52.5%).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Reconstructed at archived prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 4 | 25 April – | −22 points | −40 points |
| Closing price, aggregator | 2 | +155.74 points | +160 points |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
- Stated
- The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Canada Sports Betting Soccer Picks has published.
- Source we monitor
- canadasportsbetting.ca
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- 28–30 September 2026
- Earlier entries
- restored from archives, back to
Stated price vs market
How the prices this source stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
| Compared with | Picks | >5.0% above | >5.0% below | Within | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closing market price (restored) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the source's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the source’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.
Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.
Largest gaps: 1.48 against 1.38 (+7.1%) · 2.30 against 2.17 (+5.7%)
Source's response
No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 20
- Predictions
- 5
- Qualifying picks
- 5
- Settled picks
- 5
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 3 opinions and 12 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−140 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 5 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (500 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −40.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
- After
- −140.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Data corrected ·
- Before
- −140.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
- After
- −40.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −40.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
- After
- −140.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Data corrected ·
- Before
- −140.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
- After
- −40.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.
Method changed ·
- Before
- −22.00 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0
- After
- −140.00 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
The headline rule changed on : the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (4 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (5 settled picks).
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , 38 days before this page's data date
- Observed
- —
- Channels
- website
Statements other than predictions (15 shown)
- “City has a prime opportunity to run up the score and easily cover the -2.0 handicap.” — · source
- “With the title race potentially being decided by goal difference, Guardiola’s men have a massive incentive to not just win, but win big.” — · source
- “Expect the hosts to control the game from the opening whistle and secure a comfortable win to boost their title hopes.” — · source
Our in-house data projection model provides a statistical look at the potential outcomes:
· Source
Here are the latest moneyline odds for this clash:
· Source
Injuries: Kai Havertz (Knock), Jurriën Timber (Muscle injury), Mikel Merino (Foot injury)
· Source
Projected Starting Lineup: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie; Odegaard, Zubimendi, Rice;
· Source
The following projections are from our in-house data model
· Source
Suspensions: Joelinton
· Source
Injuries: Riccardo Calafiori (undisclosed), Bukayo Saka (Achilles injury)
· Source
Written by: Editorial Team CSB
· Source
Injuries: Nketiah (Thigh), Guessand (Knee)
· Source
Predicted Lineup: Henderson; Lacroix, Chadi Riad, Canvot; Mitchell, Wharton, Kamada, Munoz; Pino,
· Source
Injuries: Gvardiol (Calf), Dias (Thigh)
· Source
Predicted Lineup: Donnarumma; O’Riley, Khusanov, Guehi, Matheus Nunes; Nico Gonzalez, B. Silva;
· Source
The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (2)
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Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Atlético Madrid Lost | Restored, at the source's stated price | Both teams to score — yes | 1.95 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Arsenal v Atlético Madrid Lost | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | Both teams to score — yes | 1.91 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.1 |
| Arsenal v Atlético Madrid Lost | Restored, at the source's stated price | 1X2, match result — draw | 3.90 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Arsenal v Atlético Madrid Lost | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | 1X2, match result — draw | 4.20 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.1 |
| Arsenal v Newcastle United Won | Restored, at the source's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.5 | 2.30 | 100.00 | Won | 130.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Arsenal v Newcastle United Won | Restored, at the closing market price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.5 | 2.17 | 100.00 | Won | 117.50 | retro-1.0 |
| Arsenal v Newcastle United Won | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.5 | 2.20 | 100.00 | Won | 120.00 | retro-1.1 |
| Arsenal v Newcastle United Won | Restored, at the source's stated price | 1X2, match result — Arsenal | 1.48 | 100.00 | Won | 48.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Arsenal v Newcastle United Won | Restored, at the closing market price | 1X2, match result — Arsenal | 1.38 | 100.00 | Won | 38.24 | retro-1.0 |
| Arsenal v Newcastle United Won | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | 1X2, match result — Arsenal | 1.40 | 100.00 | Won | 40.00 | retro-1.1 |