AI match predictions: football prediction source record
Forecast Record recorded 36 settled live picks by AI match predictions before kick-off across 29 matches between 26 October and . At our recorded market prices these picks returned −20.1% on the total staked.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Return at our recorded market prices
−20.2%Measured
36 settled picks with an eligible price · 29 matches · picks settled under method v2.2
95% interval −42.9% to +7.0%
Won 20 of 36 (55.6%) at average odds 4.13; those prices implied 55.1% (including bookmaker margin).
Eligible prices were available for 36 of the 102 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record recorded 36 settled live picks by AI match predictions before kick-off across 29 matches between 26 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −20.1% on the total staked. Of the 192 predictions we hold for AI match predictions, 131 are linked to matches: 120 were recorded by us before kick-off and 11 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Forecast Record recorded 36 settled live picks by AI match predictions before kick-off across 29 matches between 26 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −20.1% on the total staked. Of the 192 predictions we hold for AI match predictions, 131 are linked to matches: 120 were recorded by us before kick-off and 11 first found after the match. Figures as of .
https://forecastrecord.com/sources/ai-match-predictions/
404 statements read → 192 predictions → 131 linked to matches → 120 recorded before kick-off → 102 outcome-checked → 36 at our recorded market price · 11 found after kick-off (not in the return)
Latest outcomes
Return over time
Recorded by us before kick-off: Net result −725.23 points on 36 settled live picks · Lowest point −725.23 points.
Show chart as a table
| Date | Settled picks | Cumulative points |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 262.25 | |
| 4 | 72.25 | |
| 6 | 127.25 | |
| 8 | 178.75 | |
| 12 | 41.75 | |
| 13 | 70.75 | |
| 14 | 115.25 | |
| 19 | -84.75 | |
| 30 | -374.36 | |
| 33 | -552.26 | |
| 36 | -725.23 |
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 20/28 | 2.7% Small sample (28) | 1.78 |
| Correct score | 0 W / 8 L | — Small sample (8) | 12.34 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Champions League | 1 W / 3 L | — Small sample (4) | 12.96 |
| UEFA Europa League | 3 W / 1 L | — Small sample (4) | 1.46 |
| AFC Champions League Elite | 2 W / 1 L | — Small sample (3) | 3.63 |
| AFC Champions League Two | 1 W / 2 L | — Small sample (3) | 2.48 |
| Brasileiro Série A | 2 W / 1 L | — Small sample (3) | 2.83 |
+11 competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Conference League | 1 W / 2 L | — Small sample (3) | 1.16 |
| Bundesliga | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 5.39 |
| Eredivisie | 0 W / 2 L | — Small sample (2) | 5.05 |
| Ligue 1 | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 4.67 |
| Primera División (Chile) | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 5.28 |
| Saudi Pro League | 2 W / 0 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.26 |
| Süper Lig | 1 W / 1 L | — Small sample (2) | 6.14 |
| Allsvenskan | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.27 |
| Austrian Bundesliga | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.22 |
| Bolivia Primera Division | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.10 |
| Danish Superliga | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.45 |
Recorded picks and results
Current predictions
Rosario Central v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto ·
1X2, match result: Rosario Central · Pending · evidence
1X2, match result: Sporting CP · Pending · evidence
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 0 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Editorial source · t.me · observed 25 October –
AI match predictions: Football Prediction Record
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 36 settled live picks, 29 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 8 records added on Found after kick-off; 2 records added on Found after kick-off; 1 record added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
How unusual is this result? Check 36 picks at average odds 3.93 in the simplified calculator
About this publishing channel
AI match predictions is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/ai-match-predictions/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 25 October 2026 · 192 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match
37 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 12 of 37.
Prices implied by market
By market: Match result 20 of 28 (prices implied 67.9% Small sample (28)); Correct score 0 of 8 (0 W / 8 L, average odds 12.34) Small sample (8).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Return at our recorded market price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closing price | 10 | 28 October – | −1.6% | −0.6% |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Score forecasts without a betting market price
Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.
4 of 31 score forecasts named the exact score (12.9%).
The result implied by the named score was right in 13 of 17 matches; the market favourite was right in 12 of the same 17 matches.
A pre-match market favourite is known for 17 of 31 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.
The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.
The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
11 predictions; 11 checked against the final score.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
- Stated
- The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything AI match predictions has published.
- Source we monitor
- t.me
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- 25 October –
- Without a match page
- 61 predictions
Source's response
No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 404
- Predictions
- 192
- Qualifying picks
- 42
- Settled picks
- 36
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 212 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−725.23 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 36 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,600 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −20.1% on 36 live picks settled in this window · 29 matches · 26 October – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
New results ·
- Before
- −16.7% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −20.2% on 36 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- −12.5% on 30 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- −16.7% on 33 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −7.4% on 21 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (21)
- After
- −12.5% on 30 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 4 new results.
New results ·
- Before
- −4.5% on 19 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)
- After
- −7.4% on 21 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (21)
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- −5.3% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)
- After
- −4.5% on 19 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)
Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- +8.2% on 14 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)
- After
- −5.3% on 16 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +5.4% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)
- After
- +8.2% on 14 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +3.5% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
- After
- +5.4% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- +178.75 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +3.5% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +127.25 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +178.75 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +100.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +127.25 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +72.25 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +100.25 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +172.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +72.25 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- +272.25 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +172.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- +272.25 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , the date of this page's data
- Observed
- —
- Channels
- website
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (4)
For the source of this record (1)
Check us
Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe v İstanbul Başakşehir Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Correct score — Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir | 11.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Göztepe v İstanbul Başakşehir Lost | Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score | 1X2, match result — Göztepe | 2.04 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — FC Bayern München | 1.27 | 100.00 | Won | 27.03 | v2.2 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Correct score — 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-3 FC Bayern München | 9.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München Lost | Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score | 1X2, match result — FC Bayern München | 1.29 | 100.00 | Won | 28.74 | v2.2 |
| Willem II Tilburg v PEC Zwolle Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Correct score — Willem II Tilburg 1-2 PEC Zwolle | 8.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Willem II Tilburg v PEC Zwolle Lost | Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score | 1X2, match result — PEC Zwolle | 2.10 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Willem II Tilburg v PEC Zwolle Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — PEC Zwolle | 2.10 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Rapid Vienna v Wolfsberger AC Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Rapid Vienna | 1.22 | 100.00 | Won | 22.10 | v2.2 |
| Palmeiras v Remo Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Correct score — Palmeiras 2-0 Remo | 6.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Palmeiras v Remo Lost | Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score | 1X2, match result — Palmeiras | 1.21 | 100.00 | Won | 21.40 | v2.2 |
| Palmeiras v Remo Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Palmeiras | 1.21 | 100.00 | Won | 21.40 | v2.2 |
| Benfica v Lech Poznań Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Benfica | 1.13 | 100.00 | Won | 12.99 | v2.2 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1.30 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Lincoln Red Imps v Hajduk Split Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Hajduk Split | 1.31 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda v Inter Club d'Escaldes Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — FK Crvena Zvezda | 1.05 | 100.00 | Won | 5.50 | v2.2 |
| Atalanta v FC Kairat Almaty Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Atalanta | 1.10 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| AC Sparta Praha v AFC Bournemouth Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — AFC Bournemouth | 1.40 | 100.00 | Won | 40.00 | v2.2 |
| Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Anderlecht | 2.00 | 100.00 | Won | 100.00 | v2.2 |
| Kitchee v Phnom Penh Crown Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Phnom Penh Crown | 2.90 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Machida Zelvia v Shanghai Shenhua Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Machida Zelvia | 1.30 | 100.00 | Won | 30.50 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Paris Saint-Germain | 1.73 | 100.00 | Won | 73.00 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Correct score — Villarreal 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain | 36.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Paris Saint-Germain Lost | Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score | 1X2, match result — Paris Saint-Germain | 1.71 | 100.00 | Won | 71.43 | v2.2 |
| Sirius v Halmstad Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Sirius | 1.27 | 100.00 | Won | 27.00 | v2.2 |